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Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A
(NASDAQ:BRCB)
Select Model
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Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▼(-46.45% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/02/26
The score is primarily held down by weak financial quality (ongoing losses, negative EBITDA in 2025, high leverage, and volatile cash flow) and bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation offers limited support due to a very high P/E, while corporate updates are directionally positive but not enough to offset the core profitability and balance-sheet risks.
Positive Factors
Top-line Growth
Sustained revenue growth of +36.6% in 2025 indicates broad customer demand and successful expansion execution. Persistent top-line momentum provides the firm with a structural runway to leverage fixed costs, improve unit economics, and invest in scale initiatives that can improve margins over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Profitability
Persistent net losses and a negative EBITDA year indicate the company has not yet translated revenue growth into sustainable earnings. Structural cost pressures or immature unit economics risk continued cash burn, constraining reinvestment and making margin recovery a multi-quarter to multi-year challenge.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Top-line Growth
Sustained revenue growth of +36.6% in 2025 indicates broad customer demand and successful expansion execution. Persistent top-line momentum provides the firm with a structural runway to leverage fixed costs, improve unit economics, and invest in scale initiatives that can improve margins over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A (BRCB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$411.96M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)575.81K
Price to Earnings (P/E)111.9
Beta (1Y)2.49
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees2,800
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.07
Shares Outstanding21,572,893
10 Day Avg. Volume439,804
30 Day Avg. Volume575,809
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio66.34
Price to Book (P/B)8.29
Price to Sales (P/S)1.89
P/FCF Ratio-11.43
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.62
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.24
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.00
Enterprise Value/Ebitda40.68
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$16.50Price Target Upside10.44% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering7
EPS Forecast (FY)0.24
Revenue Forecast (FY)$255.35M
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of caffeinated beverages. It offers roasted coffees, teas, smoothies, and flavorful energy drinks. The company was founded by Daniel Brand, Jeff Hernandez, Jake Spell...
How the Company Makes Money
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Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
34
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||
| Total Revenue | 208.17M | 200.32M | 160.92M | 133.16M |
| Gross Profit | 64.31M | 58.73M | 79.29M | 61.00M |
| EBITDA | 6.33M | 5.92M | 1.96M | 11.67M |
| Net Income | 1.29M | -60.00K | -3.74M | -8.82M |
Balance Sheet | ||||
| Total Assets | 347.24M | 336.44M | 212.91M | 177.18M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 20.02M | 28.41M | 10.23M | 17.20M |
| Total Debt | 145.76M | 164.05M | 205.60M | 162.90M |
| Total Liabilities | 239.75M | 231.73M | 229.57M | 179.89M |
| Stockholders Equity | 47.27M | 45.67M | -16.66M | -3.15M |
Cash Flow | ||||
| Free Cash Flow | -39.43M | -33.13M | -9.62M | -11.24M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 5.55M | 2.19M | 13.30M | 5.17M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -45.29M | -35.31M | -22.92M | -15.45M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 43.01M | 51.30M | 2.64M | 21.56M |
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $23.39B | 19.62 | 50.71% | 3.06% | 9.39% | 17.16% | |
64 Neutral | $9.96B | 17.23 | -15.04% | 1.63% | 5.17% | -0.62% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
48 Neutral | $284.01M | 3.42 | -3.80% | 9.34% | -17.16% | ― | |
43 Neutral | $411.96M | 111.90 | 2.31% | ― | ― | ― | |
42 Neutral | $21.15M | -3.47 | -29.84% | ― | -11.28% | 36.59% |
* General Sector Average
BRCB
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A
8.23
-19.58
-70.41%
ARKR
Ark Restaurants
5.87
-2.89
-33.05%
DRI
Darden Restaurants
204.25
1.21
0.60%
DPZ
Domino's Pizza
299.46
-164.53
-35.46%
JACK
Jack In The Box
14.89
-6.34
-29.86%
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Black Rock Coffee Bar Shareholders Elect Directors, Ratify Auditor
Positive
Jun 1, 2026
At its May 27, 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. reported that holders of its Class A, Class B and Class C common stock, representing 183,122,474 votes in aggregate as of the April 1, 2026 record date, were present i...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Black Rock Coffee Restructures Voting and Investor Rights
Neutral
May 20, 2026
On May 15, 2026, Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. executed an irrevocable proxy with several founder-related entities and trusts, granting the company, its CEO or a designee authority to vote all Class A, B and C shares controlled by these parties, wit...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.