Mayfield Childcare Ltd. (AU:MFD)
ASX:MFD
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Mayfield Childcare Ltd.
(Sydney:MFD)
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Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.36
▼(-26.33% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/24/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened financial performance in 2025 (large loss and sharply higher leverage), reinforced by bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Positive free cash flow provides some offset, while valuation signals are inconclusive due to negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Multi-year revenue scale-up
Sustained top-line growth from ~A$32.8m to ~A$91.4m over 2020–2025 indicates the company successfully expanded center footprint and enrollments. Scale supports operating leverage, geographic diversification, and long-term bargaining power with suppliers and landlords.
Negative Factors
Sharp leverage increase
Debt-to-equity near 6.3x materially elevates solvency and refinancing risk, curtails strategic optionality, and raises fixed interest burdens. High leverage reduces resilience to operational shocks and increases sensitivity to rate moves or covenant tests over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue scale-up
Sustained top-line growth from ~A$32.8m to ~A$91.4m over 2020–2025 indicates the company successfully expanded center footprint and enrollments. Scale supports operating leverage, geographic diversification, and long-term bargaining power with suppliers and landlords.
Read all positive factors
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. (MFD) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$25.64M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)23.49K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.39
Revenue Growth18.84%
EPS Growth-1657.69%
CountryAU
Employees1,100
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryPersonal Products & Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)<0.01
Shares Outstanding75,424,610
10 Day Avg. Volume24,882
30 Day Avg. Volume23,486
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.76
Price to Sales (P/S)0.40
P/FCF Ratio4.16
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Mayfield Childcare Limited provides long day childcare (LDC) services in Victoria, Australia. The company operates 36 LDC centers in Victoria, Queensland, and South Australia. Mayfield Childcare Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Mal...
How the Company Makes Money
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the fees charged to parents and guardians for enrolling their children in its childcare and early learning programs. These fees typically include charges for daycare services, early child...
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 91.41M | 87.16M | 76.51M | 68.98M | 39.73M |
| Gross Profit | 4.90M | 87.16M | 3.22M | 10.25M | 6.78M |
| EBITDA | 15.93M | 17.54M | 13.18M | 20.22M | 9.99M |
| Net Income | -21.38M | 239.64K | -1.43M | 4.88M | 2.57M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 218.02M | 246.10M | 235.71M | 219.23M | 226.61M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 87.70K | 103.00K | 362.67K | 2.66M | 2.27M |
| Total Debt | 303.50M | 168.63M | 160.41M | 141.09M | 144.08M |
| Total Liabilities | 169.62M | 180.64M | 170.32M | 149.45M | 161.01M |
| Stockholders Equity | 48.40M | 65.46M | 65.38M | 69.78M | 65.61M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 8.79M | 10.56M | 7.28M | 13.77M | 8.83M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 10.31M | 11.81M | 9.19M | 15.12M | 9.86M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.52M | -3.82M | -6.29M | -1.16M | -11.65M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -8.81M | -8.24M | -5.20M | -10.88M | 2.53M |
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
0.49
Price Trends
0.44
Negative
0.46
Negative
0.41
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.03
Negative
36.97
Neutral
41.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MFD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.35, above the 50-day MA of 0.44, and above the 200-day MA of 0.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:MFD.
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | AU$84.01M | 11.91 | 17.97% | 9.92% | ― | ― | |
56 Neutral | AU$89.67M | 20.92 | 12.24% | 12.92% | 26.16% | ― | |
48 Neutral | AU$30.07M | 4.70 | -22.15% | 1.67% | -2.81% | -503.02% | |
45 Neutral | AU$25.64M | -1.71 | -44.40% | ― | 18.84% | -1657.69% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
AU:MFD
Mayfield Childcare Ltd.
0.34
-0.10
-22.73%
AU:EVO
Evolve Education Group Ltd
0.41
-0.26
-38.42%
AU:KME
Kip McGrath Education Centres Limited
0.55
0.13
30.38%
AU:NDO
Nido Education Limited
0.40
-0.38
-48.77%
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Corporate Events
Mayfield publishes shareholder distribution after Embark takeover offer closes
Mar 18, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited, an Australian early childhood education provider, runs a portfolio of 45 childcare centres with more than 4,000 licensed places across Victoria, Queensland and South Australia. It targets families seeking high-quality c...
Embark Early Education details top investors as Mayfield takeover advances
Mar 11, 2026
Embark Early Education Limited has lodged documents under stock exchange listing rules in connection with its off-market takeover offer for the ordinary shares of Mayfield Childcare Ltd, following the issue of 179,378 ordinary shares as scrip cons...
Mayfield Childcare Sets Date for 2026 Annual General Meeting
Mar 10, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited, an operator of childcare centres across Victoria, Queensland, and South Australia, provides more than 4,000 childcare places and focuses on high-quality early education and care that surpasses National Quality Standards...
Embark Probes Possible Missed Major Acceptance in Mayfield Takeover
Mar 9, 2026
Embark Early Education has disclosed a potential issue in the final reconciliation of its off‑market takeover bid for Mayfield Childcare, which closed on 5 March 2026. The bidder believes a substantial shareholder’s acceptance may not ...
