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Vornado Realty (VNO)
NYSE:VNO
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Vornado Realty (VNO) AI Stock Analysis

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VNO

Vornado Realty

(NYSE:VNO)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$41.00
â–¼(-4.58% Downside)
Vornado Realty's overall stock score reflects a balance of positive earnings call insights and attractive valuation against mixed financial performance and neutral technical indicators. The strong leasing activity and improved financial position highlighted in the earnings call are significant positives, while the financial challenges and high leverage present risks.
Positive Factors
Leasing Activity
Strong leasing activity, especially large deals like NYU's lease, indicates robust demand for Vornado's properties, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Financial Position
Improved financial metrics and strong liquidity position enhance Vornado's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt sustainably.
Strategic Acquisition
Acquiring a prime property in a high-demand area like Fifth Avenue strengthens Vornado's portfolio, potentially boosting long-term rental income and asset value.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue growth can signal challenges in maintaining market share or pricing power, potentially impacting long-term profitability.
Cash Flow Challenges
Reduced cash flow growth may limit Vornado's ability to fund operations and investments, affecting its financial flexibility and growth prospects.
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk, particularly in downturns, potentially affecting Vornado's ability to meet obligations and invest in growth.

Vornado Realty (VNO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vornado Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVornado Realty Trust (VNO) is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) based in the United States, primarily focused on owning, managing, and developing commercial real estate properties. The company operates mainly in the office, retail, and logistics sectors, with a significant portfolio concentrated in key metropolitan markets, particularly New York City and Washington, D.C. Vornado's core services include property leasing, asset management, and development, catering to a diverse range of tenants, including major corporations and retail brands.
How the Company Makes MoneyVornado Realty Trust generates revenue primarily through rental income from its properties, which includes office buildings, retail spaces, and logistics facilities. The company leases space to tenants under long-term leases, providing a steady stream of income. Additional revenue streams include property management fees, development fees from new projects, and ancillary income from services provided to tenants. Vornado also engages in joint ventures and partnerships, allowing for shared investment in larger projects, which can enhance profitability. The company's strategic focus on high-demand urban areas and its ability to attract and retain tenants in its properties are critical factors contributing to its earnings.

Vornado Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong stock performance, significant leasing activity, improved occupancy, and a better financial position. However, challenges in the retail segment and the San Francisco market were noted. The positive aspects, particularly the leasing and financial improvements, significantly outweigh the challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Stock Performance
Vornado's stock performance leads the office sector with an increase of 42% over the trailing 12 months, almost double the S&P 500.
Record Leasing Activity
During the first half of 2025, Vornado leased 2.7 million square feet overall, with 2.2 million square feet in Manhattan offices. This includes a 1.1 million square foot master lease with NYU, the largest New York office lease since 2019.
Occupancy and Leasing Progress
New York office occupancy increased to 86.7% from 84.4%. Significant leasing activity at PENN 1 and PENN 2, with notable deals such as a 203,000 square foot lease with Verizon Communications.
Improved Financial Position
Net debt-to-EBITDA improved by 1.4 turns to 7.2x from 8.6x. Cash balances increased to $1.36 billion, with immediate liquidity of $2.9 billion.
Negative Updates
Retail Occupancy Decline
Retail occupancy was impacted by the bankruptcy and vacating of Forever 21 leases, reducing retail occupancy by 10 percentage points.
Challenging San Francisco Market
Although improving, San Francisco is in a recovery phase, with some upcoming tenant move-outs at 555 California to contend with.
Company Guidance
During Vornado Realty Trust's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, management provided robust guidance, highlighting several key metrics. The company's stock performance outpaced the office sector with a 42% increase over the past 12 months, nearly doubling the S&P 500. Leasing activities were strong, with 2.7 million square feet leased in the first half of 2025, including a significant 1.1 million square foot lease with NYU at 770 Broadway. In Q2, they executed 27 deals totaling 1.5 million square feet in Manhattan, achieving an average starting rent of $101 per square foot and mark-to-market increases of 11.8% GAAP and 8.7% cash. Occupancy at PENN 1 reached 91%, while PENN 2 stood at 62% following a new lease with Verizon Communications. The company's liquidity was bolstered to $2.9 billion, with a net debt-to-EBITDA improvement from 8.6x to 7.2x. They maintained a conservative outlook for 2025 comparable FFO, projecting it to be flat compared to $2.26 per share in 2024, but anticipated significant earnings growth by 2027 as leasing activities mature.

