Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (GYG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$2.07B
• Dividend Yield: 0.56%
• Average Volume (3M): 548.54K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 52.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.98
• Revenue Growth: 27.40%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: AU
• Employees: 13,000
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): 0.16
• Shares Outstanding: 102,417,210
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 433,588
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 548,538
• PEG Ratio: -1.06
• Price to Book (P/B): 7.55
• Price to Sales (P/S): 6.18
• P/FCF Ratio: -711.52
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: AU$22.69
• Price Target Upside: 6.85% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 10
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.21
• Revenue Forecast (FY): AU$546.31M

• Rating: 57 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$21.00 ▼(-1.08% Downside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 04/09/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 04/09/26

The score is driven primarily by strong top-line growth and solid gross margins, offset by weak free cash flow and low net profitability. Technicals are mixed with negative MACD and longer-term averages overhead, and valuation is a key headwind due to the high P/E despite a modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Strong Revenue Growth

Sustained revenue growth above 50% signals strong product-market fit and effective expansion execution. Over the next 2–6 months this growth supports scale benefits, franchise attraction and incremental unit economics improvement as fixed costs are absorbed across a larger sales base.

Negative Factors

Low Net Profit Margin

A single-digit net margin constrains retained earnings and limits internal funding for growth or resilience to cost shocks. Over the medium term this low profitability increases sensitivity to wage, rent, or marketing cost rises and requires sustained top-line gains or cost initiatives to improve shareholder returns.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (GYG) is an Australian-based fast-casual restaurant chain specializing in Mexican cuisine. Founded in 2006, the company has established itself as a prominent player in the quick-service restaurant sector, offering a diverse men...

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Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (GYG) is an Australian-based fast-casual restaurant chain specializing in Mexican cuisine. Founded in 2006, the company has established itself as a prominent player in the quick-service restaurant sector, offering a diverse men...

How the Company Makes Money

GYG makes money primarily by selling food and beverages to customers through its restaurant network. Its revenue model typically includes: (1) Direct restaurant sales: income from company-operated locations generated from in-store, takeaway, and d...

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GYG makes money primarily by selling food and beverages to customers through its restaurant network. Its revenue model typically includes: (1) Direct restaurant sales: income from company-operated locations generated from in-store, takeaway, and d...

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Breakdown	TTM	Jun 2025	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	484.76M	464.61M	342.21M	259.04M	171.79M	119.53M
Gross Profit	110.66M	350.66M	69.78M	188.62M	126.89M	84.67M
EBITDA	97.64M	69.02M	33.29M	34.21M	27.08M	21.59M
Net Income	17.75M	14.48M	-13.75M	-2.27M	3.90M	3.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	789.25M	783.20M	661.80M	324.51M	248.43M	210.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	236.40M	281.74M	294.48M	36.50M	54.43M	62.09M
Total Debt	715.08M	331.31M	239.50M	184.72M	129.93M	115.94M
Total Liabilities	432.01M	403.07M	307.82M	236.54M	167.33M	144.06M
Stockholders Equity	357.24M	380.12M	353.98M	87.97M	81.10M	66.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	9.55M	-4.04M	9.37M	-11.53M	-6.76M	7.90M
Operating Cash Flow	72.13M	57.33M	42.87M	31.13M	19.64M	23.07M
Investing Cash Flow	2.12M	-34.55M	-311.82M	-48.40M	-31.70M	-17.56M
Financing Cash Flow	-45.20M	679.00K	248.83M	-651.00K	4.39M	32.22M

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 21.23
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:GYG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 21.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.43, above the 50-day MA of 19.12, and below the 200-day MA of 23.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:GYG.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CKF	69 Neutral	AU$1.06B	11.61	2.89%	2.67%	4.61%	-76.47%
AX1	65 Neutral	AU$435.71M	5.06	7.94%	7.33%	1.58%	-4.71%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
DMP	59 Neutral	AU$1.70B	12.12	8.83%	3.58%	-3.09%	-104.37%
GYG	57 Neutral	AU$2.07B	52.00	4.82%	0.56%	27.40%	―
RFG	48 Neutral	AU$61.90M	11.71	-10.34%	―	10.13%	-353.94%
OLI	46 Neutral	AU$3.79M	1.09	5.84%	―	-6.32%	-9.62%

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Corporate Events