tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Sl Green Realty Corp. (SLG)
NYSE:SLG

SL Green Realty (SLG) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,013 Followers

Top Page

SLG

SL Green Realty

(NYSE:SLG)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$44.00
▼(-1.74% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality (high leverage, low profitability, and sharply declining free cash flow) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by a high dividend yield and a more optimistic earnings-call outlook featuring improving occupancy/leasing and guided NOI growth, though execution and timing risks remain.
Positive Factors
Leasing Momentum & Occupancy
Material occupancy recovery and sustained leasing volumes indicate strengthening fundamental demand for Manhattan office space. Higher occupancy supports durable rental cash flows and NOI, reducing vacancy risk and underpinning long-term revenue stability as leased pipeline and recent large deal activity convert to income.
Capital Markets Access
Demonstrated ability to tap diverse capital sources and price large financings at tightening spreads materially lowers refinancing risk. This access allows proactive liability management, supports recapitalizations and development, and provides strategic optionality to execute dispositions and growth without forcing distressed sales.
Growing Fee & Asset-Management Platform
Expansion of asset-management and special-servicing activities diversifies revenue away from lease cycles, creating recurring fee income and JV pathways. A larger fee platform cushions operating cash flow volatility, enhances investor partnerships, and builds a scalable business line that compounds value over multiple years.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage increases sensitivity to interest rates and refinancing timing, constraining flexibility for capex, acquisitions, or dividend policy. Even with active financing plans, sustained high debt elevates refinancing risk and magnifies earnings volatility if NOI or cash flows dip.
Weak Cash Generation
Sharp FCF decline and low OCF-to-income indicate constrained internal cash funding for maintenance, tenant improvements, and distributions. This reduces capacity to delever organically, heightens reliance on asset sales or capital markets, and limits resilience to prolonged leasing normalization periods.
Revenue Timing & Disposition Execution Risk
Uncertain recognition timing for economic occupancy and a back‑half weighted $2.5B disposition plan create material timing risk for NOI and cash flow. Execution delays or cap‑rate variability could defer proceeds, complicate dividend setting and deleveraging, and pressure near‑term liquidity metrics.

SL Green Realty (SLG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SL Green Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSL Green Realty Corp., an S&P 500 company and Manhattan's largest office landlord, is a fully integrated real estate investment trust, or REIT, that is focused primarily on acquiring, managing and maximizing value of Manhattan commercial properties. As of December 31, 2020, SL Green held interests in 88 buildings totaling 38.2 million square feet. This included ownership interests in 28.6 million square feet of Manhattan buildings and 8.7 million square feet securing debt and preferred equity investments.
How the Company Makes MoneySL Green Realty generates revenue primarily through leasing office space to tenants, which provides a steady stream of rental income. The company benefits from long-term leases, often with creditworthy tenants, ensuring stability in cash flows. Additionally, SL Green earns revenue through property management fees and ancillary services related to its real estate holdings. The company also engages in property sales and development, which can yield significant profits. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other real estate firms further enhance its revenue potential, allowing SL Green to leverage additional expertise and resources in property development and management.

