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Stockland (AU:SGP)
ASX:SGP

Stockland (SGP) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:SGP

Stockland

(Sydney:SGP)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
AU$4.50
▼(-17.88% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:04/03/26
The score is supported by solid financial performance and attractive income/valuation (high dividend yield and modest P/E). These positives are tempered by notably weak technicals, with the stock in a clear downtrend and bearish momentum despite oversold readings.
Positive Factors
Diversified earnings mix
Stockland's dual model of residential development plus recurring rental and property‑management income creates durable cash flow diversification. Recurring rents (including CPI‑linked escalations) smooth earnings while development projects offer higher-margin upside when housing demand normalises, supporting stability over months.
Negative Factors
Residential cyclicality
A meaningful portion of earnings depends on residential settlements and development margins, which are sensitive to housing demand, interest rates and project timing. This structural cyclicality can produce multi‑month swings in profit recognition and cash flow, complicating steady earnings delivery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified earnings mix
Stockland's dual model of residential development plus recurring rental and property‑management income creates durable cash flow diversification. Recurring rents (including CPI‑linked escalations) smooth earnings while development projects offer higher-margin upside when housing demand normalises, supporting stability over months.
Read all positive factors

Stockland (SGP) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Stockland Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Stockland (ASX:SGP) was founded in 1952 and has grown to become one of Australia's largest diversified property groups owning, developing and managing a large portfolio of shopping centres, residential communities, workplace and logistic assets an...
How the Company Makes Money
Stockland generates earnings from a mix of development profits and recurring property income. (1) Residential development: The company sells residential land lots in master‑planned communities and, where applicable, completed housing product; reve...

Stockland Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid: stable revenue growth (2.82%) and strong profitability (gross margin 38.87%, net margin 26.39%). Balance sheet leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity 0.51) with a strong equity base (equity ratio 57.41%), though rising debt bears monitoring. Cash flow is improving (FCF growth 15.25%), but cash conversion is only moderate (OCF/NI 0.40; FCF/NI 0.39).
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.37B3.13B2.99B2.81B2.81B2.73B
Gross Profit1.51B1.22B1.18B862.00M760.00M1.07B
EBITDA894.00M1.00B701.00M614.00M755.00M1.19B
Net Income873.00M826.00M305.00M440.00M1.38B1.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.79B17.74B17.06B16.64B20.41B19.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments470.00M647.00M807.00M306.00M399.00M1.29B
Total Debt5.67B5.18B4.77B3.95B4.51B4.79B
Total Liabilities8.44B7.56B7.17B6.46B10.05B9.72B
Stockholders Equity10.35B10.19B9.89B10.18B10.36B9.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow198.00M325.00M110.00M309.00M896.00M1.03B
Operating Cash Flow200.00M328.00M114.00M332.00M918.00M1.05B
Investing Cash Flow-151.00M-139.00M101.00M763.00M-976.00M95.00M
Financing Cash Flow-179.00M-261.00M233.00M-1.22B-705.00M-423.00M

Stockland Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.48
Price Trends
50DMA
4.77
Negative
100DMA
5.26
Negative
200DMA
5.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Negative
RSI
29.64
Positive
STOCH
25.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SGP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.30, above the 50-day MA of 4.77, and below the 200-day MA of 5.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 29.64 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:SGP.

Stockland Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
AU$9.54B10.6019.38%1.97%15.06%47.66%
69
Neutral
AU$8.91B10.587.84%4.41%12.66%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
AU$57.19B19.167.19%1.02%16.87%
64
Neutral
AU$10.00B11.828.50%4.29%4.75%170.39%
56
Neutral
AU$6.40B5.344.78%5.32%4.52%
54
Neutral
AU$2.45B4.726.69%6.14%-9.63%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SGP
Stockland
4.12
-0.76
-15.64%
AU:CHC
Charter Hall Group
20.17
4.50
28.71%
AU:DXS
Dexus
5.97
-0.77
-11.48%
AU:GMG
Goodman Group
27.97
0.43
1.58%
AU:GPT
GPT Group
4.65
0.43
10.22%
AU:CLW
Charter Hall Long WALE REIT
3.43
-0.05
-1.47%

Stockland Corporate Events

Stockland Forms 50/50 Venture With EdgeConneX to Build Australian Data Centres
Mar 2, 2026
Stockland has established Stockland EdgeConneX, a 50/50 partnership with global data centre specialist EdgeConneX, to develop, own and operate an Australian portfolio of data centres. The venture will utilise Stockland’s landholdings and dev...
Stockland Updates Half‑Year Distribution Details and Confirms DRP Price
Jan 27, 2026
Stockland has updated its previously announced distribution details for the six‑month period ending 31 December 2025, relating to its fully paid stapled securities. The latest filing, dated 28 January 2026, confirms an amendment to the earli...
Stockland Reports Lapse of 311,934 Performance Rights
Jan 11, 2026
Stockland has notified the ASX of the cessation of 311,934 performance rights (SGPAA), which lapsed on 31 December 2025 because the conditions attached to those rights were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. The lapse reduces the pool...
Stockland to Issue 3.8 Million Unquoted Performance Rights Under Incentive Plan
Jan 11, 2026
Stockland has notified the market of the planned issue of 3,805,255 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, scheduled for 16 October 2025. The new performance rights, which will not be quoted on the ASX, form part of Stock...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 03, 2026