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Boston Properties (BXP)
NYSE:BXP

Boston Properties (BXP) AI Stock Analysis

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Boston Properties

(NYSE:BXP)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$70.00
â–²(3.31%Upside)
Boston Properties' overall score is impacted by strong operational efficiency and positive earnings call highlights. However, high debt levels, negative profitability, and bearish technical indicators weigh heavily on the stock. The stock's valuation and market challenges further contribute to a cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Leasing Activity
BXP has signed 1 msf leases QTD through mid-June, supporting confidence in growing near-term occupancy and earnings.
Portfolio Strategy
BXP is focusing on moving its portfolio further upscale, through developments and select asset sales, while de-emphasizing the suburbs.
Negative Factors
Capital Allocation
Concerns remain about BXP's capital allocation and higher leverage than desired, which complicates the investment story.
Occupancy Challenges
There are significant move-outs to address in the coming years, which presents challenges for maintaining occupancy levels.

Boston Properties (BXP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Boston Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBoston Properties (NYSE:BXP) is the largest publicly-held developer and owner of Class A office properties in the United States, concentrated in five markets - Boston, Los Angeles, New York, San Francisco and Washington, DC. The Company is a fully integrated real estate company, organized as a real estate investment trust (REIT), that develops, manages, operates, acquires and owns a diverse portfolio of primarily Class A office space. The Company's portfolio totals 51.2 million square feet and 196 properties, including six properties under construction/redevelopment.
How the Company Makes MoneyBoston Properties generates revenue primarily through leasing office space to tenants across its portfolio of high-quality commercial properties. The company earns rental income from long-term leases and often includes provisions for escalating rent over time, which helps to mitigate inflationary pressures. Additionally, Boston Properties may generate revenue through property management services and development fees. The company also engages in the development and redevelopment of properties, which can lead to capital appreciation and increased rental income. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other real estate entities may further enhance its revenue streams by sharing risks and leveraging combined expertise.

Boston Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in leasing and financing activities, and leadership in sustainability. However, the company faces challenges from federal policies, tariffs, and potential recession impacts. The Premier Workplace segment remains strong, but there are concerns in the life science sector and a decline in office sales volume.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Leasing Activity
BXP completed over 1.1 million square feet of leasing in Q1 2025, 25% above Q1 2024 and 35% above the 5-year seasonal average. The leasing volume over the last four quarters was 33% higher than the previous four quarters.
Significant Financing Achievements
BXP completed over $4.2 billion of financing activity, demonstrating strong access to capital and improving market conditions. They increased their revolving line of credit by $250 million and extended their $700 million term loan.
Sustainability Leadership
BXP released its 2024 sustainability and impact report, highlighting leadership and accomplishments in sustainable business practices.
Development Pipeline Progress
BXP commenced the development of the 290 Kohl's, a 670-unit market rate multifamily project. The project is expected to deliver initial units in the first half of 2028 and stabilize in the second half of 2029.
Positive Office Market Performance
The Premier Workplace segment, where BXP competes, continues to outperform with a direct vacancy of just over 13% compared to 19% for the broader market. Asking rents for Premier Workplaces are more than 50% higher than the broader market.
Negative Updates
Impact of Federal Policies and Tariffs
Federal tariffs have increased volatility in capital markets, with potential for higher prices, inflation, and interest rates. This has reduced consumer confidence and increased the likelihood of a recession or slower GDP growth.
Life Science Sector Challenges
Federal funding cuts to NIH and research organizations, along with uncertainties over FDA approvals, create significant concerns and headwinds for Life Science leasing.
Decline in Office Sales Volume
Office sales volume in Q1 2025 was $7.6 billion, down approximately 14% from Q1 2024, impacted by market volatility and widened credit spreads.
Potential Impacts of Recession
If the U.S. enters a recession, leasing demand could slow, although interest rates might be lower, and remote work could decrease.
Occupancy Decline and Redevelopment Challenges
Occupancy reduced to 86.9% due to expirations, with additional potential redevelopments requiring tenant relocations and entitlement processes extending closing periods.
Company Guidance
During BXP's Q1 2025 earnings call, several key metrics were highlighted, reflecting the company's robust performance and strategic initiatives. BXP reported a Funds From Operations (FFO) per share that aligned with forecasts, achieving a leasing volume of over 1.1 million square feet, which marks a 25% increase from the same quarter in 2024 and a 33% increase over the past four quarters. The company completed $4.2 billion in financing activities, indicating strong market conditions and capital access. BXP's development pipeline also saw notable progress, with significant leases completed for assets like 1050 Winter Street, which is now 100% pre-leased. Additionally, the company's Premier Workplace segment outperformed the broader office market, with direct vacancy rates just over 13% compared to 19% for the broader market. The company's capital allocation activities included the commencement of a 670-unit multifamily project in Jersey City, targeting a yield on cost of over 6%, with anticipated returns in the mid-teens. Despite market volatility, BXP maintained a stable dividend and projected occupancy, revenue, and FFO growth in the upcoming years, supported by a pipeline of 4 million square feet in active negotiations.

