tiprankstipranks
Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK)
NYSE:BIRK
US Market

Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
299 Followers

Top Page

BI

Birkenstock Holding plc

(NYSE:BIRK)

69Neutral
Birkenstock's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are significant strengths, contributing to a solid stock score. However, technical analysis indicates short-term weakness, and the high P/E ratio suggests potential valuation concerns. Overall, the company maintains a positive outlook with strong growth prospects, despite current market challenges.
Positive Factors
Product Shift
BIRK’s shift towards closed-toe shoes is allowing it to become a year-round staple, with these styles now making up more than 50% of revenues.
Sales Growth
Double digit sales growth stands out.
Negative Factors
Gross Margins
GMs were down 70bp due to a higher wholesale mix, as expected, and this pressure is expected to continue in 2Q.
Web Traffic
Web traffic for Birkenstock decelerated from +2% to -4%, which may indicate reduced online interest.

Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Birkenstock Holding plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBirkenstock Holding plc manufactures and sells footwear products. It also offers sandals, shoes, closed-toe silhouettes, skincare products, and accessories. The company sells its products through e-commerce sites and a network of owned retail stores, as well as business-to-business channels. It operates in the United States, Brazil, Canada, Mexico, Europe, APMA, and internationally. Birkenstock Holding plc was founded in 1774 and is based in London, the United Kingdom. Birkenstock Holding plc is a subsidiary of BK LC Lux MidCo S.à r.l.
How the Company Makes MoneyBirkenstock Holding plc generates revenue primarily through the sale of its footwear products. The company sells its products through various channels, including direct-to-consumer sales via its online platform, owned retail stores, and third-party retailers globally. Key revenue streams include sales of its flagship sandals, which are popular for their distinctive cork-latex footbeds, as well as seasonal and fashion-forward collections that cater to a broad audience. Additionally, Birkenstock has entered into strategic partnerships and collaborations with fashion brands and designers, enhancing its brand visibility and expanding its customer base. The company's commitment to quality and sustainability also plays a significant role in its market positioning and appeal.

Birkenstock Holding plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Birkenstock Holding plc demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue and profitability growth, solid balance sheet metrics, and effective cash flow management. While there is room for improvement in cash generation relative to net income, overall financial stability and growth prospects remain positive.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Birkenstock Holding plc has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with the latest TTM revenue reaching approximately $1.87 billion, up from $1.49 billion in the previous year, indicating robust growth. The gross profit margin is healthy at around 57.6%, and the net profit margin has improved to 11.7%, highlighting improved profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, reflecting operational efficiency. These positive trends showcase strong financial performance in the income statement.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a solid balance sheet with an equity ratio of 54.9%, indicating a strong equity position relative to total assets. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.51, showcasing effective leverage management. Return on equity has increased to 8.0%, reflecting enhanced shareholder returns. Overall, the balance sheet indicates a stable financial position, with a cautious approach to leverage.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Birkenstock's cash flow statement reveals a positive trajectory in free cash flow, growing to $373 million in the latest TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, ensuring strong cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly lower, suggesting room for improvement in cash generation relative to net income. Overall, the company exhibits solid cash flow management.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.87B1.80B1.49B1.24B962.13M728.55M
Gross Profit
1.08B1.06B925.79M749.80M545.65M260.28M
EBIT
455.86M421.08M260.69M363.03M230.25M-42.71M
EBITDA
535.07M503.67M360.35M423.14M230.25M3.35M
Net Income Common Stockholders
218.88M191.60M75.02M187.11M116.44M-106.19M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
298.59M376.46M354.06M307.08M235.34M96.18M
Total Assets
5.01B4.88B4.83B4.79B4.27B803.56M
Total Debt
1.39B1.35B1.98B2.04B1.89B220.43M
Net Debt
1.10B994.23M1.64B1.74B1.65B124.26M
Total Liabilities
2.26B2.26B2.43B2.43B2.20B395.39M
Stockholders Equity
2.75B2.63B2.40B2.36B2.06B398.16M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
373.00M354.80M255.79M161.54M159.65M171.26M
Operating Cash Flow
447.61M428.70M358.73M234.14M181.41M193.60M
Investing Cash Flow
-66.48M-58.80M-100.73M-71.65M-18.20M-3.50M
Financing Cash Flow
-254.72M-355.05M-199.28M-105.32M-84.96M-130.25M

Birkenstock Holding plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price45.74
Price Trends
50DMA
52.00
Negative
100DMA
52.32
Negative
200DMA
53.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.41
Negative
RSI
42.19
Neutral
STOCH
77.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BIRK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 45.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.82, below the 50-day MA of 52.00, and below the 200-day MA of 53.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BIRK.

