Stadler Rail AG (SRAIL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: CHF2.09B
• Dividend Yield: 0.96%
• Average Volume (3M): 201.21K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 66.6
• Beta (1Y): 1.02
• Revenue Growth: -6.87%
• EPS Growth: -74.29%
• Country: CH
• Employees: 14,276
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Railroads
• EPS (TTM): 0.18
• Shares Outstanding: 100,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 178,574
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 201,209
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: CHF20.30
• Price Target Upside: -2.68% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Sell
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3

• Rating: 57 Neutral
• Price Target: CHF21.50 ▲(3.07% Upside)

Stadler Rail AG's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance, which shows concerns due to declining revenue, profitability, and cash flow. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. The absence of significant earnings call insights or corporate events leaves these factors unaddressed.

Stadler Rail AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Stadler Rail AG, through its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of trains in Switzerland, Germany, Austria, Western and Eastern Europe, the Americas, the CIS countries, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Rolling Stock; and Service and Components. The company's Rolling Stock segment manufactures high-speed and intercity trains, suburban and regional transport trains, passenger coaches, light rails, trams, and metros locomotives, as well as city transport and tailor-made vehicles. Its Service and Component segment provides modernization and revision, spare parts, vehicle repair, upgrading and overhauling, and maintenance services; and supplies vehicle components, such as car bodies or bogies. The company was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Bussnang, Switzerland.

How the Company Makes Money

Stadler Rail AG generates revenue primarily through the sale of rolling stock, which includes various types of trains and trams tailored to meet the specific needs of different customers. This revenue stream is bolstered by long-term contracts with governmental and private transport operators across Europe and beyond. Additionally, the company earns income from providing maintenance and repair services for its products, ensuring ongoing revenue from existing customers. Significant partnerships with railway operators and participation in public transport projects also contribute to its earnings, as these collaborations often lead to substantial orders for new vehicles. Furthermore, Stadler Rail invests in research and development to enhance its product offerings, which helps in securing competitive contracts and expanding its market presence.

Stadler Rail AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Stadler Rail AG exhibits stable asset management and liquidity, but recent declines in revenue, profitability, and cash flow generation are concerning. The company needs to improve profitability and cash flow management to sustain financial stability and support future growth, especially given the competitive railroad industry landscape.

Income Statement

Stadler Rail AG has shown fluctuating revenue over the years, with a decline in 2024 compared to 2023. The gross profit margin for 2024 was approximately 11.39%, indicating moderate profitability. However, the net profit margin dropped significantly to about 1.18%, driven by lower net income. The EBIT and EBITDA margins for 2024 were 3.09% and 7.37%, respectively, showing thin operational profitability. While previous periods had higher profitability, the recent decline is a concern.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a relatively stable balance sheet with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 1.21 in 2024, indicating manageable leverage. The equity ratio was around 12.63%, showing a lower proportion of equity in total assets. Return on equity decreased to about 5.20%, reflecting reduced profitability and efficiency in using equity. Despite a solid liquidity position with significant cash reserves, the decrease in equity and ROE suggests potential risk.

Cash Flow

Stadler Rail AG experienced a sharp decline in operating cash flow from 2023 to 2024. The free cash flow also decreased significantly, indicating weaker cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio was roughly 1.20, suggesting adequate cash conversion. However, the overall decline in cash flow performance suggests potential liquidity risks if the trend continues.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.26B	3.61B	3.75B	3.63B	3.08B
Gross Profit	370.91M	404.64M	385.41M	402.02M	315.34M
EBITDA	239.81M	320.14M	254.06M	324.44M	270.75M
Net Income	38.42M	124.32M	72.90M	133.66M	137.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.86B	5.01B	4.40B	4.60B	4.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.26B	1.09B	831.68M	1.15B	928.90M
Total Debt	892.83M	688.10M	1.06B	1.50B	1.54B
Total Liabilities	5.08B	4.19B	3.62B	3.72B	3.65B
Stockholders Equity	739.24M	790.28M	772.58M	875.21M	855.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	46.09M	661.00M	256.87M	326.83M	-492.18M
Operating Cash Flow	286.40M	905.28M	441.35M	503.96M	-203.92M
Investing Cash Flow	-225.79M	-152.37M	-207.00M	-154.33M	-290.41M
Financing Cash Flow	99.16M	-447.43M	-526.98M	-110.29M	677.08M

Stadler Rail AG Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 20.86
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:SRAIL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.12, below the 50-day MA of 21.27, and above the 200-day MA of 20.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CH:SRAIL.

Stadler Rail AG Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SUN	73 Outperform	4.72B	17.54	21.40%	3.04%	5.79%	13.20%
KARN	70 Outperform	2.48B	34.12	0.00%	1.86%	11.43%	6.46%
BUCN	70 Outperform	3.96B	17.51	12.05%	2.84%	-11.64%	-24.17%
INRN	68 Neutral	2.04B	34.17	13.23%	1.30%	-3.67%	-12.95%
GF	60 Neutral	5.17B	18.81	196.33%	2.14%	-24.42%	32.48%
SRAIL	57 Neutral	CHF2.09B	66.58		0.96%	-6.87%	-74.29%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%