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Vulcan Steel Ltd. (AU:VSL)
ASX:VSL
Australian Market

Vulcan Steel Ltd. (VSL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:VSL

Vulcan Steel Ltd.

(Sydney:VSL)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
AU$7.00
â–˛(2.34% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:09/03/25
Vulcan Steel Ltd. receives a moderate score due to its operational efficiency and positive short-term technical indicators. However, the high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns, and financial performance is hindered by declining revenue, profit margins, and high leverage. Addressing these financial challenges is crucial for improving the company's overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Vulcan Steel Ltd.'s operational efficiency suggests effective management and resource utilization, which can support profitability even amid revenue challenges.
Cash Generation Ability
Strong cash generation from operations indicates that Vulcan Steel Ltd. can effectively convert sales into cash, supporting liquidity and potential reinvestment.
Positive Equity Position
Maintaining a positive equity position provides a buffer against financial instability, allowing Vulcan Steel Ltd. to leverage opportunities for growth.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth can limit Vulcan Steel Ltd.'s ability to expand and invest in new opportunities, potentially affecting long-term competitiveness.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially constraining Vulcan Steel Ltd.'s ability to invest in growth initiatives and weather economic downturns.
Declining Profit Margins
Decreasing profit margins suggest pressure on Vulcan Steel Ltd.'s profitability, which may impact its ability to sustain operations and invest in future growth.

Vulcan Steel Ltd. (VSL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Vulcan Steel Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVulcan Steel Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the sale and distribution of steel and metal products in New Zealand and Australia. The company operates in two segments, Steel and Metals. It sells hollows; merchant products, including bars, beams, angles, channels, and unprocessed coils and plates; stainless steel products, such as hollows, bars, fittings, and sheets; and high-performance steel and metal products. The company also provides cutting, drilling, tapping, countersinking, and folding of plates, as well as sheeting and slitting services. Vulcan Steel Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Auckland, New Zealand.
How the Company Makes MoneyVulcan Steel Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of steel products and related services. Key revenue streams include direct sales of steel, processing services (such as cutting, bending, and fabrication), and supply chain management for construction and industrial projects. The company also benefits from long-term contracts with major clients in the construction and manufacturing sectors, which provide a stable income base. Additionally, VSL has established significant partnerships with key suppliers and manufacturers, enabling it to offer competitive pricing and a broad range of products to its customers. The company's focus on innovation and efficiency in operations also contributes to its profitability by reducing costs and improving service delivery.

Vulcan Steel Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vulcan Steel Ltd. faces challenges with declining revenue and profit margins, coupled with high leverage, which could impact financial stability. While operational efficiency remains a strength, the significant decline in free cash flow growth and high debt levels pose risks. The company needs to address these challenges to improve its financial health and ensure sustainable growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Vulcan Steel Ltd. has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -4.55% in the most recent year. Gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, indicating pressure on profitability. The net profit margin has also declined, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive EBIT and EBITDA margin, suggesting operational efficiency. However, the declining revenue and profit margins are areas of concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risk. The return on equity has decreased, reflecting reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing. These factors highlight potential financial stability concerns, although the company has managed to maintain a positive equity position.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Vulcan Steel Ltd. has seen a significant decline in free cash flow growth, which is a concern for future liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, reflecting challenges in converting profits into free cash flow. The overall cash flow position suggests operational efficiency but highlights potential liquidity risks.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.00B948.15M1.06B1.24B968.40M731.46M
Gross Profit281.72M324.60M374.95M443.89M387.08M152.89M
EBITDA109.54M124.87M163.02M207.40M232.75M129.49M
Net Income15.02M15.73M39.98M87.90M123.98M61.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.08B858.66M906.43M1.00B791.89M580.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.58M17.37M24.11M20.32M23.93M10.17M
Total Debt916.53M545.04M590.21M649.73M411.44M323.80M
Total Liabilities787.93M689.01M734.38M818.29M607.44M494.92M
Stockholders Equity280.13M169.65M172.06M185.92M184.45M85.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow42.32M83.63M142.02M123.82M-62.73K99.79M
Operating Cash Flow64.34M104.95M168.71M146.77M12.09M105.45M
Investing Cash Flow-85.52M-17.22M-23.98M-193.24M-11.54M-822.00K
Financing Cash Flow36.41M-94.19M-141.18M43.16M12.38M-108.70M

Vulcan Steel Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.84
Price Trends
50DMA
7.07
Negative
100DMA
7.11
Negative
200DMA
6.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Negative
RSI
49.48
Neutral
STOCH
72.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:VSL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.71, below the 50-day MA of 7.07, and above the 200-day MA of 6.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:VSL.