SL Green Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed an optimistic operational and capital-markets narrative: strong leasing momentum (large quarterly and annual leasing totals), sector-leading occupancy gains, an active $7 billion financing plan benefiting from tightening spreads, robust global investor demand, and FFO/FAD outperformance. Key near-term risks center on timing (economic occupancy recognition, back-half-weighted disposition plan), some elevated concessions/tenant improvement dynamics, and one-time Summit costs. Overall, the positives — durable leasing, improving NOI trajectory, significant financing and equity activity, and expanding fee income platform — materially outweigh the execution and timing risks discussed.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
FFO and FAD Outperformance
Reported an FFO beat of $0.02 per share for the quarter. Management also noted beating initial FAD guidance by $65 million (almost $20 million of that in Q4).
Occupancy Gains — Sector Leading Performance
Same-store leased occupancy ended the year at 93.0%, up ~400 basis points from the lows at the end of 2024; company target of 94.8% same-store occupancy by year-end 2026 and an average economic occupancy metric disclosed (86.7% year-end 2025).
Robust Leasing Volume
Closed ~800,000 square feet of Manhattan office leasing in Q4, 2.6 million square feet for the year, and nearly 8.0 million square feet over three years. Management reported 142,000 square feet signed in January and a leasing pipeline >1,000,000 square feet (≈800,000 sq ft in active negotiations).
Same-Store NOI Guidance and Outlook
Company reiterated same-store NOI guidance implying growth of ~3.5%–4.5% for the year (management also referenced stronger NOI acceleration into 2027, with commentary implying ~10%+ potential in 2027).
Capital Markets Momentum and Financing Plan
Announced a $7 billion financing strategy for 2026 (≈$5 billion of targeted refinancings including 1 Madison Ave, 245 Park Ave, and corporate credit facility). Recent Park Avenue Tower financing priced at ~1.58% spread at full proceeds ask with AAA tranches (over 50% of the deal) as tight as 112 basis points over Treasuries; management highlighted room for further tightening versus pre-2019 AAA levels (~60 bps).
Equity and JV Activity — 100 Park Realized Premium
Closed partnership monetization with Rockpoint at 100 Park, realizing a substantial premium from acquisition ~11 months prior; Rockpoint returned as a major partner (their first large office deal in six years), and management has four additional transactions in process in a $2.5 billion plan.
Global Investor Demand
Management reported strong, broad-based inbound interest from Asia, Canada, Europe and the Middle East for NYC office investment and capital deployment, citing New York as a differentiated, attractive market for both debt and equity investors.
Platform and Fee Income Growth
Management emphasized growth of the asset-management and funds platform: expect >$100 million in fee revenue from institutional investors, launching fundraising for a new senior credit lending fund in 2026, and Green Loan Services becoming the largest active special servicer of SASB loans (servicing 5 of the top 10 specially serviced loans).
Improved Cost Controls
Higher NOI for the quarter driven in part by lower operating expenses net of reimbursements and lower G&A; management cited disciplined capital spend as a contributor to FFO/FAD outperformance.
Favorable Macro Context
Cited supportive macro signals for NYC office demand: NYC tax collections up 8.5% in 2025, big five banks reported Q4 profits up 6.7% and investment banking revenues up 12.6%, reinforcing strength in the city economy and investor interest.
Negative Updates
Summit/Ascent Timing and One-Time Costs
Operating profit from the Summit platform was reduced by later-than-expected opening of the Ascent premium experience (mid-November) and additional maintenance costs in the quarter; management described these as one-time impacts but they reduced Q4 operating profit.
Uncertainty on Economic Occupancy Recognition Timing
Management disclosed a gap between physical and economic occupancy (noting ~$78 million of rental revenue potentially associated with already-commenced leases), but would not provide quarterly timing; revenue recognition depends on tenants completing space and introduces timing uncertainty for near-term revenue.
Disposition Timing and Cap-Rate Uncertainty
Announced a $2.5 billion asset sale plan for 2026 that is expected to be weighted to the back half of the year; management declined to provide cap-rate ranges and acknowledged execution/timing risk that could affect NOI and cash flow timing.
Concessions and TI Dynamics
Management noted that TI and free rent ticked up in the second half of the prior year and that TI tends to be the last concession to normalize; while they expect free rent to decline, elevated concession levels could remain a near-term headwind to net effective rents.
Subordinate Credit Market Inefficiencies
Management described continued inefficiencies and imbalance in the subordinate credit space (the focus of their fund), producing variable deployment pacing (management referenced target deployment ranges per quarter that suggested uneven activity).
Dividend/Dividend-Setting Uncertainty
Management reiterated the board will decide dividend policy holistically in March; FAD variability and timing of asset sales/realisations create uncertainty around near-term dividend expectations, which was a point of investor concern.
Some Elevated Operating Expenses from Consolidations
Operating expenses increased in part because of consolidation (e.g., 800 Third became consolidated), which temporarily raised operating-line expenses in the quarter.
Public Market Valuation Disconnect
Management highlighted a disconnect between perceived public market valuation and asset value, noting frustration that share price does not yet reflect their asset/fee-platform value—a reputational/market risk though not an operational metric.
Company Guidance
Management reiterated a focused 2026 plan calling for a $7.0B financing program (≈$5.0B of planned refinancings including 1 Madison, 245 Park and the corporate facility) and a $2.5B disposition program (mostly back half; four deals in term sheets), while guiding same‑store NOI growth of ~3.5%–4.5% in 2026 (and 10%+ for 2027) and a year‑end same‑store economic occupancy target of 94.8% (ended 2025 at 93.0%; December economic occupancy ~86.7%). They reported a Q4 FFO beat of $0.02/share, FAD outperformance of $65M (≈$20M in Q4), Q4 leasing of ~800k sq ft (2.6M for 2025, ~8M over three years), 142k sq ft signed in January, a >1.0M sq ft pipeline (≈800k of that with leases out, ~900k from new tenants), fund deployment pacing of roughly $75–$150M per quarter, Park Ave Tower financing priced at a 1.58% spread with AAA tranches as tight as 112 bps over Treasuries, and noted NYC tax collections up 8.5% in 2025.