Vornado Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vornado Realty's financial performance is mixed. While profitability and return on equity have improved, the company faces challenges with declining revenue and cash flow growth. High leverage remains a concern, though it has slightly decreased.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Vornado Realty's income statement shows mixed results. The TTM data indicates a strong net profit margin of 48.49%, a significant improvement from previous periods, suggesting enhanced profitability. However, the revenue growth rate is negative, indicating a decline in revenue over the past year. The gross profit margin is stable at 55.10%, but the EBIT margin has fluctuated significantly, reflecting volatility in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.28 in the TTM, which is an improvement from previous years but still indicates significant leverage. The return on equity has improved to 16.02%, showing better returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 39.02%, suggesting a moderate level of financial stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 44.19% in the TTM, indicating potential cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.34, which is relatively low, suggesting that not all net income is translating into cash flow. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, indicating that the company is generating sufficient free cash flow relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.80B1.79B1.81B1.80B1.59B1.53B
Gross Profit994.07M859.89M906.00M926.08M791.89M738.88M
EBITDA1.77B880.61M845.61M423.31M792.48M228.26M
Net Income874.82M70.39M105.49M-382.61M176.00M-461.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.61B16.00B16.19B16.49B17.27B16.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.20B733.95M997.00M1.36B1.76B1.62B
Total Debt7.81B8.99B8.98B9.13B8.99B7.80B
Total Liabilities8.59B9.83B9.84B9.98B10.06B8.67B
Stockholders Equity6.09B5.16B5.51B5.84B6.24B6.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow311.56M537.72M648.15M795.94M758.81M29.19M
Operating Cash Flow311.56M537.72M648.15M798.94M761.81M424.24M
Investing Cash Flow-290.26M-597.37M-128.79M-906.86M-532.35M-87.80M
Financing Cash Flow-1.38B-252.32M-278.94M-801.27M-29.48M-213.20M

Vornado Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price42.97
Price Trends
50DMA
38.45
Positive
100DMA
38.40
Positive
200DMA
39.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.03
Negative
RSI
69.29
Neutral
STOCH
90.78
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.73, above the 50-day MA of 38.45, and above the 200-day MA of 39.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.78 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VNO.

Vornado Realty Risk Analysis

Vornado Realty disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vornado Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vornado Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$4.97B80.201.30%4.35%13.07%-4.94%
69
Neutral
$5.13B23.314.06%5.00%2.26%10.15%
68
Neutral
$3.50B27.665.39%6.17%-2.16%-16.41%
65
Neutral
$2.16B12.083.79%4.85%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$8.77B10.4014.93%1.72%1.38%4370.96%
62
Neutral
$13.27B3,850.000.07%5.08%3.24%-97.73%
61
Neutral
$4.81B663.10-0.37%4.67%15.25%79.18%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VNO
Vornado Realty
42.97
6.11
16.58%
BXP
BXP
77.18
0.00
0.00%
CUZ
Cousins Properties
29.44
1.19
4.21%
HIW
Highwoods Properties
32.39
1.41
4.55%
KRC
Kilroy Realty
43.17
7.42
20.76%
SLG
SL Green Realty
65.67
-1.65
-2.45%

Vornado Realty Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Vornado Realty Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Vornado Realty Trust held its annual meeting of shareholders, where approximately 94% of the shares were represented. During the meeting, three key proposals were voted on: the election of ten nominees to the Board of Trustees, the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025, and a non-binding advisory resolution on executive compensation. The outcomes of these votes are expected to influence the company’s governance and operational decisions in the coming year.

The most recent analyst rating on (VNO) stock is a Sell with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vornado Realty stock, see the VNO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 30, 2025