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PointsBet Holdings Ltd. (AU:PBH)
ASX:PBH

PointsBet Holdings (PBH) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

PointsBet Holdings

(Sydney:PBH)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.00
▼(-16.67%Downside)
PointsBet Holdings Ltd. receives an overall score of 53. The company's financial performance is weighed down by profitability and cash flow challenges, despite strong revenue growth. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, but potential overbought conditions warrant caution. Valuation presents risks with a negative P/E ratio, though a high dividend yield may attract income-focused investors. Earnings call insights suggest improvements in EBITDA and market performance, balancing some of the negative aspects.

PointsBet Holdings (PBH) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

PointsBet Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPointsBet Holdings Limited provides sports, racing, and iGaming betting products and services through its cloud-based technology platform in Australia and New Jersey. The company operates through Australian Trading, Canada Trading, Technology, and United States Trading segments. It also engages in the provision of gaming support, pari-mutuel advanced deposit wagering, and business-to-business services, as well as in the retail sports betting and software development activities. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Cremorne, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyPointsBet Holdings Ltd. generates revenue primarily through its sports betting operations. The company's revenue model is based on taking a margin on bets placed by customers. PointsBet earns money from the difference between the amount wagered by bettors and the payouts made to winners. The company's key revenue streams include fixed-odds betting, where customers place bets at predetermined odds, and its proprietary PointsBetting product, which offers variable payouts based on the accuracy of the bet. Additionally, PointsBet has strategic partnerships with sports leagues, teams, and media companies, which enhance its brand visibility and customer acquisition efforts. These partnerships often include marketing agreements and the integration of PointsBet's services into partner platforms, further driving customer engagement and revenue. The company's focus on technology and in-house development allows it to offer a seamless betting experience, attract a loyal customer base, and maintain a competitive edge in the sports betting industry.

PointsBet Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 44.58%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights improvements in EBITDA and Australian market performance, along with growth in the Canadian customer base. However, challenges such as customer-friendly results affecting net win and a revenue guidance downgrade due to various factors balance the positive aspects.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved EBITDA Position
The company improved its H1 EBITDA position by $10 million compared to the previous corresponding period (PCP), with a loss of $3.3 million, and delivered a full-year EBITDA profit for 2024 of $8.2 million.
Record Australian Performance
Australia achieved new Q2 records with net win up 2% to $60.5 million and gross profit up 16% to $28.9 million compared to the PCP. Total Australian cash actives increased by 8%.
Growth in Canadian Market
Canada's 12-month rolling cash active clients grew 49% compared to the PCP. H1 total net win growth was 14% versus the PCP, with a stronger mix of higher-margin Slots games.
Gross Profit Margin Efficiency
The company achieved gross profit margin growth due to improved efficiency, with Australian gross profit efficiency driven by a mix of high-cost racing and lower-cost international sports.
Negative Updates
Impact of Customer-Friendly Results
The group's net win was negatively impacted by approximately $3.9 million due to customer-friendly results in Canada, specifically in NFL and Slots.
Revenue Guidance Downgrade
The revenue guidance was updated to $260 million to $270 million due to factors such as negative variance, VIP softness, and casino product delays.
Canadian Sports Net Win Impact
Customer-friendly results in Canada suppressed sports net win by approximately $2.9 million, with an additional $1 million impact from Slots games.
Pending Regulatory Changes
Uncertainty around federal government pending regulation changes, which could impact operations, although it seems less likely to occur in the short term.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 FY '25 PointsBet Holdings Limited conference call, the company provided guidance on key financial metrics, highlighting significant improvements in their performance. The Group reported an improvement in H1 EBITDA by $10 million compared to the previous corresponding period (PCP), resulting in a loss of $3.3 million, and achieved a full-year EBITDA profit of $8.2 million for calendar year 2024. The guidance for FY '25 EBITDA was narrowed to a range of $11 million to $14 million, while revenue guidance was updated to $260 million to $270 million due to customer-friendly outcomes and softness in the VIP cohort. PointsBet achieved record net win and gross profit margins in Australia, with net win margins consistently exceeding 10% over the past four quarters. The company also noted improvements in their generosity spend efficiency and significant growth in their Canadian market, despite some unfavorable results in certain segments. PointsBet continues to invest in technology and marketing, aiming for sustainable growth and strong gross profit efficiency.

