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First Busey Corp. (BUSE)
NASDAQ:BUSE

First Busey (BUSE) AI Stock Analysis

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BUSE

First Busey

(NASDAQ:BUSE)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(12.01% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (good revenue momentum, strong cash conversion, and improving leverage), partially offset by declining profitability (lower net margins and ROE). Valuation is reasonable with an attractive dividend yield, while technical signals are neutral-to-mildly positive and corporate updates are supportive but include a near-term one-time expense from leadership transition.
Positive Factors
Conservative, improving leverage
A materially lower debt-to-equity ratio indicates a safer, de-risked balance sheet that enhances capital flexibility. Over the next several months this improves resilience to credit or rate shocks, supports regulatory ratios and creates optionality for targeted lending or shareholder returns without levering the franchise.
Negative Factors
Material margin compression
A steep multi-year decline in net margin reflects either rising costs, margin pressure from funding/asset mix, or credit impacts. Persisting margin compression would erode incremental profits from revenue growth, constrain reinvestment and dividends, and hamper the bank's ability to restore historical return levels over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative, improving leverage
A materially lower debt-to-equity ratio indicates a safer, de-risked balance sheet that enhances capital flexibility. Over the next several months this improves resilience to credit or rate shocks, supports regulatory ratios and creates optionality for targeted lending or shareholder returns without levering the franchise.
Read all positive factors

First Busey (BUSE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Busey Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
First Busey Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Busey Bank that provides retail and commercial banking products and services to individual, corporate, institutional, and governmental customers in the United States. The company ope...
How the Company Makes Money
First Busey generates revenue through various channels primarily focused on interest income and non-interest income. The largest portion of its revenue comes from net interest income, which is derived from the interest earned on loans and investme...

First Busey Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid: revenue growth stepped up in 2025 and cash generation/earnings quality are strong (free cash flow roughly matches net income). Balance sheet leverage is conservative and improving, but profitability has weakened with notable net margin and ROE compression, which tempers the quality of recent growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.04B662.51M600.59M486.60M431.60M
Gross Profit666.84M452.86M438.27M445.43M418.60M
EBITDA204.71M173.86M176.61M187.39M185.00M
Net Income135.26M113.69M122.56M128.31M123.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.10B12.05B12.28B12.34B12.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments181.04M1.93B2.81B2.69B4.82B
Total Debt490.06M469.19M523.58M917.70M638.82M
Total Liabilities15.64B10.66B11.01B11.19B11.54B
Stockholders Equity2.47B1.38B1.27B1.15B1.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow173.76M171.84M163.86M160.80M156.97M
Operating Cash Flow192.57M178.27M173.39M165.79M162.01M
Investing Cash Flow1.10B657.90M550.99M-290.86M-829.19M
Financing Cash Flow-1.69B-858.09M-231.96M-483.86M814.74M

First Busey Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.89
Price Trends
50DMA
25.47
Positive
100DMA
24.64
Positive
200DMA
23.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
60.78
Neutral
STOCH
85.35
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BUSE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.95, above the 50-day MA of 25.47, and above the 200-day MA of 23.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.35 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BUSE.

First Busey Risk Analysis

First Busey disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Busey reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Busey Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$2.23B15.685.33%4.11%41.45%-41.16%
71
Outperform
$1.80B9.3115.21%2.73%3.98%6.75%
68
Neutral
$2.28B11.569.51%3.33%11.63%5.58%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$2.05B9.9110.25%2.20%6.59%9.36%
65
Neutral
$2.54B10.4810.98%2.38%17.95%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BUSE
First Busey
25.89
6.30
32.15%
EFSC
Enterprise Financial Services
55.58
6.99
14.40%
NBTB
NBT Bancorp
43.69
4.60
11.76%
OFG
OFG Bancorp
41.73
5.84
16.28%
TRMK
Trustmark
43.09
11.01
34.33%

First Busey Corporate Events

Dividends
First Busey Declares Quarterly Dividend on Series B Preferred
Positive
Feb 3, 2026
On February 3, 2026, First Busey Corporation, a regional financial services and banking company, declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.515625 per depositary share on its 8.25% Fixed-Rate Series B Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock. The di...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
First Busey announces leadership changes and earnings update
Positive
Jan 27, 2026
On January 27, 2026, First Busey Corporation announced a leadership shake-up and detailed fourth-quarter 2025 results, marking the culmination of its CrossFirst integration and a year of improved profitability. The company confirmed the departure ...
Dividends
First Busey raises quarterly dividend, signaling confidence
Positive
Jan 13, 2026
On January 13, 2026, First Busey Corporation, a financial institution, declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.26 per share on its outstanding common stock, reflecting a 4% increase from the prior $0.25 dividend. The higher dividend, payable on J...
Stock Buyback
First Busey Expands Share Repurchase Program
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025
On December 4, 2025, First Busey Corporation’s board of directors approved an amendment to its share repurchase program, increasing the number of shares available for repurchase by 4,000,000. This amendment allows Busey to repurchase up to 5...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026