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Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (AU:GYG)
ASX:GYG
Australian Market
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Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (GYG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Guzman y Gomez Ltd.

(Sydney:GYG)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
AU$29.00
▲(5.03%Upside)
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. scores moderately due to strong revenue growth and improving cash flows but is weighed down by negative earnings and weak technical indicators. The absence of earnings call data and challenging valuation metrics also impact the score.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (GYG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGuzman y Gomez Limited owns, operates, and franchises quick service restaurants in Australia, Singapore, Japan, and the United States. Its restaurants offer Mexican-inspired food in various formats, including drive thru and strips, as well as delivery and catering services. Guzman y Gomez Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Surry Hills, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyGuzman y Gomez Ltd. (GYG) generates revenue primarily through the sale of its food and beverage products at its restaurant locations. The company's key revenue streams include in-store dining, takeaway, and delivery services, which are facilitated through partnerships with delivery platforms like UberEats, DoorDash, and Menulog. Additionally, GYG may earn income through franchising opportunities, allowing franchisees to operate their own locations under the GYG brand, while contributing to the company's overall revenue through franchise fees and royalties. The company's focus on quality ingredients and efficient service models supports its profitability and market expansion.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. exhibits strong revenue growth and improving cash flows. However, profitability challenges persist due to negative EBIT and net income. The balance sheet is stable, with a solid equity position and manageable leverage, but operational improvements are needed to enhance net margins and return on equity.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has demonstrated a strong revenue growth with a 40.8% increase YOY. However, the company has faced challenges with profitability as indicated by a negative EBIT and net income. Gross profit margin remains robust at 76%, but the net profit margin is negative, indicating operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity position with a high equity ratio of 53.5%. The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.68, reflecting manageable leverage. Despite a significant increase in stockholders' equity, there are potential risks due to the negative net income affecting return on equity.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The company has shown positive trends in cash flow, with a turnaround in free cash flow from negative to positive. Operating cash flow is strong relative to net income, indicating efficient cash generation. However, high capital expenditures may continue to pressure free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue305.38M364.76M259.04M171.79M119.53M
Gross Profit224.62M277.18M188.62M126.89M84.67M
EBITDA32.29M33.29M34.21M27.08M18.33M
Net Income-5.11M-13.75M-2.27M3.90M3.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets330.51M661.80M324.51M248.43M210.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.62M294.48M36.50M54.43M62.09M
Total Debt211.07M239.50M184.72M129.93M115.94M
Total Liabilities256.53M307.82M236.54M167.33M144.06M
Stockholders Equity73.98M353.98M87.97M81.10M66.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.84M9.31M-11.53M-6.76M7.90M
Operating Cash Flow31.57M42.87M31.13M19.64M23.07M
Investing Cash Flow-41.76M-311.82M-48.40M-31.70M-17.56M
Financing Cash Flow-20.60M254.93M-651.00K4.39M32.22M

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price27.61
Price Trends
50DMA
29.56
Negative
100DMA
31.22
Negative
200DMA
35.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.58
Negative
RSI
43.36
Neutral
STOCH
34.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:GYG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.03, below the 50-day MA of 29.56, and below the 200-day MA of 35.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:GYG.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$16.95B10.84-7.26%3.63%1.71%-25.14%
AUGYG
55
Neutral
AU$2.84B-1.13%26.77%51.19%
$683.52M95.182.40%4.21%
$1.13B103.842.09%5.80%
$83.97M16.904.31%
AUAX1
72
Outperform
AU$910.49M13.2714.35%6.58%6.29%-12.42%
DE36S
€1.52M
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:GYG
Guzman y Gomez Ltd.
27.61
1.01
3.80%
CLLFF
Collins Foods
4.64
-1.11
-19.30%
DPZUF
Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited
11.90
-9.60
-44.65%
RFGPF
Retail Food Group
1.60
-0.40
-20.00%
AU:AX1
Accent Group Ltd
1.52
-0.60
-28.30%
DE:36S
Oliver's Real Food Ltd.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Corporate Events

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Seeks ASX Quotation for New Securities
Jul 14, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced the application for the quotation of 175,634 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) with the issuer code GYG. This move is part of their strategic financial operations, potentially enhancing their market presence and providing additional liquidity options for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Jul 14, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced the quotation of new securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), with a total of 17,000 ordinary fully paid securities to be quoted. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its market presence and provide additional value to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Announces Cessation of Securities
Jul 14, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. announced the cessation of certain securities, including 6,000 options that expired without exercise and 112,750 options that lapsed due to unmet conditions. This announcement may impact the company’s financial structure, reflecting a strategic decision to manage its capital and potentially influence investor perceptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Sees Increase in Substantial Holder’s Voting Power
Jul 4, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has experienced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, Pinnacle Investment Management Group Limited, which now holds a 12.42% voting power in the company, up from 11.41%. This increase in voting power reflects a strategic shift in the company’s shareholder structure, potentially impacting its governance and decision-making processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Unveils Strategic Plans at Macquarie Conference
May 7, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Limited announced its presentation at the 2025 Macquarie Australia Conference, highlighting its strategic initiatives and future growth plans. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it underscores the company’s commitment to expanding its market presence and enhancing its competitive positioning in the fast-casual dining industry.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Ceases Substantial Holding in Guzman Y Gomez
Apr 22, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. has ceased to be a substantial holder in Guzman Y Gomez Ltd. This change in substantial holding involves various transactions, including purchases and sales of securities by entities controlled by First Sentier Investors Holdings Pty Ltd and Morgan Stanley, affecting the voting securities of the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025