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Abacus Property Group (AU:ABG)
ASX:ABG

Abacus Property Group (ABG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ABG

Abacus Property Group

(Sydney:ABG)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.50
▲(27.12% Upside)
The overall stock score of 57 reflects a company facing financial challenges, particularly in revenue and cash flow growth, which are significant concerns. Technical indicators suggest some short-term bullish momentum, while the valuation is mixed with a high P/E ratio but an attractive dividend yield. The lack of earnings call and corporate events data limits further insights.
Positive Factors
Strong Profit Margins
A strong gross profit margin indicates effective cost management and pricing power, which can support long-term profitability despite revenue challenges.
Stable Balance Sheet
A moderate debt-to-equity ratio suggests prudent financial management, providing stability and flexibility for future investments and growth.
High Dividend Yield
An attractive dividend yield can appeal to income-focused investors, offering a steady income stream and potentially enhancing shareholder value over time.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
A significant decline in revenue growth suggests challenges in market expansion and sales momentum, potentially impacting long-term financial performance.
Decreasing Free Cash Flow
A decline in free cash flow growth raises concerns about liquidity and the company's ability to fund operations and investments without additional financing.
Reduced Return on Equity
A declining return on equity suggests reduced efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' investments, which could affect investor confidence and capital allocation.

Abacus Property Group (ABG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Abacus Property Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAbacus Property Group is a diversified Australian REIT with an investment portfolio concentrated in the Commercial property and Self Storage sectors. We invest capital in real estate opportunities to deliver superior long term returns and maximise securityholder value. Abacus is a strong asset backed, annuity style business model where capital is directed towards assets that provide potential for enhanced income growth and ultimately create value. Our people, market insight and repositioning capability together with strategic partnering are the key enablers of our strategy. Abacus is listed on the Australian Stock Exchange and is included in the S&P/ASX 200 Index and the FTSE EPRA NAREIT Global Real Estate Index Series. Abacus is comprised of Abacus Group Holdings Limited (the nominated parent entity), Abacus Group Projects Limited and Abacus Storage Operations Limited, Abacus Trust, Abacus Income Trust and Abacus Storage Property Trust. The shares and units in these entities are stapled together and trade as one security in ABP.
How the Company Makes MoneyAbacus Property Group generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily from property management fees, leasing commissions, and profits from real estate development projects. The company earns management fees by overseeing the operations of its properties, ensuring effective maintenance, tenant relations, and occupancy rates. Additionally, ABG profits from leasing its properties to both residential and commercial tenants, receiving rental income on a recurring basis. The company may also engage in joint ventures or partnerships with other real estate developers and investors, allowing for shared investment opportunities and risk mitigation, which further contributes to its revenue streams. Overall, ABG's ability to adapt to market conditions and leverage its expertise in property management enhances its financial performance.

Abacus Property Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Abacus Property Group faces challenges with declining revenue and cash flow growth, impacting overall financial health. While profitability margins remain relatively strong, the significant drop in revenue growth and free cash flow growth are areas of concern. The balance sheet remains stable with moderate leverage, but the declining return on equity indicates potential inefficiencies.
Income Statement
The income statement reveals significant volatility in revenue and profit margins. The company experienced a sharp decline in revenue growth rate by 29.88% in the latest year, indicating challenges in maintaining sales momentum. Gross profit margin remains strong at 70.84%, but net profit margin has decreased to 17.63%, reflecting reduced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively healthy, but the negative revenue growth is a concern.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing. The company has maintained a stable stockholders' equity, but the declining return on equity suggests reduced efficiency in generating profits from equity.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis indicates a decline in free cash flow growth by 29.69%, which is concerning for future liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, suggesting that operating cash flows are closely aligned with reported net income. However, the decrease in free cash flow growth highlights potential challenges in sustaining cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue152.62M152.62M144.37M147.07M308.39M242.44M
Gross Profit108.12M108.12M100.78M105.19M238.74M180.74M
EBITDA41.27M85.14M-192.74M-193.78M89.24M171.75M
Net Income26.91M26.91M-241.04M25.50M517.16M369.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.59B2.59B2.63B5.61B5.41B4.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.95M23.95M23.56M71.90M176.50M57.99M
Total Debt942.10M942.10M939.33M1.01B1.71B988.52M
Total Liabilities1.03B1.03B1.02B2.24B1.91B1.16B
Stockholders Equity1.56B1.56B1.61B3.36B3.50B2.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow39.98M65.41M75.95M81.16M154.52M124.78M
Operating Cash Flow65.42M65.42M75.97M89.46M158.26M131.60M
Investing Cash Flow8.60M8.60M46.00M-295.51M-823.50M-511.66M
Financing Cash Flow-73.63M-73.63M-202.20M101.42M783.92M310.76M

Abacus Property Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.18
Price Trends
50DMA
1.16
Positive
100DMA
1.17
Positive
200DMA
1.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
53.21
Neutral
STOCH
20.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ABG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.17, above the 50-day MA of 1.16, and above the 200-day MA of 1.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:ABG.

