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Vornado Realty Trust (VNO)
:VNO
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Vornado Realty (VNO) AI Stock Analysis

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VNO

Vornado Realty

(NYSE:VNO)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$40.00
â–²(10.59% Upside)
Vornado Realty's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and attractive valuation. However, financial performance concerns, particularly in revenue and cash flow, and technical indicators suggesting potential downward momentum, moderate the score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Core FFO of $0.63 exceeded expectations, indicating strong financial performance.
Leasing Activity
VNO completed a master lease with NYU for 1.1mn SF at 770 Broadway, which is a significant long-term agreement.
Negative Factors
Cash SSNOI
Cash SSNOI decreased by 4.8% year over year, with New York decreasing by 8.5% driven by the ground lease re-set at PENN 1.
Occupancy
Total occupancy decreased to 83.5%, reflecting a decline compared to previous periods.

Vornado Realty (VNO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vornado Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVornado's portfolio is concentrated in the nation's key market New York City along with the premier asset in both Chicago and San Francisco. Vornado is also the real estate industry leader in sustainability policy. The company owns and manages over 23 million square feet of LEED certified buildings and received the Energy Star Partner of the Year Award, Sustained Excellence 2019. In 2012, Vornado commemorated 50 years on the NYSE.
How the Company Makes MoneyVornado Realty Trust generates revenue primarily through rental income from its properties, which includes office buildings, retail spaces, and logistics facilities. The company leases space to tenants under long-term leases, providing a steady stream of income. Additional revenue streams include property management fees, development fees from new projects, and ancillary income from services provided to tenants. Vornado also engages in joint ventures and partnerships, allowing for shared investment in larger projects, which can enhance profitability. The company's strategic focus on high-demand urban areas and its ability to attract and retain tenants in its properties are critical factors contributing to its earnings.

Vornado Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.42%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong stock performance, significant leasing activity, improved occupancy, and a better financial position. However, challenges in the retail segment and the San Francisco market were noted. The positive aspects, particularly the leasing and financial improvements, significantly outweigh the challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Stock Performance
Vornado's stock performance leads the office sector with an increase of 42% over the trailing 12 months, almost double the S&P 500.
Record Leasing Activity
During the first half of 2025, Vornado leased 2.7 million square feet overall, with 2.2 million square feet in Manhattan offices. This includes a 1.1 million square foot master lease with NYU, the largest New York office lease since 2019.
Occupancy and Leasing Progress
New York office occupancy increased to 86.7% from 84.4%. Significant leasing activity at PENN 1 and PENN 2, with notable deals such as a 203,000 square foot lease with Verizon Communications.
Improved Financial Position
Net debt-to-EBITDA improved by 1.4 turns to 7.2x from 8.6x. Cash balances increased to $1.36 billion, with immediate liquidity of $2.9 billion.
Negative Updates
Retail Occupancy Decline
Retail occupancy was impacted by the bankruptcy and vacating of Forever 21 leases, reducing retail occupancy by 10 percentage points.
Challenging San Francisco Market
Although improving, San Francisco is in a recovery phase, with some upcoming tenant move-outs at 555 California to contend with.
Company Guidance
During Vornado Realty Trust's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, management provided robust guidance, highlighting several key metrics. The company's stock performance outpaced the office sector with a 42% increase over the past 12 months, nearly doubling the S&P 500. Leasing activities were strong, with 2.7 million square feet leased in the first half of 2025, including a significant 1.1 million square foot lease with NYU at 770 Broadway. In Q2, they executed 27 deals totaling 1.5 million square feet in Manhattan, achieving an average starting rent of $101 per square foot and mark-to-market increases of 11.8% GAAP and 8.7% cash. Occupancy at PENN 1 reached 91%, while PENN 2 stood at 62% following a new lease with Verizon Communications. The company's liquidity was bolstered to $2.9 billion, with a net debt-to-EBITDA improvement from 8.6x to 7.2x. They maintained a conservative outlook for 2025 comparable FFO, projecting it to be flat compared to $2.26 per share in 2024, but anticipated significant earnings growth by 2027 as leasing activities mature.

