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Tabcorp Holdings Limited (AU:TAH)
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Tabcorp Holdings Limited (TAH) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:TAH

Tabcorp Holdings Limited

(Sydney:TAH)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.00
▼(-2.91% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
The score is driven mainly by improving fundamentals and strong cash flow alongside a positive earnings update (profit/margin improvement and lower leverage). This is tempered by expensive valuation (high P/E vs modest yield) and mixed technical signals with momentum looking stretched despite the uptrend.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow growth
A >100% free cash flow growth rate and FCF/net income ~0.71 indicate durable cash generation. Strong cash conversion supports repeatable capital allocation: funding capex for retail/digital rollouts, lowering leverage, sustaining dividends and absorbing cyclical revenue swings without urgent financing.
Improved leverage and longer funding tenor
Leverage reduced to 1.5x and a A$300m medium‑term note extended average debt maturity to 5.4 years. That stronger balance sheet and lower refinancing risk give management flexibility to invest in product rollouts and withstand regulatory timing, supporting medium-term strategic execution.
Margin expansion and cost discipline
Material EBITDA growth and ~190bp margin improvement reflect structural operating leverage from product and cost actions. Identified cost savings and efficiency measures should sustain higher margins over time as digital mix and retail modernization scale, improving cash generation durability.
Negative Factors
Low net profit margin and modest ROE
A net margin near 1.4% and ROE under 3% signal limited retained profitability after industry payments and costs. Even with margin gains, low underlying returns constrain reinvestment capacity and shareholder returns, making capital allocation outcomes and efficiency improvements critical to long‑term value.
Regulatory and rollout execution risk
Key modernization initiatives (TAB Live rollout, national tote) require multi‑jurisdictional approvals and complex technical/commercial delivery. Delays or adverse rulings would postpone revenue benefits and increase costs, making strategic modernization outcomes uncertain over the next several quarters.
Wagering yield volatility exposure
Revenue is structurally exposed to wagering yield swings driven by sporting outcomes and customer behavior. A ~15bp yield hit cut net revenue materially in the half; recurring yield volatility can compress margins and cash flow, requiring ongoing diversification and cost offsets to protect earnings.

Tabcorp Holdings Limited (TAH) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Tabcorp Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTabcorp Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides gambling and entertainment services in Australia. It operates through Wagering and Media, and Gaming Services segments. The Wagering and Media segment offers through a network of TAB agencies, hotels and clubs, and on-course operations, as well as through retail, Internet, mobile devices, and phone. It also provides Trackside, a computer simulate racing product; and international wagering and pooling services. In addition, the company engages in the Three Sky Racing television channels broadcasting thoroughbred, and harness and greyhound racing to audiences; Sky Racing Active, a digital app providing Sky Racing's live and on-demand racing content across thoroughbred, and harness and greyhound racing; and Sky Sports Radio network. The Gaming Services segment offers electronic gaming machine (EGM) monitoring and related services; provides EGM and systems supply and expertise; specialized services and strategic advice to licensed gaming venues; value-add services to venues, such as gaming and loyalty systems, business intelligence tools, and cashless and ticket in ticket out services; and logistics, installation, and relocation services, as well as EGMs, lottery and wagering terminals, and other transaction device repair and maintenance services. The company was founded in 1881 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyTabcorp generates revenue through multiple key streams: its Wagering and Media segment earns money from betting services on sports and races, both online and through retail outlets. The Lotteries and Keno segment contributes significantly through ticket sales for various lottery games and Keno, which are popular across Australia. The Gaming Services segment provides revenue through the operation of gaming machines in venues and services for clubs and hotels. Additionally, Tabcorp benefits from partnerships with various sports organizations and media companies, enhancing its brand presence and customer reach. The company's diversified portfolio helps mitigate risks associated with individual segments and provides a steady revenue base.

