Charter Hall Group (CHC) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$9.88B
• Dividend Yield: 1.97%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.01M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 26.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.87
• Revenue Growth: 15.06%
• EPS Growth: 47.66%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 447
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: REIT - Diversified
• EPS (TTM): 0.51
• Shares Outstanding: 472,997,200
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 990,000
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,006,651
• PEG Ratio: -0.11
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.35
• Price to Sales (P/S): 13.20
• P/FCF Ratio: 25.58
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: AU$26.25
• Price Target Upside: 20.53% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 8
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.97
• Revenue Forecast (FY): AU$860.47M

• Rating: 70 Outperform
• Price Target: AU$26.00 ▲(19.38% Upside)
• Action: Upgraded Date: 02/19/26
• Date: Action: Upgraded 02/19/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial fundamentals (profitability rebound, low leverage, and good cash conversion) and a strong, guidance-upgraded earnings call. These positives are partially offset by an expensive valuation (high P/E with only a moderate yield) and mixed technical signals (negative MACD and below the 50-day average).

Positive Factors

Low leverage and strong balance sheet

A low debt-to-equity ratio (0.18) and improved ROE give Charter Hall durable financial flexibility to fund acquisitions, underwrite development, and support distributions through cycles. This reduces refinancing risk and preserves capacity to deploy capital into higher-return projects over months.

Record equity inflows and FUM expansion

Sustained record inflows and near-10% FUM growth expand the recurring fee base and deepen client relationships. Larger FUM supports higher base management fees, spreads operating leverage across more assets, and strengthens long-term earnings visibility from predictable fee streams.

High occupancy and long WALE supporting cashflows

Very high occupancy and a long weighted-average lease expiry (WALE) support durable rental cash flows, reduce rollover risk and underpin asset valuations. This steadier income profile improves visibility for distributions and underpins funds management fee stability over the medium term.

Negative Factors

Rising variable operating costs pressuring FM margins

Higher and potentially persistent variable costs (staff, payroll tax and STI accruals) reduce funds-management EBITDA margins. If elevated, these costs can structurally compress recurring margin on management fees and weigh on distributable earnings and long-term cash conversion.

Exposure to higher interest rates

Sustained higher interest rates raise funding costs across balance-sheet holdings and joint-ventures, can lower property valuations and slow transaction activity. Partial hedging helps, but persistent higher rates could erode returns, limit deployment economics and reduce performance-fee potential.

Uncertain performance fee recovery

Performance fees are a material but variable upside that depends on market valuation moves. If cap rates do not compress, performance fees may remain muted, constraining earnings upside and increasing reliance on base fees and transactional activity to drive profit growth.

Charter Hall Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

With over 30 years' experience in property investment and funds management, we're one of Australia's leading fully integrated property groups. We use our property expertise to access, deploy, manage and invest equity across our core sectors: office, retail, industrial & logistics and social infrastructure. Operating with prudence, we've carefully curated a $41.8 billion plus diverse portfolio of over 1100 high quality, long leased properties. Partnership and financial discipline are at the heart of our approach. Acting in the best interest of customers and communities, we combine insight and inventiveness to unlock hidden value. Taking a long term view, our $6.8 billion development pipeline delivers sustainable, technologically enabled projects for our customers. The impacts of what we do are far-reaching. From helping businesses succeed by supporting their evolving workplace needs, to providing investors with superior returns for a better retirement, we're powered by the drive to go further.

How the Company Makes Money

Charter Hall generates revenue primarily through property investment and management fees. The company earns income from its investment properties through rental income from tenants, which is a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, Charter Hall charges management fees for its funds management services, which include managing real estate investment trusts (REITs) and other property funds. The company may also benefit from capital appreciation of its properties over time, as well as transaction fees from buying or selling properties. Strategic partnerships with institutional investors and relationships with key stakeholders in the real estate market further bolster its revenue generation capabilities.

Charter Hall Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability rebound and growth (net margin 47.64%, revenue growth 20.67%) with healthy operating efficiency. Balance sheet is a key strength with low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.18). Cash conversion is good (operating cash flow to net income 1.24), but historical volatility in revenue and free cash flow growth tempers the score.

