Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A (BRCB)
NASDAQ:BRCB
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Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A
(NASDAQ:BRCB)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▼(-4.39% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/05/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance (losses, negative EBITDA in 2025, high leverage, and volatile cash generation). Technicals are also mixed-to-weak with negative MACD and the stock below key moving averages. Valuation is stretched (high P/E) with no dividend support, partly offset by a positive recent corporate update showing solid Q4 operating momentum and liquidity improvements.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained high single-digit to double-digit top-line growth indicates durable demand and expanding market penetration. Over 2–6 months this momentum supports scale benefits, helps absorb fixed costs, and provides a runway for unit-level margin improvement if cost control continues.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
High leverage materially constrains financial flexibility and increases vulnerability to interest cost shocks or slower sales. Over a 2–6 month horizon, elevated debt limits investment capacity, raises refinancing risk as maturities approach, and magnifies downside if margins weaken.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained high single-digit to double-digit top-line growth indicates durable demand and expanding market penetration. Over 2–6 months this momentum supports scale benefits, helps absorb fixed costs, and provides a runway for unit-level margin improvement if cost control continues.
Read all positive factors
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A (BRCB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$668.25M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)457.12K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)2.32
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees161
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryFood Confectioners
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.04
Shares Outstanding17,478,453
10 Day Avg. Volume645,640
30 Day Avg. Volume457,120
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.23
Price to Book (P/B)8.29
Price to Sales (P/S)1.89
P/FCF Ratio-11.58
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.53
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.78
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit7.66
Enterprise Value/Ebitda20.49
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$25.17Price Target Upside78.23% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering7
EPS Forecast (FY)0.25
Revenue Forecast (FY)$256.79M
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of caffeinated beverages. It offers roasted coffees, teas, smoothies, and flavorful energy drinks. The company was founded by Daniel Brand, Jeff Hernandez, Jake Spell...
How the Company Makes Money
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Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
34
Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||
| Total Revenue | 200.32M | 160.92M | 133.16M |
| Gross Profit | 46.53M | 79.29M | 61.00M |
| EBITDA | 17.40M | 1.96M | 11.67M |
| Net Income | -16.44M | -3.74M | -8.82M |
Balance Sheet | |||
| Total Assets | 336.44M | 212.91M | 177.18M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 28.41M | 10.23M | 17.20M |
| Total Debt | 164.05M | 205.60M | 162.90M |
| Total Liabilities | 231.73M | 229.57M | 179.89M |
| Stockholders Equity | 45.67M | -16.66M | -3.15M |
Cash Flow | |||
| Free Cash Flow | -32.70M | -9.62M | -11.24M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.19M | 13.30M | 5.17M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -35.31M | -22.92M | -15.45M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 51.30M | 2.64M | 21.56M |
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $21.98B | 20.24 | 50.71% | 3.06% | 8.61% | 9.39% | |
67 Neutral | $12.40B | 23.81 | -15.28% | 1.63% | 3.92% | 4.98% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
50 Neutral | $24.45M | 6.41 | -29.84% | ― | -9.70% | -194.23% | |
48 Neutral | $216.63M | 2.44 | 7.30% | 9.34% | -6.75% | -118.94% | |
42 Neutral | $668.25M | -23.04 | ― | ― | ― | ― |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
BRCB
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A
14.12
-13.69
-49.23%
ARKR
Ark Restaurants
6.77
-1.91
-22.00%
DRI
Darden Restaurants
197.98
4.35
2.24%
DPZ
Domino's Pizza
369.17
-91.58
-19.88%
JACK
Jack In The Box
11.78
-11.93
-50.32%
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Black Rock Consolidates Voting Control Through Irrevocable Proxy
Neutral
Mar 20, 2026
On March 18, 2026, Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. executed an irrevocable proxy with four Class C common shareholders, consolidating voting authority over all of their Class A, Class B and Class C shares and any stock they control. Under this arrange...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Black Rock Coffee Bar Posts Strong Q4 2025 Results
Positive
Mar 3, 2026
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. reported strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on March 3, 2026, with Q4 revenue up 25.3% year over year to $53.6 million, same-store sales up 9.3%, and 12 new store openings, driving a swing to $1.6 million ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.