Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (AU:GYG)
ASX:GYG
Want to see AU:GYG full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Guzman y Gomez Ltd.
(Sydney:GYG)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
AU$16.50
▼(-22.28% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/09/26
The score is driven primarily by strong top-line growth and solid gross margins, offset by weak free cash flow and low net profitability. Technicals are mixed with negative MACD and longer-term averages overhead, and valuation is a key headwind due to the high P/E despite a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained 52.14% revenue growth signals strong market demand and successful expansion of the restaurant network and channels. For a QSR with branded restaurants and franchise potential, this durable top-line momentum underpins reinvestment, scale economics, and longer-term unit roll-out.
Negative Factors
Weak Free Cash Flow
A 59% decline in free cash flow signals a persistent cash conversion shortfall versus accounting earnings. Over months this constrains the company’s ability to self-fund expansion, pay down debt, or increase distributions, potentially forcing reliance on external financing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained 52.14% revenue growth signals strong market demand and successful expansion of the restaurant network and channels. For a QSR with branded restaurants and franchise potential, this durable top-line momentum underpins reinvestment, scale economics, and longer-term unit roll-out.
Read all positive factors
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (GYG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$1.62B
Dividend Yield0.56%
Average Volume (3M)548.54K
Price to Earnings (P/E)52.0
Beta (1Y)1.62
Revenue Growth25.22%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryAU
Employees13,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.17
Shares Outstanding101,233,940
10 Day Avg. Volume433,588
30 Day Avg. Volume548,538
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.06
Price to Book (P/B)7.55
Price to Sales (P/S)6.18
P/FCF Ratio-711.52
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$22.95Price Target Upside8.10% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering11
EPS Forecast (FY)0.21
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$546.94M
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (GYG) is an Australian-based fast-casual restaurant chain specializing in Mexican cuisine. Founded in 2006, the company has established itself as a prominent player in the quick-service restaurant sector, offering a diverse men...
How the Company Makes Money
GYG primarily makes money by selling food and beverages to customers through its Guzman y Gomez branded restaurants. Revenue is generated from in-store and takeaway transactions, as well as off-premise ordering where available (e.g., delivery and ...
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 484.76M | 464.61M | 342.21M | 259.04M | 171.79M | 119.53M |
| Gross Profit | 110.66M | 350.66M | 69.78M | 188.62M | 126.89M | 84.67M |
| EBITDA | 97.64M | 69.02M | 33.29M | 34.21M | 27.08M | 21.59M |
| Net Income | 17.75M | 14.48M | -13.75M | -2.27M | 3.90M | 3.99M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 789.25M | 783.20M | 661.80M | 324.51M | 248.43M | 210.38M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 236.40M | 281.74M | 294.48M | 36.50M | 54.43M | 62.09M |
| Total Debt | 715.08M | 331.31M | 239.50M | 184.72M | 129.93M | 115.94M |
| Total Liabilities | 432.01M | 403.07M | 307.82M | 236.54M | 167.33M | 144.06M |
| Stockholders Equity | 357.24M | 380.12M | 353.98M | 87.97M | 81.10M | 66.32M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 9.55M | -4.04M | 9.37M | -11.53M | -6.76M | 7.90M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 72.13M | 57.33M | 42.87M | 31.13M | 19.64M | 23.07M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 2.12M | -34.55M | -311.82M | -48.40M | -31.70M | -17.56M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -45.20M | 679.00K | 248.83M | -651.00K | 4.39M | 32.22M |
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
21.23
Price Trends
18.31
Negative
19.55
Negative
22.13
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.49
Positive
44.25
Neutral
33.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:GYG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.21, above the 50-day MA of 18.31, and below the 200-day MA of 22.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:GYG.
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | AU$950.99M | 11.61 | 2.89% | 2.67% | 4.61% | -76.47% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | AU$330.54M | 5.06 | 7.94% | 7.33% | 2.05% | -43.61% | |
59 Neutral | AU$1.53B | 12.12 | 8.83% | 3.58% | -1.35% | 258.94% | |
57 Neutral | AU$1.62B | 52.00 | 4.82% | 0.56% | 25.22% | ― | |
52 Neutral | AU$43.61M | 11.71 | -10.34% | ― | -0.47% | -326.66% | |
46 Neutral | AU$3.24M | 1.09 | 5.84% | ― | -8.96% | 69.23% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
AU:GYG
Guzman y Gomez Ltd.
16.00
-15.26
-48.82%
AU:CKF
Collins Foods
8.05
0.06
0.80%
AU:DMP
Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited
16.16
-7.48
-31.65%
AU:RFG
Retail Food Group
0.69
-1.13
-61.98%
AU:AX1
Accent Group Ltd
0.55
-1.28
-70.01%
AU:OLI
Oliver's Real Food Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Corporate Events
Citigroup Group Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Guzman y Gomez
May 12, 2026
Citigroup Global Markets Australia and related Citi entities have notified Guzman y Gomez that they have ceased to be substantial shareholders as of 8 May 2026. The change follows a series of adjustments to Citi’s relevant interests in the c...