Boston Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Boston Properties shows strong operational efficiency with healthy gross and EBIT margins, but faces challenges with a negative net profit margin and high leverage, which could impact financial flexibility. Despite a robust cash flow, the decrease in free cash flow and negative net income present concerns.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows mixed results. The gross profit margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is approximately 47.8%, which is a healthy level of profitability. However, the net profit margin is negative at -0.1%, indicating challenges in converting revenue to profit. Revenue growth has been modest, with a 0.8% increase from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 36.4% and 53.2% respectively, demonstrating operational efficiency, but the negative net income presents a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet highlights some areas of concern. The debt-to-equity ratio is high at approximately 3.09, indicating significant leverage which could pose risks if market conditions change. The return on equity is negative at -0.08%, reflecting the negative net income. The equity ratio stands at 20.9%, suggesting a decent proportion of equity financing, but the overall high level of debt is a notable risk factor.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a strong operational cash flow to net income ratio of approximately -234.0, indicating robust cash generation despite negative net income. The free cash flow has decreased by about 24.0% compared to the previous year. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, but the company maintains positive free cash flow, which is essential for ongoing operations and investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.43B3.41B3.27B3.11B2.89B2.77B
Gross Profit1.64B2.08B2.05B1.96B1.84B1.72B
EBITDA1.83B1.91B1.87B1.77B1.69B2.14B
Net Income-4.43M14.27M190.22M583.45M84.41M525.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.44B26.08B26.03B24.21B22.36B22.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments398.13M1.25B1.53B690.33M452.69M1.67B
Total Debt16.44B16.98B16.62B14.69B13.35B13.49B
Total Liabilities17.59B18.14B17.83B15.84B14.31B14.51B
Stockholders Equity5.32B5.41B5.88B6.13B5.83B6.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.15B1.23B1.30B884.31M1.12B1.15B
Operating Cash Flow1.25B1.23B1.30B1.28B1.13B1.16B
Investing Cash Flow-1.19B-1.24B-1.19B-1.60B-1.04B-613.72M
Financing Cash Flow-341.93M-274.48M767.92M556.06M-1.31B484.32M

Boston Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price67.76
Price Trends
50DMA
67.52
Positive
100DMA
67.22
Positive
200DMA
72.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.48
Positive
RSI
43.14
Neutral
STOCH
14.40
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BXP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 67.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.94, above the 50-day MA of 67.52, and below the 200-day MA of 72.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.40 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BXP.

Boston Properties Risk Analysis

Boston Properties disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Boston Properties reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Boston Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ARARE
72
Outperform
$12.75B96.730.73%7.17%5.13%-28.94%
KRKRC
72
Outperform
$8.07B20.323.69%6.33%1.11%-3.07%
CUCUZ
66
Neutral
$5.00B88.921.15%4.30%10.93%-31.07%
63
Neutral
$6.86B18.71-1.11%7.23%4.74%-22.06%
SLSLG
61
Neutral
$4.44B663.10-0.13%5.29%14.28%94.75%
VNVNO
61
Neutral
$7.75B68.903.06%2.06%0.63%258.59%
BXBXP
59
Neutral
$11.59B732.74-0.10%5.88%3.74%-102.51%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BXP
Boston Properties
67.76
8.62
14.58%
ARE
Alexandria Equities
74.21
-38.37
-34.08%
CUZ
Cousins Properties
30.10
8.00
36.20%
KRC
Kilroy Realty
34.60
4.76
15.95%
SLG
SL Green Realty
60.62
6.37
11.74%
VNO
Vornado Realty
37.14
11.29
43.68%

Boston Properties Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Boston Properties Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Boston Properties, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key decisions were made. The stockholders elected a slate of directors to the Board, approved a non-binding advisory vote on executive compensation, and ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These actions reflect the company’s ongoing governance practices and commitment to transparency in financial reporting.

The most recent analyst rating on (BXP) stock is a Sell with a $72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boston Properties stock, see the BXP Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Boston Properties Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 20, 2025, BXP, Inc., the sole general partner of Boston Properties Limited Partnership, conducted its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. During the meeting, the stockholders elected several directors to the Board, approved a non-binding advisory vote on executive compensation, and ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and financial strategies, potentially impacting its operational and financial transparency.

The most recent analyst rating on (BXP) stock is a Sell with a $72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boston Properties stock, see the BXP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2025