Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (GYG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$2.62B
• Dividend Yield: 0.5%
• Average Volume (3M): 548.54K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 177.8
• Beta (1Y): 0.88
• Revenue Growth: 27.40%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: AU
• Employees: 13,000
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): 0.07
• Shares Outstanding: 103,213,970
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 433,588
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 548,538
• PEG Ratio: -1.06
• Price to Book (P/B): 7.55
• Price to Sales (P/S): 6.18
• P/FCF Ratio: -711.52
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: AU$27.02
• Price Target Upside: 6.59% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 7

• Rating: 57 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$27.00 ▲(6.51% Upside)

Guzman y Gomez Ltd.'s overall stock score is primarily influenced by its strong revenue growth and solid gross profit margin, which are offset by concerns about profitability and liquidity. The technical indicators suggest a neutral market position with potential for bullish momentum. However, the high P/E ratio indicates overvaluation, which negatively impacts the overall score.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Guzman y Gomez Limited owns, operates, and franchises quick service restaurants in Australia, Singapore, Japan, and the United States. Its restaurants offer Mexican-inspired food in various formats, including drive thru and strips, as well as delivery and catering services. Guzman y Gomez Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Surry Hills, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (GYG) generates revenue primarily through the sale of its food and beverage products at its restaurant locations. The company's key revenue streams include in-store dining, takeaway, and delivery services, which are facilitated through partnerships with delivery platforms like UberEats, DoorDash, and Menulog. Additionally, GYG may earn income through franchising opportunities, allowing franchisees to operate their own locations under the GYG brand, while contributing to the company's overall revenue through franchise fees and royalties. The company's focus on quality ingredients and efficient service models supports its profitability and market expansion.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. shows strong revenue growth and a solid gross profit margin, indicating effective market penetration and cost management. However, the low net profit margin and cash flow challenges could impact future growth and financial stability. The balance sheet is stable, but careful management of debt and cash flow is essential.

Income Statement

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has shown impressive revenue growth of 52.14% in the latest year, indicating strong market demand and expansion. The gross profit margin is robust at 75.47%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 3.12%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, indicating operational efficiency but also highlighting potential for cost optimization.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.87 is manageable, showing a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is modest at 3.81%, indicating moderate profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 48.52%, suggesting a stable capital structure but also highlighting potential risks if debt levels increase.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement reveals challenges with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -59%, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.67 suggests that operating activities are generating cash, but the negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights concerns about cash availability for reinvestment or debt repayment.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	435.98M	464.61M	342.21M	259.04M	171.79M	119.53M
Gross Profit	97.70M	350.66M	69.78M	188.62M	126.89M	84.67M
EBITDA	87.79M	69.02M	33.29M	34.21M	27.08M	21.59M
Net Income	14.48M	14.48M	-13.75M	-2.27M	3.90M	3.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	783.20M	783.20M	661.80M	324.51M	248.43M	210.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	281.74M	281.74M	294.48M	36.50M	54.43M	62.09M
Total Debt	331.31M	331.31M	239.50M	184.72M	129.93M	115.94M
Total Liabilities	403.07M	403.07M	307.82M	236.54M	167.33M	144.06M
Stockholders Equity	380.12M	380.12M	353.98M	87.97M	81.10M	66.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	4.40M	-4.04M	9.37M	-11.53M	-6.76M	7.90M
Operating Cash Flow	65.73M	57.33M	42.87M	31.13M	19.64M	23.07M
Investing Cash Flow	-34.55M	-34.55M	-311.82M	-48.40M	-31.70M	-17.56M
Financing Cash Flow	-7.72M	679.00K	248.83M	-651.00K	4.39M	32.22M

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 25.35
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:GYG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.55, below the 50-day MA of 25.69, and below the 200-day MA of 30.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:GYG.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CKF	63 Neutral	$1.25B	141.73	2.40%	2.45%	2.06%	-84.35%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
AX1	59 Neutral	AU$781.28M	12.85	12.90%	5.38%	1.58%	-4.71%
GYG	57 Neutral	AU$2.62B	177.77	3.94%	0.50%	27.40%	―
DMP	52 Neutral	$1.43B	110.11	-0.70%	5.09%	-3.09%	-104.37%
RFG	44 Neutral	$79.61M	14.45	-6.95%	―	10.13%	-353.94%
OLI	41 Neutral	AU$5.95M	―	―	―	-6.32%	-9.62%

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Corporate Events

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Seeks ASX Quotation for New Securities

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced the application for the quotation of 175,634 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) with the issuer code GYG. This move is part of their strategic financial operations, potentially enhancing their market presence and providing additional liquidity options for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced the quotation of new securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), with a total of 17,000 ordinary fully paid securities to be quoted. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its market presence and provide additional value to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Announces Cessation of Securities

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. announced the cessation of certain securities, including 6,000 options that expired without exercise and 112,750 options that lapsed due to unmet conditions. This announcement may impact the company’s financial structure, reflecting a strategic decision to manage its capital and potentially influence investor perceptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Sees Increase in Substantial Holder’s Voting Power

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has experienced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, Pinnacle Investment Management Group Limited, which now holds a 12.42% voting power in the company, up from 11.41%. This increase in voting power reflects a strategic shift in the company’s shareholder structure, potentially impacting its governance and decision-making processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Unveils Strategic Plans at Macquarie Conference

Guzman y Gomez Limited announced its presentation at the 2025 Macquarie Australia Conference, highlighting its strategic initiatives and future growth plans. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it underscores the company’s commitment to expanding its market presence and enhancing its competitive positioning in the fast-casual dining industry.