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City Office REIT (CIO)
NYSE:CIO
US Market

City Office REIT (CIO) AI Stock Analysis

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CIO

City Office REIT

(NYSE:CIO)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(2.94% Upside)
City Office REIT's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and profitability, and legal uncertainties related to a merger. While technical indicators suggest a short-term upward trend, the negative P/E ratio and potential overbought conditions warrant caution. The high dividend yield is attractive but may not be sustainable.
Positive Factors
Business Model Strength
The company's focus on long-term leases provides predictable cash flow, supporting financial stability and resilience in the office REIT sector.
Leverage Management
Improved leverage management enhances financial flexibility, allowing the company to better navigate economic fluctuations and invest in growth opportunities.
New Leadership
The appointment of new leadership can bring fresh perspectives and strategies, potentially improving governance and operational efficiency.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue growth indicates challenges in maintaining market position and could hinder long-term financial health and investor confidence.
Profitability Issues
Negative profitability margins highlight operational challenges, potentially affecting the company's ability to sustain dividends and invest in growth.
Merger Uncertainties
Legal uncertainties surrounding the merger could impact strategic direction and investor confidence, affecting long-term business stability.

City Office REIT (CIO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

City Office REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCity Office REIT, Inc. (NYSE: CIO) invests in high-quality office properties in 18-hour cities with strong economic fundamentals, primarily in the Southern and Western United States. At September 30, 2020, CIO owned office complexes comprising 5.8 million square feet of net rentable area (NRA).
How the Company Makes MoneyCity Office REIT generates revenue primarily through leasing office space to tenants, which provides a steady stream of rental income. The company's revenue model is based on long-term leases, which typically range from 5 to 10 years, allowing for predictable cash flow. Key revenue streams include base rental income, which is supplemented by additional income from tenant reimbursements for operating expenses, as well as potential revenue from lease renewals and escalations. The company may also engage in property management and leasing services, which can further enhance its earnings. Strategic partnerships with local and national firms also contribute to its ability to attract and retain tenants, thereby solidifying its income base.

City Office REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 02, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong leasing activity and positive financial metrics, particularly in the Sun Belt markets, alongside the exciting redevelopment project in St. Petersburg. However, challenges in maintaining occupancy levels were noted. The overall sentiment of the call is positive due to the significant achievements and growth potential discussed.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
City Center Redevelopment Project
City Office REIT announced an agreement with Property Markets Group to redevelop City Center's parking structure into a 49-story residential condominium and mixed-use tower under the Waldorf Astoria Residences brand, with PMG investing $17 million in predevelopment activities.
Strong Leasing Activity
City Office REIT completed 144,000 square feet of new and renewal leasing in Q1, including a significant lease at Papago Tech in Phoenix and a new 66,000 square foot tenant at Greenwood Boulevard in Orlando.
Positive Cash NOI and Rent Growth
Same-store cash NOI increased by 4.4% in Q1 compared to the prior year, with an 8.5% positive cash releasing spread on renewals over the last 12 months.
Improved Net Operating Income
Net operating income in Q1 was $26.0 million, $500,000 higher than Q4, driven by higher revenue and lower operating expenses.
Negative Updates
Occupancy Challenges
Portfolio occupancy ended Q1 at 84.9%, slightly lower than the prior quarter, with expected further decreases in Q2 due to tenant move-outs in Greenwood Boulevard and AmberGlen property.
Potential Short-Term Occupancy Dips
Occupancy might dip in the first two quarters due to tenant movements, although year-end occupancy is expected to recover to the 85%-87% range.
Company Guidance
During the City Office REIT First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance updates. The company's net operating income (NOI) for the first quarter was reported at $26 million, a $500,000 increase from the previous quarter, driven by higher revenue and lower operating expenses. Core funds from operations (FFO) reached $12.3 million, or $0.30 per share, marking a $600,000 increase from the fourth quarter. The company reported an 8.5% positive cash releasing spread on renewals over the past year and a 4.4% increase in same-store cash NOI compared to the prior year. Portfolio occupancy was slightly down at 84.9%, but the company anticipates year-end occupancy to be within the 85% to 87% range, supported by 143,000 square feet of signed leases not yet commenced. Total debt stood at $646 million, with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.7 times, and a credit facility maturing in November 2025. Additionally, the company highlighted its ongoing redevelopment project in St. Petersburg, Florida, expecting a construction period of approximately three years after presales commence.

