tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Avalon Holdings Corp. (AWX)
XASE:AWX
US Market

Avalon Holdings (AWX) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
86 Followers

Top Page

AWX

Avalon Holdings

(NYSE MKT:AWX)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-5.30% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/21/26
The score is primarily driven by mixed financial performance: improving free cash flow and consistently positive operating cash flow, but uneven profitability and weaker 2025 margins/earnings. Technical indicators are neutral-to-soft with the stock below key moving averages and a negative MACD. Valuation appears low on P/E, but is discounted by volatile earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Improving cash generation
Consistent positive operating cash flow and a shift to positive free cash flow in 2024–2025 indicate the business is generating usable cash from operations. Durable cash generation supports reinvestment, debt service, and resilience through cycles, reducing reliance on external financing.
Diversified revenue streams
Having both environmental services (tipping fees, landfill operations) and real estate rental income provides revenue diversification. This structural mix smooths cyclical swings in either segment, helping stabilize cash flows and preserve business continuity over the medium term.
Moderate leverage and stable equity base
Debt roughly matching equity and stable total debt suggest a manageable balance sheet profile. Moderate leverage preserves financial flexibility to fund operations or strategic investments while avoiding excessive interest burden, supporting sustainable operations over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent profitability and weakening margins
Uneven profitability and declining margins in 2025 signal limited operating leverage and rising cost pressure. Persistently volatile margins undermine earnings predictability and make it harder to sustain investment, dividends, or build reserves over a multi-quarter horizon.
Very low and volatile returns on equity
ROE volatility and very low returns in recent periods indicate the company is not reliably converting equity into shareholder returns. This reduces shareholder wealth creation potential and may limit capital allocation options if profitability doesn’t stabilize.
Material negative revenue trend
A roughly 30% reported revenue decline implies structural demand or pricing challenges in core operations. Sustained top-line contraction pressures margins, cash generation, and strategic flexibility, making recovery dependent on tangible operational improvements or revenue diversification.

Avalon Holdings (AWX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Avalon Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvalon Holdings Corporation provides waste management services to industrial, commercial, municipal, and governmental customers in the United States. It operates in Waste Management Services, and Golf and Related Operations segments. The Waste Management Services segment offers hazardous and nonhazardous waste disposal brokerage and management services; and captive landfill management services, as well as engages in the salt water injection well operations. This segment also provides turnkey services, including daily operations, facilities management, and management reporting; and sells construction mats. The Golf and Related Operations segment operates and manages four golf courses and related clubhouses, a hotel, and a travel agency. Its golf and country club facilities provide swimming pools, fitness centers, tennis courts, dining, and banquet and conference facilities, as well as spa services. The company also owns and operates hotel under the brand of The Grand Resort, which provides various facilities, such as hotel, indoor and outdoor swimming pool, bath, fitness center, restaurants, bars, cigar lounge, salon and spa, banquet and conference facilities, and adjoining tennis center. Avalon Holdings Corporation was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Warren, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvalon makes money mainly through two operating segments: (1) Environmental Services and (2) Real Estate. In Environmental Services, revenue is generated from fees charged for accepting and disposing of waste at its landfill (tipping fees), along with related waste-handling and environmental service activities conducted by its subsidiaries. In Real Estate, revenue comes from rental and leasing income from properties it owns and operates, and may also include property management-related income where applicable. The company’s earnings are influenced by volumes of waste received and pricing at its landfill operations, as well as occupancy/lease rates, rental pricing, and operating costs within its real estate portfolio. Specific significant partnerships: null.

Avalon Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are mixed: revenue is steady and operating cash flow is consistently positive, with free cash flow turning positive and improving in 2024–2025. Offsetting this, profitability has been uneven (losses in 2022–2023, much lower earnings and weaker margins in 2025), and returns on equity remain very low.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Revenue has been relatively stable with low single-digit growth in 2024–2025, but profitability has been inconsistent. After losses in 2022–2023, the company returned to positive net income in 2024 and remained profitable in 2025, though 2025 earnings were much lower than 2024. Margins also weakened in 2025 versus 2024 (lower gross profit and lower operating profit), suggesting cost pressure and limited operating leverage.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Leverage appears moderate for the period where it’s provided, with debt roughly in line with equity (debt-to-equity around ~0.9 in 2023–2024) and total debt fairly steady. Equity has also been relatively stable, which supports balance sheet resilience. The main weakness is weak returns for shareholders: return on equity was negative in 2022–2023, improved in 2024, and is very low again in 2025—indicating the balance sheet is not currently generating strong profitability.
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
Operating cash flow has been consistently positive across all years shown, which is a key stabilizer. Free cash flow has been volatile—negative in 2020–2023, turning positive in 2024 and improving further in 2025, a meaningful step-up in cash generation. The main concern is that cash conversion hasn’t been consistently strong over time (with multiple years of negative free cash flow), so the recent improvement needs to prove durable.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue83.55M83.80M80.52M81.18M70.38M
Gross Profit12.53M17.23M13.78M13.96M13.55M
EBITDA5.83M6.99M3.94M4.06M6.01M
Net Income321.00K1.32M-1.77M-583.00K1.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets89.14M86.19M87.97M89.75M78.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.11M2.80M1.19M1.62M3.25M
Total Debt34.86M34.71M35.02M33.69M22.76M
Total Liabilities52.19M49.13M51.87M51.61M39.06M
Stockholders Equity38.35M38.03M36.72M38.49M39.07M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.06M1.12M-1.54M-4.13M-2.06M
Operating Cash Flow3.78M3.37M2.35M2.26M2.36M
Investing Cash Flow-1.73M-2.25M-3.90M-6.39M-4.42M
Financing Cash Flow-973.00K-818.00K944.00K11.23M-1.09M

Avalon Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.64
Price Trends
50DMA
2.64
Negative
100DMA
2.66
Negative
200DMA
2.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
47.31
Neutral
STOCH
60.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AWX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.58, below the 50-day MA of 2.64, and above the 200-day MA of 2.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AWX.

Avalon Holdings Risk Analysis

Avalon Holdings disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Avalon Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Avalon Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
53
Neutral
$10.06M1.340.47%-4.84%-81.73%
48
Neutral
$5.61M-7.05
47
Neutral
$12.82M>-0.01-274.21%-106.93%
45
Neutral
$21.59M-2.54-44.35%-9.25%-189.37%
42
Neutral
$4.75M-11.98-0.83%-45.28%-100.22%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AWX
Avalon Holdings
2.58
-0.35
-11.95%
CHNR
China Natural Resources
4.55
-0.17
-3.60%
QRHC
Quest Resource
1.03
-1.87
-64.48%
GWAV
Greenwave Technology Solutions
3.69
-25.53
-87.37%
AQMS
Aqua Metals
4.30
-17.00
-79.81%
CDTG
CDT Environmental Technology Investment Holdings Limited
0.39
-1.46
-79.08%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 21, 2026