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First Busey Corp. (BUSE)
NASDAQ:BUSE
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First Busey (BUSE) AI Stock Analysis

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BUSE

First Busey

(NASDAQ:BUSE)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$34.00
â–²(13.90% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/29/26
BUSE scores well primarily on strengthening financial performance (better profitability and notably improved cash generation) and a clearly positive price trend with the stock trading above key moving averages. Valuation is supportive with a low-double-digit P/E and ~3.46% dividend yield, while recent corporate updates reinforce momentum via improved operating metrics, capital strength, and shareholder returns.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Improved operating cash flow (~$236M) and free cash flow (~$217M, ~0.92x net income) indicate stronger cash conversion and earnings quality. Durable FCF supports ongoing dividends, buybacks, and loan growth while providing a buffer for credit losses and strategic reinvestment over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Rising total debt
The noted increase in total debt from 2025 to the trailing twelve months elevates funding and interest-cost sensitivity. Growing debt can constrain liquidity flexibility and amplify earnings pressure if rates or credit costs rise, reducing room for investment or aggressive capital returns over time.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Improved operating cash flow (~$236M) and free cash flow (~$217M, ~0.92x net income) indicate stronger cash conversion and earnings quality. Durable FCF supports ongoing dividends, buybacks, and loan growth while providing a buffer for credit losses and strategic reinvestment over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

First Busey (BUSE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Busey Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
First Busey Corporation operates as the parent entity for Busey Bank, delivering a comprehensive suite of banking and financial services throughout the United States. Its diverse clientele includes individual consumers, corporate entities, institu...
How the Company Makes Money
First Busey makes money primarily through its banking and wealth management operations. In banking, the largest earnings driver is typically net interest income: the company earns interest and fees on loans and certain securities and pays interest...

First Busey Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show improving momentum into TTM with revenue up 7.6% and materially higher net income versus 2025, supported by healthy ~19% net margin and stronger cash generation (FCF ~$217M; ~0.92x net income). Balance-sheet leverage remains moderate (~0.26x debt/equity) with improving ROE (~8.8%), though profitability has been cyclical and total debt rose from 2025 to TTM.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.12B1.04B662.51M600.59M486.60M431.60M
Gross Profit780.66M666.84M452.86M438.27M445.43M418.60M
EBITDA318.13M204.71M173.86M176.61M187.39M185.00M
Net Income215.23M135.26M113.69M122.56M128.31M123.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.04B18.10B12.05B12.28B12.34B12.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments169.04M181.04M1.93B2.81B2.69B4.82B
Total Debt662.48M490.06M469.19M523.58M917.70M638.82M
Total Liabilities15.62B15.64B10.66B11.01B11.19B11.54B
Stockholders Equity2.41B2.47B1.38B1.27B1.15B1.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow214.29M173.76M171.84M163.86M160.80M156.97M
Operating Cash Flow235.73M192.57M178.27M173.39M165.79M162.01M
Investing Cash Flow542.56M1.10B657.90M550.99M-290.86M-829.19M
Financing Cash Flow-1.68B-1.69B-858.09M-231.96M-483.86M814.74M

First Busey Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.85
Price Trends
50DMA
28.29
Positive
100DMA
26.84
Positive
200DMA
25.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.39
Positive
RSI
60.93
Neutral
STOCH
41.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BUSE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.36, above the 50-day MA of 28.29, and above the 200-day MA of 25.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BUSE.

First Busey Risk Analysis

First Busey disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Busey reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Busey Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$2.40B11.5810.65%2.85%2.88%15.51%
78
Outperform
$2.56B11.289.51%3.45%35.96%113.24%
75
Outperform
$2.52B17.4713.58%1.56%9.31%15.23%
74
Outperform
$2.42B13.169.42%1.97%7.89%-4.69%
74
Outperform
$2.66B73.828.01%1.50%4.15%36.77%
70
Outperform
$2.74B13.877.26%3.36%5.05%-19.02%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BUSE
First Busey
30.72
8.98
41.29%
BANR
Banner
69.96
9.12
14.99%
EFSC
Enterprise Financial Services
66.19
12.03
22.21%
FBNC
First Bancorp
63.12
12.99
25.92%
FRME
First Merchants
43.26
6.00
16.11%
SYBT
Stock Yards Bancorp
88.03
13.78
18.56%

First Busey Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
First Busey Reports Strong Second Quarter 2026 Results
Positive
Jul 28, 2026
On July 28, 2026, First Busey Corporation reported second quarter 2026 net income of $63.2 million, or $0.69 per diluted share, with adjusted diluted EPS up 9.5% year over year and improved returns on assets and tangible common equity. Adjusted ne...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsFinancial Disclosures
First Busey Extends CEO Tenure and Declares Dividend
Positive
Jul 15, 2026
On July 14, 2026, First Busey declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.26 per share on its common stock, payable July 31, 2026 to shareholders of record as of July 24, 2026. The dividend reflects continued capital return to investors alongside a p...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackShareholder Meetings
First Busey Expands Equity Plan and Share Repurchase Authorization
Positive
May 22, 2026
At its May 20, 2026 annual meeting, First Busey stockholders approved the Second Amended 2020 Equity Incentive Plan, adding 2.1 million shares for a broad range of equity and cash-based awards to employees, directors, and consultants, and elected ...
Dividends
First Busey Declares Quarterly Dividend on Series B Preferred
Positive
May 5, 2026
On May 5, 2026, First Busey Corporation declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.515625 per depositary share on its 8.25% Fixed-Rate Series B Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock. The dividend will be paid on June 1, 2026, to stockholders of r...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2026