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CDW (CDW)
NASDAQ:CDW
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CDW (CDW) AI Stock Analysis

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CD

CDW

(NASDAQ:CDW)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$205.00
▲(13.90%Upside)
CDW's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the overall score. While technical indicators and valuation suggest moderate growth potential, the company's strategic investments in high-growth areas and strong market performance position it well for the future. Challenges in government and education sectors, along with tariff uncertainties, are noted risks but are outweighed by the company's strengths.
Positive Factors
Earnings
CDW is trading higher after reporting first-quarter results that beat consensus estimates on the top and bottom lines.
Financial Performance
Net sales increased 6.7% year-over-year, to $5.20 billion, and 8% year-over-year on an average daily sales basis, well ahead of the $4.93 billion consensus.
Market Position
CDW is positioned positively with advanced solutions in AI, data analytics, advanced networking, cloud solutions, and cybersecurity.
Negative Factors
Government Revenue
Government revenue comprised 10.3% of total revenue during the first quarter of 2025 for CDW, and declined 1.0% year-over-year and 12.3% quarter-over-quarter as policy priorities from the new administration stymied growth.
Macroeconomic Factors
Uncertainty in the macro environment and geopolitical factors might impact enterprise spending and recovery pace.
Regulatory Challenges
The company and several of its peers received letters from the General Services Administration asking them to justify their work with the federal government and urging them to find areas to cut costs.

CDW (CDW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CDW Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCDW Corporation is a leading provider of technology products and services for business, government, education, and healthcare sectors. The company offers a broad array of solutions, including hardware, software, and integrated IT services. CDW's diverse product portfolio ranges from personal computing devices and peripherals to advanced technology solutions such as data center and networking services. With a focus on delivering customer-centric solutions, CDW operates through a network of sales and service experts to support its clients' technology needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyCDW makes money primarily through the sale of technology products and services. Its revenue model is diversified across several key streams: product sales, which include computers, peripherals, and software; and service offerings, which encompass IT consulting, installation, and managed services. The company's robust vendor partnerships with leading technology manufacturers such as Cisco, Dell, and Microsoft enable it to offer competitive pricing and a wide selection of products to clients. Additionally, CDW leverages its extensive sales and service teams to provide tailored solutions and support, enhancing customer retention and fostering long-term relationships, which contribute significantly to its earnings.

CDW Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from various business segments, offering insight into which divisions are performing well and contributing most to the company's bottom line.
Chart InsightsCDW's revenue across segments shows varied performance, with healthcare leading growth, driven by cloud and services demand, achieving a 20% sales increase. The corporate and small business segments also performed well, reflecting strong commercial market momentum. However, government and education segments face challenges, with subdued growth due to policy shifts and expected frictional impacts. Despite these hurdles, CDW's strategic investments in high-growth areas like cloud and AI are paying off, positioning the company to outperform the broader US IT market by 200-300 basis points in 2025.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

CDW Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.17%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced sentiment with strong first quarter financial performance and growth in key segments such as healthcare and commercial markets. However, challenges such as tariff-related uncertainties, subdued government market growth, and expected frictional impacts in education and government channels temper the overall outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to Fiscal Year 2025
Net sales for the first quarter were $5.2 billion, representing an 8% increase compared to the same period last year on an average daily sales basis. Gross profit was $1.1 billion, up 7% year-over-year.
Healthcare Segment Outperformance
Healthcare net sales increased by 20%, driven by client devices, cloud, and services.
Commercial Market Strength
Corporate and small business channels saw strong performance with a 68% increase in sales respectively.
Balanced Portfolio Performance
Hardware, software, and services each increased by high-single-digits or better, with hardware up 7% and software up 10%.
Solid Gross Profit Margin
Gross margin remained relatively stable at 21.6%, down only 20 basis points year-over-year despite product mix changes.
Negative Updates
Tariff-Related Uncertainty
Tariff uncertainty slowed down major infrastructure investments and caused a pull forward of client device demand, estimated to contribute roughly two percentage points to net sales growth.
Subdued Federal Government Growth
Federal government market growth was subdued as agencies adjusted to new policy priorities.
Challenges in NetComm and Storage
NetComm and storage segments saw declines, with a noted shift to software-defined networking architectures.
Muted Expectations for Education and Government Channels
Frictional impacts in government and education channels are expected to cause sub-seasonal performance in the second quarter.
Company Guidance
During CDW's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial metrics, illustrating robust performance and strategic execution amid dynamic market conditions. Key metrics included net sales of $5.2 billion, representing an 8% increase on an average daily sales basis compared to the prior year, and gross profit of $1.1 billion, marking a 7% rise. Non-GAAP operating income reached $444 million, a 10% increase, while non-GAAP net income per share was $2.15, up 12%. CDW attributed its success to strong expense management, effective capital utilization, and strategic investments in high-growth areas such as cloud adoption, cybersecurity, and AI expertise. Despite tariff uncertainties impacting major infrastructure investments, commercial market growth remained consistent, and the education sector saw accelerated growth driven by Chromebook demand. The company's diverse end-markets, including corporate, small business, healthcare, government, and education, all posted sales growth, with healthcare achieving a standout performance with a 20% increase in net sales. CDW maintained its 2025 outlook, projecting US IT market growth in the low-single-digits, with CDW expecting to outperform the market by 200 to 300 basis points.

