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Kilroy Realty (KRC)
NYSE:KRC

Kilroy Realty (KRC) AI Stock Analysis

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KRC

Kilroy Realty

(NYSE:KRC)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(4.70% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
The score is driven mainly by mixed fundamentals—strong margins and operating cash flow but pressured by leverage, uneven free cash flow, and a sharp TTM revenue decline—while weak price momentum weighs on the outlook. Valuation (moderate P/E and high dividend yield) and a generally constructive earnings-call narrative around leasing and capital recycling help offset near-term occupancy and development-drag risks.
Positive Factors
Record leasing momentum & expanding forward pipeline
A materially larger forward leasing pipeline and record quarterly leasing provide multi-quarter visibility into rent commencements and cash flow. This reduces vacancy risk, strengthens re-leasing leverage, and supports stable revenue as new leases roll to stabilization over months.
Disciplined capital recycling and active dispositions
Consistent disposition activity monetizes lower-return assets, shoring up liquidity and funding higher-return development and life-science investments. This strategic recycling improves portfolio quality and reduces exposure to weaker submarkets over the medium term.
Steady operating cash flow generation
Reliable operating cash flow supports dividend coverage, debt service, and reinvestment even with uneven free cash flow. Steady OCF provides durable financial flexibility to execute leasing, stabilize developments, and fund selective acquisitions over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage relative to peers
Substantial leverage increases interest expense sensitivity and reduces financial flexibility in a higher-rate environment. It constrains the company's ability to opportunistically acquire or absorb development timing risk and magnifies refinancing and liquidity pressure if cash flows soften.
Near-term occupancy dip driven by KOP 2 stabilization
Bringing KOP 2 into the stabilized pool depresses consolidated occupancy and compresses near-term NOI. Stabilization and spec-suite leasing can take multiple quarters, creating FFO volatility and headwinds to margin recovery during the transitional period.
Development-related earnings drag and rising cap interest
Negative development NOI and elevated capitalized interest will depress reported earnings and cash conversion for several quarters. Lower-than-underwritten yields at new phases reduce projected returns, delaying contribution to portfolio NOI and constraining margin expansion.

Kilroy Realty (KRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kilroy Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKilroy Realty Corporation (NYSE: KRC, the company, KRC) is a leading West Coast landlord and developer, with a major presence in San Diego, Greater Los Angeles, the San Francisco Bay Area, and the Pacific Northwest. The company has earned global recognition for sustainability, building operations, innovation and design. As pioneers and innovators in the creation of a more sustainable real estate industry, the company's approach to modern business environments helps drive creativity, productivity and employee retention for some of the world's leading technology, entertainment, life science and business services companies. KRC is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) and member of the S&P MidCap 400 Index with more than seven decades of experience developing, acquiring and managing office and mixed-use projects. As of September 30, 2020, KRC's stabilized portfolio totaled approximately 14.3 million square feet of primarily office and life science space that was 92.2% occupied and 95.5% leased. The company also had 808 residential units in Hollywood and San Diego, which had a quarterly average occupancy of 85.0% and 37.5%, respectively. In addition, KRC had seven in-process development projects with an estimated total investment of $1.9 billion, totaling approximately 2.3 million square feet of office and life science space. The office and life science space was 90% leased.
How the Company Makes MoneyKilroy Realty generates revenue primarily through leasing office spaces to commercial tenants, which is its main revenue stream. The company enters into long-term leases, often with substantial upfront rent payments, which provide a stable cash flow. Additionally, KRC benefits from property management fees and ancillary services associated with its properties. The firm also engages in development projects, which can lead to significant returns once the new properties are leased. Partnerships with other real estate firms, as well as collaborations on development projects, enhance its capabilities and market reach, further contributing to its earnings. Overall, KRC's focus on high-demand urban markets and adaptive reuse of properties aligns with current trends in workplace preferences, supporting its continued revenue generation.