City Office REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
City Office REIT is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability as reflected in the income statement. While the balance sheet shows some improvement in leverage, the negative return on equity and cash flow challenges highlight ongoing operational difficulties. The company needs to address its profitability issues to improve its overall financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
City Office REIT's income statement shows declining revenue growth with a negative trend in profitability. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 60.54%, which is relatively stable, but the net profit margin is significantly negative at -75.34%, reflecting substantial losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational challenges. Overall, the income statement reflects a struggling financial performance with declining revenue and profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66 in the TTM period, which is an improvement from previous years, suggesting better leverage management. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating profits from its equity base. The equity ratio stands at 57.15%, showing a reasonable level of equity financing. Despite some improvements in leverage, the negative ROE highlights ongoing profitability issues.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth at -9.42% in the TTM period, indicating challenges in generating cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.26, suggesting limited cash generation relative to net income losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, indicating that free cash flow is sufficient to cover net income losses. Overall, the cash flow position is stable but reflects underlying profitability challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue163.79M171.13M179.10M180.49M164.04M160.84M
Gross Profit99.15M101.67M109.10M112.75M106.04M102.53M
EBITDA-34.45M75.16M92.83M97.75M90.55M91.84M
Net Income-123.41M-17.68M-2.68M25.20M484.39M-21.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.07B1.46B1.51B1.57B1.60B1.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.35M18.89M30.08M28.19M21.32M25.30M
Total Debt401.90M646.97M669.51M890.60M653.65M677.24M
Total Liabilities456.78M721.13M738.74M771.26M730.92M739.42M
Stockholders Equity610.05M733.86M772.23M802.83M869.62M416.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow47.59M58.86M57.22M97.11M65.03M52.13M
Operating Cash Flow47.59M58.86M57.22M106.68M73.22M59.92M
Investing Cash Flow225.22M-40.29M-41.34M-47.05M-17.38M-27.80M
Financing Cash Flow-276.56M-28.01M-16.75M-57.63M-59.53M-73.69M

City Office REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.80
Price Trends
50DMA
6.92
Positive
100DMA
6.93
Positive
200DMA
6.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
64.45
Neutral
STOCH
91.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CIO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.97, below the 50-day MA of 6.92, and above the 200-day MA of 6.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CIO.

City Office REIT Risk Analysis

City Office REIT disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. City Office REIT reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

City Office REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
55
Neutral
$1.08B-15.45-4.45%6.09%-1.23%9.10%
51
Neutral
$115.44M-0.88-18.67%7.34%-11.41%-56.73%
49
Neutral
$282.14M-2.19-17.91%5.76%-5.61%-651.25%
48
Neutral
$26.73M-1.08-25.83%-17.00%89.73%
40
Neutral
$98.12M-2.04-7.21%4.71%-14.68%-13.53%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CIO
City Office REIT
6.99
1.97
39.24%
FSP
Franklin Street Properties
0.91
-0.89
-49.53%
PDM
Piedmont Office
8.75
0.12
1.39%
NYC
New York City REIT
9.88
1.08
12.27%
ONL
Orion Office REIT
2.13
-1.76
-45.24%

City Office REIT Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
City Office REIT Acquired and Taken Private by MCME
Neutral
Jan 9, 2026

On January 9, 2026, a joint venture between Elliott Investment Management and Morning Calm Management, operating as MCME Carrell, completed its previously announced acquisition of City Office REIT for $7.00 per share in cash, leading to the delisting of the company’s common and preferred stock from the New York Stock Exchange and the planned suspension of its SEC reporting obligations. In connection with the closing, City Office REIT fully repaid and terminated its 2018 credit agreement, redeemed all outstanding 6.625% Series A preferred shares for $25.00 per share plus accrued distributions, cashed out and vested all outstanding equity awards, replaced its board and management with those of the acquisition vehicle, and converted the surviving entity’s governing documents, marking City Office’s transition from a publicly traded REIT to a privately held portfolio under MCME Carrell with the backing of Elliott and Morning Calm’s strategy to capitalize on opportunities in the U.S. commercial office market.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIO) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on City Office REIT stock, see the CIO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
City Office REIT Announces Merger with MCME Carell
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

City Office REIT, Inc. announced a merger agreement dated July 23, 2025, with MCME Carell Holdings, LP and MCME Carell Merger Sub, LLC. As part of the merger, City Office REIT will redeem all outstanding shares of its 6.625% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock at $25.00 per share plus accrued distributions, with the redemption anticipated on January 9, 2026. This merger could impact the company’s operations and stakeholder relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIO) stock is a Hold with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on City Office REIT stock, see the CIO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
City Office REIT Appoints New Chairwoman
Neutral
Nov 25, 2025

On November 23, 2025, City Office REIT, Inc. announced the passing of John Sweet, Chairman of the Board of Directors. Following this event, Sabah Mirza has been appointed as Chairwoman of the Board, and Michael Mazan has joined the Compensation Committee, filling the vacancy left by Mr. Sweet.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIO) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on City Office REIT stock, see the CIO Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
City Office REIT Approves Merger with MCME Carell
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

On October 16, 2025, City Office REIT held a special meeting where stockholders approved a merger with MCME Carell Holdings, LP and MCME Carell Merger Sub, LLC. The merger, which is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, will result in City Office stockholders receiving $7.00 per share in cash. Although the merger proposal was approved, the advisory compensation proposal was not. The merger is subject to closing conditions, and its completion could impact the company’s operations and stakeholder relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIO) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on City Office REIT stock, see the CIO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025