Vulcan Steel Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
AU$237.32M12.5225.46%7.62%-0.03%23.78%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
AU$997.87M74.209.13%0.86%-12.17%-61.32%
60
Neutral
AU$4.24B-72.750.14%1.27%3.98%70.79%
57
Neutral
$12.06B41.550.73%2.48%-4.46%-89.42%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:VSL
Vulcan Steel Ltd.
6.81
-0.55
-7.42%
AU:BSL
Bluescope Steel
27.54
4.83
21.27%
AU:SGM
Sims
22.00
7.83
55.22%
AU:BIS
Bisalloy Steel Group Ltd
4.94
1.95
65.22%

Vulcan Steel Ltd. Corporate Events

Vulcan Steel Updates Dividend Details and Tax Credits for Half‑Year Payout
Feb 27, 2026

Vulcan Steel Ltd. has updated its dividend notification for holders of its ordinary fully paid shares, revising the amount of the unfranked supplementary dividend tied to the six‑month period ended 31 December 2025. The update also clarifies New Zealand resident withholding tax details and confirms that the dividend is fully imputed, providing additional tax information for shareholders ahead of the March ex‑date and record date.

The dividend relates to the company’s half‑year reporting period, with the ex‑dividend date set for 11 March 2026 and the record date on 12 March 2026, giving investors a clear timetable for eligibility. By refining tax and imputation credit figures, Vulcan Steel aims to give more precise guidance to its trans‑Tasman investor base, which may assist shareholders in planning their after‑tax income from the upcoming distribution.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VSL) stock is a Buy with a A$7.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Steel Ltd. stock, see the AU:VSL Stock Forecast page.

Vulcan Steel Declares Fully Imputed Interim Dividend for Half-Year to December 2025
Feb 23, 2026

Vulcan Steel has declared a fully imputed interim dividend of NZD 0.02941176 per ordinary share for the six-month period ended 31 December 2025, with an ex-dividend date of 11 March 2026, a record date of 12 March 2026, and payment scheduled for 26 March 2026. The distribution includes New Zealand resident withholding tax and full imputation credits, underscoring the company’s ongoing commitment to returning capital to shareholders and providing tax-effective income for its New Zealand investor base.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VSL) stock is a Buy with a A$7.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Steel Ltd. stock, see the AU:VSL Stock Forecast page.

Vulcan Steel lifts revenue, expands via Roofing Industries deal amid margin pressure
Feb 23, 2026

Vulcan Steel reported 1H FY26 revenue of NZ$535.4 million, up 8.6% year on year, but EBITDA edged down 1.1% to NZ$56.3 million and NPAT fell 9.3% to NZ$8.3 million, reflecting margin pressure and weaker cashflows. The company declared a NZ 2.5 cent fully franked and imputed interim dividend and reduced net debt by NZ$30.1 million to NZ$202.3 million, while operating cashflow dropped sharply to NZ$38.7 million.

A key feature of the period was the NZ$93.8 million capital-raising funded acquisition of Roofing Industries, expanding Vulcan to seven industry verticals and contributing encouraging initial earnings. Management expects a gradual recovery in New Zealand and Australian demand amid stabilising markets, but notes ongoing margin strain, mixed conditions across segments, labour shortages and policy uncertainty, positioning the group to benefit from an emerging upturn if it executes on investment and operational improvement plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VSL) stock is a Buy with a A$7.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Steel Ltd. stock, see the AU:VSL Stock Forecast page.

Vulcan Steel Targets Growth With Rollforming Expansion Amid Cautious Optimism
Feb 23, 2026

Vulcan Steel has reiterated its commitment to creating sustainable long-term shareholder value, emphasising a team-first ethos and ongoing improvements to processes and customer service. The company highlighted its recent expansion into the rollforming market as a key element of its growth strategy and noted that, while economic conditions remain challenging, it is cautiously optimistic about improving trends and future opportunities.

Management’s focus on operational refinement and strategic expansion suggests an effort to strengthen Vulcan’s market positioning despite macroeconomic headwinds. This approach indicates an intention to capture new value-creating opportunities, which could support future earnings resilience and enhance returns for shareholders as conditions improve.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VSL) stock is a Buy with a A$7.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Steel Ltd. stock, see the AU:VSL Stock Forecast page.

Vulcan Steel Pushes Rollforming Expansion Amid Cautious Optimism
Feb 23, 2026

Vulcan Steel Ltd. has reaffirmed its focus on long-term sustainable shareholder value, highlighting a company culture built around a team-first ethos and continuous improvement in operational processes and customer service. Management signaled cautious optimism about an improving economic climate and underscored that expansion into the rollforming market is a key plank of its growth strategy, positioning the business to capture new opportunities despite ongoing macroeconomic challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VSL) stock is a Buy with a A$7.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Steel Ltd. stock, see the AU:VSL Stock Forecast page.

Vulcan Steel Finalises Acquisition Payment for Roofing Industries
Jan 29, 2026

Vulcan Steel Limited has completed the second and final payment under its August 2025 sale and purchase agreement for the acquisition of Roofing Industries Limited from Francis and Gellatly Holdings, owned by founders Keith Francis and David Gellatly. The final instalment, representing 20% of the initial NZ$88 million purchase price and adjusted for cash, debt, net working capital and fixed assets at the 30 September 2025 completion date, formally concludes the financial settlement of the deal and fully brings Roofing Industries into Vulcan’s roofing division footprint across Australasia.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VSL) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Steel Ltd. stock, see the AU:VSL Stock Forecast page.