Guzman y Gomez Confirms No Change in Director Tom Cowan’s Equity Interests
May 11, 2026
Guzman y Gomez has disclosed that director Thomas (Tom) Cowan’s interests in the company’s securities remain unchanged following a recent review. Cowan’s holdings comprise a combination of options held on trust for TDM Growth Par...
Guzman y Gomez Cancels Shares Following On-Market Buy-Back
May 8, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Ltd., the ASX-listed operator of Mexican-themed fast-casual restaurants, reported a small reduction in its issued capital through the cancellation of ordinary fully paid shares. The company, trading under ticker GYG, continues to ma...
Citigroup Group Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Guzman y Gomez
Apr 16, 2026
Citigroup Global Markets Australia and related Citi group entities have notified Guzman y Gomez Ltd. that they have ceased to be a substantial holder in the company as of 14 April 2026. The change results from adjustments to Citi’s relevant ...
Guzman y Gomez Updates Market on Ongoing On-Market Share Buy-Back
Apr 13, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Ltd., the ASX-listed fast-casual Mexican restaurant chain, is continuing to build its market presence through its listed ordinary fully paid shares under the ticker GYG. The company operates in the quick-service dining sector, where...
Guzman y Gomez Cancels Over 1.2 Million Shares After Buy-Back
Apr 13, 2026
Guzman y Gomez has cancelled 1,203,661 fully paid ordinary shares following completion of an on-market share buy-back conducted on 7 April 2026. The reduction in issued capital may improve capital management efficiency and slightly enhance remaini...
Guzman y Gomez Options Lapse Reduces Potential Future Capital
Apr 13, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has reported the cessation of 13,250 options (ASX code GYGAA) that were scheduled to expire on various dates at various exercise prices. The securities lapsed on 13 March 2026 because the conditions attached to these options we...
Guzman y Gomez Seeks ASX Quotation for Newly Issued Shares
Apr 13, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of several small tranches of ordinary fully paid shares issued between January and March 2026. The new listings, totaling 23,750 securities, reflect the conversion or exercise of existing...
Guzman y Gomez Lifts Quarterly Sales as Australian Growth and Uber Eats Deal Drive Momentum
Apr 6, 2026
Guzman y Gomez reported strong network sales growth for the March quarter of FY26, with total sales rising 19.5% to $345.9 million, driven largely by accelerating momentum in its Australian business and five new domestic restaurant openings. Compa...
Guzman y Gomez Updates Market on Ongoing On-Market Share Buy-Back
Apr 1, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Limited has notified the market of an on-market share buy-back involving its ordinary fully paid securities under ASX code GYG. The company reported that a total of 3,321,801 shares had been repurchased before the latest reporting d...
Guzman y Gomez Continues On‑Market Share Buy‑Back Program
Mar 30, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Limited has provided an update on its on‑market share buy‑back program, confirming that it continues to repurchase its ordinary fully paid shares on the ASX. The latest daily notification shows that a total of 3,243,509 ...
Guzman y Gomez Reports Daily Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 29, 2026
Guzman y Gomez has updated the market on the progress of its on-market share buy-back, disclosing a cumulative 3,153,234 ordinary fully paid shares repurchased prior to the latest reporting date. The company reported that it bought back an additio...
Guzman y Gomez Updates Investors on Daily On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 25, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Limited has reported an update to its on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares, listed under ASX code GYG. The company disclosed that it had repurchased a cumulative total of 2,918,235 shares before the pr...
Guzman y Gomez Updates Market on Progress of On‑Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 24, 2026
Guzman y Gomez has provided an updated notification to the ASX on its ongoing on‑market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. The company reported that a total of 2,783,044 shares had been repurchased before the previous...
Guzman y Gomez Updates Market on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 23, 2026
Guzman y Gomez has provided an update on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares listed on the ASX under the code GYG. The latest daily notification dated 24 March 2026 reports that the company repurchased 8...
Guzman y Gomez Updates Market on Daily On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 22, 2026
Guzman y Gomez has updated the market on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares listed on the ASX. The latest notification reports that a total of 2,511,243 shares had been repurchased before the previous t...
Guzman y Gomez Updates Market on Ongoing On‑Market Share Buy‑Back
Mar 19, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has continued its on-market share buy-back program, updating the market with a daily notification for March 20, 2026. The company reported that a total of 2,354,421 shares had been repurchased before the previous day, with an a...
Guzman y Gomez Cuts Share Count via On-Market Buyback
Mar 19, 2026
Guzman y Gomez has cancelled 65,315 ordinary fully paid shares following an on-market buyback completed on March 17, 2026. The reduction in issued capital reflects ongoing capital management activity and may modestly enhance value for remaining sh...
