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Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited (AU:DMP)
ASX:DMP

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited (DMP) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited

(Sydney:DMP)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
AU$17.50
▼(-2.94%Downside)
The overall score reflects strong financial performance and substantial dividend yield. However, bearish technical indicators and high leverage risk weigh negatively on the stock's attractiveness. The high P/E ratio further exacerbates valuation concerns.
Positive Factors
Company Valuation
The DCF valuation has increased, indicating a potentially higher future value for the company.
Cost Management
The announcement of an incremental cost out of A$14.9mn in store optimization and cost base simplification is expected to offset moderate trading conditions.
Management and Leadership
The appointment of Phil Reed to senior management in Europe is seen as positive given the recent success of Pizza Hut in Australia.
Negative Factors
Leadership Transition
A period of strategic uncertainty is expected until a new CEO replacement is found.
Profitability Challenges
The closure of an additional 205 loss-making stores indicates ongoing challenges in maintaining profitability.
Store Performance
Store numbers may disappoint as the market may have been expecting a bigger number of openings, which may be a negative surprise.

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited (DMP) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDomino's Pizza Enterprises Limited operates retail food outlets. The company holds franchise rights for the Domino's brand in Australia, New Zealand, Belgium, France, the Netherlands, Japan, Germany, Luxembourg, Denmark, and Taiwan. It operates a network of 3,396 stores. Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited was founded in 1983 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyDomino's Pizza Enterprises Limited makes money through a combination of company-owned and franchised stores. The primary revenue streams include the sale of pizzas and other menu items at these outlets, franchise fees, and royalties from franchised stores. Franchisees pay an initial franchise fee and ongoing royalties based on a percentage of sales, which contributes significantly to the company's earnings. Additionally, Domino's benefits from supply chain operations, providing dough and other food products to franchisees, which adds another layer of revenue. The company's focus on technology, such as its online ordering platform and innovative delivery methods, enhances customer engagement and drives sales growth. Strategic partnerships with delivery platforms and marketing collaborations further bolster Domino's market presence and revenue potential.

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and profitability, and excellent cash flow management. However, high leverage as indicated by the Debt-to-Equity Ratio poses potential risks that require monitoring.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited has shown a consistent revenue growth trajectory, with a Revenue Growth Rate of 1.08% from 2023 to 2024. The Gross Profit Margin is robust at 56.01%, and the Net Profit Margin has improved to 4.05%, indicating better cost management. The EBIT Margin stands at 10.79%, and the EBITDA Margin is at 13.69%, reflecting strong operational efficiency. However, the slight dip in revenue growth rate may indicate a saturation point in the market, which needs to be monitored.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 2.37, which is relatively high, indicating potential leverage risks. The Return on Equity (ROE) is 15.74%, showing a good return on shareholders' investment. The Equity Ratio is 23.51%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing compared to total assets. While profitability is strong, the high leverage could pose financial risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
The company has demonstrated a solid Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 42.33% from 2023 to 2024, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.47, and the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.53, both of which highlight efficient cash flow management. However, the negative investing cash flow suggests substantial investment activities, which could impact future liquidity.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.27B2.37B2.34B2.27B2.19B1.90B
Gross Profit721.45M731.50M587.23M634.83M626.62M539.30M
EBITDA224.07M324.55M279.38M383.75M421.79M348.21M
Net Income15.76M95.96M40.57M158.72M184.01M138.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.66B2.59B2.88B2.43B2.35B2.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments119.42M87.65M159.89M76.88M174.69M245.68M
Total Debt1.44B1.44B1.74B1.41B1.27B1.48B
Total Liabilities2.04B1.98B2.36B2.01B1.96B2.08B
Stockholders Equity626.19M609.55M520.52M421.96M395.14M393.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow167.73M146.78M103.13M-1.95M230.51M186.13M
Operating Cash Flow189.57M236.97M260.79M190.12M373.25M311.41M
Investing Cash Flow-52.48M-66.01M-487.94M-233.28M-97.46M-98.88M
Financing Cash Flow-136.02M-239.09M314.12M-49.95M-329.90M-70.14M

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.03
Price Trends
50DMA
21.99
Negative
100DMA
24.50
Negative
200DMA
27.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.10
Negative
RSI
36.70
Neutral
STOCH
67.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:DMP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.08, below the 50-day MA of 21.99, and below the 200-day MA of 27.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:DMP.