Kilroy Realty Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Number of Buildings, Stabilized Office Properties
Number of Buildings, Stabilized Office Properties
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Kilroy Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 09, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a predominantly constructive operational and strategic story: record leasing velocity, a >65% expansion in the forward leasing pipeline, high-profile KOP 2 leasing (including a 280k sq ft UCSF anchor), disciplined capital recycling (~$755M of sales/commitments) and targeted acquisitions (Nautilus, Maple Plaza) that strengthen the life-science and high-barrier market exposure. Offsetting headwinds include a negative Q4 cash same-property NOI (-7.2%), elevated development-related earnings drag (KOP 2 and Flower Mart operating expenses and capitalized interest), a 2026 occupancy dip driven by portfolio timing (guidance 76%–78%), and additional near-term leasing/stabilization risk at certain acquisitions (e.g., Nautilus). On balance, the operational momentum, strong pipeline, and disciplined capital deployment provide a path to offset near-term development and timing-related earnings pressure, leading to a net positive view of the company’s trajectory.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Leasing Velocity
Q4 leasing totaled ~827,000 sq ft ( strongest Q4 in six years ) and full-year leasing was ~2.1 million sq ft, a significant year-over-year increase. The forward leasing pipeline grew by >65% over the last year, providing material visibility into future rent commencements.
Kilroy Oyster Point (KOP 2) Leasing Momentum
KOP 2 leasing during the quarter totaled ~316,000 sq ft, including a 280,000 sq ft full-building lease with UCSF. The lease rate at KOP 2 rose to 44% and occupancy commencement has begun in spec suites, supporting campus activation and longer-term demand for future phases.
Strategic Capital Recycling and Strong Disposition Activity
Closed or entered contracts on roughly $755 million of sales in 2025/Jan 2026 (≈ $465M operating property sales + $125M operating sale closed in January + $165M land sales under contract). Notable transactions: Sunset Media Center sold for $61M, Kilroy Sabre Springs sold for $125M, remaining Santa Fe Summit 17 acres under contract for $86M. Commitments for land parcel dispositions under contract total $165M, exceeding the previously stated $159M goal.
Targeted Acquisitions to Enhance Life Science Platform
Acquired Nautilus, a four-building life science campus in Torrey Pines, for $192M (~$825/sf) to establish scale in a supply-constrained submarket. Nautilus is positioned to reach stabilized yields in the upper single-digits with additional spec-suite leasing (≈50k sq ft remaining to lease). Also added Maple Plaza (Beverly Hills), where leasing improved the lease rate by 230 basis points during the quarter.
Solid Balance Sheet / 2026 FFO Guidance
Reported Q4 FFO of $0.97 per diluted share. Provided 2026 FFO guidance range of $3.25 to $3.45 per diluted share (midpoint $3.35), and reiterated disciplined capital allocation with a plan to complete ~ $300M–$325M of operating dispositions in 2026.
Sequential Occupancy Improvement
Portfolio occupancy ended the year at 81.6%, a 60 basis point sequential improvement, aided by accelerated rent commencement on recently leased space and the impact of recent capital recycling (~+30 bps net positive in the quarter).
Leasing Spread Context (Excluding Two L.A. Transactions)
Management noted that excluding two unique Los Angeles transactions (Riot Games renewal and the Fitler Club backfill), GAAP rents on leases signed would have increased 16.2% and cash rents would have decreased only 2.6%—a favorable spread profile compared with recent quarters.
Negative Updates
Negative Q4 Cash Same-Property NOI Growth
Cash same-property NOI was down -7.2% in Q4. Major detractors included a sizable restoration fee recognized in Q4 2024 (detracting 350 bps), base rent (-190 bps driven by lower average occupancy YoY), and net recoveries (-140 bps, impacted by occupancy changes and 2024 real estate tax appeal wins).
KOP 2 Yield Below Original Underwriting and Near-Term Earnings Drag
KOP 2’s anticipated stabilized yield is in the mid-5% range—about 100 basis points below the original underwriting. KOP 2 will also begin flowing operating expenses (~$5M per quarter) and capitalized interest (~$10M per quarter) through earnings starting Feb 2026, contributing to development NOI headwinds.
2026 Occupancy Guidance Decline
2026 average occupancy guidance of 76%–78% implies a midpoint decline of ~390 basis points year-over-year, primarily due to KOP 2 entering the stabilized portfolio. Excluding KOP 2, 2026 average occupancy is expected to be 80%–81.5% (roughly in-line with 2025).
Development NOI and Capitalized Interest Pressure
NOI from development properties is forecast to be negative $23.5M to negative $25M for 2026. Capitalized interest guidance is $32M–$34M, and noncash GAAP NOI adjustments are expected to rise to $12M–$14M (from just over $8M in 2025) as new leases take occupancy.
Large 2026 Lease Expirations and Expected Move-Outs
Just over 1.05 million sq ft of leases expire in 2026 with substantial move-outs expected; management noted only modest potential for renewals (an additional ~50k–100k sq ft) but has ~300k sq ft already signed-but-not-commenced to offset expirations.
Acquisition/Leasing Execution Risk at Nautilus
Nautilus traded at ~75% occupancy at close (historical 10-year average ~94%) after a late 2025 move-out; ~50k sq ft of leasing remains to achieve underwritten stabilized yields—introducing near-term vacancy/leasing risk.
Market and Asset-Level Variability
Mark-to-market positioning varies by market: L.A. and San Francisco are ~10% above market, San Diego and Washington ~5% below market, and Austin ~15% below market. Some disposed operating properties had low forward-looking returns (occupancy ~79%, rents ~15% above market, weighted avg remaining lease term 2.5 years, and CapEx-to-NOI >30%), motivating sales but also reflecting near-term return trade-offs.
Company Guidance
Management's 2026 guidance calls for FFO of $3.25–$3.45 per diluted share (midpoint $3.35); average occupancy of 76%–78% (midpoint, a ~390 bp YoY decline driven largely by KOP 2; ex‑KOP 2 occupancy 80%–81.5%); cash same‑property NOI growth (ex‑KOP 2) flat to -1.5% (midpoint) with base rent contributing ~+50 bps and net recoveries detracting ~‑125 bps; non‑cash GAAP NOI adjustments of $12–$14M (vs. just over $8M in 2025); NOI from development properties of roughly -$23.5M to -$25M; capitalized interest of $32–$34M; KOP 2 will begin flowing through ~ $5M/quarter of operating expenses and real estate taxes and ~ $10M/quarter of capitalized interest starting Feb 2026; Flower Mart capitalization is expected to cease end‑June 2026 (adding ~ $1M/quarter of opex and ~ $7M/quarter of cap interest thereafter); the company plans roughly $325M of operating dispositions in 2026 (including the $125M Kilroy Sabre Springs sale), and noted KOP 2’s anticipated stabilized cash yield is in the mid‑5% range (≈100 bps below original underwriting).

