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Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited (AU:DMP)
ASX:DMP

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited (DMP) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited

(Sydney:DMP)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
AU$22.50
▲(5.29%Upside)
Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited receives a moderate score driven by strong financial performance and efficient cash flow management. However, technical analysis indicates negative market momentum and the stock appears overvalued based on its high P/E ratio. The dividend yield provides some support to the valuation.
Positive Factors
Cost Efficiency
The announcement of an incremental cost out of A$14.9mn in store optimization and cost base simplification is expected to offset moderate trading conditions.
Valuation
The DCF valuation has increased, indicating a potentially higher future value for the company.
Negative Factors
European Market Challenges
There are concerns about Domino's performance in France, with a need for improved franchise partner engagement and consumer perception.
Market Uncertainty
The target price was lowered due to uncertainty in Europe, with Domino's closing stores in France and facing challenges in store rollout.
Profitability Challenges
The closure of an additional 205 loss-making stores indicates ongoing challenges in maintaining profitability.
Sales Performance
Recent initiatives in France have not shown significant improvement in sales trends, raising doubts about future advertising strategies.

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited (DMP) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDomino's Pizza Enterprises Limited operates retail food outlets. The company holds franchise rights for the Domino's brand in Australia, New Zealand, Belgium, France, the Netherlands, Japan, Germany, Luxembourg, Denmark, and Taiwan. It operates a network of 3,396 stores. Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited was founded in 1983 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyDomino's Pizza Enterprises Limited primarily generates revenue through its network of company-owned and franchised stores. The company earns money through direct sales in its owned stores and collects royalties and fees from its franchised stores based on their sales performance. Additionally, DMP benefits from supply chain operations, providing ingredients and products to its franchisees, which ensures quality consistency across its network. Key revenue streams also include delivery and service charges, alongside strategic marketing partnerships that enhance its brand visibility and customer engagement. Factors contributing to its earnings include technological innovations in online ordering and delivery systems, efficient supply chain management, and strong brand loyalty fostered through customer-centric initiatives.

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and profitability, and excellent cash flow management. However, high leverage as indicated by the Debt-to-Equity Ratio poses potential risks that require monitoring.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited has shown a consistent revenue growth trajectory, with a Revenue Growth Rate of 1.08% from 2023 to 2024. The Gross Profit Margin is robust at 56.01%, and the Net Profit Margin has improved to 4.05%, indicating better cost management. The EBIT Margin stands at 10.79%, and the EBITDA Margin is at 13.69%, reflecting strong operational efficiency. However, the slight dip in revenue growth rate may indicate a saturation point in the market, which needs to be monitored.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 2.37, which is relatively high, indicating potential leverage risks. The Return on Equity (ROE) is 15.74%, showing a good return on shareholders' investment. The Equity Ratio is 23.51%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing compared to total assets. While profitability is strong, the high leverage could pose financial risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
The company has demonstrated a solid Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 42.33% from 2023 to 2024, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.47, and the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.53, both of which highlight efficient cash flow management. However, the negative investing cash flow suggests substantial investment activities, which could impact future liquidity.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.27B2.37B2.34B2.27B2.19B1.90B
Gross Profit
721.45M731.50M587.23M634.83M626.62M539.30M
EBIT
427.19M255.68M179.84M238.40M265.69M205.45M
EBITDA
224.07M324.55M279.38M383.75M421.79M348.21M
Net Income Common Stockholders
15.76M95.96M40.57M158.72M184.01M138.48M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
119.42M87.65M159.89M76.88M174.69M245.68M
Total Assets
2.66B2.59B2.88B2.43B2.35B2.47B
Total Debt
1.44B1.44B1.74B1.41B1.27B1.48B
Net Debt
1.32B1.36B1.58B1.34B1.09B1.23B
Total Liabilities
2.04B1.98B2.36B2.01B1.96B2.08B
Stockholders Equity
626.19M609.55M520.52M421.96M395.14M393.37M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
167.73M146.78M103.13M-1.95M230.51M186.13M
Operating Cash Flow
189.57M236.97M260.79M190.12M373.25M311.41M
Investing Cash Flow
-52.48M-66.01M-487.94M-233.28M-97.46M-98.88M
Financing Cash Flow
-136.02M-239.09M314.12M-49.95M-329.90M-70.14M

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.37
Price Trends
50DMA
24.80
Negative
100DMA
26.89
Negative
200DMA
29.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.11
Positive
RSI
29.43
Positive
STOCH
15.85
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:DMP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.48, below the 50-day MA of 24.80, and below the 200-day MA of 29.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.43 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.85 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:DMP.