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
€20.84B9.507.83%3.42%0.45%-40.36%
AUDMP
56
Neutral
$1.74B105.372.09%9.14%-8.04%-54.44%
$690.70M95.182.40%2.73%
$82.25M16.904.31%
DE36S
€1.51M
AUMTO
76
Outperform
AU$229.54M13.508.49%5.14%3.76%-26.42%
AUGYG
55
Neutral
AU$2.93B-1.13%26.77%51.19%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:DMP
Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited
18.03
-16.82
-48.26%
CLLFF
Collins Foods
4.64
-1.27
-21.49%
RFGPF
Retail Food Group
1.60
-0.40
-20.00%
DE:36S
Oliver's Real Food Ltd.
AU:MTO
Motorcycle Holdings Ltd.
3.14
1.98
170.69%
AU:GYG
Guzman y Gomez Ltd.
27.93
1.04
3.87%

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited Corporate Events

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises: Change in Substantial Holder Interests
Jul 8, 2025

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Bank and Trust Company and its subsidiaries being involved in securities lending agreements. This change affects the voting power and relevant interests in the company’s shares, indicating a shift in the control dynamics of the company’s securities. Such changes may have implications for the company’s governance and stakeholder influence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:DMP) stock is a Buy with a A$46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited stock, see the AU:DMP Stock Forecast page.

Domino’s Addresses ASX Query on Unusual Trading Activity
Jul 2, 2025

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited has responded to an ASX query regarding unusual trading activity in its securities, which saw a notable price drop and increased trading volume. The company stated it is unaware of any undisclosed information that could explain the trading activity, aside from a recent announcement about leadership changes. Domino’s confirmed its compliance with ASX listing rules and emphasized that its financial results for the year ended June 30, 2025, remain subject to standard year-end processes and audit.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:DMP) stock is a Buy with a A$46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited stock, see the AU:DMP Stock Forecast page.

Domino’s Announces Leadership Transition and Strategic Focus
Jul 2, 2025

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited announced a leadership transition with CEO Mark van Dyck stepping down by the end of 2025. Chairman Jack Cowin will temporarily assume the role of Executive Chair to ensure a smooth transition while the company searches for a new CEO. Under van Dyck’s leadership, Domino’s underwent significant operational changes, including closing underperforming stores and restructuring leadership, which laid the groundwork for future growth. The company remains committed to its strategic direction, focusing on franchisee profitability, cost efficiency, and leadership enhancement across key markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:DMP) stock is a Buy with a A$46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited stock, see the AU:DMP Stock Forecast page.

Hyperion Asset Management Ceases Substantial Holding in Domino’s Pizza Enterprises
Jun 30, 2025

Hyperion Asset Management Limited has ceased to be a substantial holder of Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited as of June 26, 2025. This change in shareholding could impact the company’s stock market dynamics and influence its strategic decisions, as changes in substantial holdings often reflect shifts in investor confidence or strategic re-alignments.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:DMP) stock is a Buy with a A$46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited stock, see the AU:DMP Stock Forecast page.

Pinnacle Reduces Stake in Domino’s Pizza Enterprises
May 23, 2025

Pinnacle Investment Management Group Limited has reduced its stake in Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited, decreasing its voting power from 9.76% to 8.58%. This change in substantial holding reflects a shift in Pinnacle’s investment strategy and could influence market perceptions and stakeholder confidence in Domino’s Pizza.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:DMP) stock is a Buy with a A$46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited stock, see the AU:DMP Stock Forecast page.

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Announces Change in Substantial Holder Interests
Apr 17, 2025

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited, a leading player in the global pizza delivery and takeaway industry, has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder. The notice indicates a shift in voting power and relevant interests among key stakeholders, including State Street Bank and Trust Company and other associated entities. This change could impact the company’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially affecting its strategic direction and stakeholder relationships.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025