Tabcorp Holdings Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed materially positive financial progress and strategic execution: revenue and earnings grew, margins expanded, leverage fell to a conservative 1.5x and product/retail initiatives advanced (EBTs, TAB Live clearance, national tote work). Headwinds include below-average wagering yields that reduced revenue (~15 bps / ~$10m), ongoing technology inflation, timing-related cash items and regulatory execution risk for national rollouts. On balance, achievements and improvements in earnings, cost discipline, balance sheet flexibility and product momentum outweigh the challenges.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Earnings Growth
Group revenue grew 1% to $1.34 billion; variable contribution increased 4.3%; EBITDA rose 14.3% to $217.4 million; EBIT increased 18.9% to $110.2 million; NPAT before significant items grew 61.5%.
Margin Expansion and Cost Discipline
EBITDA margin improved by 190 basis points to 16.2%; OpEx adjusted for the reform Victorian license decreased 3.7%; underlying cost improvement of $13.5 million and identified cost reductions of $13.9 million contributed to operating leverage.
Balance Sheet Strength and Capital Management
Net debt to EBITDA leverage reduced to 1.5x (well below target <2.5x); CapEx for H1 reduced 11% to $51 million with FY26 guidance maintained at $120–$140 million; underlying cash conversion in H1 was 86% with FY guidance of 90%–100%.
Successful Funding and Improved ROIC
Issued $300 million under a new AMTN at a fixed coupon of 5.99% (5.5 year tenor) which extended average maturity to 5.4 years; return on invested capital improved ~360 basis points versus PCP.
Victorian Wagering Reform Benefit
Reform of the Victorian wagering license delivered an estimated incremental $12.2 million of EBITDA in H1 (benefit recognized for full 6 months vs 4.5 months in PCP).
Digital, Venue and Demographic Growth
Management reported digital and venue turnover up 12% in the half; sport turnover up 26%; management highlighted growth among younger customers—18–24 cohort cited as up 14.2% (management also referenced 42% on a slide, indicating strong focus on younger cohorts).
Product and Operational Wins
Successful rollouts and features included AFL Miss-By-One, Mega Pot, TAB Time (weekly sellouts, record sellout in 3 minutes), TAB Takeover; renewed Integrity Services (MAX) partnerships and growth opportunities; ACMA clearance for TAB Live (cleared for NSW rollout).
Retail Modernization Progress
Modernized betting terminals (EBTs) in production with rollout commencing first week of July; new retail commercial model progressing with planned investments to support omnichannel and venue partners.
Negative Updates
Below-Average Wagering Yields and Revenue Pressure
Domestic wagering revenue pre-VRI fell by 2.5% despite modest turnover growth; below-average yields (customer-friendly racing/sport outcomes during AFL/NRL finals and Spring Carnival) lowered yield by ~15 basis points, estimated to reduce net revenue by ~A$10 million versus long-term averages.
Spring Carnival Yield Impact
Spring Carnival yields were historically low due to an unusually high number of favorites winning major races, reducing wagering yields and requiring offset through diversification and cost control.
Technology and Cost Inflation Headwinds
Ongoing cost inflation, particularly in technology, remains a headwind despite offsetting actions; management indicated continued focus to offset inflationary pressures.
Timing and One-Off Cash Items
H1 cash conversion was 86% (below full-year target) and cash interest included a one-off $24.9 million annual Victorian license interest payment in August which will not recur in H2; reported OpEx decreased only 1.1% overall despite adjusted improvements.
Regulatory and Rollout Uncertainty for New Products
TAB Live has ACMA clearance and is ready for NSW but requires further state regulator approvals; national tote progress is positive but involves political, technical and commercial execution risk to meet target by year-end.
Inconsistent Reporting on Youth Growth Metric
Management emphasised strong growth in younger customers but the transcript contains inconsistent figures for the 18–24 cohort (14.2% referenced in commentary vs 42% shown on a slide), creating some uncertainty in the precise magnitude of this uplift.
Company Guidance
Guidance from the call was that Tabcorp expects H2 wagering turnover conditions to be similar to H1 (modest growth broadly in line with ~0.3% H1 turnover growth), with full-year CapEx guidance unchanged at A$120–140m (H1 CapEx was A$51m, down 11% PCP), and an uplift in H2 CapEx driven by rollout of modernized EBTs (first week of July) and venue terminal spend tied to the new retail model; TAB Live will commence in NSW following ACMA clearance with rollouts in other states subject to approvals, and the national tote remains targeted by the end of FY26. Financial guidance/positions highlighted: H1 EBITDA A$217.4m (+14.3%) with margin of 16.2% (+190bps), group revenue A$1.34bn (+1%), variable contribution +4.3%, OpEx down 1.1% (or −3.7% adjusted for the Victorian wagering reform), NPAT before significant items +61.5%, interim dividend A$0.015/share (56% payout, +50% PCP), H1 cash conversion 86% with expected full‑year cash conversion 90–100%, leverage 1.5x net debt/EBITDA (well below <2.5x target), AMTN issued A$300m at 5.99% (5.5‑year tenor) taking average maturity to 5.4 years, H1 cash interest A$54.6m (includes A$24.9m Victorian license payment so H2 cash interest expected closer to ~A$30m), and management noted a ~15bp (~A$10m) adverse net yield impact in the period and that the Victorian wagering reform contributed ~A$12.2m to EBITDA.

