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Cromwell Property Group (AU:CMW)
ASX:CMW

Cromwell Property Group (CMW) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CMW

Cromwell Property Group

(Sydney:CMW)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.49
▲(1.04% Upside)
Cromwell Property Group's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and revenue growth. While technical indicators show some positive momentum, the negative valuation metrics weigh heavily on the score. The high dividend yield is a positive aspect, but it is overshadowed by broader financial difficulties.
Positive Factors
Strategic Industrial Acquisition
This acquisition aligns with Cromwell's strategy to expand its industrial growth and strengthen capital partnerships, enhancing market position and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.
Transformation Strategy
The divestment of non-core assets and exit from Europe reduces gearing, positioning Cromwell for sustainable growth and focusing on core markets, enhancing long-term value creation.
Cash Flow Management
Efficient cash generation relative to reported losses indicates strong cash flow management, supporting operational stability and potential for reinvestment in growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth suggests challenges in maintaining market competitiveness and could impact long-term profitability and strategic investment capacity.
Profitability Issues
Ongoing profitability issues, reflected in negative net profit margins, highlight operational inefficiencies and could hinder long-term financial health and shareholder returns.
Negative Return on Equity
Negative ROE indicates challenges in value creation for shareholders, affecting investor confidence and potentially limiting access to capital for future growth.

Cromwell Property Group (CMW) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Cromwell Property Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCromwell Property Group (CMW) is a leading integrated real estate investment and property services firm based in Australia. The company operates across various sectors, including commercial, industrial, and retail properties, focusing on the acquisition, development, and management of high-quality assets. Cromwell offers a range of services, including property management, investment management, and funds management, catering to both institutional and retail investors.
How the Company Makes MoneyCromwell Property Group generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from rental income derived from its extensive portfolio of properties. The company leases commercial, industrial, and retail spaces to a diverse range of tenants, which provides a steady income flow. Additionally, Cromwell earns fees from its property management and investment management services, including leasing, maintenance, and asset management fees. Significant partnerships with institutional investors and funds also contribute to its earnings, as Cromwell manages various property funds that attract capital from both local and international investors. The company may also realize profits through property sales and development projects, further enhancing its revenue streams.

Cromwell Property Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cromwell Property Group faces significant challenges, particularly in terms of profitability and revenue growth. While the company has managed to reduce its leverage and maintain a strong equity base, negative returns on equity and declining revenues are concerning. Cash flow metrics show some resilience, indicating potential for recovery if operational efficiencies can be improved.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Cromwell Property Group's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced declining revenue over the past few years, with a negative revenue growth rate of -2.16% in the latest year. Profitability metrics are concerning, with a negative net profit margin of -12.80% and a negative EBIT margin of -28.37%. These figures indicate operational inefficiencies and potential issues in cost management. The gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 82.45%, suggesting some resilience in core operations.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate level of financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.46, indicating a reduction in leverage compared to previous years. However, the return on equity is negative at -1.55%, reflecting the company's inability to generate positive returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 64.05%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets, which provides some buffer against financial distress.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates some positive trends. The free cash flow growth rate has rebounded to 69.10%, showing improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.74, highlighting the company's ability to convert earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, suggesting effective cash management despite negative net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue176.60M176.60M219.70M349.50M352.90M361.40M
Gross Profit145.60M145.60M182.00M268.90M280.10M274.80M
EBITDA121.30M-45.90M115.20M-360.40M365.60M384.50M
Net Income-58.60M-22.60M-541.10M-443.80M263.20M308.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.27B2.27B3.08B4.22B5.05B5.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.30M79.30M292.30M113.90M286.00M142.30M
Total Debt675.90M675.90M1.39B1.82B2.19B2.19B
Total Liabilities816.50M816.50M1.49B2.00B2.34B2.34B
Stockholders Equity1.45B1.45B1.59B2.21B2.71B2.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow102.00M102.00M108.10M147.90M174.80M190.70M
Operating Cash Flow102.60M102.60M113.00M149.20M175.60M192.90M
Investing Cash Flow384.40M384.40M602.10M196.90M126.30M-60.50M
Financing Cash Flow-720.60M-720.60M-519.30M-521.40M-150.60M-176.60M

Cromwell Property Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.48
Price Trends
50DMA
0.46
Positive
100DMA
0.46
Positive
200DMA
0.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
55.09
Neutral
STOCH
71.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CMW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.47, above the 50-day MA of 0.46, and above the 200-day MA of 0.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CMW.

