Mayfield Childcare Ltd. (AU:MFD)
ASX:MFD
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Mayfield Childcare Ltd.
(Sydney:MFD)
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Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.31
▼(-37.35% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/06/26
The score is held down primarily by weakened financial performance (large FY2025 loss and sharply higher leverage) and bearish technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is only moderate (P/E ~18.3) and, without a dividend yield, provides limited offset to the higher risk profile.
Positive Factors
Positive free cash flow
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow through FY2025 provides a durable liquidity buffer versus peers. Even amid a large accounting loss, cash generation supports ongoing operations, modest reinvestment and potential debt servicing or restructuring over the next several quarters without immediate equity raises.
Negative Factors
Sharp leverage increase
Debt-to-equity near 6.3x materially elevates financial risk and reduces strategic flexibility. High leverage increases interest and covenant exposure, limits capacity for capex or acquisitions, and raises refinancing and solvency concerns if cash flow weakens further over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Positive free cash flow
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow through FY2025 provides a durable liquidity buffer versus peers. Even amid a large accounting loss, cash generation supports ongoing operations, modest reinvestment and potential debt servicing or restructuring over the next several quarters without immediate equity raises.
Read all positive factors
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. (MFD) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$21.12M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)23.49K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.33
Revenue Growth4.88%
EPS Growth-7759.46%
CountryAU
Employees1,100
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryPersonal Products & Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.28
Shares Outstanding75,424,610
10 Day Avg. Volume24,882
30 Day Avg. Volume23,486
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.76
Price to Sales (P/S)0.40
P/FCF Ratio4.16
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Mayfield Childcare Limited provides long day childcare (LDC) services in Victoria, Australia. The company operates 36 LDC centers in Victoria, Queensland, and South Australia. Mayfield Childcare Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Mal...
How the Company Makes Money
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the fees charged to parents and guardians for enrolling their children in its childcare and early learning programs. These fees typically include charges for daycare services, early child...
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 91.41M | 87.16M | 76.51M | 68.98M | 39.73M |
| Gross Profit | 4.90M | 87.16M | 3.22M | 10.25M | 6.78M |
| EBITDA | 15.93M | 17.54M | 13.18M | 20.22M | 9.99M |
| Net Income | -21.38M | 239.64K | -1.43M | 4.88M | 2.57M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 218.02M | 246.10M | 235.71M | 219.23M | 226.61M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 87.70K | 103.00K | 362.67K | 2.66M | 2.27M |
| Total Debt | 303.50M | 168.63M | 160.41M | 141.09M | 144.08M |
| Total Liabilities | 169.62M | 180.64M | 170.32M | 149.45M | 161.01M |
| Stockholders Equity | 48.40M | 65.46M | 65.38M | 69.78M | 65.61M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 8.79M | 10.56M | 7.28M | 13.77M | 8.83M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 10.31M | 11.81M | 9.19M | 15.12M | 9.86M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.52M | -3.82M | -6.29M | -1.16M | -11.65M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -8.81M | -8.24M | -5.20M | -10.88M | 2.53M |
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
0.49
Price Trends
0.33
Negative
0.40
Negative
0.41
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.01
Positive
36.59
Neutral
19.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MFD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.31, above the 50-day MA of 0.33, and above the 200-day MA of 0.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:MFD.
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | AU$82.48M | 4.83 | 17.97% | 9.92% | 26.36% | 11.51% | |
56 Neutral | AU$70.35M | 10.84 | 5.78% | 12.92% | 3.81% | -55.52% | |
48 Neutral | AU$28.49M | -7.31 | -22.15% | 1.67% | -3.90% | -307.37% | |
45 Neutral | AU$21.12M | -0.99 | -44.40% | ― | 4.88% | -7759.46% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
AU:MFD
Mayfield Childcare Ltd.