Tabcorp Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements indicate recovery and improving quality: revenue growth is positive (5.85%) and cash generation is strong (free cash flow growth 101.75%). Balance sheet leverage has improved (debt-to-equity 0.69), but overall profitability remains constrained with a low net profit margin (1.40%) and modest ROE (2.92%).
Income Statement
65
Positive
Tabcorp Holdings Limited has shown a positive revenue growth rate of 5.85% in the latest year, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin remains strong at 100%, but the net profit margin is relatively low at 1.40%, suggesting limited profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved, reflecting better operational efficiency, but still indicate room for improvement.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has decreased to 0.69, showing improved leverage management. Return on equity is modest at 2.92%, indicating moderate profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure, but the company should focus on enhancing returns.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Tabcorp's free cash flow growth rate is impressive at 101.75%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.56, showing a healthy conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.71, suggesting efficient cash utilization.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.16B2.61B2.34B2.10B2.01B2.15B
Gross Profit418.60M2.61B2.34B342.60M236.50M297.80M
EBITDA378.60M368.80M-1.35B362.80M276.00M344.10M
Net Income33.00M36.60M-1.36B66.50M6.78B269.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.14B3.14B3.39B4.05B4.05B11.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments218.30M236.50M313.70M290.70M199.40M553.30M
Total Debt949.00M862.60M1.14B572.40M317.00M2.78B
Total Liabilities1.87B1.89B2.14B1.39B1.34B5.17B
Stockholders Equity1.27B1.25B1.25B2.66B2.71B6.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow207.30M288.70M84.80M-77.60M534.50M537.70M
Operating Cash Flow329.80M406.50M245.20M119.30M737.00M719.50M
Investing Cash Flow-121.70M-117.00M-739.70M-130.00M-455.70M-37.60M
Financing Cash Flow-250.10M-366.70M517.50M102.00M-506.30M-607.20M

Tabcorp Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.03
Price Trends
50DMA
0.93
Positive
100DMA
0.95
Positive
200DMA
0.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
62.67
Neutral
STOCH
88.24
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:TAH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.91, above the 50-day MA of 0.93, and above the 200-day MA of 0.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:TAH.

Tabcorp Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
AU$549.06M11.6834.17%4.84%-8.81%-6.84%
64
Neutral
AU$2.36B26.112.89%2.01%8.62%
62
Neutral
AU$12.13B16.56106.73%3.16%-6.28%-11.67%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
49
Neutral
AU$250.24M-1.63-14.71%126.29%95.17%
43
Neutral
AU$304.14M-3.53-142.61%6.47%60.03%
40
Underperform
AU$796.23M-1.45-65.81%-31.07%74.57%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:TAH
Tabcorp Holdings Limited
1.03
0.39
59.94%
AU:SGR
Star Entertainment Group Limited
0.12
<0.01
9.09%
AU:PBH
PointsBet Holdings
0.89
-0.22
-19.55%
AU:JIN
Jumbo Interactive Limited
8.67
-1.62
-15.78%
AU:BBT
BlueBet Holdings Ltd.
0.24
-0.07
-22.58%
AU:TLC
Lottery Corporation Limited
5.40
0.70
14.92%