Vornado Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vornado Realty demonstrates a commendable financial recovery with improved profitability metrics and a stable balance sheet. The company's cash flow position is healthy, though reliant on consistent income levels. While leverage is within industry norms, profitability could be enhanced to deliver better returns to shareholders.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Vornado Realty shows a strong recovery in profitability with a TTM net profit margin of 9.17%, up from previous years, reflecting effective cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust, at 15.58% and 55.15% respectively, indicating efficient operations. Despite a modest revenue growth of 1.41% TTM, the company has improved its gross profit margin significantly by eliminating cost of goods sold, which now reflects total revenue.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Vornado Realty's balance sheet indicates a stable equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.60, suggesting moderate leverage typical for the REIT industry. The equity ratio remains strong at 34.06%, showing a solid asset base funded by equity. However, the return on equity is relatively low at 3.13% TTM, indicating limited profitability relative to shareholder investment.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
The company maintains a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.36, reflecting strong cash generation relative to earnings. Free cash flow remains positive with a growth rate of 3.82%, supporting financial flexibility. However, reliance on operating cash flow highlights potential vulnerabilities if income fluctuates.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.80B1.79B1.81B1.80B1.59B1.53B
Gross Profit994.07M859.89M906.00M926.08M791.89M738.88M
EBITDA1.77B880.61M845.61M423.31M792.48M228.26M
Net Income874.82M70.39M105.49M-382.61M176.00M-461.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.61B16.00B16.19B16.49B17.27B16.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.20B733.95M997.00M1.36B1.76B1.62B
Total Debt7.81B8.99B8.98B9.13B8.99B7.80B
Total Liabilities8.59B9.83B9.84B9.98B10.06B8.67B
Stockholders Equity6.09B5.16B5.51B5.84B6.24B6.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow311.56M537.72M648.15M795.94M758.81M29.19M
Operating Cash Flow311.56M537.72M648.15M798.94M761.81M424.24M
Investing Cash Flow-290.26M-597.37M-128.79M-906.86M-532.35M-87.80M
Financing Cash Flow-1.38B-252.32M-278.94M-801.27M-29.48M-213.20M

Vornado Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price36.17
Price Trends
50DMA
38.36
Negative
100DMA
37.67
Positive
200DMA
39.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Negative
RSI
52.22
Neutral
STOCH
49.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 36.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.55, below the 50-day MA of 38.36, and below the 200-day MA of 39.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VNO.

Vornado Realty Risk Analysis

Vornado Realty disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vornado Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vornado Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$4.67B21.234.06%5.55%2.26%10.15%
69
Neutral
$4.69B75.681.30%4.49%13.07%-4.94%
63
Neutral
C$2.01B5.92-0.84%5.17%1.83%-19.11%
62
Neutral
$11.64B3,377.270.07%5.65%3.24%-97.73%
61
Neutral
$7.75B9.1914.93%1.94%1.38%4370.96%
60
Neutral
$13.54B102.63-0.12%6.79%3.12%-116.29%
58
Neutral
$4.20B663.10-0.37%5.39%15.25%79.18%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VNO
Vornado Realty
36.17
2.44
7.23%
ARE
Alexandria Equities
80.93
-34.04
-29.61%
BXP
Boston Properties
66.42
-3.63
-5.18%
CUZ
Cousins Properties
28.48
1.66
6.19%
KRC
Kilroy Realty
38.86
4.58
13.36%
SLG
SL Green Realty
56.80
-5.86
-9.35%

Vornado Realty Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Vornado Realty Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Vornado Realty Trust held its annual meeting of shareholders, where approximately 94% of the shares were represented. During the meeting, three key proposals were voted on: the election of ten nominees to the Board of Trustees, the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025, and a non-binding advisory resolution on executive compensation. The outcomes of these votes are expected to influence the company’s governance and operational decisions in the coming year.

The most recent analyst rating on (VNO) stock is a Sell with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vornado Realty stock, see the VNO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025