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Sims (AU:SGM)
ASX:SGM
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Sims (SGM) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:SGM

Sims

(Sydney:SGM)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$14.00
▲(0.65% Upside)
Sims' overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with positive revenue growth but ongoing profitability challenges. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are concerning with a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call provided a positive outlook with strategic improvements, but market volatility and working capital issues remain significant risks.
Positive Factors
Negative Factors

Sims (SGM) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Sims Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSims Limited engages in buying, processing, and selling ferrous and non-ferrous recycled metals in Australia, Bangladesh, China, Turkey, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through six segments: North America Metals, Investment in SA Recycling, Australia/New Zealand Metals, UK Metals, Global Trading, and Sims Lifecycle Services. It is involved in the collection, processing, and trading of iron and steel secondary raw materials; and other metal alloys and residues, principally aluminum, lead, copper, zinc, and nickel bearing materials. The company also engages in the provision of environmentally responsible solutions for the disposal of post-consumer electronic products, such as information technology assets recycled for commercial customers; and environmentally responsible recycling of negative value materials, including electrical and electronic equipment. In addition, it provides secondary processing and other services comprising recycling of municipal curbside materials, stevedoring, and other sources of service. Sims Limited was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Mascot, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneySims Limited generates revenue primarily through the collection, processing, and sale of recycled metals and electronics. Key revenue streams include the sale of ferrous and non-ferrous metals recovered from scrap materials, which are processed and sold to manufacturers and other end users. The company also profits from electronics recycling services, where it processes electronic waste to recover valuable materials like copper, aluminum, and precious metals. Additionally, Sims offers municipal recycling services, collaborating with local governments to manage and recycle household waste. Strategic partnerships with manufacturers and municipalities, along with global trading operations, significantly contribute to the company's earnings.

Sims Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 18, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a significant financial turnaround and successful execution of strategic priorities, particularly in the nonferrous and SLS segments. However, the company faced challenges from global market volatility, particularly in ferrous trading, and had to manage increased working capital and weather-related disruptions. Overall, the company showed resilience and efficiency improvements despite market headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Turnaround in Financial Performance
FY '25 saw a near 50% increase in underlying EBITDA to $430 million and a near 200% increase in underlying EBIT to $174.9 million despite a drop in sales volumes.
Strong Performance in Nonferrous Metals
Nonferrous trading accounted for 34% of group revenue, 7 percentage points higher than last year, driven by strong demand for copper and aluminum.
SLS Division Growth
SLS division reported strong growth driven by the demand from AI and data center expansion, contributing to about 20% of the group's underlying EBIT.
Cost Management and Efficiency Improvements
Achieved cost savings of $35 million in labor through restructuring and rationalization efforts, keeping total costs relatively flat despite inflationary pressures.
Dividend Increase
The Board declared a final dividend of $0.13 per share, taking the full-year dividend to $0.23 per share, reflecting the cash returns from the U.K. sales activities.
Negative Updates
Impact of Global Market Volatility
The scrap metal market faced significant headwinds and uneven purchasing activity due to trade volatility and lack of policy clarity, impacting ferrous margins.
Challenges in ANZ Ferrous Markets
ANZ ferrous margins were under pressure due to overproduction in China affecting global steel prices, with weak domestic scrap prices reflecting export parity.
Working Capital Challenges
Working capital increased by $110 million, resulting in an elevated net debt position of $332 million and leverage metrics outside the preferred range.
Weather-Related Disruptions
Severe weather on the U.S. East Coast in January and February reduced intake levels, impacting the third-quarter performance.
Ceasing Development of Plasma Gasification Technology
A decision was made to cease the development of the plasma gasification technology, resulting in closure-related costs and noncash write-downs totaling $25 million.
Company Guidance
During the Sims Limited FY '25 Results Call, the company provided guidance highlighting significant financial improvements and strategic initiatives. In FY '25, Sims achieved a near 50% increase in underlying EBITDA to $430 million and a nearly 200% increase in underlying EBIT to $174.9 million, despite a drop in sales volumes, by prioritizing margin over volume. The Metal division saw increases in unprocessed scrap trading margin percentage and shredder utilization, while the SLS segment benefited from growth in repurposed units, boosting revenue and EBIT margin percentage. The company focused on simplifying operations, enhancing cash generation, and capitalizing on regional opportunities. They emphasized strategic priorities such as reducing days sales outstanding (DSO), managing inventory turns, and optimizing domestic versus export sales. Safety and employee engagement metrics remained strong, with historic lows in lag indicators and high employee engagement scores maintained through challenging market conditions. Looking ahead to FY '26, Sims anticipates continued strong nonferrous demand and benefits from U.S. tariffs protecting domestic scrap markets, while ANZ ferrous margins may remain under pressure due to China's influence on steel prices.

