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Cromwell Property Group (AU:CMW)
ASX:CMW

Cromwell Property Group (CMW) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Cromwell Property Group

(Sydney:CMW)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.50
▲(42.86%Upside)
The overall stock score reflects the significant challenges faced by Cromwell Property Group. The financial performance is under pressure due to declining revenues and high leverage, while technical indicators point to bearish momentum. The valuation is unattractive due to negative earnings, although the high dividend yield provides some appeal. Strategic improvements are necessary to enhance financial stability and investor confidence.

Cromwell Property Group (CMW) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Cromwell Property Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCromwell Property Group (ASX:CMW) is a diversified real estate investor and manager with operations on three continents and a global investor base. As at 30 June 2020, Cromwell had a market capitalisation of $2.4 billion, a direct property investment portfolio valued at $3.0 billion and total assets under management of $11.5 billion across Australia, New Zealand and Europe.
How the Company Makes MoneyCromwell Property Group makes money primarily through rental income from its portfolio of diversified real estate assets, comprising office, retail, industrial, and healthcare properties. The company also generates revenue by managing real estate funds for institutional and retail investors, earning management fees based on the size and performance of these funds. Additionally, Cromwell provides property management and leasing services, further contributing to its income. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures in various markets enhance its investment capabilities and revenue potential. The diversification of asset types and geographic locations helps mitigate risks and offers stable, long-term returns for shareholders.

Cromwell Property Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cromwell Property Group faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability, as reflected in the income statement. The balance sheet shows a solid equity base but high leverage. Despite positive cash flow generation, inconsistency in cash flow growth suggests operational volatility. Strategic measures are needed to improve revenue and profitability while managing debt levels.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The income statement shows a concerning trend with declining total revenue from 2020 to 2024 and negative net income in recent years. Gross profit margin is relatively strong, but the net profit margin is negative due to substantial losses. The revenue growth rate is negative, indicating a downturn in the company's top-line performance.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a strong equity position relative to total assets, with an improving equity ratio over time. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is significant, indicating reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is negative in the latest period due to net losses, posing a risk to financial stability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows positive free cash flow, suggesting operational efficiency in generating cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates better cash generation than reported net income. However, free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, reflecting volatility in cash management.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue180.50M219.70M349.50M352.90M361.40M408.20M
Gross Profit152.00M182.00M268.90M280.10M274.80M336.20M
EBITDA125.80M115.20M-360.40M160.10M165.90M262.40M
Net Income-288.80M-541.10M-443.80M263.20M308.20M181.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.87B3.08B4.22B5.05B5.01B4.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments658.20M292.30M113.90M286.00M142.30M194.10M
Total Debt1.29B1.39B1.82B2.19B2.19B2.19B
Total Liabilities1.38B1.49B2.00B2.34B2.34B2.40B
Stockholders Equity1.49B1.59B2.21B2.71B2.67B2.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow101.30M108.10M147.90M174.80M190.70M199.60M
Operating Cash Flow102.60M113.00M149.20M175.60M192.90M201.30M
Investing Cash Flow975.70M602.10M196.90M126.30M-60.50M-1.13B
Financing Cash Flow-604.20M-519.30M-521.40M-150.60M-176.60M1.03B

Cromwell Property Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.35
Price Trends
50DMA
0.36
Negative
100DMA
0.37
Negative
200DMA
0.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
43.58
Neutral
STOCH
41.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CMW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.35, below the 50-day MA of 0.36, and below the 200-day MA of 0.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:CMW.

Cromwell Property Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$1.95B17.402.40%5.26%-0.31%5.93%
AUCMW
47
Neutral
AU$916.60M-12.54%8.82%-52.49%47.09%
$7.52B12.897.73%4.97%
$5.93B306.271.03%1.44%
$4.78B-9.22%3.51%
$6.22B-1.94%4.92%
$12.51B18.075.94%4.66%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CMW
Cromwell Property Group
0.34
-0.02
-5.56%
CNRAF
Vicinity Centres
1.53
0.37
31.90%
CTOUF
Charter Hall Group
12.55
5.41
75.77%
DEXSF
Dexus
4.58
0.58
14.50%
GPTGF
GPT Group
3.26
0.74
29.37%
STGPF
Scentre Group
2.24
0.28
14.29%

Cromwell Property Group Corporate Events

Cromwell Property Group Announces New Dividend Distribution
Jun 23, 2025

Cromwell Property Group announced a new dividend distribution of AUD 0.0075 per fully paid ordinary/unit stapled security, with an ex-date of June 27, 2025, and a payment date set for August 15, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors and may impact its market positioning by reinforcing investor confidence in its financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CMW) stock is a Hold with a A$0.46 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cromwell Property Group stock, see the AU:CMW Stock Forecast page.

Goldman Sachs Exits Substantial Shareholding in Cromwell Property Group
May 28, 2025

Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in Cromwell Property Group as of May 26, 2025. This change in shareholding may impact Cromwell’s market dynamics and investor relations, as Goldman Sachs’ exit could influence other stakeholders’ perceptions and decisions regarding the company’s stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CMW) stock is a Hold with a A$0.46 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cromwell Property Group stock, see the AU:CMW Stock Forecast page.

Cromwell Property Group Sees Shift in Substantial Holder Interests
May 28, 2025

Cromwell Property Group has experienced a significant change in its substantial holders’ interests, with a reduction in voting power from 30.705% to 19.89%. This change is due to the disposal of ordinary stapled securities by MEGA EquityCo and associated entities, impacting the company’s ownership structure and potentially influencing its strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CMW) stock is a Hold with a A$0.46 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cromwell Property Group stock, see the AU:CMW Stock Forecast page.

Goldman Sachs Underwrites Major Sale in Cromwell Property Group
May 25, 2025

Goldman Sachs Australia Pty Ltd has underwritten the sale of 282,837,603 existing ordinary stapled securities in Cromwell Property Group, resulting in Goldman Sachs obtaining a 9.9% interest in these securities. This transaction, part of Goldman Sachs’ routine financial services activities, will see the firm relinquish its interest following the settlement of the sale, scheduled for 26 May 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CMW) stock is a Hold with a A$0.46 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cromwell Property Group stock, see the AU:CMW Stock Forecast page.

ESR Reduces Stake in Cromwell Property Group
May 22, 2025

ESR Group has reduced its ownership in Cromwell Property Group by selling a 10.8% stake as part of its strategy to simplify its business through non-core divestments. Despite the sale, ESR remains the largest securityholder in Cromwell with a 19.9% stake, indicating continued confidence in Cromwell’s future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CMW) stock is a Hold with a A$0.46 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cromwell Property Group stock, see the AU:CMW Stock Forecast page.

Cromwell Property Group Announces Registry Office Relocation
Apr 14, 2025

Cromwell Property Group has announced a change in the address of its registry office, MUFG Corporate Markets (AU) Limited, effective from 14 April 2025. The move to Liberty Place in Sydney aims to streamline operations, requiring all documentation to be lodged at the new address, potentially impacting stakeholders who interact with the registry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 23, 2025