0.28
-0.07
-20.00%
AU:EVO
Evolve Education Group Ltd
0.41
-0.22
-35.51%
AU:KME
Kip McGrath Education Centres Limited
0.54
0.15
37.06%
AU:NDO
Nido Education Limited
0.31
-0.38
-55.20%
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. Corporate Events
Mayfield Childcare Reports Lapse of 93,827 Performance Rights
Jun 1, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Ltd. has announced the lapse of 93,827 performance rights, which ceased on May 31, 2026 after the conditions attached to these rights were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. The cessation of these securities effecti...
Mayfield Childcare Appoints New Director Without Equity Stake
May 26, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has appointed Gary Jeffrey Scott as a director effective 26 May 2026, according to an initial director’s interest notice lodged with the ASX. The filing shows that Scott currently holds no ordinary shares, other se...
Mayfield Childcare strengthens board with appointment of sector specialist Gary Scott
May 26, 2026
Mayfield Childcare has appointed Gary Scott as a non-executive director, adding sector-specific operational and regulatory expertise to its board. Scott brings more than four years of experience in early childhood education and care, including mul...
Mayfield Childcare investors back board but reject extra capital-raising mandate
May 26, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited reported the outcomes of its 26 May 2026 Annual General Meeting, where all resolutions were decided by poll in line with corporate and ASX governance requirements. Shareholders passed the remuneration report and confirme...
Mayfield Childcare Targets Sustainable Growth Amid Sector Headwinds
May 26, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has used its latest Annual General Meeting to underscore a year of challenging trading conditions across the early childhood sector, marked by softer demand, margin pressure, regulatory scrutiny and ongoing oversupply. I...
Mayfield Childcare Posts Operating Cash Outflow but Lifts Cash via New Borrowings
Apr 30, 2026
Mayfield Childcare reported customer receipts of $18.0 million for the March 2026 quarter, but operating cash outflows led to a net operating cash loss of $0.4 million despite $2.9 million in government grants. Investment was modest, with $0.5 mil...
Mayfield Childcare Sets Fully Virtual AGM for May 2026
Apr 24, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has scheduled its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 11:00 a.m. AEST on Tuesday, 26 May 2026, to be held virtually via webinar, with shareholders able to attend online, vote and submit questions in real time. The record dat...
Mayfield Childcare Flags CFO Departure and Plans Orderly Transition
Apr 20, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited, an operator of 45 childcare centres with over 4,000 places across Victoria, Queensland and South Australia, positions itself as a provider of high-quality early childhood education and care. The group is focused on cont...
Mayfield Childcare Files ASX Governance Key, Highlights Compliance Framework
Apr 2, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has lodged its Appendix 4G with the ASX for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, confirming that its corporate governance statement is available on the company’s website and was approved by the board as at 2 ...
Mayfield Childcare Releases 2025 Annual Report
Apr 2, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited has released its Annual Report for the year ended 31 December 2025, outlining its operations, governance, strategy, and financial statements. The report includes messages from the Chair and CEO, an overview of its centre...
Mayfield publishes shareholder distribution after Embark takeover offer closes
Mar 18, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited, an Australian early childhood education provider, runs a portfolio of 45 childcare centres with more than 4,000 licensed places across Victoria, Queensland and South Australia. It targets families seeking high-quality c...
Embark Early Education details top investors as Mayfield takeover advances
Mar 11, 2026
Embark Early Education Limited has lodged documents under stock exchange listing rules in connection with its off-market takeover offer for the ordinary shares of Mayfield Childcare Ltd, following the issue of 179,378 ordinary shares as scrip cons...
Mayfield Childcare Sets Date for 2026 Annual General Meeting
Mar 10, 2026
Mayfield Childcare Limited, an operator of childcare centres across Victoria, Queensland, and South Australia, provides more than 4,000 childcare places and focuses on high-quality early education and care that surpasses National Quality Standards...
Embark Probes Possible Missed Major Acceptance in Mayfield Takeover
Mar 9, 2026
Embark Early Education has disclosed a potential issue in the final reconciliation of its off‑market takeover bid for Mayfield Childcare, which closed on 5 March 2026. The bidder believes a substantial shareholder’s acceptance may not ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.