CDW Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CDW shows strong profitability with consistent margins and robust cash flow, despite a leveraged balance sheet. The company exhibits operational efficiency with stable EBIT and EBITDA margins, and maintains a strong return on equity at 46.8%.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
CDW shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 21.8% and net profit margin near 5.1% over TTM. Revenue growth is moderate, with a slight decline from previous years, but profitability remains solid due to stable EBIT and EBITDA margins. The company's ability to maintain margins in a competitive industry highlights operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 2.58, indicating a reliance on debt, though it's improving. Return on equity is strong at 46.8%, reflecting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is relatively low at 15.5%, suggesting a leveraged position, which poses potential risks but is common in the industry.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
CDW's cash flow is robust, with a positive free cash flow and a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.04, indicating efficient cash conversion. Free cash flow has slightly decreased, suggesting a need for attention, but overall cash generation remains healthy, supporting business operations and debt servicing.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.00B21.38B23.75B20.82B18.47B
Gross Profit4.60B4.65B4.69B3.57B3.21B
EBITDA1.93B1.95B2.02B1.64B1.59B
Net Income1.08B1.10B1.11B988.60M788.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.68B13.28B13.13B13.20B9.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments717.70M588.70M315.20M258.10M1.41B
Total Debt5.99B5.81B6.10B7.04B4.10B
Total Liabilities12.33B11.24B11.53B12.49B8.05B
Stockholders Equity2.35B2.04B1.60B705.70M1.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.15B1.45B1.21B684.60M1.16B
Operating Cash Flow1.28B1.60B1.34B784.60M1.31B
Investing Cash Flow-659.20M-229.60M-164.50M-2.77B-201.00M
Financing Cash Flow-686.90M-1.10B-1.10B832.80M138.80M

CDW Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price179.99
Price Trends
50DMA
179.07
Positive
100DMA
170.76
Positive
200DMA
181.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.47
Positive
RSI
54.50
Neutral
STOCH
28.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 179.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 177.82, above the 50-day MA of 179.07, and below the 200-day MA of 181.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CDW.

CDW Risk Analysis

CDW disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CDW reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CDW Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CDCDW
78
Outperform
$23.15B21.7848.71%1.42%0.85%0.36%
78
Outperform
$36.89B15.9116.61%1.66%4.09%14.05%
77
Outperform
$20.62B16.1331.31%0.99%7.75%325.28%
74
Outperform
$9.24B23.3311.57%4.72%-3.06%
ITIT
73
Outperform
$27.98B22.48113.19%5.99%59.74%
63
Neutral
$34.26B5.42-11.67%1.85%5.30%-18.55%
AUAUR
55
Neutral
$10.24B-43.43%24.41%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CDW
CDW
179.99
-50.70
-21.98%
CTSH
Cognizant
75.56
0.73
0.98%
EPAM
Epam Systems
164.48
-52.99
-24.37%
IT
Gartner
361.41
-97.86
-21.31%
LDOS
Leidos Holdings
162.71
13.53
9.07%
AUR
Aurora Innovation
6.41
2.12
49.42%

CDW Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
CDW Corporation Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 20, 2025, CDW Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key decisions were made. Eleven directors were elected with terms expiring at the 2026 Annual Meeting, the compensation of the company’s named executive officers was approved, Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and a proposal regarding stockholder rights to act by written consent was approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDW) stock is a Hold with a $245.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CDW stock, see the CDW Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CDW Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, CDW Corporation announced its first quarter 2025 financial results, reporting net sales of $5,199 million, a 6.7% increase from the previous year. The company also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.625 per common share. The growth was driven by strong customer demand for notebooks, mobile devices, desktops, software, and services, despite economic uncertainties. CDW’s performance highlights its robust portfolio and customer-centric strategy, with significant sales increases in the corporate, small business, and public segments, particularly in healthcare and education.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 18, 2025