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City Office REIT Inc (CIO)
:CIO
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City Office REIT (CIO) AI Stock Analysis

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CIO

City Office REIT

(NYSE:CIO)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(7.91% Upside)
City Office REIT's overall stock score reflects a mix of financial challenges and strategic opportunities. The company's financial performance is a concern due to negative profitability and cash flow volatility. However, strong technical indicators and strategic corporate events, such as the merger and asset sale, provide a positive outlook. The earnings call further supports a favorable long-term trajectory despite short-term challenges.
Positive Factors
Strategic Asset Sale
The asset sale enhances financial flexibility by reducing debt and streamlining operations, allowing the company to focus on core markets and improve its balance sheet.
Merger with MCME Carell Holdings
The merger provides a strategic advantage by potentially increasing market reach and operational scale, offering long-term growth opportunities in a challenging sector.
Positive Financial Performance
Improved financial metrics indicate operational efficiency and effective cost management, supporting sustainable cash flow generation and long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
Negative Profitability
Persistent losses highlight challenges in achieving profitability, which may limit reinvestment capabilities and impact long-term financial health.
Cash Flow Volatility
Volatile cash flows can hinder strategic investments and operational flexibility, posing risks to sustaining business operations and growth initiatives.
Stagnant Revenue Growth
Limited revenue growth suggests challenges in market expansion and competitive positioning, potentially affecting long-term value creation and shareholder returns.

City Office REIT (CIO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

City Office REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCity Office REIT, Inc. (NYSE: CIO) invests in high-quality office properties in 18-hour cities with strong economic fundamentals, primarily in the Southern and Western United States. At September 30, 2020, CIO owned office complexes comprising 5.8 million square feet of net rentable area (NRA).
How the Company Makes MoneyCity Office REIT generates revenue primarily through leasing office spaces to tenants, which provides a steady stream of rental income. The company typically enters into long-term lease agreements, allowing for predictable cash flows. Additionally, City Office REIT may earn revenue from ancillary services related to property management and maintenance. The company also benefits from appreciation in property values, which can enhance returns when properties are sold or refinanced. Strategic partnerships with local property management firms and brokers can further contribute to its earnings by optimizing occupancy rates and tenant mix, ultimately driving higher rental income.

City Office REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong leasing activity and positive financial metrics, particularly in the Sun Belt markets, alongside the exciting redevelopment project in St. Petersburg. However, challenges in maintaining occupancy levels were noted. The overall sentiment of the call is positive due to the significant achievements and growth potential discussed.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
City Center Redevelopment Project
City Office REIT announced an agreement with Property Markets Group to redevelop City Center's parking structure into a 49-story residential condominium and mixed-use tower under the Waldorf Astoria Residences brand, with PMG investing $17 million in predevelopment activities.
Strong Leasing Activity
City Office REIT completed 144,000 square feet of new and renewal leasing in Q1, including a significant lease at Papago Tech in Phoenix and a new 66,000 square foot tenant at Greenwood Boulevard in Orlando.
Positive Cash NOI and Rent Growth
Same-store cash NOI increased by 4.4% in Q1 compared to the prior year, with an 8.5% positive cash releasing spread on renewals over the last 12 months.
Improved Net Operating Income
Net operating income in Q1 was $26.0 million, $500,000 higher than Q4, driven by higher revenue and lower operating expenses.
Negative Updates
Occupancy Challenges
Portfolio occupancy ended Q1 at 84.9%, slightly lower than the prior quarter, with expected further decreases in Q2 due to tenant move-outs in Greenwood Boulevard and AmberGlen property.
Potential Short-Term Occupancy Dips
Occupancy might dip in the first two quarters due to tenant movements, although year-end occupancy is expected to recover to the 85%-87% range.
Company Guidance
During the City Office REIT First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance updates. The company's net operating income (NOI) for the first quarter was reported at $26 million, a $500,000 increase from the previous quarter, driven by higher revenue and lower operating expenses. Core funds from operations (FFO) reached $12.3 million, or $0.30 per share, marking a $600,000 increase from the fourth quarter. The company reported an 8.5% positive cash releasing spread on renewals over the past year and a 4.4% increase in same-store cash NOI compared to the prior year. Portfolio occupancy was slightly down at 84.9%, but the company anticipates year-end occupancy to be within the 85% to 87% range, supported by 143,000 square feet of signed leases not yet commenced. Total debt stood at $646 million, with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.7 times, and a credit facility maturing in November 2025. Additionally, the company highlighted its ongoing redevelopment project in St. Petersburg, Florida, expecting a construction period of approximately three years after presales commence.