Kilroy Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and operating cash flow are solid (healthy net and EBITDA margins; steady operating cash flow), but the profile is weighed down by a sharp TTM revenue decline, uneven free-cash-flow generation, and elevated leverage with modest ROE.
Income Statement
62
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is down sharply (about -126%), but profitability remains solid with a healthy net margin (~28.7%) and strong EBITDA margin (~72%). Over the last several annual periods, revenue was generally stable-to-modestly growing through 2024, while net income has been volatile (notably an outsized 2021 profit versus more normalized results afterward). Overall: strong margin profile, but growth and earnings consistency are key weaknesses.
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Leverage appears elevated with debt-to-equity consistently around ~0.77–0.93 in recent annual periods, which can pressure flexibility in a higher-rate environment for office REITs. Return on equity is modest (~3.7%–4.3% in 2020–2024; ~6.0% TTM), indicating limited profitability relative to the equity base. Balance sheet looks stable in equity size, but leverage and mid-single-digit returns keep the score in the middle.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Operating cash flow is steady and strong (roughly $456M–$603M annually; ~$566M TTM), supporting the business’s cash generation. However, free cash flow has been inconsistent—materially negative in 2020 and especially 2021, very thin in 2022, modest in 2023–2024, and stronger TTM (about $291M with a large reported growth rate). Conversion of earnings into free cash flow is still not particularly strong (TTM free cash flow is ~0.32x net income), reflecting ongoing reinvestment/capex demands and variability.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.11B1.14B1.13B1.10B955.04M
Gross Profit745.51M762.76M778.62M775.93M685.46M
EBITDA808.51M735.49M708.81M659.85M1.05B
Net Income276.10M210.97M212.24M232.62M628.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.92B10.90B11.40B10.80B10.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments210.12M193.66M794.83M370.93M441.55M
Total Debt4.84B4.73B5.05B4.39B4.19B
Total Liabilities5.28B5.29B5.74B5.12B4.89B
Stockholders Equity5.42B5.38B5.43B5.44B5.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow566.31M40.17M58.77M5.63M-1.28B
Operating Cash Flow566.31M541.15M602.59M592.24M516.40M
Investing Cash Flow-240.03M-225.04M-800.40M-553.19M-747.88M
Financing Cash Flow-312.66M-660.58M360.60M-118.75M-164.57M

Kilroy Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price31.52
Price Trends
50DMA
36.05
Negative
100DMA
38.75
Negative
200DMA
37.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.42
Negative
RSI
34.33
Neutral
STOCH
35.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KRC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 31.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.00, below the 50-day MA of 36.05, and below the 200-day MA of 37.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KRC.

