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Home Consortium Ltd (AU:HMC)
ASX:HMC

Home Consortium Ltd (HMC) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:HMC

Home Consortium Ltd

(Sydney:HMC)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
AU$3.00
â–²(7.91% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/03/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial statement performance (growth, high margins, and low leverage) but is materially weighed down by weak cash flow generation and very bearish technical signals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is mixed: the dividend yield helps, but the negative P/E reduces valuation clarity.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth of ~30% indicates durable top-line expansion and expanding market demand. Over a 2–6 month horizon this supports scalable revenue streams, enhances bargaining power with suppliers, and provides a stronger base for reinvestment in products or geographic expansion, improving long-term competitive positioning.
High Profitability
Very high gross and net margins suggest a strong cost structure and pricing power that cushions earnings against input cost swings. Durable margin strength supports reinvestment, dividend capacity and returns to shareholders, and provides a margin buffer that aids survival through medium-term industry cycles.
Conservative Balance Sheet
Extremely low leverage and a high equity ratio provide financial flexibility and resilience to downturns. This conservatism allows the company to fund strategic initiatives, acquisitions or capex without stretching liquidity, reducing refinancing risk and supporting sustained operations and capital allocation decisions.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Generation
Sharply negative free cash flow growth and very low operating cash flow relative to net income indicate weak cash conversion. This structural cash shortfall limits the firm's ability to self-fund capex, pay consistent dividends or pursue growth without external funding, raising long-term funding risk.
Declining Operational Margins
Falling EBIT and EBITDA margins signal eroding operational efficiency or rising costs. If persistent, margin contraction will reduce core earnings power, strain free cash flow generation and force either price increases or structural cost actions, both of which take time and can weaken competitive positioning.
Earnings Volatility / EPS Decline
A ~-101% EPS change indicates significant earnings instability or one-off impacts. Persistent earnings volatility undermines forecasting, complicates capital allocation, and reduces confidence in sustained profitability and dividend policy, creating medium-term uncertainty for investors and lenders.

Home Consortium Ltd (HMC) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Home Consortium Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHome Consortium Limited, together with its subsidiaries, owns and manages real estate focused funds in Australia. The company operates hyper-convenience retail centers. Its property portfolio consists of 53 shopping centers under the HomeCo brand name. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyHome Consortium Ltd generates revenue primarily through the sale of retail products in its large format stores. The company earns money from direct sales of furniture, homeware, and appliances, and also benefits from leasing space to various retailers within its shopping centers. Additionally, HMC may have partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers, allowing for bulk purchasing agreements that reduce costs and improve profit margins. Other revenue streams may include online sales and e-commerce initiatives that cater to a growing customer base seeking convenience. The strategic location of HMC stores in key markets also contributes significantly to customer foot traffic and overall sales performance.

Home Consortium Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth (+30.08%) and very high profitability (gross margin 93.98%, net margin 59.11%) support the score, alongside low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.08) and a strong equity base (equity ratio 76.06%). The main offset is weak cash conversion and deterioration in free cash flow (FCF growth -157.14%; operating cash flow to net income 0.14), which raises sustainability risk.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Home Consortium Ltd has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 30.08% increase in the latest year, indicating robust expansion. The company maintains high profitability with a gross profit margin of 93.98% and a net profit margin of 59.11%, showcasing efficient cost management. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to previous years, suggesting potential pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company exhibits a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, indicating conservative leverage. The return on equity is moderate at 8.88%, reflecting reasonable profitability relative to shareholder investment. The equity ratio of 76.06% suggests a strong equity base, enhancing financial stability. However, the decline in return on equity compared to earlier periods may indicate challenges in generating higher returns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow analysis reveals concerns with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -157.14%, highlighting potential cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.14, suggesting limited cash generation relative to profits. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio further underscores cash flow challenges, which could impact future investments and operations.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue194.20M249.20M81.40M69.53M78.69M69.80M
Gross Profit193.20M234.20M81.10M44.56M64.34M46.37M
EBITDA67.50M91.90M147.70M19.04M42.99M4.49M
Net Income-2.60M147.30M66.00M57.10M77.25M-54.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.45B2.18B1.79B1.34B912.95M982.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments574.80M665.30M247.30M115.67M57.55M11.69M
Total Debt540.50M138.10M202.00M89.98M4.34M255.24M
Total Liabilities1.64B299.20M281.00M144.42M66.95M271.43M
Stockholders Equity1.65B1.66B1.22B1.03B846.00M706.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.20M-15.90M69.60M34.06M15.19M25.78M
Operating Cash Flow26.80M31.00M69.60M34.06M18.53M25.78M
Investing Cash Flow9.50M-98.40M-161.70M-254.03M319.50M-154.21M
Financing Cash Flow43.00M1.70M298.70M211.19M-292.17M110.55M

Home Consortium Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.78
Price Trends
50DMA
3.59
Negative
100DMA
3.42
Negative
200DMA
3.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.33
Positive
RSI
27.53
Positive
STOCH
11.46
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:HMC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.94, below the 50-day MA of 3.59, and below the 200-day MA of 3.62, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.53 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.46 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:HMC.

