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Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (AU:GYG)
ASX:GYG
Australian Market

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (GYG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:GYG

Guzman y Gomez Ltd.

(Sydney:GYG)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$23.00
▲(8.34% Upside)
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. faces significant challenges with its high valuation and bearish technical indicators, which weigh heavily on the overall score. Despite strong revenue growth and a solid gross profit margin, the company's low net profitability and cash flow issues raise concerns about its financial stability. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events further limits positive influences on the stock's outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust market demand and successful expansion strategies, enhancing long-term business sustainability.
Gross Profit Margin
A high gross profit margin suggests effective cost control and pricing power, which supports long-term profitability and competitive positioning.
Market Expansion
Diverse operations in food services and strategic partnerships for delivery enhance market reach and resilience against sector-specific downturns.
Negative Factors
Net Profit Margin
Low net profit margins indicate challenges in translating revenue growth into bottom-line profitability, potentially affecting long-term financial health.
Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow growth suggests liquidity constraints, limiting the ability to reinvest in growth or manage debt effectively over time.
Return on Equity
A modest return on equity points to challenges in generating significant returns on shareholder investments, impacting long-term investor confidence.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (GYG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGuzman y Gomez Ltd. (GYG) is an Australian-based fast-casual restaurant chain specializing in Mexican cuisine. Founded in 2006, the company has established itself as a prominent player in the quick-service restaurant sector, offering a diverse menu that includes burritos, tacos, nachos, and fresh-made salsas. GYG focuses on providing high-quality, made-to-order meals using fresh ingredients, and emphasizes a strong commitment to customer experience. With a growing number of locations across Australia and expanding into international markets, GYG aims to deliver authentic Mexican flavors in a vibrant dining atmosphere.
How the Company Makes MoneyGuzman y Gomez generates revenue primarily through its restaurant operations, which include dine-in, takeout, and drive-thru services. The company earns money by selling its core menu items, which are priced to appeal to a broad customer base. Additionally, GYG has developed a successful catering business that provides food services for events, further diversifying its revenue streams. The company also benefits from partnerships with delivery services, allowing it to reach customers through third-party platforms, thereby increasing sales. Promotions, loyalty programs, and seasonal menu offerings contribute to customer retention and repeat business, enhancing overall profitability.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. demonstrates strong revenue growth and a solid gross profit margin, indicating effective market penetration and cost management. However, profitability at the net level remains a concern, and cash flow challenges could impact future growth and financial stability. The balance sheet is stable, but careful management of debt and cash flow is essential to sustain growth and improve profitability.
Income Statement
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has shown impressive revenue growth of 52.14% in the latest year, indicating strong market demand and expansion. The gross profit margin is robust at 75.47%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 3.12%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, indicating operational efficiency but also highlighting potential for cost optimization.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.87 is manageable, showing a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is modest at 3.81%, indicating moderate profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 48.52%, suggesting a stable capital structure but also highlighting potential risks if debt levels increase.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement reveals challenges with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -59%, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.67 suggests that operating activities are generating cash, but the negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights concerns about cash availability for reinvestment or debt repayment.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue435.98M464.61M342.21M259.04M171.79M119.53M
Gross Profit97.70M350.66M69.78M188.62M126.89M84.67M
EBITDA87.79M69.02M33.29M34.21M27.08M21.59M
Net Income14.48M14.48M-13.75M-2.27M3.90M3.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets783.20M783.20M661.80M324.51M248.43M210.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments281.74M281.74M294.48M36.50M54.43M62.09M
Total Debt331.31M331.31M239.50M184.72M129.93M115.94M
Total Liabilities403.07M403.07M307.82M236.54M167.33M144.06M
Stockholders Equity380.12M380.12M353.98M87.97M81.10M66.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.40M-4.04M9.37M-11.53M-6.76M7.90M
Operating Cash Flow65.73M57.33M42.87M31.13M19.64M23.07M
Investing Cash Flow-34.55M-34.55M-311.82M-48.40M-31.70M-17.56M
Financing Cash Flow-7.72M679.00K248.83M-651.00K4.39M32.22M