Guzman y Gomez Updates Market on Ongoing On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 18, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Limited has provided an updated notification of its on-market share buy-back, confirming continued repurchases of its ordinary fully paid shares on the ASX. As of 19 March 2026, the company reported a cumulative total of 2,323,981 s...
Guzman y Gomez Cuts Share Count Through On-Market Buy-Back
Mar 17, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has cancelled a total of 210,038 ordinary fully paid shares following a series of on-market buy-backs conducted between 11 March and 16 March 2026. The reduction in issued capital reflects an active capital management strategy ...
Guzman y Gomez Continues Daily On‑Market Share Buy‑Back Program
Mar 16, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Limited has reported ongoing activity in its on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares listed on the ASX under the code GYG. The company disclosed that a total of 2,238,046 shares had been repurchased befor...
Guzman y Gomez Confirms Co-CEO Health Leave Plan and Leadership Continuity
Mar 15, 2026
Guzman y Gomez has announced that Co-CEO Hilton Brett will require a kidney transplant later this year and will undergo preparatory medical procedures. With the board’s full support, Brett will remain in his role but periodically scale back ...
Guzman y Gomez Updates Market on Ongoing On‑Market Share Buy‑Back
Mar 15, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for ordinary fully paid shares under code GYG. The latest daily disclosure reports that 56,123 shares were repurchased on th...
Citi Group Entities Cease to Be Substantial Holders in Guzman y Gomez
Mar 13, 2026
Citigroup Global Markets Australia and related Citi group entities have notified Guzman y Gomez Ltd. that they have ceased to be a substantial holder in the company as of 11 March 2026. The change reflects a series of adjustments in relevant inter...
Guzman y Gomez Cancels Shares After On-Market Buy-Back
Mar 12, 2026
Guzman y Gomez has cancelled 176,988 fully paid ordinary shares following completion of an on-market share buy-back, effective 10 March 2026. The reduction in issued capital may provide a marginal boost to earnings per share and signals ongoing ca...
Guzman y Gomez Reports Daily Progress on Ongoing Share Buy-Back
Mar 12, 2026
Guzman y Gomez has updated the market on progress under its on-market share buy-back program, confirming that a total of 2,116,634 ordinary fully paid shares had been repurchased before the previous trading day. The company reported that a further...
Guzman y Gomez Updates Market on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 11, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Limited has issued an updated disclosure on its on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares listed on the ASX under the ticker GYG. The filing confirms the latest daily activity in the program, including the ...
Guzman y Gomez Updates Market on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 9, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has updated the market on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program, confirming that it repurchased a total of 70,596 ordinary fully paid shares in the previous trading day. This takes the cumulative number of shares bought ...
Guzman y Gomez Continues On‑Market Share Buy‑Back Program
Mar 5, 2026
Guzman y Gomez has continued its on-market share buy-back program, repurchasing a total of 1,865,948 ordinary fully paid shares prior to the latest trading day and a further 40,648 shares on the previous day. The daily notification signals an ongo...
Guzman y Gomez Cuts Share Count via On-Market Buy-Back
Mar 5, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has cancelled 556,272 ordinary fully paid shares as part of an on-market buy-back, effective March 5, 2026. The move reduces the company’s issued capital base and may signal capital management efforts aimed at improving s...
Guzman y Gomez Updates Market on Progress of On‑Market Share Buy‑Back
Mar 4, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. The company reported that a total of 1,799,120 shares had been repurchased before the...
Guzman y Gomez Updates ASX on Ongoing On‑Market Share Buy‑Back
Mar 3, 2026
Guzman y Gomez has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on‑market share buy‑back of ordinary fully paid securities under code GYG. The company reported that a total of 1,765,533 shares had been repurchased ...
Guzman y Gomez Updates Market on Progress of On‑Market Share Buy‑Back
Mar 2, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX confirming ongoing on‑market buy‑backs of its ordinary fully paid shares under an existing program first announced in October 2025. The latest daily report, dated 3...
Guzman y Gomez Advances On-Market Share Buy-Back Program
Feb 26, 2026
Guzman y Gomez has reported a further update to its on-market share buy-back program, confirming that it repurchased 133,338 ordinary fully paid shares on the previous trading day. This takes the cumulative number of shares bought back under the c...
Guzman y Gomez Updates Market on Ongoing On-Market Share Buy-Back
Feb 24, 2026
Guzman y Gomez has provided an updated notification to the ASX on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid securities. The latest daily report, dated 25 February 2026, confirms that a total of 1,272,671 shares had b...
Guzman y Gomez Updates Investors on Ongoing On‑Market Share Buy‑Back
Feb 23, 2026
Guzman y Gomez Limited has reported updated figures for its on‑market share buy‑back program involving its ordinary fully paid shares trading under the ASX code GYG. The company disclosed that, as of the latest daily notification dated...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.