Tabcorp Holdings Limited Corporate Events

Tabcorp posts 1H26 results presentation and investor webcast
Feb 24, 2026

Tabcorp Holdings Limited has released a presentation detailing its half-year results for the six months ended 31 December 2025, with the materials made available via a webcast on its investor website. The document is intended to be read alongside the company’s formal half-year financial results and most recent annual report, underscoring its role as an accompanying investor briefing rather than a standalone disclosure.

The announcement, authorised by the Tabcorp Board, signals the company’s continued focus on transparent communication with the market and provides investors with additional context and explanation around the performance of its wagering and gaming operations. By directing stakeholders to a live webcast and detailed presentation, Tabcorp is aiming to deepen engagement with analysts and shareholders as it reports on its first-half FY26 trading period.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$0.95 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Tabcorp lifts earnings and dividend as cost cuts and strategy gains traction
Feb 24, 2026

Tabcorp Holdings Limited reported half-year 2026 group revenue of $1.34 billion, up 1% on the prior corresponding period, with EBITDA rising 14.3% to $217.4 million as cost reductions and operating leverage lifted the EBITDA margin to 16.2%. The wagering and media division delivered a 15.8% EBITDA increase to $181.4 million, while integrity services EBITDA grew 7.5% to $36 million, supported by modest domestic wagering revenue growth despite below-average yields.

The company highlighted strategic progress including a new retail commercial model, an in-play product offering and advancement of a National Tote, alongside a stronger balance sheet with leverage reduced to 1.5 times and net debt of $631.2 million. Group NPAT before significant items rose 61.5% to $35.7 million and the interim dividend was lifted 50% to 1.5 cents per share, signalling improving profitability and confidence in the execution of its transformation strategy for shareholders and racing industry partners.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$0.95 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Tabcorp Declares Interim Dividend for Half-Year to December 2025
Feb 24, 2026

Tabcorp Holdings Limited has declared an interim dividend of A$0.015 per ordinary fully paid share, relating to the six-month period ended 31 December 2025. The payment will be made on 24 March 2026, with the stock trading ex-dividend on 2 March and the record date set for 3 March.

The dividend timetable also includes a dividend reinvestment plan election deadline of 4 March 2026, giving shareholders limited time to opt into share reinvestment rather than cash. The announcement provides income visibility for investors and signals Tabcorp’s ongoing practice of returning capital to shareholders from its wagering and gaming operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$0.95 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Tabcorp Flags Macquarie’s Exit as Substantial Shareholder Under Strict Ownership Caps
Feb 10, 2026

Tabcorp Holdings Limited has disclosed that Macquarie Group Limited and its controlled entities have ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the company as of 5 February 2026. The change in Macquarie’s position comes against a backdrop of strict shareholding and voting power restrictions imposed by Tabcorp’s constitution and applicable wagering legislation, which limit any single investor’s voting power to 10% and allow the company to block or unwind share transfers that breach these regulatory thresholds.

This development may slightly alter Tabcorp’s shareholder mix but occurs within a tightly controlled ownership regime designed to ensure compliance with regulatory requirements. For investors and other stakeholders, the notice underscores the ongoing importance of regulatory caps and governance rules in shaping who can hold significant stakes in Australia’s wagering and gambling sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$0.95 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Macquarie Group Ceases to Be a Substantial Holder in Tabcorp
Feb 10, 2026

Macquarie Group Limited and its controlled entities have filed a notice stating they have ceased to be substantial holders in Tabcorp Holdings Limited. The filing, lodged under Australian corporations law, confirms that Macquarie and associated entities no longer hold a reportable major stake in Tabcorp’s voting securities.