Cromwell Property Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
AU$866.15M10.297.99%6.09%-8.67%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
63
Neutral
AU$350.88M9.855.37%7.69%17.85%
57
Neutral
AU$1.08B40.201.70%7.11%4.69%
54
Neutral
AU$1.26B-21.43-9.33%6.25%-5.64%89.16%
53
Neutral
AU$1.90B-15.25-5.04%8.12%-0.33%58.26%
53
Neutral
AU$692.91M-35.05-1.91%8.63%-4.50%88.28%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CMW
Cromwell Property Group
0.48
0.13
37.14%
AU:GDI
GDI Property Group
0.65
0.10
18.18%
AU:GOZ
Growthpoint Properties Australia
2.52
0.20
8.62%
AU:COF
Centuria Office REIT
1.16
0.12
11.54%
AU:DXI
Dexus Industria REIT
2.73
0.28
11.43%
AU:ABG
Abacus Property Group
1.21
0.13
12.04%

Cromwell Property Group Corporate Events

Cromwell Property Group Completes Strategic Industrial Acquisition
Dec 10, 2025

Cromwell Property Group has completed the acquisition of Terre Property Partners and a 19.9% interest in the Straits Real Estate Australian industrial portfolio. This move aligns with Cromwell’s strategy to expand its industrial growth and strengthen its capital partnerships, potentially enhancing its market position and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

Cromwell Property Group Issues New Performance Rights
Nov 27, 2025

Cromwell Property Group has announced the issuance of 4,816,564 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, set to expire on various dates. This move is part of the company’s strategy to align employee interests with corporate performance, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and market positioning.

Cromwell Property Group Announces Successful AGM Outcomes
Nov 11, 2025

Cromwell Property Group announced the results of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where all resolutions, including the re-election of directors and the adoption of the remuneration report, were carried by poll. This outcome reinforces the company’s stable governance and strategic direction, which may positively impact its operations and stakeholder confidence.

Cromwell Property Group Advances Transformation Strategy with Key Divestments and New Initiatives
Nov 11, 2025

Cromwell Property Group announced significant progress in its transformation strategy during the 2025 financial year, including the divestment of $1.6 billion in non-core assets and a complete exit from its European platform. These actions have reduced group gearing and positioned the company for sustainable growth. The company also welcomed Brookfield as a new major shareholder, following the exit of ESR. Cromwell’s growth strategy focuses on core markets and sectors, with initiatives such as the office development in Barton, ACT, and the conditional acquisition of the Straits Industrial Portfolio, marking important steps in strengthening its investment management business.

Cromwell Property Group Expands AUM with Strategic Industrial Acquisition
Nov 10, 2025

Cromwell Property Group has entered into agreements to acquire a 19.9% interest in Straits Real Estate’s Australian industrial portfolio for AUD 47.6 million, along with the purchase of Terre Property Partners for AUD 2.0 million. This acquisition adds approximately AUD 540 million to Cromwell’s assets under management, enhancing its platform capabilities and supporting its strategy to grow its investment management business. The transaction, executed in two phases, aligns with Cromwell’s strategy to reposition as a capital-light investment manager and strengthens its presence in the industrial and logistics sector, creating new opportunities for long-term value creation.

Cromwell Property Group Updates Director’s Securities Holdings
Oct 17, 2025

Cromwell Property Group announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving the acquisition and disposal of securities. The director, Jonathan Callaghan, acquired 686,039 stapled securities and disposed of 1,083,078 performance rights. This change is part of the company’s Stapled Security Incentive Plan, which ties incentives to the company’s financial performance, potentially impacting shareholder value and director alignment with company goals.

Cromwell Property Group Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting
Oct 10, 2025

Cromwell Property Group has announced its Notice of Annual General Meeting for 2025, providing necessary documents such as a sample Proxy Form and Online Guide. This announcement is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency and engage with its stakeholders, reflecting its commitment to effective governance and investor relations.

Cromwell Property Group to Wind Up Direct Property Fund
Sep 26, 2025

Cromwell Property Group announced that Cromwell Funds Management Limited will begin the process of realizing the assets of the Cromwell Direct Property Fund and winding up the fund following a recent liquidity event. The net proceeds from this process will be distributed progressively, although it is not expected to materially impact Cromwell’s FY26 operating earnings, with no changes to the FY26 distribution guidance.

Cromwell Property Group Announces New Dividend Distribution
Sep 23, 2025

Cromwell Property Group has announced a new dividend distribution of AUD 0.0075 per fully paid ordinary/unit stapled security, with an ex-date of September 29, 2025, and a payment date set for November 14, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors and may influence its market positioning by demonstrating financial stability and shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025