Income Statement

Charter Hall Group has shown a strong recovery in its income statement metrics for 2025. The gross profit margin is exceptionally high at 98.49%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved significantly to 47.64% from a negative margin in 2024, reflecting a strong turnaround in profitability. Revenue growth rate is robust at 20.67%, showcasing a positive growth trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 65.05% and 66.25% respectively, indicating healthy operational efficiency. However, the volatility in revenue growth over the years suggests potential risks in sustaining this growth.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Charter Hall Group is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18, indicating prudent leverage management. The return on equity (ROE) has improved to 12.09%, reflecting enhanced profitability and efficient use of equity. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability and low leverage risk.

Cash Flow

Cash flow metrics for Charter Hall Group show a positive trend with a free cash flow growth rate of 4.29% in 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.24, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, suggesting that the company is effectively converting its profits into cash. However, the fluctuations in free cash flow growth over the years highlight potential volatility in cash generation.

Breakdown	Jun 2025	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	687.80M	597.80M	870.20M	1.10B	668.40M
Gross Profit	677.40M	402.70M	668.50M	790.50M	413.60M
EBITDA	455.70M	-82.40M	450.10M	580.90M	243.90M
Net Income	327.70M	-222.10M	196.10M	927.00M	495.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.54B	3.64B	4.10B	4.22B	3.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	286.70M	382.70M	401.40M	594.70M	351.90M
Total Debt	496.00M	474.50M	474.20M	480.30M	564.40M
Total Liabilities	833.60M	823.10M	848.00M	932.80M	806.70M
Stockholders Equity	2.71B	2.82B	3.26B	3.25B	2.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	354.80M	425.50M	336.60M	592.70M	220.00M
Operating Cash Flow	356.00M	428.00M	338.90M	603.80M	225.60M
Investing Cash Flow	-216.70M	-256.00M	-321.10M	-358.50M	-180.30M
Financing Cash Flow	-235.30M	-190.70M	-211.10M	-2.50M	67.70M

Charter Hall Group Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 21.78
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CHC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.63, below the 50-day MA of 23.66, and below the 200-day MA of 21.85, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:CHC.

Charter Hall Group Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SGP	75 Outperform	AU$12.14B	13.77	7.99%	4.29%	4.75%	170.39%
CHC	70 Outperform	AU$9.88B	25.97	24.58%	1.97%	15.06%	47.66%
GPT	69 Neutral	AU$9.50B	9.69	3.56%	4.41%	12.66%	―
Sector *	65 Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%
DXS	56 Neutral	AU$7.07B	14.83	1.32%	5.32%	4.52%	―
CLW	54 Neutral	AU$2.66B	11.95	3.57%	6.14%	-9.63%	―
GOZ	53 Neutral	AU$1.66B	45.27	-5.04%	8.12%	-0.33%	58.26%

Charter Hall Group Corporate Events

Charter Hall Group Announces Strategic Capital Reallocation

Charter Hall Group has announced a capital reallocation of 42.28 cents per security, approved by Securityholders at their recent Annual General Meeting. This reallocation involves moving capital from Charter Hall Limited (CHL) to Charter Hall Property Trust (CHPT), with no cash payments or issuance of new shares or units. The reallocation includes a return of capital and a special fully franked dividend, impacting the tax cost base for Securityholders. This strategic move is expected to optimize the company’s capital structure and enhance value for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CHC) stock is a Buy with a A$26.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Charter Hall Group stock, see the AU:CHC Stock Forecast page.

Charter Hall Group Announces Increased Distribution for 2025

Charter Hall Group announced a distribution of 24.83 cents per security for the half-year ending 31 December 2025, marking a 6.0% increase from the previous period. This distribution, partially paid from Charter Hall Property Trust and Charter Hall Limited, includes a fully franked dividend component, reflecting the company’s robust financial performance and commitment to delivering value to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CHC) stock is a Buy with a A$26.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Charter Hall Group stock, see the AU:CHC Stock Forecast page.

