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Cromwell Property Group (AU:CMW)
ASX:CMW

Cromwell Property Group (CMW) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CMW

Cromwell Property Group

(Sydney:CMW)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.42
▼(-12.92% Downside)
Cromwell Property Group's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and revenue growth. While technical indicators show some positive momentum, the negative valuation metrics weigh heavily on the score. The high dividend yield is a positive aspect, but it is overshadowed by broader financial difficulties.
Positive Factors
Strategic Industrial Acquisition
This acquisition aligns with Cromwell's strategy to expand its industrial growth and strengthen capital partnerships, enhancing market position and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.
Transformation Strategy
The divestment of non-core assets and exit from Europe reduces gearing, positioning Cromwell for sustainable growth and focusing on core markets, enhancing long-term value creation.
Cash Flow Management
Efficient cash generation relative to reported losses indicates strong cash flow management, supporting operational stability and potential for reinvestment in growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth suggests challenges in maintaining market competitiveness and could impact long-term profitability and strategic investment capacity.
Profitability Issues
Ongoing profitability issues, reflected in negative net profit margins, highlight operational inefficiencies and could hinder long-term financial health and shareholder returns.
Negative Return on Equity
Negative ROE indicates challenges in value creation for shareholders, affecting investor confidence and potentially limiting access to capital for future growth.

Cromwell Property Group (CMW) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Cromwell Property Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCromwell Property Group (CMW) is a leading integrated real estate investment and property services firm based in Australia. The company operates across various sectors, including commercial, industrial, and retail properties, focusing on the acquisition, development, and management of high-quality assets. Cromwell offers a range of services, including property management, investment management, and funds management, catering to both institutional and retail investors.
How the Company Makes MoneyCromwell Property Group generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from rental income derived from its extensive portfolio of properties. The company leases commercial, industrial, and retail spaces to a diverse range of tenants, which provides a steady income flow. Additionally, Cromwell earns fees from its property management and investment management services, including leasing, maintenance, and asset management fees. Significant partnerships with institutional investors and funds also contribute to its earnings, as Cromwell manages various property funds that attract capital from both local and international investors. The company may also realize profits through property sales and development projects, further enhancing its revenue streams.

Cromwell Property Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cromwell Property Group is experiencing significant financial challenges, with negative revenue growth and profitability issues. While there are positive signs in cash flow management and reduced leverage, the negative net income and declining revenues are major concerns.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Cromwell Property Group's income statement reveals a challenging financial period. The company has experienced declining revenues over the past few years, with a negative revenue growth rate of -2.16% in the most recent year. The net profit margin is negative, indicating losses, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. Despite a historically strong gross profit margin, the recent financial performance suggests significant profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate level of financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.46, indicating a reduction in leverage compared to previous years. However, the return on equity remains negative, highlighting ongoing profitability issues. The equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure, but the negative ROE is a concern for long-term value creation.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some positive aspects, with a recent increase in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to reported losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, suggesting that cash flows are being managed effectively despite net income losses. However, the overall cash flow position is impacted by the company's broader profitability challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue176.60M176.60M219.70M349.50M352.90M361.40M
Gross Profit145.60M145.60M182.00M268.90M280.10M274.80M
EBITDA121.30M-45.90M115.20M-360.40M365.60M384.50M
Net Income-58.60M-22.60M-541.10M-443.80M263.20M308.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.27B2.27B3.08B4.22B5.05B5.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.30M79.30M292.30M113.90M286.00M142.30M
Total Debt675.90M675.90M1.39B1.82B2.19B2.19B
Total Liabilities816.50M816.50M1.49B2.00B2.34B2.34B
Stockholders Equity1.45B1.45B1.59B2.21B2.71B2.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow102.00M102.00M108.10M147.90M174.80M190.70M
Operating Cash Flow102.60M102.60M113.00M149.20M175.60M192.90M
Investing Cash Flow384.40M384.40M602.10M196.90M126.30M-60.50M
Financing Cash Flow-720.60M-720.60M-519.30M-521.40M-150.60M-176.60M

Cromwell Property Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.48
Price Trends
50DMA
0.46
Negative
100DMA
0.46
Negative
200DMA
0.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
29.47
Positive
STOCH
2.31
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CMW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.45, above the 50-day MA of 0.46, and above the 200-day MA of 0.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.47 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.31 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:CMW.

