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Vornado Realty (VNO)
NYSE:VNO
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Vornado Realty (VNO) AI Stock Analysis

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VNO

Vornado Realty

(NYSE:VNO)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(4.67% Upside)
Vornado Realty's overall stock score reflects a mix of strong earnings call results and valuation, offset by weaker financial performance and technical indicators. The company's improved leasing activity and financial position are significant positives, but challenges in revenue and cash flow growth, along with bearish technical signals, temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Leasing Activity
Strong leasing activity, especially in key markets, indicates robust demand for Vornado's properties, enhancing revenue stability and growth potential.
Financial Position
Improved financial metrics and strong liquidity position Vornado well for future investments and operational resilience, supporting long-term growth.
Occupancy Rates
Rising occupancy rates in key markets like New York City strengthen Vornado's revenue base and demonstrate effective property management.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth suggests challenges in maintaining or expanding market share, which could impact long-term profitability and competitiveness.
Cash Flow Challenges
Declining free cash flow growth may limit Vornado's ability to reinvest in its properties and pursue new opportunities, affecting future growth.
Retail Segment Issues
The decline in retail occupancy highlights vulnerabilities in Vornado's retail segment, potentially affecting overall revenue and diversification.

Vornado Realty (VNO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vornado Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVornado's portfolio is concentrated in the nation's key market New York City along with the premier asset in both Chicago and San Francisco. Vornado is also the real estate industry leader in sustainability policy. The company owns and manages over 23 million square feet of LEED certified buildings and received the Energy Star Partner of the Year Award, Sustained Excellence 2019. In 2012, Vornado commemorated 50 years on the NYSE.
How the Company Makes MoneyVornado Realty Trust generates revenue primarily through rental income from its properties, which includes office buildings, retail spaces, and logistics facilities. The company leases space to tenants under long-term leases, providing a steady stream of income. Additional revenue streams include property management fees, development fees from new projects, and ancillary income from services provided to tenants. Vornado also engages in joint ventures and partnerships, allowing for shared investment in larger projects, which can enhance profitability. The company's strategic focus on high-demand urban areas and its ability to attract and retain tenants in its properties are critical factors contributing to its earnings.

Vornado Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong stock performance, significant leasing activity, improved occupancy, and a better financial position. However, challenges in the retail segment and the San Francisco market were noted. The positive aspects, particularly the leasing and financial improvements, significantly outweigh the challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Stock Performance
Vornado's stock performance leads the office sector with an increase of 42% over the trailing 12 months, almost double the S&P 500.
Record Leasing Activity
During the first half of 2025, Vornado leased 2.7 million square feet overall, with 2.2 million square feet in Manhattan offices. This includes a 1.1 million square foot master lease with NYU, the largest New York office lease since 2019.
Occupancy and Leasing Progress
New York office occupancy increased to 86.7% from 84.4%. Significant leasing activity at PENN 1 and PENN 2, with notable deals such as a 203,000 square foot lease with Verizon Communications.
Improved Financial Position
Net debt-to-EBITDA improved by 1.4 turns to 7.2x from 8.6x. Cash balances increased to $1.36 billion, with immediate liquidity of $2.9 billion.
Negative Updates
Retail Occupancy Decline
Retail occupancy was impacted by the bankruptcy and vacating of Forever 21 leases, reducing retail occupancy by 10 percentage points.
Challenging San Francisco Market
Although improving, San Francisco is in a recovery phase, with some upcoming tenant move-outs at 555 California to contend with.
Company Guidance
During Vornado Realty Trust's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, management provided robust guidance, highlighting several key metrics. The company's stock performance outpaced the office sector with a 42% increase over the past 12 months, nearly doubling the S&P 500. Leasing activities were strong, with 2.7 million square feet leased in the first half of 2025, including a significant 1.1 million square foot lease with NYU at 770 Broadway. In Q2, they executed 27 deals totaling 1.5 million square feet in Manhattan, achieving an average starting rent of $101 per square foot and mark-to-market increases of 11.8% GAAP and 8.7% cash. Occupancy at PENN 1 reached 91%, while PENN 2 stood at 62% following a new lease with Verizon Communications. The company's liquidity was bolstered to $2.9 billion, with a net debt-to-EBITDA improvement from 8.6x to 7.2x. They maintained a conservative outlook for 2025 comparable FFO, projecting it to be flat compared to $2.26 per share in 2024, but anticipated significant earnings growth by 2027 as leasing activities mature.