Charter Hall Group Announces New Dividend Distribution

Charter Hall Group has announced a new distribution of AUD 0.2483 per stapled security, covering a six-month period ending December 31, 2025. The ex-date is set for December 30, 2025, with the record date on December 31, 2025, and payment scheduled for February 27, 2026. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors and may influence its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CHC) stock is a Buy with a A$26.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Charter Hall Group stock, see the AU:CHC Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Ceases Substantial Holding in Charter Hall

Charter Hall Group, a prominent player in the real estate industry, is involved in the management and investment of property assets across various sectors. The company has announced that Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. has ceased to be a substantial holder in their securities. This change reflects a significant shift in the ownership structure, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CHC) stock is a Hold with a A$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Charter Hall Group stock, see the AU:CHC Stock Forecast page.

First Sentier Group Ceases Substantial Holding in Charter Hall

Charter Hall Group has announced that First Sentier Group Limited and its related entities have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of November 28, 2025. This change in substantial holding could impact Charter Hall’s shareholder composition and potentially influence its market strategies and stakeholder relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CHC) stock is a Hold with a A$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Charter Hall Group stock, see the AU:CHC Stock Forecast page.

Charter Hall Group Updates Director’s Interest Notice

Charter Hall Group has announced a change in the director’s interest notice for David Harrison, with the acquisition of 304,372 rights, including performance and service rights. This change reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning executive interests with shareholder value, potentially impacting its governance and stakeholder engagement strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CHC) stock is a Buy with a A$27.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Charter Hall Group stock, see the AU:CHC Stock Forecast page.

Charter Hall Group Issues New Employee Incentive Securities

Charter Hall Group announced the issuance of performance and service rights as part of an employee incentive scheme, with a total of 935,243 unquoted securities to be issued. This move is aimed at aligning employee interests with the company’s growth objectives, potentially enhancing operational performance and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CHC) stock is a Buy with a A$27.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Charter Hall Group stock, see the AU:CHC Stock Forecast page.

Charter Hall Group’s AGM Approves Key Resolutions for Strategic Growth

At its Annual General Meeting, Charter Hall Group successfully passed several key resolutions, including the re-election of director Greg Paramor AO, the adoption of the remuneration report, and the issuance of performance rights to David Harrison. These decisions reflect the company’s strategic focus on leadership stability and incentivizing performance, which are expected to enhance its operational efficiency and market competitiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CHC) stock is a Buy with a A$26.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Charter Hall Group stock, see the AU:CHC Stock Forecast page.

Charter Hall Group Outlines Achievements and Future Plans at 2025 AGM

At the 2025 Annual General Meeting, Charter Hall Group’s Chair, Stephen Conry, outlined the company’s achievements in FY25 and discussed future plans, including the re-election of directors and the appointment of a new auditor. The meeting highlighted the company’s commitment to good governance and strategic leadership, with significant changes in board composition and a focus on maintaining ethical standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CHC) stock is a Buy with a A$26.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Charter Hall Group stock, see the AU:CHC Stock Forecast page.

Charter Hall Group’s 2025 AGM Highlights Strategic Focus

Charter Hall Group held its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where key addresses were made by the Chair and the Managing Director & Group CEO. The meeting agenda included formal business discussions and a focus on the company’s ongoing commitment to sustainability and community engagement, reflecting its strategic priorities and potential implications for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CHC) stock is a Buy with a A$26.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Charter Hall Group stock, see the AU:CHC Stock Forecast page.

Charter Hall Group Boosts FY26 Earnings Guidance Amid Strong Investment Activity

Charter Hall Group has announced a 5.5% upgrade to its FY26 Operating Earnings Per Security (OEPS) guidance, increasing from 90.0 cents to 95.0 cents per security. This upgrade reflects a 16.7% increase from FY25’s OEPS of 81.4 cents per security, driven by heightened investment activity and increased transaction volumes across its property investments and funds management platform. The positive momentum in transaction volumes and equity inflows from both existing and new investors has fueled increased earnings, enhancing the company’s operational momentum and revenue streams.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CHC) stock is a Buy with a A$26.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Charter Hall Group stock, see the AU:CHC Stock Forecast page.