Cromwell Property Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
AU$812.21M9.657.99%6.09%-8.67%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
63
Neutral
AU$331.99M9.325.37%7.69%17.85%
57
Neutral
AU$1.04B38.541.70%7.11%4.69%
54
Neutral
AU$1.11B-18.75-9.33%6.12%-5.64%89.16%
53
Neutral
AU$1.76B-13.86-5.04%8.12%-0.33%58.26%
53
Neutral
AU$645.12M-32.18-1.91%8.63%-4.50%88.28%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CMW
Cromwell Property Group
0.41
0.05
13.26%
AU:GDI
GDI Property Group
0.61
0.06
10.91%
AU:GOZ
Growthpoint Properties Australia
2.29
0.06
2.46%
AU:COF
Centuria Office REIT
1.07
>-0.01
-0.47%
AU:DXI
Dexus Industria REIT
2.56
>-0.01
-0.39%
AU:ABG
Abacus Property Group
1.16
0.08
7.94%

Cromwell Property Group Corporate Events

Cromwell Lifts Australian Portfolio Value on Strong Brisbane Leasing
Jan 29, 2026

Cromwell Property Group has reported a draft uplift in the value of its Australian investment portfolio to $2.087 billion as at 31 December 2025, a 3.6% increase or $72 million on the June 2025 valuations, despite a slight expansion in the weighted average capitalisation rate to 7.15%. The rise in valuations was driven largely by strong leasing momentum at 400 George Street in Brisbane, where new and renewed leases over 28,000 sqm—representing 65% of the building’s net lettable area—were secured in the half, signalling resilient tenant demand across key assets ahead of the group’s upcoming half-year results release in February.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CMW) stock is a Hold with a A$0.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cromwell Property Group stock, see the AU:CMW Stock Forecast page.

Cromwell Property Group Names Andrew Murray as New Company Secretary
Jan 14, 2026

Cromwell Property Group has announced the appointment of Andrew Murray as Company Secretary and the designated contact for communications with the ASX, following the resignation of Michael Foster from the role, effective 15 January 2026. The change in a key governance position signals an orderly transition in Cromwell’s corporate administration, ensuring continuity in its regulatory and market disclosure obligations as it continues to manage a significant portfolio of real estate assets for its investor base.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CMW) stock is a Hold with a A$0.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cromwell Property Group stock, see the AU:CMW Stock Forecast page.

Cromwell Property Group Declares Quarterly Distribution for December 2025
Dec 22, 2025

Cromwell Property Group has declared a quarterly distribution of AUD 0.0075 per fully paid stapled security for the period ending 31 December 2025, reinforcing its ongoing return of capital to investors through regular income payments. The distribution will trade ex‑distribution on 30 December 2025, with a record date of 31 December 2025 and payment scheduled for 13 February 2026, providing investors with visibility on near‑term cash flows and signalling operational stability as the group maintains its established distribution timetable.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CMW) stock is a Hold with a A$0.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cromwell Property Group stock, see the AU:CMW Stock Forecast page.

Cromwell Property Group Completes Strategic Industrial Acquisition
Dec 10, 2025

Cromwell Property Group has completed the acquisition of Terre Property Partners and a 19.9% interest in the Straits Real Estate Australian industrial portfolio. This move aligns with Cromwell’s strategy to expand its industrial growth and strengthen its capital partnerships, potentially enhancing its market position and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CMW) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cromwell Property Group stock, see the AU:CMW Stock Forecast page.

Cromwell Property Group Issues New Performance Rights
Nov 27, 2025

Cromwell Property Group has announced the issuance of 4,816,564 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, set to expire on various dates. This move is part of the company’s strategy to align employee interests with corporate performance, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CMW) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cromwell Property Group stock, see the AU:CMW Stock Forecast page.

Cromwell Property Group Announces Successful AGM Outcomes
Nov 11, 2025

Cromwell Property Group announced the results of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where all resolutions, including the re-election of directors and the adoption of the remuneration report, were carried by poll. This outcome reinforces the company’s stable governance and strategic direction, which may positively impact its operations and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CMW) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cromwell Property Group stock, see the AU:CMW Stock Forecast page.

Cromwell Property Group Advances Transformation Strategy with Key Divestments and New Initiatives
Nov 11, 2025

Cromwell Property Group announced significant progress in its transformation strategy during the 2025 financial year, including the divestment of $1.6 billion in non-core assets and a complete exit from its European platform. These actions have reduced group gearing and positioned the company for sustainable growth. The company also welcomed Brookfield as a new major shareholder, following the exit of ESR. Cromwell’s growth strategy focuses on core markets and sectors, with initiatives such as the office development in Barton, ACT, and the conditional acquisition of the Straits Industrial Portfolio, marking important steps in strengthening its investment management business.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CMW) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cromwell Property Group stock, see the AU:CMW Stock Forecast page.

Cromwell Property Group Expands AUM with Strategic Industrial Acquisition
Nov 10, 2025

Cromwell Property Group has entered into agreements to acquire a 19.9% interest in Straits Real Estate’s Australian industrial portfolio for AUD 47.6 million, along with the purchase of Terre Property Partners for AUD 2.0 million. This acquisition adds approximately AUD 540 million to Cromwell’s assets under management, enhancing its platform capabilities and supporting its strategy to grow its investment management business. The transaction, executed in two phases, aligns with Cromwell’s strategy to reposition as a capital-light investment manager and strengthens its presence in the industrial and logistics sector, creating new opportunities for long-term value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CMW) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cromwell Property Group stock, see the AU:CMW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025