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.23
Price Trends
50DMA
22.89
Negative
100DMA
24.12
Negative
200DMA
26.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
39.27
Neutral
STOCH
22.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:GYG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.55, below the 50-day MA of 22.89, and below the 200-day MA of 26.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:GYG.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
AU$1.28B107.842.90%2.67%4.61%-76.47%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
AU$570.94M9.3912.90%7.33%1.58%-4.71%
59
Neutral
AU$2.13B-484.95-0.70%3.58%-3.09%-104.37%
51
Neutral
AU$2.13B145.653.94%0.56%27.40%
51
Neutral
AU$95.91M-6.37-6.95%10.13%-353.94%
41
Neutral
AU$4.87M-1.75-6.32%-9.62%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:GYG
Guzman y Gomez Ltd.
20.77
-16.73
-44.61%
AU:CKF
Collins Foods
10.87
4.02
58.71%
AU:DMP
Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited
22.55
-5.22
-18.80%
AU:RFG
Retail Food Group
1.52
-0.75
-33.04%
AU:AX1
Accent Group Ltd
0.95
-1.19
-55.52%
AU:OLI
Oliver's Real Food Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Corporate Events

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Ceases Substantial Holding in Guzman y Gomez Ltd.
Dec 11, 2025

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates have ceased to be substantial holders in Guzman y Gomez Ltd. This change involves various transactions including securities on loan and securities received as collateral, impacting the voting securities of the company. The announcement indicates a shift in the company’s shareholder structure, which may influence its market positioning and stakeholder dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Buy with a A$32.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Announces Cessation of Securities
Dec 3, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. announced the cessation of 972,882 ordinary fully paid securities due to an on-market buy-back, effective December 2, 2025. This move reflects the company’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting its capital structure and signaling confidence in its market position to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Sell with a A$21.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Ceases Substantial Holding in Guzman y Gomez Ltd.
Nov 30, 2025

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates have ceased to be substantial holders in Guzman y Gomez Ltd., as indicated by changes in their relevant interests in the company’s voting securities. This change in holding, involving various transactions such as securities on loan, purchase and sales, and rehypothecation, marks a significant shift in the company’s shareholder structure, potentially impacting its market dynamics and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Sell with a A$21.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Updates on Securities Buy-Back Program
Nov 27, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back program. As of November 28, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 1,173,336 ordinary fully paid securities, with 6,186 bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Sell with a A$21.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Updates on Share Buy-Back Program
Nov 26, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update regarding its ongoing share buy-back program. As of November 27, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 1,167,150 ordinary fully paid securities, with 39,746 bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Sell with a A$21.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Ceases Substantial Holding in Guzman y Gomez Ltd
Nov 26, 2025

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates have ceased to be substantial holders in Guzman y Gomez Ltd, a company known for its operations in the food and beverage industry. The change in substantial holding was due to various transactions involving securities on loan, purchases, and sales by JPMorgan entities. This development may impact Guzman y Gomez Ltd’s market dynamics and shareholder composition.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Sell with a A$21.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Updates on Market Buy-Back Program
Nov 25, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Limited has announced an update regarding its on-market buy-back program. As of November 26, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 1,018,918 ordinary fully paid securities, with an additional 108,486 securities bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative reflects the company’s strategic efforts to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Sell with a A$21.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Updates on Share Buy-Back Progress
Nov 24, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update regarding its ongoing share buy-back program, with a total of 129,928 ordinary fully paid securities bought back on the previous day, adding to the cumulative total of 888,990 securities. This buy-back initiative reflects the company’s strategic efforts to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Sell with a A$21.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Updates on Market Buy-Back Program
Nov 23, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update on its ongoing on-market buy-back program, with a total of 710,674 securities bought back before the previous day and an additional 178,316 securities bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative reflects the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure effectively, potentially enhancing shareholder value and signaling confidence in its financial health.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Sell with a A$21.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Updates on Share Buy-Back Progress
Nov 20, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update regarding its ongoing share buy-back program, with a daily notification of the buy-back activity. The company reported a total of 77,425 ordinary fully paid securities bought back on the previous day, contributing to an overall total of 633,249 securities repurchased. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Sell with a A$21.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Ceases Substantial Holding in Guzman y Gomez Ltd.
Nov 20, 2025