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$6.98B11.412.80%4.24%2.68%-24.94%
AUDMP
54
Neutral
$1.99B120.162.09%5.03%-8.04%-54.44%
$587.16M17.4412.25%2.85%
$71.51M16.904.31%
DE36S
€1.83M
AUMTO
79
Outperform
AU$183.04M10.778.49%6.45%3.76%-26.42%
AUGYG
61
Neutral
AU$2.96B-1.13%26.77%51.19%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:DMP
Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited
21.37
-15.37
-41.84%
CLLFF
Collins Foods
5.03
-0.91
-15.32%
RFGPF
Retail Food Group Limited
1.60
0.00
0.00%
DE:36S
Oliver's Real Food Ltd.
AU:MTO
Motorcycle Holdings Ltd.
2.65
1.52
134.51%
AU:GYG
Guzman y Gomez Ltd.
29.14
0.14
0.48%

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited Corporate Events

Pinnacle Reduces Stake in Domino’s Pizza Enterprises
May 23, 2025

Pinnacle Investment Management Group Limited has reduced its stake in Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited, decreasing its voting power from 9.76% to 8.58%. This change in substantial holding reflects a shift in Pinnacle’s investment strategy and could influence market perceptions and stakeholder confidence in Domino’s Pizza.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:DMP) stock is a Buy with a A$46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited stock, see the AU:DMP Stock Forecast page.

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Announces Change in Substantial Holder Interests
Apr 17, 2025

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited, a leading player in the global pizza delivery and takeaway industry, has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder. The notice indicates a shift in voting power and relevant interests among key stakeholders, including State Street Bank and Trust Company and other associated entities. This change could impact the company’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially affecting its strategic direction and stakeholder relationships.

Domino’s Director Increases Shareholding Through Dividend Reinvestment
Apr 9, 2025

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Mark van Dyck acquiring 528 additional shares under the company’s Dividend Reinvestment Plan. This change reflects a minor adjustment in the director’s holdings, indicating continued confidence in the company’s financial strategies and potential growth, which may reassure stakeholders about the company’s stability and future prospects.

Domino’s Director Increases Stake Through Dividend Reinvestment
Apr 9, 2025

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically for Director Lynda O’Grady. The change involved an acquisition of shares through a Dividend Reinvestment Plan, increasing her total shareholding. This adjustment in shareholding reflects the director’s continued investment in the company, potentially signaling confidence in its future performance.

Domino’s Director Increases Stake Through Dividend Reinvestment
Apr 9, 2025

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with John James Cowin acquiring additional shares through Somad Holdings Pty Ltd. This acquisition, made under the Dividend Reinvestment Plan, reflects a strategic move that could influence the company’s shareholder dynamics and potentially impact its market positioning.

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited Announces Change in Substantial Shareholding
Apr 2, 2025

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited has experienced a change in the substantial holding of its shares. State Street Bank and Trust Company, along with its associates, has adjusted its voting power in the company, reflecting a shift in the ownership structure. This change in shareholding could have implications for the company’s governance and strategic decisions, affecting stakeholders’ interests and potentially influencing market perceptions.

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Announces Quotation of New Securities
Apr 2, 2025

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited has announced the application for the quotation of 1,944,985 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). This move is part of a dividend or distribution plan, potentially impacting the company’s financial structure and offering new opportunities for investors. The announcement underscores Domino’s strategic financial maneuvers aimed at enhancing shareholder value and maintaining its competitive edge in the industry.

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Expands Share Issuance to Bolster Market Position
Apr 2, 2025

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited has issued over 1.9 million fully paid ordinary shares, with a portion allocated to shareholders through the Dividend Reinvestment Plan and the remainder under a DRP underwriting agreement with Morgan Stanley. This strategic move is part of the company’s ongoing financial management and compliance with the Corporations Act, potentially enhancing its market position and shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.