Mayfield Childcare Outlines FY25 Results with Strong Caution on Forward-Looking Guidance
Mar 2, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has released an investor presentation outlining its FY25 full-year results, framed as general information for shareholders and potential investors. The document emphasizes that it is not an offer or financial product adv...
Mayfield Childcare Swings to Loss but Flags EBITDA Rebound as Turnaround Gains Traction
Feb 27, 2026
Mayfield Childcare reported a 3.7% rise in FY25 revenue to $91.5 million, driven partly by its Precious Cargo acquisition, but underlying EBITDA fell to $2.3 million amid softer first-half trading and rising input costs. The group swung to a statu...
Mayfield Childcare Releases 2025 Directors’ Report and Annual Financial Statements
Feb 27, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has released its Directors’ Report and Annual Financial Statements for the year ended 31 December 2025, outlining its consolidated financial performance and position. The publication of these audited statements pro...
Mayfield Childcare Swings to Heavy Loss as Auditor Flags Related Party Disclosure Issues
Feb 27, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited reported a 3.7% increase in revenue and other income to $91.5 million for the year ended 31 December 2025, but swung to a significant net loss of $21.4 million attributable to members. No dividend was declared or paid fo...
Harvest Lane lifts stake in Mayfield Childcare to nearly 18%
Feb 26, 2026
Harvest Lane Asset Management and its associated entities have increased their substantial holding in Mayfield Childcare Limited, a listed childcare services provider, lifting their voting power from 16.78% to 17.85% of the company’s ordinar...
Embark Clarifies Conditions as Mayfield Takeover Bid Turns Largely Unconditional
Feb 26, 2026
Embark Early Education has updated the market on the status of its off‑market takeover bid for Mayfield Childcare, confirming that all defeating conditions attached to the offer have either been fulfilled or waived. The offer remains subject...
Embark Makes Takeover Bid for Mayfield Childcare Unconditional
Feb 26, 2026
Embark Early Education Limited has confirmed that all defeating conditions attached to its off-market takeover offer for all ordinary shares in Mayfield Childcare have now been either fulfilled or waived, rendering the bid unconditional. As of 26 ...
Embark Makes Mayfield Takeover Bid Unconditional as Stake Tops 20%
Feb 25, 2026
Embark Early Education Limited has moved to progress its off-market takeover bid for all ordinary shares in Mayfield Childcare Limited by declaring its offer free from a key defeating condition. The bid, originally launched in early January, is no...
Mayfield Childcare to Host FY25 Results Webinar for Shareholders
Feb 24, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited, a listed operator of 45 childcare centres across Victoria, Queensland, and South Australia, provides early education and care services to over 4,000 registered children and focuses on exceeding National Quality Standard...
Embark Eases Conditions on Takeover Bid for Mayfield Childcare as Stake Reaches 20.27%
Feb 5, 2026
Embark Early Education Limited has moved to progress its off‑market takeover bid for all ordinary shares in Mayfield Childcare Limited by declaring its offer free from the minimum acceptance and ASX Listing Rule satisfaction conditions. As a...
Mayfield Childcare Issues Q4 FY25 Investor Update With Cautionary Guidance
Feb 2, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has released a Q4 FY25 investor update presentation outlining summary information on its current activities and financial position, prepared for informational purposes for existing and potential investors. The company em...
Mayfield Childcare Lifts Margins and Occupancy Amid Takeover Costs and Sector Pressures
Jan 30, 2026
Mayfield Childcare reported steady fourth-quarter revenue of $23.8 million as occupancy stabilised and operational efficiencies lifted underlying centre EBITDA margin from 11% to 12%, with underlying centre EBITDA rising 7% quarter-on-quarter to $...
Mayfield Childcare Launches Allied Health Arm to Tap NDIS Growth
Jan 29, 2026
Mayfield Childcare has launched Mayfield 360, a new allied health services division that will deliver occupational therapy, speech pathology and developmental services across its early childhood education and care network, integrating clinical sup...
Mayfield Board Urges Shareholders to Reject Embark’s Takeover Bid
Jan 20, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has issued a formal Target’s Statement in response to an unsolicited, conditional off‑market takeover bid from Embark Early Education Limited for all Mayfield ordinary shares, with the Mayfield board unanimou...
Embark Completes Dispatch of Bidder’s Statement in Takeover Bid for Mayfield Childcare
Jan 5, 2026
Embark Early Education Limited has confirmed it has completed dispatch of its replacement bidder’s statement to all eligible shareholders and performance rights holders of Mayfield Childcare Limited, formally commencing its off‑market ...
Embark Early Education Launches Takeover Bid for Mayfield Childcare
Jan 5, 2026
Embark Early Education Limited has launched an off‑market takeover bid to acquire all ordinary shares of Mayfield Childcare Limited, offering shareholders a choice between scrip consideration of one Embark share for every 1.24 Mayfield share...
Embark Updates Takeover Documentation for Mayfield Childcare Bid
Jan 5, 2026
Embark Early Education Limited has issued a replacement bidder’s statement for its previously announced off‑market takeover bid to acquire all ordinary shares in Mayfield Childcare Limited that it does not already own. Under the offer,...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.