tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (AU:GYG)
ASX:GYG
Australian Market
Advertisement

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (GYG) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
36 Followers

Top Page

AU:GYG

Guzman y Gomez Ltd.

(Sydney:GYG)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$23.00
▼(-2.62% Downside)
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. faces significant challenges with its high valuation and bearish technical indicators, which weigh heavily on the overall score. Despite strong revenue growth and a solid gross profit margin, the company's low net profitability and cash flow issues raise concerns about its financial stability. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events further limits positive influences on the stock's outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust market demand and successful expansion strategies, enhancing long-term business sustainability.
Gross Profit Margin
A high gross profit margin suggests effective cost control and pricing power, which supports long-term profitability and competitive positioning.
Market Expansion
Diverse operations in food services and strategic partnerships for delivery enhance market reach and resilience against sector-specific downturns.
Negative Factors
Net Profit Margin
Low net profit margins indicate challenges in translating revenue growth into bottom-line profitability, potentially affecting long-term financial health.
Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow growth suggests liquidity constraints, limiting the ability to reinvest in growth or manage debt effectively over time.
Return on Equity
A modest return on equity points to challenges in generating significant returns on shareholder investments, impacting long-term investor confidence.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. (GYG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGuzman y Gomez Limited owns, operates, and franchises quick service restaurants in Australia, Singapore, Japan, and the United States. Its restaurants offer Mexican-inspired food in various formats, including drive thru and strips, as well as delivery and catering services. Guzman y Gomez Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Surry Hills, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyGuzman y Gomez generates revenue primarily through its restaurant operations, which include dine-in, takeout, and drive-thru services. The company earns money by selling its core menu items, which are priced to appeal to a broad customer base. Additionally, GYG has developed a successful catering business that provides food services for events, further diversifying its revenue streams. The company also benefits from partnerships with delivery services, allowing it to reach customers through third-party platforms, thereby increasing sales. Promotions, loyalty programs, and seasonal menu offerings contribute to customer retention and repeat business, enhancing overall profitability.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. demonstrates strong revenue growth and a solid gross profit margin, indicating effective market penetration and cost management. However, profitability at the net level remains a concern, and cash flow challenges could impact future growth and financial stability. The balance sheet is stable, but careful management of debt and cash flow is essential to sustain growth and improve profitability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has shown impressive revenue growth of 52.14% in the latest year, indicating strong market demand and expansion. The gross profit margin is robust at 75.47%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 3.12%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, indicating operational efficiency but also highlighting potential for cost optimization.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.87 is manageable, showing a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is modest at 3.81%, indicating moderate profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 48.52%, suggesting a stable capital structure but also highlighting potential risks if debt levels increase.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals challenges with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -59%, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.67 suggests that operating activities are generating cash, but the negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights concerns about cash availability for reinvestment or debt repayment.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue435.98M464.61M342.21M259.04M171.79M119.53M
Gross Profit97.70M350.66M69.78M188.62M126.89M84.67M
EBITDA87.79M69.02M33.29M34.21M27.08M21.59M
Net Income14.48M14.48M-13.75M-2.27M3.90M3.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets783.20M783.20M661.80M324.51M248.43M210.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments281.74M281.74M294.48M36.50M54.43M62.09M
Total Debt331.31M331.31M239.50M184.72M129.93M115.94M
Total Liabilities403.07M403.07M307.82M236.54M167.33M144.06M
Stockholders Equity380.12M380.12M353.98M87.97M81.10M66.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.40M-4.04M9.37M-11.53M-6.76M7.90M
Operating Cash Flow65.73M57.33M42.87M31.13M19.64M23.07M
Investing Cash Flow-34.55M-34.55M-311.82M-48.40M-31.70M-17.56M
Financing Cash Flow-7.72M679.00K248.83M-651.00K4.39M32.22M

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price23.62
Price Trends
50DMA
24.82
Negative
100DMA
25.64
Negative
200DMA
28.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.68
Negative
RSI
48.34
Neutral
STOCH
76.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:GYG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 23.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.66, below the 50-day MA of 24.82, and below the 200-day MA of 28.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:GYG.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
AU$1.38B155.732.40%2.23%2.06%-84.35%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
AU$748.23M12.3012.90%6.97%1.58%-4.71%
59
Neutral
$2.02B-459.78-0.70%3.60%-3.09%-104.37%
51
Neutral
AU$2.66B180.583.94%0.53%27.40%
51
Neutral
AU$100.06M-6.95%10.13%-353.94%
41
Neutral
€5.41M-6.32%-9.62%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:GYG
Guzman y Gomez Ltd.
23.62
-19.56
-45.30%
AU:CKF
Collins Foods
11.68
3.32
39.66%
AU:DMP
Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited
21.38
-10.20
-32.29%
AU:RFG
Retail Food Group
1.59
-1.29
-44.77%
AU:AX1
Accent Group Ltd
1.00
-1.44
-59.02%
AU:OLI
Oliver's Real Food Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Corporate Events