SL Green Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are pressured: despite a sharp 2025 revenue rebound and improved EBITDA margin, profitability is volatile with a return to net losses, leverage rose materially (debt-to-equity ~2.04x), and the latest year shows a major deterioration in cash generation with operating and free cash flow reported at zero.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Revenue rebounded sharply in 2025 (+49.5% YoY) after a weak 2024 (-15.6%), but profitability remains inconsistent. Net income swung from a small profit in 2024 to a loss in 2025, following a very large loss in 2023—highlighting earnings volatility. Gross profit margin remains healthy (mid-30% in 2024–2025), and EBITDA margin improved meaningfully in 2025, but the repeated net losses and uneven operating performance temper the overall quality.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
Leverage increased materially, with debt-to-equity rising to ~2.04x in 2025 from ~1.15x in 2024, reducing balance-sheet flexibility. Equity is still sizable versus assets, but returns on equity are weak/negative in several years (including 2025 and 2023), reflecting pressured profitability. The higher debt load is the key risk factor, particularly for an office REIT where cash flow stability matters.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash generation shows a clear deterioration into 2025, with operating cash flow and free cash flow reported at zero (versus positive levels in prior years such as 2024 operating cash flow of ~$291M and free cash flow of ~$79M). Coverage of earnings by operating cash flow is weak across most years and collapses in 2025, increasing reliance on external capital or asset activity. While prior years showed the ability to generate meaningful operating cash flow, the latest-year step-down is a major red flag.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.00B706.58M837.20M861.50M805.91M
Gross Profit341.79M252.63M375.13M433.06M440.22M
EBITDA409.72M169.29M240.32M330.89M340.14M
Net Income-88.28M30.65M-543.52M-71.63M457.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.08B10.47B9.53B12.36B11.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments336.50M207.11M231.41M214.51M286.17M
Total Debt7.91B4.52B4.42B6.51B4.97B
Total Liabilities6.73B5.92B5.27B7.26B5.75B
Stockholders Equity3.87B3.95B3.79B4.76B4.76B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0079.20M229.50M117.06M255.98M
Operating Cash Flow0.00291.07M229.50M417.83M255.98M
Investing Cash Flow-10.23M-43.43M171.34M306.41M993.58M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-251.52M-449.38M-677.17M-1.29B

SL Green Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price44.78
Price Trends
50DMA
45.74
Negative
100DMA
50.42
Negative
200DMA
53.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.72
Positive
RSI
34.75
Neutral
STOCH
18.91
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SLG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 44.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.87, below the 50-day MA of 45.74, and below the 200-day MA of 53.64, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.91 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SLG.

SL Green Realty Risk Analysis

SL Green Realty disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SL Green Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SL Green Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$4.12B12.725.94%5.75%0.77%62.58%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$2.84B22.425.37%7.83%-2.10%-13.30%
63
Neutral
$4.24B72.781.26%5.08%16.38%3.60%
52
Neutral
$11.26B37.125.24%5.26%2.54%-155.17%
51
Neutral
$3.40B-26.83-2.24%6.95%8.60%
47
Neutral
$193.95M-1.43-13.43%4.14%3.10%-900.13%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SLG
SL Green Realty
43.12
-19.77
-31.44%
BXP
BXP
63.06
-5.93
-8.59%
CUZ
Cousins Properties
24.84
-3.96
-13.74%
HIW
Highwoods Properties
25.27
-2.67
-9.56%
KRC
Kilroy Realty
34.15
-1.74
-4.84%
ELME
Elme Communities
2.19
-0.06
-2.49%

SL Green Realty Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
SL Green Posts Q4 Loss Amid Manhattan Expansion Moves
Negative
Jan 29, 2026

On January 28, 2026, SL Green Realty Corp. reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $104.6 million, or $1.49 per share, for the fourth quarter of 2025 and a full‑year 2025 net loss of $111.9 million, or $1.61 per share, reversing net income reported in 2024 as funds from operations per share declined to $1.13 for the quarter and $5.72 for the year amid lower gains on discounted debt extinguishments and weaker same‑store cash NOI. Despite the earnings deterioration, the company showed resilience in its core Manhattan office portfolio, signing 56 office leases covering 766,783 square feet in the fourth quarter and 199 leases totaling 2.57 million square feet for 2025 with positive mark‑to‑market rent increases and pushing same‑store Manhattan office occupancy up to 93.0% at year‑end. SL Green continued to reshape its balance sheet and asset base with the January 2026 acquisition of Park Avenue Tower for $730 million financed by a hedged fixed‑rate mortgage, the purchase of 346 Madison Avenue and an adjacent site for $160 million to enable a potential new office development, the sale of a 49% joint‑venture interest in 100 Park Avenue, and the buyout of partners at 800 Third Avenue, while also extending and hedging key property mortgages and expanding its special servicing business to $8.4 billion in active assignments, highlighting both ongoing financial pressures and a strategic push to consolidate its position in prime Manhattan office markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (SLG) stock is a Hold with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SL Green Realty stock, see the SLG Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
SL Green Realty Adjusts Dividend Payment Schedule
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

SL Green Realty has announced a change in its dividend policy, shifting from monthly to quarterly payments starting in fiscal year 2026. This adjustment maintains the cash payment of ordinary dividends, potentially impacting stakeholders’ expectations and the company’s financial planning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SLG) stock is a Buy with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SL Green Realty stock, see the SLG Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
SL Green Realty Amends Partnership for Preferred Units
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On October 31, 2025, SL Green Realty Corp. amended its partnership agreement to issue 172,809 Series X Preferred Units as part of acquiring interests in commercial real estate. These units, convertible into common units and potentially redeemable for common stock, offer a 3.00% annual cash distribution and were issued under a securities registration exemption.

The most recent analyst rating on (SLG) stock is a Hold with a $63.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SL Green Realty stock, see the SLG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026