City Office REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
City Office REIT faces significant financial challenges, with negative profitability and fluctuating cash flows. While the company maintains a balanced leverage position, its ability to generate returns for shareholders is limited. The stable gross profit margin indicates some operational efficiency, but stagnant revenue growth and negative net income highlight the need for strategic improvements. Overall, the financial health of the company is moderate, with potential risks due to its current financial trajectory.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
City Office REIT's income statement shows a challenging financial position. The TTM data indicates a negative net profit margin of -71.27%, and EBIT margin of -51.22%, reflecting significant losses. Revenue growth is stagnant at 0.1%, indicating limited expansion. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth with a peak in 2022, but recent years have seen declining profitability. The gross profit margin remains relatively stable around 60%, suggesting some operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.06 in the TTM period, indicating a balanced leverage position. However, the return on equity is negative at -17.06%, highlighting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is approximately 46.3%, suggesting a reasonable level of equity financing. Historical data shows fluctuating debt levels, with a peak in 2022, but a general trend towards reducing leverage.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a mixed picture. The TTM free cash flow growth rate is negative at -3.69%, indicating challenges in generating cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.17, reflecting limited cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, suggesting that the company is able to convert its net income into free cash flow effectively. Historical data shows volatility in cash flow growth, with significant fluctuations over the years.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue168.89M171.13M179.10M180.49M164.04M160.84M
Gross Profit102.08M101.67M109.10M112.75M106.04M102.53M
EBITDA-25.70M75.16M94.26M97.75M90.55M91.84M
Net Income-120.38M-17.68M-2.68M25.20M484.39M-21.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.33B1.46B1.51B1.57B1.60B1.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.50M18.89M30.08M28.19M21.32M25.30M
Total Debt652.92M646.97M669.51M890.60M653.65M677.24M
Total Liabilities712.72M721.13M738.74M771.26M730.92M739.42M
Stockholders Equity614.94M733.86M772.23M802.83M869.62M416.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow52.54M58.86M57.22M97.11M65.03M52.13M
Operating Cash Flow52.54M58.86M57.22M106.68M73.22M59.92M
Investing Cash Flow-33.09M-40.29M-41.34M-47.05M-17.38M-27.80M
Financing Cash Flow-28.29M-28.01M-16.75M-57.63M-59.53M-73.69M

City Office REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.95
Price Trends
50DMA
6.64
Positive
100DMA
5.84
Positive
200DMA
5.40
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Positive
RSI
72.41
Negative
STOCH
69.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CIO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.94, above the 50-day MA of 6.64, and above the 200-day MA of 5.40, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 72.41 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CIO.

City Office REIT Risk Analysis

City Office REIT disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. City Office REIT reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

City Office REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$280.53M-17.53%5.76%-3.69%-777.30%
53
Neutral
1.07B-0.99-12.34%-9.68%-69.03%
52
Neutral
152.61M-1.96-13.48%8.86%-15.14%16.61%
50
Neutral
41.93M-0.12-27.60%7.05%-11.93%-1877.17%
49
Neutral
170.05M-3.18-8.56%2.44%-18.12%24.44%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CIO
City Office REIT
6.95
1.19
20.66%
FSP
Franklin Street Properties
1.64
-0.11
-6.29%
HPP
Hudson Pacific Properties
2.78
-2.51
-47.45%
OPI
Office Properties Income
0.57
-1.63
-74.09%
ONL
Orion Office REIT
2.71
-1.27
-31.91%

City Office REIT Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
City Office REIT Sells Phoenix Properties for $266 Million
Neutral
Aug 15, 2025

On August 15, 2025, City Office REIT, Inc. completed the sale of six office properties in Phoenix, Arizona, for $266 million to an unaffiliated buyer, as part of a previously announced disposition plan. Concurrently, the company amended its credit agreement, reducing the revolving credit facility to $150 million and securing borrowings with certain assets. This strategic move aims to streamline operations and improve financial flexibility, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and stakeholder interests.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
City Office REIT Announces Merger with MCME Carell Holdings
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 23, 2025, City Office REIT entered into a merger agreement with MCME Carell Holdings, where City Office will be acquired for $7.00 per share in a transaction valued at approximately $1.1 billion. This merger, approved by the board, includes the sale of the company’s Phoenix portfolio and is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, subject to shareholder approval and other customary conditions. The transaction offers a significant premium over the current stock price, reflecting a strategic move in a challenging office sector environment. Additionally, City Office announced the sale of its Phoenix assets for $296 million, with proceeds intended to repay debt and for general corporate purposes. The sale is scheduled to close on August 14, 2025, and is not contingent upon the merger’s completion.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025