Retail Food Group (RFG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$122.09M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 87.13K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 13.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.12
• Revenue Growth: 21.87%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: AU
• Employees: 59
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 66
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): 0.08
• Shares Outstanding: 62,930,790
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 56,752
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 87,133
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.61
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 9.89
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: AU$3.60
• Price Target Upside: 85.38% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 63 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$2.00 ▲(3.09%Upside)

The overall score reflects a moderate outlook. Financial performance shows signs of recovery but is hindered by profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical analysis suggests mild positive momentum, while valuation appears reasonable with a P/E ratio supporting the stock's current price levels.

Retail Food Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Retail Food Group (RFG) is a global food and beverage company headquartered in Australia. The company specializes in the management of multi-brand retail food franchises. RFG's core brands include Gloria Jean's Coffees, Donut King, Brumby's Bakery, Michel's Patisserie, and Crust Gourmet Pizza. These brands operate primarily in the quick service restaurant (QSR) sector, providing a variety of food and beverage products to consumers worldwide.

How the Company Makes Money

Retail Food Group generates revenue through a franchising model, collecting franchise fees and royalties from its franchisees who operate under RFG's various brands. Additional revenue streams include the sale of coffee and bakery supplies to franchisees and the operation of corporate-owned stores. RFG also benefits from strategic partnerships and licensing agreements, which expand the reach of its brands into new markets. The company optimizes its earnings by leveraging economies of scale in supply chain management and implementing cost-efficient operational practices across its franchise network.

Retail Food Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Retail Food Group is undergoing a recovery with strong revenue growth and improved gross profit margins. However, challenges remain in achieving consistent profitability and cash flow stability, despite a moderate leverage and a healthy equity base.

Income Statement

Retail Food Group has shown improvement in revenue with a growth rate of 12.4% from 2023 to 2024, which is a positive indicator. Gross profit margin improved significantly to 71.8% in 2024, up from 48.8% in 2023. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative EBIT margins in recent years, although there was a positive turnaround in net income in 2024, showing a net profit margin of 4.6%.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.55 in 2024, which indicates a moderate level of leverage. The equity ratio stands at 56.4%, reflecting a healthy proportion of equity financing. Return on equity (ROE) is 2.8% in 2024, which shows slight improvement but remains low, indicating limited effectiveness in generating profit from shareholders' equity.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow turned positive in 2024, showing a substantial recovery from negative figures in 2023, which is a good sign. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.78, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, historical fluctuations in cash flow metrics suggest some instability in cash flow management.

Breakdown	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021	Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	125.18M	111.37M	102.58M	109.10M	126.40M
Gross Profit	90.88M	54.38M	50.77M	52.19M	47.69M
EBITDA	26.58M	1.42M	19.28M	24.52M	48.11M
Net Income	5.79M	-8.95M	5.26M	1.46M	-3.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	368.74M	348.89M	350.08M	369.76M	437.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	20.64M	22.26M	29.22M	34.65M	40.25M
Total Debt	113.62M	110.64M	128.42M	153.38M	177.66M
Total Liabilities	160.73M	149.18M	166.30M	191.91M	261.41M
Stockholders Equity	208.01M	199.71M	183.78M	177.86M	176.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	10.32M	-4.93M	12.34M	8.41M	-5.79M
Operating Cash Flow	15.36M	-1.20M	15.43M	11.07M	-3.83M
Investing Cash Flow	-9.91M	-2.21M	-828.00K	1.88M	-279.00K
Financing Cash Flow	-7.09M	-3.61M	-20.24M	-18.43M	31.09M

Retail Food Group Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 1.94
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:RFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.98, above the 50-day MA of 1.90, and below the 200-day MA of 2.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:RFG.

Retail Food Group Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MTO	75 Outperform	AU$254.63M	14.98	8.49%	4.25%	3.76%	-26.42%
RFG	63 Neutral	AU$122.09M	13.33	4.31%	―	21.87%	―
CKF	63 Neutral	$1.09B	123.73	2.40%	2.80%	2.06%	-84.35%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$16.51B	10.46	-8.28%	3.32%	1.44%	-22.58%
DMP	56 Neutral	$1.73B	104.34	2.09%	7.31%	-8.04%	-54.44%
GYG	55 Neutral	AU$2.77B	―	-1.13%	―	26.77%	51.19%
OLI	37 Underperform	€2.70M	―		―	5.92%	-333.33%

Retail Food Group Corporate Events

Retail Food Group Issues Unquoted Service Rights to Employees

Retail Food Group Limited announced the issuance of 29,385 unquoted service rights under an employee incentive scheme, effective March 18, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to incentivize employees, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and aligning staff interests with corporate goals.

Retail Food Group Issues Performance Rights to Employees

Retail Food Group Limited has announced the issuance of 47,945 performance rights as part of an employee incentive scheme. These unquoted securities are not intended to be listed on the ASX, reflecting the company’s strategy to incentivize and retain key personnel, which could enhance operational performance and stakeholder value.