PointsBet Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PointsBet Holdings Ltd. shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow management. The company has maintained a low level of debt, which provides some financial flexibility. However, persistent net losses and negative cash flow highlight significant operational and financial challenges. Improvements in cost management and efficiency are crucial for long-term sustainability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
PointsBet Holdings Ltd. has shown a significant increase in total revenue over recent years, indicating strong growth potential. However, profitability metrics such as the net profit margin and EBIT margin are negative, reflecting operational challenges and high expenses. The gross profit margin has improved, but the company remains unprofitable, with net losses impacting overall financial health.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a decrease in stockholders' equity over time, primarily due to continued net losses. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, indicating conservative leverage, which is favorable. However, the declining equity ratio suggests weakening financial stability. The company's assets are shrinking, posing potential challenges for future growth and investment.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow from operations remains weak, with significant negative free cash flow over recent periods. While the company has managed to secure financing in the past, recent cash flow trends indicate a struggle to generate positive operating cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, suggesting inefficiencies in converting revenue into cash.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
252.25M245.49M210.30M195.41M194.66M75.17M
Gross Profit
136.02M129.57M12.84M57.36M23.96M2.19M
EBIT
-18.36M-28.24M-100.27M-35.29M-173.50M-44.52M
EBITDA
-22.73M-3.42M-78.74M-25.50M-171.47M-35.87M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-23.17M-42.32M-369.61M-267.69M-187.73M-41.46M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
32.54M42.18M552.99M519.60M276.16M144.34M
Total Assets
69.74M81.87M606.77M961.09M624.41M216.17M
Total Debt
2.31M2.25M3.59M17.70M11.64M9.04M
Net Debt
-30.23M-39.93M-151.25M-197.56M-264.52M-57.23M
Total Liabilities
64.93M62.61M105.31M224.73M176.86M39.05M
Stockholders Equity
4.80M19.26M501.45M736.36M447.55M177.13M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
16.51M-10.48M-298.80M-286.10M-154.10M-50.71M
Operating Cash Flow
16.54M5.46M-248.91M-197.53M-119.14M-30.32M
Investing Cash Flow
79.95M277.29M-52.76M-93.19M-77.78M-21.39M
Financing Cash Flow
-127.67M-442.61M-4.49M515.28M339.43M118.25M

PointsBet Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.20
Price Trends
50DMA
1.08
Positive
100DMA
1.03
Positive
200DMA
0.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
77.89
Negative
STOCH
93.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:PBH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.11, above the 50-day MA of 1.08, and above the 200-day MA of 0.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.89 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:PBH.

PointsBet Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$6.83B11.282.95%3.88%2.70%-24.56%
AUPBH
53
Neutral
$396.41M-30.20%32.64%
$1.05B-42.74%1.87%
$66.22M-36.49%
DEJUB
€347.38M13.5637.11%5.81%
AUTLC
65
Neutral
AU$11.31B30.36115.26%3.15%12.08%20.36%
AUBBT
40
Underperform
AU$364.06M-99.47%76.49%-75.29%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:PBH
PointsBet Holdings
1.20
0.69
134.31%
TABCF
Tabcorp Holdings Limited
0.46
0.06
15.00%
TPBTF
Betmakers Technology Group Ltd.
0.08
0.02
33.33%
DE:JUB
Jumbo Interactive Limited
5.40
-3.76
-41.05%
AU:BBT
BlueBet Holdings Ltd.
0.34
0.14
70.00%
AU:TLC
Lottery Corporation Limited
5.10
0.12
2.41%

PointsBet Holdings Corporate Events

Samson Rock Capital Ceases Substantial Holding in PointsBet
Jun 4, 2025

PointsBet Holdings Limited has announced that Samson Rock Capital LLP, along with its associated funds, has ceased to be a substantial holder in the company as of June 4, 2025. This change in substantial holding could impact PointsBet’s shareholder structure and influence future voting outcomes, potentially affecting strategic decisions and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PBH) stock is a Buy with a A$0.83 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PointsBet Holdings stock, see the AU:PBH Stock Forecast page.

PointsBet Receives Enhanced Acquisition Proposal from MIXI
Jun 3, 2025

PointsBet Holdings Limited has received an improved acquisition proposal from MIXI, Inc., increasing the cash consideration for its shares by 13.2% to $1.20 per share. This proposal, which is not subject to financing, represents a premium over previous valuations and implies an enterprise value of $402 million. If the scheme is not approved, MIXI is considering an alternative off-market takeover bid with similar terms. The scheme meeting has been postponed to 25 June 2025, with a revised timetable for the acquisition process.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PBH) stock is a Buy with a A$0.83 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PointsBet Holdings stock, see the AU:PBH Stock Forecast page.

PointsBet Initiates Trading Halt Amid Acquisition Developments
Jun 3, 2025

PointsBet Holdings Limited has requested a trading halt on its securities as it prepares to release a significant announcement regarding the acquisition of its entire issued share capital by MIXI, Inc. through its subsidiary MIXI Australia Pty Ltd. This move indicates a potential strategic shift for PointsBet, which could have substantial implications for its market positioning and stakeholders, pending the outcome of the acquisition process.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PBH) stock is a Buy with a A$0.83 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PointsBet Holdings stock, see the AU:PBH Stock Forecast page.

PointsBet Holdings Announces Cessation of Securities
May 28, 2025

PointsBet Holdings Limited announced the cessation of 33,334 securities due to the expiry of options or other convertible securities without exercise or conversion. This development may impact the company’s capital structure and reflects a routine adjustment in its securities management, potentially influencing investor perceptions and market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PBH) stock is a Buy with a A$0.83 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PointsBet Holdings stock, see the AU:PBH Stock Forecast page.