Sims Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sims shows mixed financial performance with positive revenue growth and improved gross profit margins. However, profitability is challenged by negative net income and EBIT margins. The balance sheet is stable with manageable debt, but negative ROE is concerning. Cash flow generation has declined, posing risks to financial flexibility.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Sims has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The company experienced a revenue growth rate of 10.87% in the latest year, indicating a positive trend. However, the net profit margin is negative at -0.25%, reflecting challenges in profitability. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 28.67%, suggesting better cost management. Despite these improvements, the negative EBIT margin of -0.12% highlights ongoing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet of Sims shows moderate stability. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.30, indicating a manageable level of leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -0.73%, pointing to inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively strong, suggesting a solid capital structure, but the negative ROE remains a concern.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Sims' cash flow statement reveals some challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is significantly negative at -57.7%, indicating a decline in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.31, suggesting some ability to convert income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.35 highlights potential issues in sustaining cash flow levels.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.51B7.49B7.20B8.08B9.28B5.93B
Gross Profit989.80M2.15B1.04B844.30M1.15B852.20M
EBITDA176.50M345.10M282.80M523.00M491.90M230.60M
Net Income-19.00M-19.00M-57.80M181.10M599.30M229.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.45B4.45B4.90B4.71B4.44B3.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments215.60M215.60M280.80M329.80M267.50M254.10M
Total Debt787.70M787.70M949.30M804.80M701.70M557.10M
Total Liabilities1.86B1.86B2.34B2.05B1.90B1.56B
Stockholders Equity2.59B2.59B2.56B2.66B2.54B2.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow103.00M103.00M-12.10M218.70M273.10M800.00K
Operating Cash Flow297.10M297.10M202.50M449.20M547.80M129.40M
Investing Cash Flow-64.50M-64.50M-344.50M-245.20M-274.80M-126.90M
Financing Cash Flow-142.40M-142.40M-75.50M-155.00M-259.70M10.40M

Sims Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.91
Price Trends
50DMA
14.92
Negative
100DMA
15.17
Negative
200DMA
14.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.28
Negative
RSI
42.30
Neutral
STOCH
72.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SGM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.99, below the 50-day MA of 14.92, and below the 200-day MA of 14.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:SGM.

Sims Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
267.11M13.590.00%5.86%-0.03%23.78%
67
Neutral
2.44B25.295.86%4.80%-11.16%-72.19%
66
Neutral
454.47M-5.470.00%-48.05%-1394.34%
61
Neutral
1.06B69.429.27%1.91%-12.17%-61.32%
54
Neutral
9.88B118.020.79%2.70%-4.46%-89.42%
51
Neutral
$2.69B0.14%0.72%3.98%70.79%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SGM
Sims
13.91
1.73
14.22%
TSE:CIA
Champion Iron
4.30
-0.67
-13.48%
BLSFF
Bluescope Steel
14.75
0.82
5.89%
MTGRF
Mount Gibson Iron Limited
0.29
0.08
38.10%
AU:BIS
Bisalloy Steel Group Ltd
5.55
2.22
66.67%
AU:VSL
Vulcan Steel Ltd.
7.24
-0.33
-4.36%

Sims Corporate Events

Sims Limited Announces Director’s Interest Change
Sep 1, 2025

Sims Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest notice for Stephen Mikkelsen, indicating updates in his direct and indirect interests in the company’s securities. This announcement is part of the company’s compliance with ASX listing rules, reflecting transparency in its governance practices, which may impact stakeholders’ perception of the company’s management and oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SGM) stock is a Sell with a A$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sims stock, see the AU:SGM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 08, 2025