Stockland (SGP) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$13.45B
• Dividend Yield: 4.29%
• Average Volume (3M): 6.56M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 16.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.89
• Revenue Growth: 4.75%
• EPS Growth: 170.39%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 1,600
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: REIT - Diversified
• EPS (TTM): 0.22
• Shares Outstanding: 2,422,369,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 7,109,613
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 6,560,095
• PEG Ratio: 0.09
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.26
• Price to Sales (P/S): 4.09
• P/FCF Ratio: 39.36
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: AU$6.47
• Price Target Upside: 9.02% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 75 Outperform
• Price Target: AU$6.00 ▲(1.18% Upside)

Stockland's overall stock score is driven by strong technical analysis indicators and solid financial performance. The valuation is reasonable, offering a good balance of growth and income potential. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data did not impact the score.

Stockland Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Stockland (SGP) is a leading Australian diversified property group, primarily engaged in the development and management of retail, office, and residential properties. The company operates across several sectors, including retail shopping centers, commercial office spaces, and residential communities, focusing on creating sustainable and integrated environments for customers and businesses. Stockland's core offerings encompass property development, asset management, and investment services, aimed at enhancing the quality of life and driving economic growth in the communities they serve.

How the Company Makes Money

Stockland generates revenue through multiple key streams, including rental income from its retail and commercial properties, sales from residential developments, and management fees from its investment properties. The company owns and operates a diverse portfolio of shopping centers, office buildings, and residential communities, which provide a steady income through long-term leases and tenant agreements. Additionally, Stockland benefits from strategic partnerships with various stakeholders, including local governments and community organizations, to drive development projects. The company's focus on sustainable practices and innovation in property management further enhances its appeal to tenants and investors, contributing to its overall profitability.

Stockland Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Stockland demonstrates solid financial performance with stable revenue growth and strong profitability margins. The balance sheet is well-structured with a balanced leverage position, though rising debt levels should be monitored. Cash flow generation is improving, but there is room for enhancing cash conversion efficiency.

Income Statement

Stockland's income statement shows a stable revenue growth rate of 2.82% in the latest year, with a strong gross profit margin of 38.87%. The net profit margin improved significantly to 26.39%, indicating enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin slightly decreased to 23.44%, suggesting some operational cost pressures. Overall, the company demonstrates solid revenue growth and profitability, but there is room for improvement in operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51, indicating a balanced leverage position. The return on equity (ROE) is robust at 8.11%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 57.41%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets. While the company maintains a healthy financial structure, the increasing debt levels warrant monitoring.

Cash Flow

Stockland's cash flow statement reveals a significant free cash flow growth rate of 15.25%, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.40, reflecting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.39, suggesting potential constraints in cash flow relative to net income. Overall, the cash flow position is improving, but further enhancement in cash conversion efficiency is desirable.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.14B	3.13B	2.99B	2.81B	2.81B	2.73B
Gross Profit	1.22B	1.22B	1.18B	862.00M	760.00M	1.07B
EBITDA	762.00M	1.00B	701.00M	614.00M	755.00M	1.19B
Net Income	826.00M	826.00M	305.00M	440.00M	1.38B	1.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	17.74B	17.74B	17.06B	16.64B	20.41B	19.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	647.00M	647.00M	807.00M	306.00M	399.00M	1.29B
Total Debt	5.18B	5.18B	4.77B	3.95B	4.51B	4.79B
Total Liabilities	7.56B	7.56B	7.17B	6.46B	10.05B	9.72B
Stockholders Equity	10.19B	10.19B	9.89B	10.18B	10.36B	9.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	325.00M	325.00M	110.00M	309.00M	896.00M	1.03B
Operating Cash Flow	328.00M	328.00M	114.00M	332.00M	918.00M	1.05B
Investing Cash Flow	-139.00M	-139.00M	101.00M	763.00M	-976.00M	95.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-261.00M	-261.00M	233.00M	-1.22B	-705.00M	-423.00M

Stockland Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 5.93
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SGP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.68, above the 50-day MA of 5.86, and above the 200-day MA of 5.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.49 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:SGP.

