tiprankstipranks
IDP Education Ltd. (AU:IEL)
ASX:IEL
Want to see AU:IEL full AI Analyst Report?

IDP Education Ltd. (IEL) AI Stock Analysis

140 Followers

Top Page

AU:IEL

IDP Education Ltd.

(Sydney:IEL)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
AU$3.00
▼(-41.75% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/30/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening financial performance (declining revenue, margins, and free cash flow) and a clearly bearish technical trend (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is neutral-to-slightly supportive (P/E 17.68 and a 2.41% dividend yield), but not enough to outweigh the fundamental and momentum headwinds.
Positive Factors
IELTS co-ownership and test delivery
Ownership and delivery role in IELTS provides a durable, recurring revenue stream from global test fees tied to study, migration and work demand. This confers scale, recognised credential leadership and long-term customer flow that supports predictable cash generation and market position.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue growth
Sustained revenue decline reduces operating scale, bargaining power with partner institutions and the ability to cover fixed costs. If persistent, it compresses margins, limits reinvestment in product and market expansion, and undermines long-term competitiveness in international education services.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
IELTS co-ownership and test delivery
Ownership and delivery role in IELTS provides a durable, recurring revenue stream from global test fees tied to study, migration and work demand. This confers scale, recognised credential leadership and long-term customer flow that supports predictable cash generation and market position.
Read all positive factors

IDP Education Ltd. (IEL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

IDP Education Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
IDP Education Limited engages in the placement of students into education institutions in Australia, the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada, New Zealand, and Ireland. Its services include counselling, application processing, pre-departure g...
How the Company Makes Money
IEL primarily makes money from two major activities: (1) student placement services and (2) English language testing through IELTS. In student placement, IDP advises prospective international students, matches them with suitable courses and instit...

IDP Education Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are pressured by declining revenue growth (-5.26%), weaker profitability (net margin down to 5.05%) and lower EBIT/EBITDA margins. The balance sheet is relatively stable with moderate leverage (debt-to-equity 0.74), but free cash flow fell sharply (-25.58%) and cash conversion (operating cash flow to net income below 1) is a key concern.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue865.17M882.20M1.04B977.83M790.59M525.55M
Gross Profit264.55M882.20M408.40M374.83M270.52M133.34M
EBITDA136.30M149.55M269.27M268.15M193.65M99.43M
Net Income7.71M44.51M132.75M148.52M102.60M39.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.18B1.28B1.26B1.23B974.79M695.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments119.23M121.48M121.10M166.63M196.61M306.95M
Total Debt476.66M394.63M395.66M329.56M256.41M143.10M
Total Liabilities724.98M744.97M732.95M716.02M519.42M307.45M
Stockholders Equity449.26M533.16M522.57M517.17M455.68M388.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow111.75M71.75M61.79M131.33M110.99M96.76M
Operating Cash Flow119.78M132.63M116.67M170.28M140.63M116.90M
Investing Cash Flow-50.08M-51.29M-88.49M-124.11M-290.28M-19.65M
Financing Cash Flow-101.56M-68.72M-81.76M-75.21M37.51M-95.72M

IDP Education Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.15
Price Trends
50DMA
3.60
Negative
100DMA
4.51
Negative
200DMA
4.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Negative
RSI
28.75
Positive
STOCH
38.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:IEL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.05, above the 50-day MA of 3.60, and above the 200-day MA of 4.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 28.75 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:IEL.

IDP Education Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
59
Neutral
AU$776.04M17.681.57%2.33%-6.92%-91.90%
58
Neutral
AU$87.57M4.8617.97%9.92%26.36%11.51%
56
Neutral
AU$76.02M8.525.78%12.92%3.81%-55.52%
48
Neutral
AU$58.67M119.490.87%-0.72%
48
Neutral
AU$29.79M4.70-22.15%1.67%-3.90%-307.37%
44
Neutral
AU$123.45M-0.40-43.21%7.86%-6.74%-579.00%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:IEL
IDP Education Ltd.
2.76
-6.11
-68.87%
AU:EVO
Evolve Education Group Ltd
0.43
-0.23
-34.85%
AU:GEM
G8 Education Limited
0.17
-1.07
-86.31%
AU:3PL
3P Learning Ltd.
0.21
-0.45
-68.18%
AU:KME
Kip McGrath Education Centres Limited
0.55
0.15
36.59%
AU:NDO
Nido Education Limited
0.34
-0.39
-53.73%

IDP Education Ltd. Corporate Events

IDP Education Issues New Shares Following Conversion of Unquoted Securities
May 8, 2026
IDP Education Ltd. has notified the market of the issue of 38,081 fully paid ordinary shares, following the conversion or exercise of previously unquoted equity securities. The new shares, issued on April 30, 2026, reflect the company’s ongo...
Greencape Capital Cuts Stake Below Substantial Holder Level in IDP Education
Apr 30, 2026
Greencape Capital Pty Ltd has lodged a notice with the ASX stating it has ceased to be a substantial holder in IDP Education Limited. The change indicates that Greencape’s voting interest in IDP has fallen below the substantial holding thres...
Challenger Exits Substantial Shareholder Position in IDP Education
Apr 30, 2026
Challenger Limited has notified the market that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in IDP Education Limited, lodging a formal notice with the ASX. The filing, signed by Challenger’s company secretary, confirms that Challenger and its a...
IDP Education Reports Lapse of 2,263 Performance Rights
Apr 9, 2026
IDP Education Ltd., the ASX-listed education services provider, reported a change in its issued capital structure following the lapse of certain performance rights. The affected securities, identified as IELAB performance rights, ceased on March 3...
Citigroup Group Entities Cease to Be Substantial Holders in IDP Education
Mar 10, 2026
Citigroup Global Markets Australia and related Citi group entities have notified IDP Education that they have ceased to be substantial shareholders in the company as of 6 March 2026. The change results from a series of transactions, primarily redu...
JPMorgan Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in IDP Education
Mar 9, 2026
JPMorgan Chase Co and its affiliates have lodged a notice stating they have ceased to be a substantial holder in IDP Education Ltd. The change reflects various securities lending, prime brokerage rehypothecation and principal trading transactions...
JPMorgan Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in IDP Education
Mar 1, 2026
JPMorgan Chase Co and its affiliates have notified IDP Education that they have ceased to be a substantial holder in the company as of 25 February 2026. The change reflects adjustments in holdings arising from securities lending activities and pr...
IDP Education Issues Cautious H1 FY26 Financial Results Update
Feb 25, 2026
IDP Education released a brief H1 FY26 financial results update document dated 26 February 2026, outlining that the material is general background information and subject to important disclaimers. The company clarified that the figures are express...
IDP Education lifts FY26 profit guidance as transformation drives yield and cost gains
Feb 25, 2026
IDP Education reported H1 FY26 revenue of $462.2 million, down 6%, as a deliberate focus on profitable growth lifted student placement yields by 15% and language testing yields by 8%, partly offsetting lower volumes. Adjusted EBIT fell 14% to $87....
IDP Education Profit Slumps as Revenue Falls and Accounting Change Takes Effect
Feb 25, 2026
IDP Education reported revenue of $462.2 million for the half-year ended 31 December 2025, down 5% from the prior corresponding period, with statutory net profit attributable to owners falling 66% to $22.7 million. The company’s net tangible...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026