Kilroy Realty Risk Analysis

Kilroy Realty disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kilroy Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kilroy Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
57
Neutral
$3.71B13.395.09%5.75%0.77%62.58%
56
Neutral
$2.54B16.226.73%7.83%-2.10%-13.30%
55
Neutral
$5.78B6.6416.24%2.24%2.41%
53
Neutral
$3.88B96.080.85%5.08%16.38%3.60%
48
Neutral
$2.78B-23.45-2.25%6.95%8.60%
45
Neutral
$1.69B114.031.03%6.45%-0.12%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KRC
Kilroy Realty
32.02
-1.97
-5.80%
CUZ
Cousins Properties
23.97
-4.84
-16.81%
DEI
Douglas Emmett
10.50
-5.73
-35.31%
HIW
Highwoods Properties
23.42
-3.36
-12.54%
SLG
SL Green Realty
39.32
-22.36
-36.25%
VNO
Vornado Realty
29.18
-10.93
-27.25%

Kilroy Realty Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Kilroy Realty Reshapes Board Leadership and Governance Structure
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

On February 24, 2026, Kilroy Realty Corporation’s board appointed long-time director Gary Stevenson as Chair of the Board, succeeding Edward F. Brennan, PhD, who shifted to Chair of the Audit Committee, while fellow director Jolie Hunt became Chair of the Executive Compensation Committee. The leadership reshuffle, formally announced on February 26, 2026, reflects a governance refresh that leverages existing directors’ experience in executive pay, audit oversight, and ESG-related strategy during a period of transformation for the REIT.

Also on February 24, 2026, the board expanded from seven to nine members and named real estate and capital-markets veterans Cia Buckley Marakovits and David Kieske as independent directors, granting them standard non-employee director compensation and initial restricted stock unit awards that vest over two years. The board simultaneously restructured its committee framework by disbanding the Corporate Social Responsibility and Sustainability Committee, reallocating ESG and human capital oversight among the Nominating/Corporate Governance, Executive Compensation, and Audit committees, and disclosed that long-serving director Peter Stoneberg will retire at the 2026 annual meeting, at which point the board will shrink to eight members.

These moves aim to streamline governance, integrate sustainability and human capital oversight more deeply into core board committees, and strengthen financial and investment expertise at the board level. For shareholders and other stakeholders, the changes signal an effort to align Kilroy’s board composition and governance structure with the evolving demands of the office and life science real estate markets, as the company navigates a dynamic operating environment and ongoing portfolio evolution.

The most recent analyst rating on (KRC) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kilroy Realty stock, see the KRC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Kilroy Realty Posts Mixed Q4 Results Amid Life Science Pivot
Neutral
Feb 9, 2026

On February 9, 2026, Kilroy Realty reported that for the fourth quarter of 2025 it generated $272.2 million in revenue, with net income to common shareholders falling to $12.4 million and funds from operations (FFO) at $117.2 million, reflecting lower earnings versus the prior-year quarter. For full-year 2025, revenue slipped slightly to $1.11 billion and FFO declined, but net income rose to $276.1 million, underscoring a year of active portfolio management amid a challenging office backdrop.

Operationally, Kilroy’s stabilized portfolio was 81.6% occupied and 83.8% leased at year-end 2025, with about 2.1 million square feet of leases signed over the year, its strongest annual leasing since 2019 despite rent spreads declining on second-generation space. The company reported its best fourth-quarter leasing in six years, driven in part by demand for life science space at Kilroy Oyster Point Phase 2 in South San Francisco, where major tenants including the University of California, San Francisco and Acadia Pharmaceuticals contributed to the project reaching 44% leased, signaling traction in the life science segment.

Kilroy also executed significant capital recycling in 2025, selling multiple office assets and land parcels in Los Angeles, Silicon Valley, and San Diego while acquiring the Nautilus life science campus in Torrey Pines and Maple Plaza in Beverly Hills to tilt the portfolio toward stronger submarkets. On the balance sheet, the company refinanced upcoming maturities by issuing $400 million of 5.875% unsecured senior notes due 2035 and redeeming $400 million of 2025 notes, and it maintained shareholder returns with a quarterly dividend of $0.54 per share paid in January 2026, moves that collectively bolster liquidity and support its transition toward higher-growth, life science-weighted assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (KRC) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kilroy Realty stock, see the KRC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026