The change in substantial holding status may alter Tabcorp’s institutional investor mix and potentially affect trading liquidity and governance dynamics, as one of its large professional shareholders steps back. However, the notice is procedural and does not itself disclose any change to Tabcorp’s operations or strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$0.95 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Macquarie Group Emerges as Substantial Shareholder in Tabcorp
Feb 9, 2026

Tabcorp Holdings Limited has disclosed that Macquarie Group Limited and its controlled entities have become a substantial shareholder in the company. Macquarie now holds a relevant interest in 116,112,236 Tabcorp ordinary shares, representing 5.07% of the company’s voting power.

The company highlighted that its constitution and applicable wagering legislation restrict any person from holding more than 10% voting power. Tabcorp noted it can refuse to register share transfers or require divestment if these regulatory and constitutional shareholding limits are breached, underscoring the importance of compliance for significant investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$0.95 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Yarra Group Takes 5.02% Substantial Stake in Tabcorp
Jan 16, 2026

Tabcorp Holdings Limited has disclosed that a group of related Yarra entities, including Yarra Capital Management Limited and Yarra Funds Management Limited, has become a substantial shareholder in the company, acquiring a relevant interest in 114,935,610 ordinary shares, equivalent to 5.02% of Tabcorp’s voting power as of 14 January 2026. The development underscores growing institutional interest in Tabcorp within the constraints of its regulatory framework, which caps individual voting power at 10% and allows the company to block or require divestment of share transfers that would breach these limits, helping maintain compliance with wagering legislation and ownership restrictions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$1.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Yarra Capital Group Discloses 5% Stake in Tabcorp
Jan 16, 2026

Yarra Capital Management and related entities have emerged as substantial shareholders in Tabcorp Holdings Limited, disclosing a 5.02% voting power in the company. The group, through various controlled entities and managed investment schemes, holds 114,935,610 ordinary fully paid Tabcorp shares, largely via portfolios and funds for which Yarra Funds Management acts as responsible entity or investment manager, following share acquisitions over the four months to 14 January 2026. The move consolidates institutional ownership in Tabcorp and underscores continuing fund-manager interest in the gambling group’s shares, with Citigroup, Northern Trust and State Street acting as key custodians for the holdings.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$1.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Macquarie Group Drops Below Substantial Holder Threshold in Tabcorp
Jan 15, 2026

Tabcorp Holdings has disclosed that Macquarie Group Limited has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the company as of 12 January 2026, following Macquarie’s notification to the market. The change in Macquarie’s holding occurs within a framework of strict legislative and constitutional limits on individual voting power in Tabcorp, which cap ownership influence and allow the company to block or unwind share transfers that would breach those thresholds.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$1.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Macquarie Group Exits Substantial Shareholding in Tabcorp
Jan 15, 2026

Macquarie Group Limited and its controlled entities have lodged a notice that they have ceased to be a substantial holder in Tabcorp Holdings Limited, signalling that their relevant interest in Tabcorp’s voting securities has fallen below the substantial holding threshold. The change, formalised in a Corporations Act Form 605 dated 15 January 2026, may alter Tabcorp’s institutional shareholder mix and could marginally impact perceptions of its capital markets support, though no details of the underlying transactions or strategic rationale were disclosed beyond references to associated legal agreements and the list of controlled entities involved.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$1.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Macquarie Group Emerges as Substantial Shareholder in Tabcorp
Jan 14, 2026

Tabcorp Holdings Limited has disclosed that Macquarie Group Limited has become a substantial shareholder in the company, acquiring a relevant interest in 114,746,289 ordinary shares, equivalent to 5.01% of Tabcorp’s voting power. The new stake brings a major institutional investor further onto Tabcorp’s register, within the company’s and wagering legislation’s 10% voting power cap, highlighting ongoing strategic interest in the gambling operator while reinforcing existing ownership and regulatory limits that can affect future share accumulations and corporate control dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$1.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Tabcorp Notes Macquarie’s Exit as Substantial Shareholder Amid Strict Ownership Caps
Dec 29, 2025