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates have ceased to be substantial holders in Guzman y Gomez Ltd. due to changes in their relevant interests in voting securities. This change in holding status could impact the company’s market dynamics and influence stakeholder perceptions, as JPMorgan’s involvement in the company has been reduced.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Director Increases Shareholding
Nov 20, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. announced a change in the director’s interest, with Steven Marks acquiring an additional 45,000 ordinary shares through an on-market purchase. This change reflects a slight increase in Marks’ indirect holdings, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Updates on Share Buy-Back Progress
Nov 19, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update regarding its ongoing share buy-back program. The company reported the purchase of 135,383 ordinary fully paid securities on the previous day, adding to a total of 497,866 securities bought back prior to that day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Updates on Market Buy-Back Program
Nov 18, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back program. As of November 19, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 364,014 securities, with an additional 133,852 securities bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to optimize its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Updates on Share Buy-Back Program
Nov 18, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back of ordinary fully paid securities, with a total of 129,525 securities bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative, which began on October 9, 2025, reflects the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Updates on Market Buy-Back Program
Nov 17, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update on its ongoing on-market buy-back program, with a total of 34,035 ordinary fully paid securities bought back on the previous day, adding to the cumulative total of 200,454 securities. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value, reflecting a commitment to optimizing financial performance and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Announces Successful AGM Results
Nov 13, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. announced the successful results of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where all resolutions were passed by a poll. The re-election of directors and the adoption of the remuneration report were key outcomes, indicating strong shareholder support and stability in the company’s leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Reports Record Sales and Strategic Growth Plans
Nov 13, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. reported a record-breaking financial year in 2025, surpassing $1 billion in network sales and achieving a statutory net profit after tax of $14.5 million. The company plans to continue its growth trajectory by opening 32 new restaurants in Australia, including 23 drive-thrus, and enhancing its menu and digital platforms. The Board announced a share buyback of up to $100 million, reflecting a robust financial position and commitment to shareholder returns. The company remains focused on scaling responsibly, reinvesting in its brand and people, and delivering value through growth and dividends.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Updates on Market Buy-Back
Oct 30, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back of ordinary fully paid securities, with a total of 37,074 securities bought back on the previous day, adding to the 163,380 securities already repurchased. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Updates on Market Buy-Back Progress
Oct 29, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back of ordinary fully paid securities, with a total of 54,875 securities bought back on the previous day, adding to the 108,505 securities already repurchased. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure effectively, potentially enhancing shareholder value and demonstrating confidence in its financial health.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Updates on Buy-Back Program
Oct 27, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back program. The company reported a total of 37,387 ordinary fully paid securities bought back on the previous day, as part of its daily buy-back notification. This move is part of their strategy to manage capital and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Initiates On-Market Buy-Back Program
Oct 26, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update regarding its on-market buy-back of ordinary fully paid securities, identified by the ASX code GYG. As of October 27, 2025, the company reported the buy-back of 37,087 securities on the previous day, marking the commencement of its buy-back program which initially began on October 9, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Lists New Securities on ASX
Oct 16, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. announced the quotation of 107,160 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of October 15, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its market presence and potentially attract more investors, which could impact its operational growth and industry positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Announces Hybrid Annual General Meeting
Oct 14, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Limited has announced that its Annual General Meeting will be held on November 13, 2025, both physically in Sydney and virtually. Shareholders are encouraged to register for the virtual meeting in advance to ensure smooth participation, and the company has made the Notice of Meeting available online for easier access.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 19, 2025