Home Consortium Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
AU$2.56B2.948.25%6.09%2.70%205.08%
70
Outperform
AU$1.70B5.418.46%1.81%6.96%815.99%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
60
Neutral
AU$998.35M24.03-0.16%3.17%206.14%101.96%
57
Neutral
AU$916.00M5.681.70%7.11%4.69%―
53
Neutral
AU$606.30M2.79-1.91%8.63%-4.50%88.28%
48
Neutral
AU$561.62M9.71-26.73%―-38.91%-453.73%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:HMC
Home Consortium Ltd
2.42
-5.41
-69.08%
AU:COF
Centuria Office REIT
1.02
-0.03
-3.24%
AU:HDN
HomeCo Daily Needs REIT
1.23
0.15
13.85%
AU:INA
Ingenia Communities Group
4.16
-1.14
-21.57%
AU:LIC
Lifestyle Communities Ltd
4.62
-3.03
-39.61%
AU:ABG
Abacus Property Group
1.03
-0.03
-2.94%

Home Consortium Ltd Corporate Events

HMC Capital Director Increases Shareholding Through Equity Fee Conversion
Feb 25, 2026

HMC Capital has disclosed a change in director Fiona Pak-Poy’s holdings following the exercise of equity rights linked to her board remuneration. Pak-Poy converted part of her rights to acquire fully paid ordinary shares in lieu of board fees for the 2026 financial year under the company’s Non-Executive Director Equity Plan, increasing her direct shareholding while reducing her outstanding rights balance.

After the transaction on 25 February 2026, Pak-Poy’s direct interest rose to 12,122 fully paid ordinary shares, alongside 7,846 remaining rights to acquire additional shares. The change reflects HMC Capital’s continued use of equity-based compensation for non-executive directors, aligning board incentives more closely with shareholder outcomes without involving any on-market trades or cash consideration.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Hold with a A$3.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

HMC Capital Director Increases Stake via Equity Fee Plan
Feb 25, 2026

HMC Capital Limited has disclosed a change in director Christopher Roberts’ interests following the exercise of equity rights granted in lieu of board fees. Roberts acquired 8,560 fully paid ordinary shares through the company’s Non-Executive Director Equity Plan, with no shares disposed in the process.

The transaction increases Roberts’ direct shareholding while his indirect interests through Romaxis Pty Ltd and Acemed Pty Ltd remain unchanged. The move reinforces equity-based remuneration for non-executive directors, further aligning board incentives with shareholder outcomes and signalling continued commitment to the company’s long-term performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Hold with a A$3.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

HMC Capital Director Increases Shareholding via Equity Fee Plan
Feb 25, 2026

HMC Capital has disclosed a change in director Susan Roberts’ holdings following the exercise of equity rights related to her board remuneration. Roberts converted 9,986 rights into fully paid ordinary shares at no cash consideration, increasing her direct shareholding to 88,314 shares while her remaining rights balance decreased.

The transaction represents the first tranche of two under the Non-Executive Director Equity Plan, through which board fees for FY26 are partly taken in equity rather than cash. This move further aligns the director’s interests with those of shareholders but does not involve any on-market trading or change in contractual interests, signalling a routine governance and remuneration-related adjustment.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Hold with a A$3.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

HMC Capital Director Boosts Equity Stake via Board Fee Share Rights
Feb 25, 2026

HMC Capital director Kelly O’Dwyer has increased her total holding of fully paid ordinary shares through the exercise of rights granted under the company’s Non-Executive Director Equity Plan. The transaction involved converting rights to acquire shares in lieu of board fees for the 2026 financial year, resulting in a higher direct shareholding while indirect interests via the Jonkel Family Trust remain unchanged.