Vulcan Steel Sets Date for Half-Year FY26 Results and Investor Briefing
Jan 28, 2026

Vulcan Steel Limited has scheduled the release of its half-year results for the period 1 July 2025 to 31 December 2025, with the announcement set for 9:00am NZDT on 24 February 2026 on both the ASX and NZX. The company will hold a results webcast and conference call later that morning, providing investors and analysts with an opportunity to hear management’s commentary on trading conditions, operational performance and outlook for its Australasian steel, metals and roofing operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VSL) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Steel Ltd. stock, see the AU:VSL Stock Forecast page.

Vulcan Steel Sets Date for 1H FY26 Results and Investor Briefing
Jan 27, 2026

Vulcan Steel Limited has scheduled the release of its half-year results for the period 1 July 2025 to 31 December 2025, with the announcement to be made to the ASX and NZX on 24 February 2026 at 9:00am NZDT. The company will follow the release with a results briefing via webcast and conference call later that morning, providing investors and analysts an opportunity to hear management’s commentary on trading conditions and performance in its steel, metals and roofing operations across Australasia.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VSL) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Steel Ltd. stock, see the AU:VSL Stock Forecast page.

NZ Super Fund Trims Stake in Vulcan Steel to 5.65%
Jan 15, 2026

The New Zealand Superannuation Fund, through New Zealand Superannuation Fund Nominees Limited, has disclosed a reduction in its substantial shareholding in Vulcan Steel Ltd, cutting its stake from 6.688% to 5.650% of the company’s ordinary shares. Between September 2025 and January 2026, the fund bought 542,808 Vulcan Steel shares on-market while selling 1,744,332 shares, resulting in a net decrease of its position and signalling a portfolio rebalancing that modestly lowers but maintains its significant institutional presence on Vulcan Steel’s register.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VSL) stock is a Hold with a A$6.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Steel Ltd. stock, see the AU:VSL Stock Forecast page.

Vulcan Steel Cancels Nearly 200,000 Unvested Performance Rights
Jan 4, 2026

Vulcan Steel Limited has announced the lapse of 198,894 performance share rights, identified as VSLAA, following the failure or incapacity of the relevant vesting conditions to be satisfied as at 1 January 2026. The cessation of these securities reduces the company’s pool of outstanding performance rights, signalling an adjustment to its incentive structure and issued capital, which may have implications for management and employee equity participation but does not affect ordinary shareholders’ existing holdings.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VSL) stock is a Hold with a A$6.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Steel Ltd. stock, see the AU:VSL Stock Forecast page.

Vulcan Steel Director Rhys Jones Sees Lapse of Performance Share Rights
Jan 4, 2026

Vulcan Steel Ltd has disclosed a change in the equity interests of director Rhys Jones, following the automatic lapse of a portion of his performance share rights under the company’s long-term incentive plans. The notice to the ASX confirms that 198,894 performance share rights lapsed at no consideration on 1 January 2026, leaving Jones with unchanged holdings of ordinary shares but a reduced number of performance rights tied to the FY24 and FY25 incentive schemes, a move that modestly reshapes the director’s exposure to future equity-based remuneration without affecting the company’s current capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VSL) stock is a Hold with a A$6.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Steel Ltd. stock, see the AU:VSL Stock Forecast page.

Vulcan Steel Appoints Gavin Street to Board with Performance-Based Equity Package
Jan 4, 2026

Vulcan Steel Limited has announced the appointment of Gavin William Street as a director effective 1 January 2026, formalising his role within the company’s board. As part of his remuneration and alignment with shareholder interests, Street has been granted 326,023 performance share rights under the FY25 long-term incentive plan, vesting on 1 July 2027, and 390,543 performance share rights under the FY26 long-term incentive plan, vesting on 1 July 2028, both subject to performance conditions; the grants underscore Vulcan Steel’s use of equity-based incentives to attract and retain senior leadership and to link governance with long-term company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VSL) stock is a Hold with a A$6.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Steel Ltd. stock, see the AU:VSL Stock Forecast page.

Vulcan Steel Confirms CEO Transition and Board Reshuffle
Jan 4, 2026

Vulcan Steel has confirmed a leadership reshuffle effective 1 January 2026, appointing Gavin Street as Chief Executive Officer and managing director, while former CEO Rhys Jones transitions to non-executive Chair of the Board and former Chair Russell Chenu becomes lead independent director. The board maintains a majority of independent directors, signalling continued emphasis on governance as the company implements previously flagged succession plans that are expected to provide continuity in strategic direction while reinforcing independent oversight for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VSL) stock is a Hold with a A$6.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Steel Ltd. stock, see the AU:VSL Stock Forecast page.

Vulcan Steel Addresses Compliance Filing Delay
Dec 10, 2025

Vulcan Steel Limited has addressed a compliance issue regarding the late filing of an ASX Appendix 3Y form due to an administrative error. The company has taken steps to ensure future compliance by reviewing its processes and planning additional training for its board members. This incident is considered isolated, and Vulcan Steel maintains that its current disclosure arrangements are adequate.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VSL) stock is a Hold with a A$6.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Steel Ltd. stock, see the AU:VSL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025