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Lottery Corporation Limited (AU:TLC)
ASX:TLC
Australian Market
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Lottery Corporation Limited (TLC) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Lottery Corporation Limited

(Sydney:TLC)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
AU$5.50
▲(1.48%Upside)
Lottery Corporation Limited shows strong financial performance, with significant revenue growth and robust cash flow generation. However, high leverage poses some risk. The technical analysis suggests a positive trend but lacks strong momentum signals. The stock's high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation despite a modest dividend yield.

Lottery Corporation Limited (TLC) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Lottery Corporation Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLottery Corporation Limited (TLC) is a leading provider in the gaming and lottery industry, specializing in the operation and management of national and regional lotteries. The company offers a range of products, including traditional draw games, scratch-off instant tickets, and digital lottery services. With a commitment to responsible gaming, TLC aims to deliver exciting and secure gaming experiences to its customers while contributing to community development through lottery proceeds.
How the Company Makes MoneyLottery Corporation Limited (TLC) generates revenue primarily through the sale of lottery tickets. The company operates various types of lottery games, including traditional draw games, which include daily and weekly lottery draws, and instant win games such as scratch-off tickets. These games are sold through a network of authorized retailers and digital platforms, providing broad accessibility to consumers. TLC also earns money by offering digital lottery services, enabling customers to participate in games online. A portion of the revenue from ticket sales is distributed as prizes, while the remaining funds are allocated to cover operational costs, retailer commissions, and contributions to government and community programs. Key partnerships with technology providers and retail networks enhance distribution and operational efficiency, further contributing to TLC's financial performance.

Lottery Corporation Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lottery Corporation Limited demonstrates strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and profitability. While operational efficiency is commendable, the high leverage presents potential risks. The company's cash flow generation is robust, supporting its operations and financial obligations effectively.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company exhibits strong revenue growth, with a 13.7% increase in the latest annual report. Gross profit margins are robust at 77.1%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin at 10.4% suggests room for improvement in controlling expenses below the gross profit line. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 17.5% and 19.8%, respectively, reflecting good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 6.83, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks. However, the return on equity is impressive at 114%, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is low at 8.3%, highlighting potential vulnerability in financial stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow performance is strong with a 12.6% growth in free cash flow, indicating healthy cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.19, reflecting solid cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.02, suggesting efficient use of cash.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.98B3.50B3.28B2.95B
Gross Profit3.07B2.74B2.65B2.36B
EBITDA788.90M608.70M586.80M498.30M
Net Income414.00M264.80M346.60M399.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.36B4.37B4.22B2.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments504.00M841.30M640.50M427.20M
Total Debt2.48B2.55B2.49B3.20M
Total Liabilities4.00B4.11B3.97B2.44B
Stockholders Equity363.10M264.80M242.80M272.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow424.30M376.90M600.00M287.70M
Operating Cash Flow492.80M456.50M624.40M308.90M
Investing Cash Flow-87.60M-121.20M-63.50M19.20M
Financing Cash Flow-393.80M-217.00M-456.60M-330.70M

Lottery Corporation Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.42
Price Trends
50DMA
5.27
Positive
100DMA
5.09
Positive
200DMA
5.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
57.95
Neutral
STOCH
88.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:TLC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.31, above the 50-day MA of 5.27, and above the 200-day MA of 5.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:TLC.

Lottery Corporation Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUJIN
73
Outperform
€620.40M15.2437.11%4.82%16.41%18.97%
AUTLC
68
Neutral
AU$12.06B32.40115.26%2.95%12.08%20.36%
64
Neutral
£1.69B10.206.12%3.31%0.55%-32.84%
AUTAH
55
Neutral
$1.77B-42.74%2.58%0.73%-11.04%
AUPBH
53
Neutral
$399.15M-30.20%32.91%
AUBET
51
Neutral
$109.86M-36.49%-14.46%-28.07%
AUBBT
40
Underperform
AU$266.63M-99.47%76.49%-75.29%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:TLC
Lottery Corporation Limited
5.39
0.61
12.76%
AU:JIN
Jumbo Interactive Limited
10.01
-5.25
-34.41%
AU:BET
Betmakers Technology Group
0.11
0.02
22.09%
AU:PBH
PointsBet Holdings
1.19
0.73
157.61%
AU:TAH
Tabcorp Holdings Limited
0.76
0.08
11.85%
AU:BBT
BlueBet Holdings Ltd.
0.30
0.07
30.43%

Lottery Corporation Limited Corporate Events

Lottery Corporation Updates Securities Trading Policy to Enhance Market Integrity
Jun 30, 2025

The Lottery Corporation Limited has updated its Securities Trading Policy in compliance with ASX Listing Rule 12.10. The revised policy emphasizes strict adherence to insider trading laws and sets clear guidelines for directors, restricted employees, and their associates regarding securities trading. The policy aims to bolster market confidence and safeguard the company’s reputation by prohibiting insider trading, short selling, and other high-risk trading activities during blackout periods. This update reflects the company’s commitment to maintaining transparency and integrity in its financial dealings, which is crucial for its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TLC) stock is a Buy with a A$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lottery Corporation Limited stock, see the AU:TLC Stock Forecast page.

State Street Global Advisors Alters Stake in Lottery Corporation
Jun 16, 2025

Lottery Corporation Limited has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, State Street Global Advisors, which now holds a significant number of voting securities across various subsidiaries. This change in voting power reflects State Street’s strategic positioning in the market, potentially impacting the company’s governance and decision-making processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TLC) stock is a Hold with a A$5.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lottery Corporation Limited stock, see the AU:TLC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 11, 2025