Birkenstock Holding plc Risk Analysis

Birkenstock Holding plc disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Birkenstock Holding plc reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Birkenstock Holding plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$5.94B6.6357.76%3.53%24.55%
76
Outperform
$16.93B18.1139.80%19.40%32.70%
SKSKX
73
Outperform
$8.51B13.7315.42%12.11%19.16%
69
Neutral
$8.59B36.228.52%20.40%134.09%
NKNKE
63
Neutral
$93.61B21.0631.93%2.38%-7.16%-12.12%
59
Neutral
$12.26B11.12-0.55%3.78%1.42%-20.63%
VFVFC
50
Neutral
$6.11B-16.13%2.29%-8.42%57.91%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
45.74
-0.85
-1.82%
CROX
Crocs
105.99
-39.76
-27.28%
DECK
Deckers Outdoor
111.56
-43.52
-28.06%
NKE
Nike
63.29
-27.57
-30.34%
SKX
Skechers USA
57.01
-4.31
-7.03%
VFC
VF
15.69
0.70
4.67%

Birkenstock Holding plc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -9.85% | Next Earnings Date: May 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Birkenstock's first quarter of fiscal 2025 showed strong performance across various metrics, including record revenue growth, significant expansion in the APAC region, and increased demand for closed-toe footwear. Despite a slight decrease in gross margin and seasonal working capital challenges, the overall positive results and strategic growth initiatives suggest a promising outlook.
Highlights
Record Revenue Growth
Birkenstock reported a 19% revenue growth for the first quarter of fiscal 2025, exceeding the high end of their 15% to 17% target for the full year. This growth was driven by a combination of strong holiday demand, double-digit volume growth, and mid-single-digit growth in average selling price.
B2B and DTC Business Performance
The B2B business grew by 30% in the first quarter, driven by strong sell-through and reorders from wholesale partners. The DTC business also grew by 10%, with a notable increase in website traffic during the holiday season.
APAC Region Growth
The APAC region was the fastest-growing segment, with a 47% increase, 2.5 times the pace of the overall business. This growth was supported by store openings and increased brand awareness.
Expansion in Closed-Toe Footwear
Revenue from closed-toe silhouettes grew at twice the rate of the overall group, accounting for over half of the revenue in the quarter and increasing share of business by 600 basis points.
Strong Membership Growth
Birkenstock's membership base grew by nearly 30% year-over-year, reaching 8.8 million loyal members.
Lowlights
Gross Margin Slightly Down
Gross margin for the quarter was 60.3%, slightly down by 70 basis points year-over-year, primarily due to a higher B2B mix.
Seasonal Working Capital Challenges
Cash and cash equivalents decreased from €356 million at the end of fiscal 2024 to €299 million this quarter, due to normal seasonality of working capital usage.
Company Guidance
During Birkenstock's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a robust performance with a 19% revenue growth, surpassing the high end of their 15% to 17% annual target. The growth was fueled by strong holiday demand, double-digit volume growth, and mid-single-digit growth in average selling prices. The B2B segment saw a significant 30% increase, while the DTC business grew by 10%. The company opened four new retail stores, bringing the total to 71 globally, and their APAC region led growth with a 47% increase. Birkenstock's EBITDA margin improved by 25%, reaching 28.2%, with an adjusted net profit of €33 million, up 99% year-over-year. The company's membership base grew to 8.8 million, marking a 30% increase from the previous year. Looking ahead, they anticipate balanced growth between DTC and B2B channels, maintaining their 15% to 17% revenue growth guidance for the year.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.