Tabcorp has disclosed that Macquarie Group Limited ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the company as of 22 December 2025, following Macquarie’s notification to the market. The announcement underscores Tabcorp’s stringent shareholding and voting power restrictions, including a 10% cap on individual voting power without written consent from the relevant NSW Government Minister and associated legislative changes, highlighting the tight regulatory controls that govern ownership in the company and its NSW wagering licence holder.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$1.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Macquarie Group Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Tabcorp
Dec 29, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited and its controlled entities have lodged a notice that they have ceased to be a substantial holder in Tabcorp Holdings Limited, in accordance with Australian Corporations Act disclosure requirements. The change in Macquarie’s relevant interest in Tabcorp voting securities, including associated entities and legal arrangements, signals an adjustment in the company’s institutional shareholder base, which could modestly affect Tabcorp’s ownership structure and may be of interest to investors monitoring shifts in major holdings and governance influence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$1.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Macquarie Takes 5% Stake in Tabcorp Amid Strict Ownership Limits
Dec 22, 2025

Tabcorp has disclosed that Macquarie Group Limited has become a substantial shareholder, acquiring a 5.01% stake in the company, equivalent to 114,646,686 fully paid ordinary shares. The company highlighted that its constitution, together with applicable NSW legislation, restricts any single shareholder from having voting power or share ownership above 10% without ministerial consent and legislative changes, and it retains the right to refuse or require divestment of share transfers that would breach these limits, underscoring the tightly controlled ownership structure that shapes governance and strategic influence in the business.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$1.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Australian Retirement Trust Takes 5% Stake in Tabcorp Under Strict Ownership Caps
Dec 22, 2025

Tabcorp Holdings has disclosed that Australian Retirement Trust has become a substantial shareholder in the company, acquiring a 5.031% stake amounting to 115,164,720 ordinary shares as of 18 December 2025. The company reiterated that its share register is subject to strict ownership and voting limits under its constitution and New South Wales legislation, including a cap preventing any investor from holding or controlling more than 10% of its voting power or share capital without ministerial consent, and reserved the right to block or require divestment of any share transfers that breach these regulatory thresholds, underscoring the highly regulated nature of ownership in the wagering and gaming sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$1.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Tabcorp Confirms Macquarie Exits Substantial Shareholder Status Amid Strict Ownership Limits
Dec 19, 2025

Tabcorp has disclosed that Macquarie Group Limited has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the company as of 15 December 2025, following Macquarie’s announcement to the market. The company reminded investors that its constitution and relevant New South Wales legislation impose strict limits on individual shareholdings and voting power, generally capping these at 10% unless specific government approval and legislative changes are obtained, and it retains the right to refuse or require divestment of share transfers that would breach these restrictions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$1.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Macquarie Group Ceases Substantial Holding in Tabcorp Holdings
Dec 18, 2025

Macquarie Group Limited (and its associated entities) has ceased being a substantial holder in Tabcorp Holdings Limited, an organization operating in the gambling and entertainment industry. This change reflects adjustments in Macquarie’s voting interests and investment positioning and has implications for governance and shareholding structure within Tabcorp.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$1.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Macquarie Group Acquires Substantial Stake in Tabcorp
Dec 17, 2025

Tabcorp Holdings Limited announced that Macquarie Group Limited has become a substantial shareholder, acquiring a 5.06% interest in the company. This development is significant due to the strict regulatory restrictions on shareholding and voting power in Tabcorp, which limit any single entity from holding more than 10% without government approval. This move by Macquarie Group could influence Tabcorp’s market dynamics and stakeholder interests, given the regulatory landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$1.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Aware Super Acquires Substantial Stake in Tabcorp Holdings
Dec 3, 2025

Tabcorp Holdings Limited has announced that Aware Super Pty Ltd has become a substantial shareholder, acquiring a 5.16% stake in the company. This development highlights the regulatory framework governing shareholding in Tabcorp, which includes restrictions on voting power exceeding 10% without governmental consent. This acquisition could impact Tabcorp’s shareholder dynamics and necessitates adherence to specific legislative requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TAH) stock is a Buy with a A$1.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:TAH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026