tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Evolve Education Group Ltd (AU:EVO)
ASX:EVO
Australian Market

Evolve Education Group Ltd (EVO) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
15 Followers

Top Page

AU:EVO

Evolve Education Group Ltd

(Sydney:EVO)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.70
▲(7.54% Upside)
The score is primarily supported by improved recent profitability and solid free cash flow, alongside a supportive valuation profile (moderate P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by historical earnings volatility, meaningful leverage, and mixed technical signals with a still-weaker longer-term trend.

Evolve Education Group Ltd (EVO) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Evolve Education Group Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEmbark Education Limited provides early childhood education (ECE) services in New Zealand and Australia. The company operates and manages ECE centers. It operates 109 ECE centers in New Zealand and 23 ECE centers in Australia under the Lollipops, Active Explorers, Learning Adventures, Little Earth Montessori, Little Lights, Little Wonders, and Pascals brand names. The company was formerly known as Evolve Education Group Limited and changed its name to Embark Education Limited in October 2022. Embark Education Limited was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Auckland, New Zealand.
How the Company Makes Money

Evolve Education Group Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2019
Income Statement
Total Revenue96.75M25.37M19.08M19.81M51.75M54.41M
Gross Profit50.61M18.00M13.80M12.72M33.87M39.63M
EBITDA33.30M21.01M14.28M14.64M19.26M-740.00K
Net Income11.87M9.98M8.28M-44.00M741.00K-13.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets211.35M246.74M160.75M167.56M425.02M368.22M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.06M14.74M26.84M17.30M47.58M39.05M
Total Debt132.63M127.33M73.22M76.80M258.54M230.13M
Total Liabilities124.18M141.18M82.44M85.84M293.13M267.44M
Stockholders Equity101.60M105.56M78.31M81.73M131.88M100.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow20.54M17.68M16.03M15.45M33.52M18.69M
Operating Cash Flow21.69M18.69M16.46M19.16M36.59M23.10M
Investing Cash Flow-21.33M-37.98M5.18M16.62M
Financing Cash Flow-1.41M4.39M15.06M

Evolve Education Group Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
AU$136.21M9.9212.24%12.92%26.16%
65
Neutral
AU$134.30M12.5512.33%9.92%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
53
Neutral
AU$173.30M793.750.15%-1.08%
48
Neutral
AU$14.59M-11.46-7.51%1.42%86.97%
48
Neutral
AU$33.45M-6.4210.80%1.67%-2.81%-503.02%
41
Neutral
AU$25.87M-3.80-126.76%-14.55%70.98%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:EVO
Evolve Education Group Ltd
0.66
-0.05
-7.04%
AU:AKG
Academies Australasia Group Limited
0.11
>-0.01
-8.33%
AU:CLU
Cluey Ltd
0.06
0.02
61.54%
AU:3PL
3P Learning Ltd.
0.64
-0.16
-19.62%
AU:KME
Kip McGrath Education Centres Limited
0.60
0.15
33.33%
AU:NDO
Nido Education Limited
0.60
-0.11
-15.13%

Evolve Education Group Ltd Corporate Events

Embark Early Education Plans Placement of Nearly 61m New Shares
Dec 21, 2025

Embark Early Education Limited has announced a proposed placement of up to 60,895,614 new fully paid ordinary shares, with an expected issue date of 19 March 2026. The capital raising, detailed in its Appendix 3B filing, signals a move to bolster the company’s funding base, which may support future growth initiatives or balance sheet flexibility and could lead to dilution for existing shareholders depending on the final pricing and allocation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EVO) stock is a Buy with a A$1.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolve Education Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Embark Early Education Issues 20 Million New Shares to Sophisticated Investors
Dec 19, 2025

Embark Early Education Limited has issued 20 million fully paid ordinary shares to sophisticated and professional investors, expanding its capital base without a full disclosure document under Australian corporations law. The company confirmed it remains compliant with its financial reporting and continuous disclosure obligations and stated that there is no excluded information requiring disclosure, positioning the new shares to trade freely on the ASX and signalling routine capital management rather than a response to undisclosed events.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EVO) stock is a Buy with a A$1.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolve Education Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Embark Early Education Launches Off‑Market Takeover Bid for Mayfield Childcare
Dec 19, 2025