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Updates on Market Buy-Back Program
Nov 18, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back program. As of November 19, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 364,014 securities, with an additional 133,852 securities bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to optimize its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Updates on Share Buy-Back Program
Nov 18, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back of ordinary fully paid securities, with a total of 129,525 securities bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative, which began on October 9, 2025, reflects the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Updates on Market Buy-Back Program
Nov 17, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update on its ongoing on-market buy-back program, with a total of 34,035 ordinary fully paid securities bought back on the previous day, adding to the cumulative total of 200,454 securities. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value, reflecting a commitment to optimizing financial performance and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Announces Successful AGM Results
Nov 13, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. announced the successful results of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where all resolutions were passed by a poll. The re-election of directors and the adoption of the remuneration report were key outcomes, indicating strong shareholder support and stability in the company’s leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Reports Record Sales and Strategic Growth Plans
Nov 13, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. reported a record-breaking financial year in 2025, surpassing $1 billion in network sales and achieving a statutory net profit after tax of $14.5 million. The company plans to continue its growth trajectory by opening 32 new restaurants in Australia, including 23 drive-thrus, and enhancing its menu and digital platforms. The Board announced a share buyback of up to $100 million, reflecting a robust financial position and commitment to shareholder returns. The company remains focused on scaling responsibly, reinvesting in its brand and people, and delivering value through growth and dividends.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Updates on Market Buy-Back
Oct 30, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back of ordinary fully paid securities, with a total of 37,074 securities bought back on the previous day, adding to the 163,380 securities already repurchased. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Updates on Market Buy-Back Progress
Oct 29, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back of ordinary fully paid securities, with a total of 54,875 securities bought back on the previous day, adding to the 108,505 securities already repurchased. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure effectively, potentially enhancing shareholder value and demonstrating confidence in its financial health.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Updates on Buy-Back Program
Oct 27, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back program. The company reported a total of 37,387 ordinary fully paid securities bought back on the previous day, as part of its daily buy-back notification. This move is part of their strategy to manage capital and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Initiates On-Market Buy-Back Program
Oct 26, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced an update regarding its on-market buy-back of ordinary fully paid securities, identified by the ASX code GYG. As of October 27, 2025, the company reported the buy-back of 37,087 securities on the previous day, marking the commencement of its buy-back program which initially began on October 9, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Lists New Securities on ASX
Oct 16, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. announced the quotation of 107,160 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of October 15, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its market presence and potentially attract more investors, which could impact its operational growth and industry positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Announces Hybrid Annual General Meeting
Oct 14, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Limited has announced that its Annual General Meeting will be held on November 13, 2025, both physically in Sydney and virtually. Shareholders are encouraged to register for the virtual meeting in advance to ensure smooth participation, and the company has made the Notice of Meeting available online for easier access.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Hold with a A$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Ceases to be Substantial Holder in Guzman y Gomez Ltd.
Sep 24, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced that JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of September 22, 2025. This change in substantial holding is due to transactions involving securities on loan and the purchase and sale of securities by JPMorgan’s subsidiaries, including JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., J.P. Morgan Securities PLC, and J.P. Morgan Securities Australia Limited. The impact of this change could affect the company’s market perception and stakeholder confidence, as substantial holdings often indicate significant influence or interest in a company’s operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Buy with a A$31.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Director’s Interest Update
Sep 8, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically regarding Marina Joanou. The change involves the acquisition of 10,500 ordinary shares and the disposal of 10,500 options, resulting in a new holding of 24,750 ordinary shares and 31,500 options. This adjustment reflects a strategic financial decision by the director, potentially impacting the company’s governance and shareholder dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Buy with a A$31.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Announces New Quotation of Securities on ASX
Sep 8, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has announced a new application for the quotation of securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). This move involves the quotation of a total of 201,500 ordinary fully paid securities, which could potentially enhance the company’s market presence and provide additional capital for growth initiatives. The announcement signifies a strategic step in expanding its financial operations and could have implications for stakeholders by potentially increasing the liquidity and marketability of its shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Buy with a A$31.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Announces Director’s Interest Change
Aug 28, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically regarding Thomas Cowan’s interests in securities. The change involved the disposal of 2,619,434 ordinary shares previously managed by TDM Growth Partners Pty Ltd, which are now directly managed by a subset of TDM clients following the conclusion of a management agreement. This adjustment reflects a shift in the management of shares, potentially impacting the company’s operational structure and stakeholder dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Buy with a A$31.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Achieves Record Sales and Expands Global Footprint
Aug 22, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. announced a record-breaking financial year in 2025, with network sales surpassing $1.2 billion, marking a 23% growth from the previous year. The company opened 39 new restaurants globally, with significant growth in Australia, Singapore, Japan, and the US, and plans to scale to 1,000 restaurants in Australia, leveraging strong restaurant economics and a focus on sustainable expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Buy with a A$41.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. Releases 2025 Corporate Governance Statement
Aug 22, 2025

Guzman y Gomez Ltd. has released its 2025 Corporate Governance Statement, detailing its adherence to the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s Principles and Recommendations. The company has outlined its governance policies, including board responsibilities, director appointments, and diversity objectives, which are accessible on its website. This statement signifies the company’s commitment to transparency and accountability, potentially strengthening its position in the market and enhancing shareholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GYG) stock is a Buy with a A$41.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guzman y Gomez Ltd. stock, see the AU:GYG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 19, 2025