Vornado Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vornado Realty's financial performance is mixed. While profitability and return on equity have improved, the company faces challenges with declining revenue and cash flow growth. High leverage remains a concern, though it has slightly decreased.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Vornado Realty's income statement shows mixed results. The TTM data indicates a strong net profit margin of 48.49%, a significant improvement from previous periods, suggesting enhanced profitability. However, the revenue growth rate is negative, indicating a decline in revenue over the past year. The gross profit margin is stable at 55.10%, but the EBIT margin has fluctuated significantly, reflecting volatility in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.28 in the TTM, which is an improvement from previous years but still indicates significant leverage. The return on equity has improved to 16.02%, showing better returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 39.02%, suggesting a moderate level of financial stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 44.19% in the TTM, indicating potential cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.34, which is relatively low, suggesting that not all net income is translating into cash flow. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, indicating that the company is generating sufficient free cash flow relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.80B1.79B1.81B1.80B1.59B1.53B
Gross Profit994.07M859.89M906.00M926.08M791.89M738.88M
EBITDA1.77B880.61M845.61M423.31M792.48M228.26M
Net Income874.82M70.39M105.49M-382.61M176.00M-461.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.61B16.00B16.19B16.49B17.27B16.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.20B733.95M997.00M1.36B1.76B1.62B
Total Debt7.81B8.99B8.98B9.13B8.99B7.80B
Total Liabilities8.59B9.83B9.84B9.98B10.06B8.67B
Stockholders Equity6.09B5.16B5.51B5.84B6.24B6.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow311.56M537.72M648.15M795.94M758.81M29.19M
Operating Cash Flow311.56M537.72M648.15M798.94M761.81M424.24M
Investing Cash Flow-290.26M-597.37M-128.79M-906.86M-532.35M-87.80M
Financing Cash Flow-1.38B-252.32M-278.94M-801.27M-29.48M-213.20M

Vornado Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price39.17
Price Trends
50DMA
39.76
Negative
100DMA
39.24
Negative
200DMA
38.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.28
Positive
RSI
46.02
Neutral
STOCH
39.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 39.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.81, below the 50-day MA of 39.76, and above the 200-day MA of 38.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VNO.

Vornado Realty Risk Analysis

Vornado Realty disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vornado Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vornado Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$4.88B22.194.06%5.24%2.26%10.15%
$4.47B72.071.30%4.79%13.07%-4.94%
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
$3.21B25.395.39%6.75%-2.16%-16.41%
$8.22B9.7514.93%1.89%1.38%4370.96%
$12.91B3,746.460.07%4.88%3.24%-97.73%
$3.93B0.63%5.83%7.66%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VNO
Vornado Realty
39.17
-2.91
-6.92%
BXP
BXP
74.53
-7.32
-8.94%
CUZ
Cousins Properties
26.72
-2.78
-9.42%
HIW
Highwoods Properties
29.57
-2.60
-8.08%
KRC
Kilroy Realty
41.25
2.31
5.93%
SLG
SL Green Realty
52.72
-21.01
-28.50%

Vornado Realty Corporate Events

Vornado Realty Trust Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings
Aug 6, 2025

Vornado Realty Trust is a fully integrated equity real estate investment trust primarily engaged in the ownership and management of commercial real estate, with a significant presence in New York City. The company is known for its extensive portfolio of office and retail properties in prime locations.

Vornado Realty Trust’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth
Aug 6, 2025

Vornado Realty Trust’s recent earnings call paints a picture of robust financial health and strategic growth, particularly in the Penn District, despite facing some challenges. The sentiment expressed during the call was largely positive, highlighting strong leasing activity and financial performance that overshadowed concerns about retail occupancy and litigation risks.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025