The change signals continued alignment of the director’s remuneration with shareholder outcomes by taking equity instead of cash board fees. This equity-based compensation structure reinforces governance practices that link board incentives to company performance, which may be viewed positively by investors focused on director ownership and long-term value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Hold with a A$3.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

HMC Capital Director Increases Equity Stake via Board Fee Rights
Feb 25, 2026

HMC Capital has disclosed a change in director Gregory Hayes’ interests, with his direct holding increasing through the exercise of rights to acquire fully paid ordinary shares in lieu of board fees for the 2026 financial year. Following the transaction, Hayes now holds a larger direct stake in HMC Capital while his indirect holdings via the Hayes Family superannuation structure remain unchanged, underscoring ongoing alignment of board remuneration with shareholder interests.

The adjustment arose from the first tranche of two under the Non-Executive Director Equity Plan, with 7,846 new shares acquired and no shares disposed. This move modestly increases director equity exposure and reinforces the company’s practice of compensating non-executive directors in part through equity, which can support long-term governance and shareholder value alignment.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Hold with a A$3.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

HMC Capital Issues 62,771 New Shares on Conversion of Unquoted Securities
Feb 25, 2026

HMC Capital Limited has notified the market of the issue of 62,771 new ordinary fully paid shares, following the exercise or conversion of previously unquoted equity securities. The new shares were issued on 25 February 2026, modestly expanding the company’s share base and reflecting the crystallisation of existing rights rather than a fresh capital raising.

The issuance arises from unquoted options or other convertible securities being converted into listed equity, transitioning previously contingent instruments into tradable shares on the ASX. This move slightly dilutes existing shareholders but also signals ongoing alignment of incentives for holders of those converted instruments and a continued maturation of the company’s capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Hold with a A$3.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

HMC Capital Declares A$0.06 Interim Dividend for December 2025 Half
Feb 23, 2026

HMC Capital Limited has declared a semi-annual dividend of A$0.06 per ordinary fully paid share for the six-month period ended 31 December 2025. The distribution underscores the company’s ongoing practice of returning cash to investors and may be seen by shareholders as a sign of stable underlying earnings and capital management discipline.

The dividend will trade ex on 3 March 2026, with a record date of 4 March 2026 and payment scheduled for 9 April 2026. The timetable provides clarity for investors planning income and portfolio decisions, and signals continued engagement with capital markets through predictable shareholder distributions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Buy with a A$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

HMC Capital lifts recurring earnings, reaffirms FY26 profit target as platforms scale
Feb 23, 2026

HMC Capital reported strong growth in recurring funds management earnings for the half year to 31 December 2025, with management fees up 34% to $84.5 million and assets under management rising to $19.5 billion. The group declared a 6.0 cent interim dividend and reaffirmed its FY26 pre-tax operating EPS target of at least 40 cents per share, supported by $1.6 billion of net tangible assets and undrawn debt.

Operationally, the real estate platform expanded to $10.2 billion AUM and advanced over $1.0 billion of deployment opportunities, while private credit AUM grew 13% to $2.2 billion on strong inflows and a $4 billion deal pipeline. The energy transition business secured a $603 million strategic investment from KKR to scale a 5.7GW development pipeline, and digital infrastructure continued to build out data centre capacity and pursue initiatives aimed at narrowing the valuation discount of its listed vehicle.

Management highlighted that recurring earnings are now at their strongest level, even as lower non-recurring performance fees and mark-to-market movements weighed on the result. The company expects FY26 funds management EBITDA of about $85 million and investment income of at least $85 million, positioning the group for continued growth and potential value creation despite recent share price weakness.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Buy with a A$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

HMC Capital Profit Slumps as Revenue Falls but Dividends and Associate Earnings Hold Up
Feb 23, 2026

HMC Capital Limited reported a sharp decline in performance for the half-year ended 31 December 2025, with revenue from ordinary activities falling 25% to $95.5 million and profit after tax attributable to owners dropping 90% to $17.0 million. Net profit including non-controlling interests plunged 98% to $5.8 million, while net tangible assets per share slipped from $3.61 to $3.43, indicating some erosion in underlying balance sheet strength.

Despite the profit downturn, HMC Capital maintained shareholder returns, paying a 6.0 cent final dividend for the 2025 financial year and declaring a 6.0 cent interim dividend for the 2026 year, of which 1.0 cent is franked. The group continued to reshape its portfolio, acquiring 100% of Neoen’s Victorian portfolio, classified as held for sale, and benefitted from stronger contributions from its associates, with profits from stakes in its REITs and trusts rising to $27.2 million, underscoring the growing importance of its capital-light, partnership-driven model.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Buy with a A$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

HMC Capital Secures $603m KKR Partnership to Accelerate Energy Transition Platform
Feb 5, 2026