Abacus Property Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
AU$11.30B50.0224.58%1.97%15.06%47.66%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
60
Neutral
$10.27B27.183.56%4.41%12.66%
59
Neutral
AU$7.40B53.581.32%5.32%4.52%
57
Neutral
AU$1.05B38.871.70%7.11%4.69%
53
Neutral
AU$1.83B-14.77-5.04%8.12%-0.33%58.26%
52
Neutral
AU$2.86B24.213.57%6.14%-9.63%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ABG
Abacus Property Group
1.18
0.12
11.32%
AU:CHC
Charter Hall Group
24.07
9.75
68.06%
AU:DXS
Dexus
6.94
0.54
8.39%
AU:GPT
GPT Group
5.51
1.23
28.83%
AU:GOZ
Growthpoint Properties Australia
2.44
0.23
10.41%
AU:CLW
Charter Hall Long WALE REIT
4.05
0.45
12.50%

Abacus Property Group Corporate Events

Abacus Property Group Announces New Distribution
Dec 16, 2025

Abacus Property Group has announced a new distribution of AUD 0.0425 per fully paid ordinary/unit stapled security. The distribution relates to the six-month period ending on December 31, 2025, with an ex-date of December 30, 2025, and a payment date set for February 27, 2026. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ABG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.41 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Abacus Property Group stock, see the AU:ABG Stock Forecast page.

Abacus Property Group Updates Director’s Interest
Dec 2, 2025

Abacus Property Group has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Steven Sewell. The update reveals that Sewell has acquired an additional 1,067,129 Long Term Incentive (LTI) Rights under the Abacus Equity Incentive Plan, increasing his total LTI Rights to 4,892,934. This change reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning executive interests with shareholder value, potentially impacting the company’s governance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ABG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.41 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Abacus Property Group stock, see the AU:ABG Stock Forecast page.

Abacus Property Group Issues New Unquoted Securities
Dec 2, 2025

Abacus Property Group announced the issuance of 3,906,966 unquoted securities under an employee incentive scheme. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance employee engagement and align their interests with the company’s growth objectives, potentially impacting its operational dynamics and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ABG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.41 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Abacus Property Group stock, see the AU:ABG Stock Forecast page.

Abacus Property Group Announces Director’s Increased Securities Holding
Nov 26, 2025

Abacus Property Group has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Steven Sewell acquiring 21,704 ordinary stapled securities. This change reflects a direct increase in Sewell’s holdings, indicating a potential strengthening of his commitment to the company. The acquisition is part of the broader context of the company’s equity incentive plan, which aims to align the interests of directors and stakeholders with the company’s long-term growth objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ABG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.41 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Abacus Property Group stock, see the AU:ABG Stock Forecast page.

Abacus Property Group Issues New Equity Securities
Nov 26, 2025

Abacus Property Group has announced the issuance and conversion of unquoted equity securities, totaling 24,961 fully paid ordinary units, with specific issuance dates in November 2025. This move is part of the company’s ongoing financial strategies and could impact its market positioning by potentially increasing its capital base and enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ABG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.41 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Abacus Property Group stock, see the AU:ABG Stock Forecast page.

Abacus Property Group Secures Strong Support at AGM
Nov 20, 2025

Abacus Property Group announced that all resolutions were passed by poll at their Annual General Meeting held on 20 November 2025. This outcome reflects strong support from securityholders for the company’s current management and strategic direction, as evidenced by the high percentage of votes in favor of each resolution, including the re-election of directors and the approval of performance rights for the Managing Director.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ABG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.41 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Abacus Property Group stock, see the AU:ABG Stock Forecast page.

Abacus Property Group Announces Director’s Interest Change
Nov 13, 2025

Abacus Property Group announced a change in the director’s interest, with Steven Sewell acquiring 429,697 ordinary stapled securities while disposing of an equal number of LTI Rights. This transaction reflects an adjustment in the director’s holdings, potentially impacting the company’s governance and signaling confidence in the company’s future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ABG) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Abacus Property Group stock, see the AU:ABG Stock Forecast page.

Abacus Property Group Announces 2025 AGM Details
Oct 22, 2025

Abacus Property Group has announced that its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM) will take place on November 20, 2025, in Sydney. The company is providing securityholders with electronic access to the meeting’s notice and encourages participation either in person or via proxy voting. This meeting is significant for stakeholders as it addresses business matters affecting their holdings, emphasizing the importance of voting.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ABG) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Abacus Property Group stock, see the AU:ABG Stock Forecast page.

Abacus Property Group Announces Issuance of Unquoted Equity Securities
Oct 16, 2025

Abacus Property Group announced the issuance and conversion of unquoted equity securities, totaling 168,681 fully paid ordinary units stapled securities. This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its capital structure and enhance liquidity, potentially impacting its market positioning by increasing its equity base.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ABG) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Abacus Property Group stock, see the AU:ABG Stock Forecast page.

Abacus Property Group Announces Equity Securities Issuance
Oct 3, 2025

Abacus Property Group has announced the issuance and conversion of unquoted equity securities, with a total of 262,719 fully paid ordinary units being issued on September 29 and 30, 2025. This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its capital structure and enhance its market position, potentially impacting its financial stability and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ABG) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Abacus Property Group stock, see the AU:ABG Stock Forecast page.

Abacus Property Group Announces Cessation of Securities
Oct 1, 2025

Abacus Property Group announced the cessation of 100,363 securities due to the lapse of conditional rights, as the conditions were unmet or became incapable of being satisfied. This announcement reflects a change in the company’s issued capital, potentially impacting its financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ABG) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Abacus Property Group stock, see the AU:ABG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025