Embark Early Education Limited has launched an off‑market takeover bid for all ordinary shares in fellow childcare operator Mayfield Childcare Limited, offering Mayfield shareholders a choice between scrip consideration of one Embark share for every 1.24 Mayfield shares or a cash payment of A$0.50 per Mayfield share, with scrip as the default if no election is made. The move signals further consolidation in the early education sector and, if successful, would expand Embark’s footprint and scale in the childcare market, potentially strengthening its competitive position and influencing returns and options available to Mayfield’s existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EVO) stock is a Buy with a A$1.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolve Education Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Embark Early Education Seeks ASX Quotation for 20 Million New Shares
Dec 19, 2025

Embark Early Education Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 20 million new fully paid ordinary shares under the ticker EVO, with the securities issued on 19 December 2025. The move increases the company’s quoted share capital and may provide additional funding capacity and liquidity, potentially supporting future growth initiatives and strengthening its position in the competitive early education and childcare market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EVO) stock is a Buy with a A$1.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolve Education Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Embark Early Education Announces Capital Raising and Takeover Bid
Dec 15, 2025

Embark Early Education Limited, operating under the ticker EVO, is involved in the education sector, focusing on early childhood education services. The company has announced a capital raising initiative through the issuance of new shares to professional, sophisticated, and institutional investors. Additionally, Embark is launching an off-market takeover bid for Mayfield Childcare Limited. This strategic move is expected to potentially impact Embark’s operations and market positioning, although the financial and operational implications are subject to various risks and uncertainties.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EVO) stock is a Buy with a A$1.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolve Education Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Embark Early Education Limited Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Dec 15, 2025

Embark Early Education Limited has announced a proposed issue of 20,000,000 ordinary fully paid securities, with a planned issue date of December 19, 2025. This move is part of a placement or other type of issue, as per the ASX Listing Rules, and could potentially impact the company’s capital structure and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EVO) stock is a Buy with a A$1.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolve Education Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Embark Early Education Secures $12 Million for Strategic Expansion
Dec 15, 2025

Embark Early Education Limited has successfully raised $12 million through a placement to professional and sophisticated investors at a price of $0.60 per share, representing a discount to recent trading prices. The funds will be used to support a takeover bid for Mayfield Childcare Limited and cover transaction costs, with strong backing from existing and new investors, enhancing Embark’s strategic positioning in the childcare industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EVO) stock is a Buy with a A$1.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolve Education Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Embark Early Education Initiates Trading Halt for Capital Raising
Dec 12, 2025

Embark Early Education Limited, listed on the ASX under the ticker EVO, has requested a trading halt on its securities pending a significant announcement. The halt is related to a proposed material capital raising, and the company expects to resume trading by December 16, 2025, unless the announcement is made sooner.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EVO) stock is a Buy with a A$1.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolve Education Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Embark Early Education Adjusts Timeline for Mayfield Childcare Takeover Bid
Nov 21, 2025

Embark Early Education Limited has announced a revision to its previously stated timeline for a conditional off-market takeover bid for Mayfield Childcare Limited. The company is adjusting the indicative dates for lodging and dispatching its Bidder’s Statement, with the new dates set for no later than 19 December 2025 for ASIC lodgement and 5 January 2026 for dispatch. This move indicates Embark’s strategic efforts to consolidate its position in the childcare sector, potentially impacting stakeholders and market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EVO) stock is a Buy with a A$1.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolve Education Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Embark Early Education Announces FY2025 Interim Dividend
Nov 19, 2025

Embark Early Education Limited has announced a quarterly interim dividend payment of AUD0.015 per share for FY2025, which will be fully franked. The ex-dividend date is set for 25 November 2025, with the record date on 26 November 2025, and payment to be made on 17 December 2025, reflecting the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EVO) stock is a Buy with a A$1.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolve Education Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Embark Early Education Announces Takeover Bid for Mayfield Childcare
Nov 6, 2025

Embark Early Education Limited has announced its intention to make an off-market takeover bid for the remaining shares of Mayfield Childcare Limited that it does not already own. The offer values Mayfield’s share capital at approximately A$37.71 million, representing a significant premium over recent trading prices. The acquisition is expected to expand Embark’s operations from 39 to 84 centers, enhancing its capacity to deliver improved educational and care outcomes while maintaining financial stability. The offer is subject to several conditions, including achieving a 90% interest in Mayfield’s issued shares and meeting ASX requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EVO) stock is a Buy with a A$1.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolve Education Group Ltd stock, see the AU:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026