Penn Interactive Ventures Sells Stake in PointsBet Holdings
May 13, 2025

PointsBet Holdings Limited has announced that Penn Interactive Ventures, LLC and its associates have ceased to be substantial holders in the company. This change occurred following the sale of all ordinary shares held by Penn in PointsBet to Betr Entertainment Limited for an aggregate cash consideration of A$18,710,040.80, affecting 17,009,128 fully paid ordinary shares. This transaction marks a significant shift in the ownership structure of PointsBet, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:PBH) stock is a Buy with a A$0.83 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PointsBet Holdings stock, see the AU:PBH Stock Forecast page.

PointsBet Evaluates Potential Superior Proposal from Betr
May 12, 2025

PointsBet Holdings Limited is considering a proposal from Betr Entertainment Limited, which could potentially lead to a superior offer compared to the existing scheme with MIXI Australia Pty Ltd. The company plans to conduct mutual due diligence focusing on synergies and the scrip value, as the proposal includes a 57% cash and 43% scrip funding mix. The Board continues to recommend the MIXI Scheme unless a superior proposal emerges and advises shareholders that no action is required at this time.

PointsBet Announces Shareholder Meeting for Acquisition Approval
May 8, 2025

PointsBet Holdings Limited has announced a Scheme Meeting for shareholders to vote on the proposed acquisition by MIXI Australia Pty Ltd. The Federal Court has approved the meeting and the distribution of a Scheme Booklet, which includes an Independent Expert’s Report deeming the proposal fair and reasonable. The Board recommends shareholders vote in favor of the Scheme, with the meeting set for June 12, 2025. If approved, a Second Court Hearing will follow for final approval. This acquisition could significantly impact PointsBet’s market positioning and shareholder value.

PointsBet Evaluates Acquisition Proposal from Betr Entertainment
May 2, 2025

PointsBet Holdings has received a confidential acquisition proposal from Betr Entertainment, which it is currently evaluating with the help of external advisers. The PointsBet Board recommends shareholders vote in favor of an existing scheme with MIXI Australia Pty Ltd, unless a superior proposal emerges, and will keep stakeholders informed of any developments.

Betr Entertainment Acquires Substantial Stake in PointsBet Holdings
Apr 30, 2025

Betr Entertainment Ltd has become a substantial holder in PointsBet Holdings Limited by acquiring a 19.9% voting power through the acquisition of 66,013,329 fully paid ordinary shares. This move signifies a significant stake in PointsBet, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and market positioning, as Betr Entertainment strengthens its influence within the gaming and betting industry.

Samson Rock Capital Acquires Substantial Stake in PointsBet Holdings
Apr 29, 2025

Samson Rock Capital LLP, through its various funds, has acquired a substantial holding in PointsBet Holdings Limited, now controlling 5.08% of the company’s ordinary shares. This acquisition signifies a strategic investment move, potentially impacting PointsBet’s market dynamics and signaling confidence in the company’s future prospects.

Betr Entertainment’s Strategic Capital Raising and Acquisition Proposal
Apr 29, 2025

Betr Entertainment Limited has announced a capital raising initiative, involving a fully underwritten pro rata accelerated non-renounceable entitlement offer and an institutional placement, aiming to raise approximately $130 million. This move is part of their strategic efforts to acquire PointsBet Holdings Limited, although the PointsBet board has not yet agreed to support the transaction. The acquisition proposal is subject to several conditions, including shareholder approval, and there is no assurance of its completion.

Betr Entertainment Proposes Acquisition of PointsBet Holdings
Apr 29, 2025

Betr Entertainment Limited has announced a proposal to acquire the remaining shares of PointsBet Holdings Limited that it does not already own, aiming to enhance its position in the Australian wagering market. The proposal, valued at $360 million, includes a mix of cash and betr scrip, offering greater value to PointsBet shareholders compared to a competing proposal. The acquisition is expected to generate significant cost synergies and improve operational scale, positioning betr as a major player in the industry.

Betr Entertainment Acquires Significant Stake in PointsBet Holdings
Apr 28, 2025

Betr Entertainment Limited has acquired a 19.9% stake in PointsBet Holdings Limited, amounting to 66,013,329 shares. This strategic acquisition positions Betr to potentially influence PointsBet’s operations and market strategies, with further details expected in an upcoming announcement regarding a proposed capital raising.

PointsBet Announces Acquisition Proposal by MIXI Subsidiary
Apr 2, 2025

PointsBet Holdings Limited has announced a proposed acquisition by MIXI Australia Pty Ltd, a subsidiary of MIXI, Inc. The acquisition will be executed through a scheme of arrangement, offering PointsBet shareholders a cash consideration that represents a substantial premium over recent trading prices. The PointsBet Board has unanimously recommended the proposal, pending shareholder approval and an independent expert’s endorsement. The transaction is expected to be finalized by June 2025, contingent on meeting all conditions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.