HMC Capital has entered a strategic partnership with KKR under which KKR-managed funds will invest up to $603 million in HMC’s Energy Transition Platform, providing preferred equity to back both existing 652MW operating assets and a 5.7GW pipeline of battery storage and wind projects. The deal, structured as a seven-year preferred equity instrument with no recourse to HMC, immediately delivers $355 million and up to a further $248 million to fund 90% of the equity needed for the first BESS project, enabling repayment of mezzanine and corporate debt, reducing HMC’s capital invested in the platform to about $200 million, and positioning the platform for material capacity growth while giving KKR a future minority equity stake and HMC ongoing fee income and balance-sheet flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Hold with a A$4.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

HMC Capital Sets February Timetable for Half-Year Results Across REIT Platform
Jan 19, 2026

HMC Capital and its listed vehicles HomeCo Daily Needs REIT, DigiCo Infrastructure REIT and HealthCo Healthcare & Wellness REIT have announced the timetable for releasing their half-year financial results for the period to 31 December 2025, with separate dates set in February 2026 for each entity. The companies will host investor conference calls and webcasts, supported by pre-registration links and accompanying investor briefing presentations, signalling a coordinated investor relations effort that allows stakeholders to prepare for upcoming earnings disclosures and assess performance across the group’s diversified real asset and infrastructure platforms.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Buy with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

HMC Capital Options Lapse Trims Potential Future Share Dilution
Jan 14, 2026

HMC Capital Limited, an Australian investment and asset management firm, has updated the market on changes to its issued capital following the lapse of certain equity-related instruments. The company announced that 69,444 options, exercisable at $4.78 and due to expire on 30 September 2030, have ceased due to the non-satisfaction or incapability of satisfying the conditions attached to these rights as of 24 November 2025, slightly reducing potential future share dilution for existing shareholders and clarifying the structure of its outstanding securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Buy with a A$6.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

HMC Capital Cancels 336,276 Lapsed Performance Rights
Jan 14, 2026

HMC Capital Limited has announced the cessation of 336,276 performance rights that lapsed on 10 December 2025 after the conditions attached to those rights were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. The lapse of these performance rights reduces the company’s potential future share issuance under its incentive arrangements, slightly limiting prospective equity dilution for existing shareholders and signalling that certain performance or service hurdles tied to this tranche were not achieved.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Buy with a A$6.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

HMC Capital to Issue 200,000 Unquoted Options Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Jan 14, 2026

HMC Capital Limited has notified the market of the planned issue of 200,000 unquoted options under its employee incentive scheme, with each option expiring on 30 September 2030 and exercisable at $4.78. The issuance, scheduled for 1 October 2025, is intended to form part of the company’s long-term remuneration and retention framework, further aligning employee interests with shareholders and signalling continued use of equity-based incentives to support its growth and capital management strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Buy with a A$6.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

HMC Capital Issues 120,493 New Shares on Conversion of Unquoted Securities
Jan 14, 2026

HMC Capital Limited has issued 120,493 new fully paid ordinary shares following the exercise or conversion of previously unquoted options or other convertible securities. The move modestly increases the company’s share base and reflects the crystallisation of equity incentives or conversion arrangements, which may slightly dilute existing shareholders while signalling ongoing participation by holders of unquoted securities in the listed equity of the business.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Buy with a A$6.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

HMC Capital Issues Nearly 5 Million Unquoted Performance Rights Under Incentive Scheme
Jan 14, 2026

HMC Capital Limited has disclosed the issue of 4,991,198 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, with an issue date of 10 December 2025. The new grant of performance rights, which will not be quoted on the ASX, underscores the company’s continued use of equity-based remuneration to align staff incentives with shareholder interests and support the retention and motivation of key personnel.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Buy with a A$6.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

HMC Capital’s Kentbruck Wind Farm Wins Green Light from Victorian Government
Jan 6, 2026

HMC Capital has welcomed the Victorian Planning Minister’s positive assessment of the 600 MW Kentbruck Wind Farm, a key asset within its Energy Transition platform that aligns with rising demand for clean power from consumer, industrial and emerging AI users. The project, now cleared to proceed following Victoria’s rigorous Environment Effects Statement process, will comprise up to 105 turbines capable of generating around 2,000 GWh of renewable energy annually—enough to power roughly 380,000 homes—while creating about 350 construction jobs and 14 ongoing roles, supporting the Portland aluminium smelter, and reinforcing HMC’s positioning in energy transition infrastructure ahead of an anticipated capital-partnering update in February 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HMC) stock is a Buy with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Home Consortium Ltd stock, see the AU:HMC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 03, 2026