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Centuria Office REIT (AU:COF)
ASX:COF

Centuria Office REIT (COF) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:COF

Centuria Office REIT

(Sydney:COF)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.00
▼(-11.50% Downside)
Centuria Office REIT's overall stock score is driven by mixed financial performance and valuation concerns. While the company benefits from strong gross profit margins and a high dividend yield, challenges with profitability and rising leverage are significant risks. Technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, with the stock trading near its moving averages.
Positive Factors
Strong Gross Profit Margins
The strong gross profit margins indicate effective cost management, which is crucial for maintaining profitability and competitive pricing in the long term.
Positive Operating Cash Flows
Positive operating cash flows ensure that the company can meet its short-term liabilities and reinvest in its business, supporting sustainable growth.
High Dividend Yield
A high dividend yield can attract income-focused investors, providing a stable investor base and supporting stock price stability.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
Rising leverage can increase financial risk, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and affecting long-term financial stability.
Negative Net Income
Consistent net losses undermine profitability and can erode shareholder value, impacting the company's ability to sustain operations and growth.
Declining Free Cash Flow
Declining free cash flow limits the company's ability to fund new projects and expansions, potentially hindering long-term growth prospects.

Centuria Office REIT (COF) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Centuria Office REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCOF is Australia's largest ASX listed pure play office REIT and is included in the S&P/ASX300 Index. COF owns a portfolio of high quality assets situated in core office markets throughout Australia. COF is overseen by a hands-on, active manager and provides investors with income and the opportunity for capital growth from a pure play portfolio of high-quality Australian office assets. Centuria Property Funds Limited (CPFL) is the Responsible Entity for the ASX listed Centuria Office REIT (COF). CPFL, is a wholly owned subsidiary of Centuria Capital Group (CNI). CNI is an ASX-listed specialist investment manager with $10.2 billion in total assets under management and offers a range of investment opportunities including listed and unlisted property funds as well as tax effective investment bonds.
How the Company Makes MoneyCenturia Office REIT generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of office properties. The company leases its properties to a diverse range of tenants, which provides a steady stream of cash flow. Additionally, COF benefits from potential capital appreciation of its properties, which can enhance overall returns for its investors. The REIT's revenue model is supported by long-term leases that often include rent escalations, ensuring predictable income growth. Strategic partnerships with property managers and real estate professionals also contribute to optimizing property performance and occupancy rates. Furthermore, COF may engage in property acquisitions and developments that align with its investment strategy, further diversifying its revenue streams.

Centuria Office REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Centuria Office REIT shows mixed financial performance. Strong gross profit margins and positive operating cash flows are offset by challenges with profitability and rising leverage. Negative net income and declining free cash flow growth rate raise concerns about financial stability.
Income Statement
Centuria Office REIT has experienced fluctuating revenue growth, with a slight increase in the most recent year. However, the company has faced consistent net losses, leading to negative net profit margins. The gross profit margin remains strong, indicating efficient cost management, but the declining EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The debt-to-equity ratio has increased over the years, indicating rising leverage, which could pose financial risks. The return on equity has been negative recently, reflecting the company's inability to generate profits from shareholders' equity. However, the equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow remains positive, with a strong coverage ratio, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow has seen a decline, which could impact future investments. The consistent free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.0 suggests that all net income is being converted into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue153.90M153.53M161.58M167.28M167.02M161.81M
Gross Profit142.69M142.69M99.08M106.56M109.12M109.10M
EBITDA36.98M28.89M88.35M107.22M134.30M111.43M
Net Income-19.78M-19.78M-168.75M-91.93M115.02M76.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.95B1.95B1.98B2.31B2.41B2.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.50M8.50M17.50M17.29M26.56M15.64M
Total Debt901.52M901.52M857.03M926.12M861.10M733.46M
Total Liabilities955.05M955.05M901.93M994.67M918.27M793.87M
Stockholders Equity995.81M995.81M1.08B1.32B1.49B1.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow52.80M53.27M63.79M71.65M95.31M103.97M
Operating Cash Flow52.80M53.27M63.79M71.65M95.31M103.97M
Investing Cash Flow-40.71M-40.71M81.21M-54.53M-317.89M14.14M
Financing Cash Flow-19.17M-21.55M-144.91M-26.39M233.50M-131.27M

Centuria Office REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.13
Price Trends
50DMA
1.13
Negative
100DMA
1.15
Negative
200DMA
1.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
47.58
Neutral
STOCH
20.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:COF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.11, above the 50-day MA of 1.13, and below the 200-day MA of 1.15, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:COF.

Centuria Office REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
AU$843.94M10.027.99%6.09%-8.67%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
63
Neutral
AU$342.79M9.555.37%7.69%17.85%
57
Neutral
AU$1.06B39.371.70%7.11%4.69%
54
Neutral
AU$1.19B-19.87-9.33%6.12%-5.64%89.16%
53
Neutral
AU$669.02M-33.38-1.91%8.63%-4.50%88.28%
49
Neutral
AU$62.47M-1.73-23.55%15.14%-68.24%42.03%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:COF
Centuria Office REIT
1.11
0.06
6.25%
AU:GDI
GDI Property Group
0.63
0.10
18.87%
AU:AOF
Australian Unity Office Fund
0.38
-0.09
-20.21%
AU:CMW
Cromwell Property Group
0.45
0.08
22.93%
AU:DXI
Dexus Industria REIT
2.66
0.14
5.56%
AU:ABG
Abacus Property Group
1.19
0.14
12.86%

Centuria Office REIT Corporate Events

Centuria Office REIT Sells Chatswood Asset at 12.5% Premium
Dec 18, 2025

Centuria Office REIT (COF) has finalized an unconditional contract to sell the Chatswood office property at 9 Help Street, NSW, for $90 million, representing a 12.5% premium to book value. This divestment reflects a positive shift in domestic office market sentiment and supports COF’s strategy to enhance its portfolio quality and strengthen its balance sheet. The sale, which provided COF unitholders with a 109% capital uplift since listing, is anticipated to settle by June 2026, with proceeds allocated for debt repayment, positioning the company for further financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COF) stock is a Buy with a A$1.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centuria Office REIT stock, see the AU:COF Stock Forecast page.

Centuria Office REIT Announces New Dividend Distribution
Dec 4, 2025

Centuria Office REIT announced a new dividend distribution of AUD 0.02525 per ordinary unit, scheduled for payment on January 30, 2026. This distribution, covering the quarter ending December 31, 2025, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors, potentially enhancing its attractiveness in the real estate investment sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COF) stock is a Buy with a A$1.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centuria Office REIT stock, see the AU:COF Stock Forecast page.

Centuria Office REIT Achieves Significant Leasing Milestone in Q1 FY26
Oct 30, 2025

Centuria Office REIT has announced a significant quarterly leasing achievement with over 23,400 sqm of lease terms agreed, addressing key upcoming expiries and solidifying its portfolio’s WALE. The company remains optimistic about the medium-term performance of Australian office markets, driven by reduced future supply due to higher replacement costs and office withdrawals for alternate uses. COF’s portfolio occupancy stands at 91.1% with a 4.1-year WALE, and it has reaffirmed its FY26 FFO and distribution guidance, highlighting its resilience and adaptability in a challenging market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COF) stock is a Hold with a A$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centuria Office REIT stock, see the AU:COF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025