Stockland Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SGP	75 Outperform	AU$13.45B	16.06	7.99%	4.29%	4.75%	170.39%
CHC	66 Neutral	AU$11.42B	50.57	24.58%	1.97%	15.06%	47.66%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%
GPT	60 Neutral	AU$10.38B	27.48	3.56%	4.41%	12.66%	―
DXS	59 Neutral	$7.45B	53.97	1.32%	5.32%	4.52%	―
GMG	54 Neutral	AU$62.94B	36.03	7.99%	1.02%	16.87%	―
CLW	52 Neutral	AU$2.88B	24.40	3.57%	6.14%	-9.63%	―

Stockland Corporate Events

Stockland Reports Lapse of 311,934 Performance Rights

Stockland has notified the ASX of the cessation of 311,934 performance rights (SGPAA), which lapsed on 31 December 2025 because the conditions attached to those rights were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. The lapse reduces the pool of potential equity issuance under this particular incentive arrangement, signalling that specific performance hurdles tied to these rights were not achieved, with implications for employee or executive equity-based remuneration but no immediate change to the company’s ordinary share capital on issue.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SGP) stock is a Buy with a A$6.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stockland stock, see the AU:SGP Stock Forecast page.

Stockland to Issue 3.8 Million Unquoted Performance Rights Under Incentive Plan

Stockland has notified the market of the planned issue of 3,805,255 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, scheduled for 16 October 2025. The new performance rights, which will not be quoted on the ASX, form part of Stockland’s ongoing remuneration and retention strategy for employees and executives, aligning management incentives with long‑term securityholder value and potentially leading to future equity dilution if vesting conditions are met.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SGP) stock is a Buy with a A$6.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stockland stock, see the AU:SGP Stock Forecast page.

Stockland Declares AUD 0.09 Interim Distribution on Stapled Securities

Stockland has declared a distribution of AUD 0.09 per fully paid stapled security for the six-month period ending 31 December 2025, with an ex‑date of 30 December 2025, a record date of 31 December 2025 and payment scheduled for 27 February 2026. The announcement confirms the ongoing return of cash to securityholders on a semi‑annual basis, underlining the group’s commitment to maintaining regular income streams for investors in its stapled securities and providing clarity on near‑term cash flows for income‑focused stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SGP) stock is a Buy with a A$6.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stockland stock, see the AU:SGP Stock Forecast page.

Stockland Sets 1H26 Estimated Distribution and Activates Discounted DRP

Stockland has announced an estimated distribution of 9.0 cents per Ordinary Stapled Security for the six months to 31 December 2025, with a record date of 31 December 2025 and payment scheduled for 27 February 2026. The company will confirm the actual distribution alongside its first-half 2026 financial results on 16 February 2026, and will operate its Distribution Reinvestment Plan for this period, offering securityholders the option to reinvest all or part of their distribution at a 1% discount to the market price, with elections due by 30 January 2026. The move gives investors clarity on expected income and an incentivised pathway to increase their holdings, supporting Stockland’s capital management and funding flexibility as it continues to develop and manage its diversified property portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SGP) stock is a Buy with a A$6.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stockland stock, see the AU:SGP Stock Forecast page.

Stockland Unveils Masterplanned Communities Strategy

Stockland has announced a new strategy focusing on masterplanned communities, emphasizing their commitment to sustainable and culturally respectful development. This initiative highlights Stockland’s dedication to enhancing community living while acknowledging the cultural heritage of the land, potentially strengthening their position in the real estate industry and fostering positive relationships with stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SGP) stock is a Buy with a A$6.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stockland stock, see the AU:SGP Stock Forecast page.

Stockland Announces Director’s Interest Change

Stockland has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically regarding Tarun Dinkar Gupta, who has acquired additional securities and performance rights. The acquisition includes 170,987 ordinary stapled securities and 820,734 performance rights, approved as part of Mr. Gupta’s remuneration for the 2026 financial year. This move, endorsed by Stockland’s Annual General Meeting, reflects the company’s commitment to aligning executive compensation with performance, potentially impacting Stockland’s operational strategies and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SGP) stock is a Hold with a A$6.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stockland stock, see the AU:SGP Stock Forecast page.