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Mayfield Childcare Ltd. (AU:MFD)
ASX:MFD
Australian Market
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Mayfield Childcare Ltd. (MFD) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:MFD

Mayfield Childcare Ltd.

(Sydney:MFD)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.26
â–Ľ(-46.33% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/06/26
The score is held down primarily by weakened financial performance (large FY2025 loss and sharply higher leverage) and bearish technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is only moderate (P/E ~18.3) and, without a dividend yield, provides limited offset to the higher risk profile.
Positive Factors
Positive operating & free cash flow
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow provide durable internal funding for day-to-day operations, capex and working-capital needs. Even after a profit swing, cash generation supports liquidity, reduces immediate refinancing pressure and enables strategic reinvestment over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Large FY2025 net loss
A steep net loss erodes retained earnings and investor equity, signaling material operational or non-operational issues. Persistent negative margins would constrain capital allocation, inhibit dividend capacity and force tougher cost or strategic choices to restore long-term profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Positive operating & free cash flow
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow provide durable internal funding for day-to-day operations, capex and working-capital needs. Even after a profit swing, cash generation supports liquidity, reduces immediate refinancing pressure and enables strategic reinvestment over the next several months.
Read all positive factors

Mayfield Childcare Ltd. (MFD) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Mayfield Childcare Limited provides long day childcare (LDC) services in Victoria, Australia. The company operates 36 LDC centers in Victoria, Queensland, and South Australia. Mayfield Childcare Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Mal...
How the Company Makes Money
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the fees charged to parents and guardians for enrolling their children in its childcare and early learning programs. These fees typically include charges for daycare services, early child...

Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Multi-year revenue growth and still-positive operating/free cash flow are supportive, but FY2025 fundamentals deteriorated sharply: a large net loss (about -23% net margin) alongside a major leverage increase (debt-to-equity ~6.27x) and negative ROE (~-44%). Balance-sheet risk is elevated and profitability needs to stabilize.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue91.41M87.16M76.51M68.98M39.73M
Gross Profit4.90M87.16M3.22M10.25M6.78M
EBITDA15.93M17.54M13.18M20.22M9.99M
Net Income-21.38M239.64K-1.43M4.88M2.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets218.02M246.10M235.71M219.23M226.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments87.70K103.00K362.67K2.66M2.27M
Total Debt303.50M168.63M160.41M141.09M144.08M
Total Liabilities169.62M180.64M170.32M149.45M161.01M
Stockholders Equity48.40M65.46M65.38M69.78M65.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.79M10.56M7.28M13.77M8.83M
Operating Cash Flow10.31M11.81M9.19M15.12M9.86M
Investing Cash Flow-1.52M-3.82M-6.29M-1.16M-11.65M
Financing Cash Flow-8.81M-8.24M-5.20M-10.88M2.53M

Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.49
Price Trends
50DMA
0.42
Negative
100DMA
0.45
Negative
200DMA
0.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
48.58
Neutral
STOCH
65.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MFD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.35, above the 50-day MA of 0.42, and above the 200-day MA of 0.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:MFD.

Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
AU$81.46M4.8617.97%9.92%26.36%11.51%
56
Neutral
AU$79.43M8.525.78%12.92%3.81%-55.52%
48
Neutral
AU$32.00M4.70-22.15%1.67%-3.90%-307.37%
45
Neutral
AU$20.36M18.29-44.40%―4.88%-7759.46%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MFD
Mayfield Childcare Ltd.
0.32
-0.08
-19.23%
AU:EVO
Evolve Education Group Ltd
0.40
-0.23
-36.71%
AU:KME
Kip McGrath Education Centres Limited
0.58
0.18
46.46%
AU:NDO
Nido Education Limited
0.36
-0.39
-52.13%

Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Corporate Events

Mayfield Childcare Posts Operating Cash Outflow but Lifts Cash via New Borrowings
Apr 30, 2026
Mayfield Childcare reported customer receipts of $18.0 million for the March 2026 quarter, but operating cash outflows led to a net operating cash loss of $0.4 million despite $2.9 million in government grants. Investment was modest, with $0.5 mil...
Mayfield Childcare Sets Fully Virtual AGM for May 2026
Apr 24, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has scheduled its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 11:00 a.m. AEST on Tuesday, 26 May 2026, to be held virtually via webinar, with shareholders able to attend online, vote and submit questions in real time. The record dat...
Mayfield Childcare Flags CFO Departure and Plans Orderly Transition
Apr 20, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited, an operator of 45 childcare centres with over 4,000 places across Victoria, Queensland and South Australia, positions itself as a provider of high-quality early childhood education and care. The group is focused on cont...
Mayfield Childcare Files ASX Governance Key, Highlights Compliance Framework
Apr 2, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has lodged its Appendix 4G with the ASX for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, confirming that its corporate governance statement is available on the company’s website and was approved by the board as at 2 ...
Mayfield Childcare Releases 2025 Annual Report
Apr 2, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has released its Annual Report for the year ended 31 December 2025, outlining its operations, governance, strategy, and financial statements. The report includes messages from the Chair and CEO, an overview of its centre...
Mayfield publishes shareholder distribution after Embark takeover offer closes
Mar 18, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited, an Australian early childhood education provider, runs a portfolio of 45 childcare centres with more than 4,000 licensed places across Victoria, Queensland and South Australia. It targets families seeking high-quality c...
Embark Early Education details top investors as Mayfield takeover advances
Mar 11, 2026
Embark Early Education Limited has lodged documents under stock exchange listing rules in connection with its off-market takeover offer for the ordinary shares of Mayfield Childcare Ltd, following the issue of 179,378 ordinary shares as scrip cons...
Mayfield Childcare Sets Date for 2026 Annual General Meeting
Mar 10, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited, an operator of childcare centres across Victoria, Queensland, and South Australia, provides more than 4,000 childcare places and focuses on high-quality early education and care that surpasses National Quality Standards...
Embark Probes Possible Missed Major Acceptance in Mayfield Takeover
Mar 9, 2026
Embark Early Education has disclosed a potential issue in the final reconciliation of its off‑market takeover bid for Mayfield Childcare, which closed on 5 March 2026. The bidder believes a substantial shareholder’s acceptance may not ...
Mayfield Childcare Outlines FY25 Results with Strong Caution on Forward-Looking Guidance
Mar 2, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has released an investor presentation outlining its FY25 full-year results, framed as general information for shareholders and potential investors. The document emphasizes that it is not an offer or financial product adv...
Mayfield Childcare Swings to Loss but Flags EBITDA Rebound as Turnaround Gains Traction
Feb 27, 2026
Mayfield Childcare reported a 3.7% rise in FY25 revenue to $91.5 million, driven partly by its Precious Cargo acquisition, but underlying EBITDA fell to $2.3 million amid softer first-half trading and rising input costs. The group swung to a statu...
Mayfield Childcare Releases 2025 Directors’ Report and Annual Financial Statements
Feb 27, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has released its Directors’ Report and Annual Financial Statements for the year ended 31 December 2025, outlining its consolidated financial performance and position. The publication of these audited statements pro...
Mayfield Childcare Swings to Heavy Loss as Auditor Flags Related Party Disclosure Issues
Feb 27, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited reported a 3.7% increase in revenue and other income to $91.5 million for the year ended 31 December 2025, but swung to a significant net loss of $21.4 million attributable to members. No dividend was declared or paid fo...
Harvest Lane lifts stake in Mayfield Childcare to nearly 18%
Feb 26, 2026
Harvest Lane Asset Management and its associated entities have increased their substantial holding in Mayfield Childcare Limited, a listed childcare services provider, lifting their voting power from 16.78% to 17.85% of the company’s ordinar...
Embark Clarifies Conditions as Mayfield Takeover Bid Turns Largely Unconditional
Feb 26, 2026
Embark Early Education has updated the market on the status of its off‑market takeover bid for Mayfield Childcare, confirming that all defeating conditions attached to the offer have either been fulfilled or waived. The offer remains subject...
Embark Makes Takeover Bid for Mayfield Childcare Unconditional
Feb 26, 2026
Embark Early Education Limited has confirmed that all defeating conditions attached to its off-market takeover offer for all ordinary shares in Mayfield Childcare have now been either fulfilled or waived, rendering the bid unconditional. As of 26 ...
Embark Makes Mayfield Takeover Bid Unconditional as Stake Tops 20%
Feb 25, 2026
Embark Early Education Limited has moved to progress its off-market takeover bid for all ordinary shares in Mayfield Childcare Limited by declaring its offer free from a key defeating condition. The bid, originally launched in early January, is no...
Mayfield Childcare to Host FY25 Results Webinar for Shareholders
Feb 24, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited, a listed operator of 45 childcare centres across Victoria, Queensland, and South Australia, provides early education and care services to over 4,000 registered children and focuses on exceeding National Quality Standard...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 06, 2026