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COG Financial Services Limited (AU:COG)
ASX:COG
Australian Market

COG Financial Services Limited (COG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

COG Financial Services Limited

(Sydney:COG)

69Neutral
COG Financial Services Limited scores well in financial performance due to strong revenue and cash flow growth, though profitability and leverage remain concerns. Technical analysis shows positive momentum, albeit with overbought signals, suggesting caution. Valuation indicates a potentially high price with a strong dividend yield as a compensating factor.

COG Financial Services Limited (COG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

COG Financial Services Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCOG Financial Services Limited (COG) is a diversified financial services company operating in the financial sector, offering a comprehensive range of products and services. The company specializes in equipment finance and leasing solutions, primarily catering to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across Australia. COG's core offerings include asset-backed lending, equipment rental, and commercial finance solutions, designed to facilitate business growth and operational efficiency for its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyCOG Financial Services Limited generates revenue primarily through interest and fee income associated with its lending and leasing activities. The company earns interest by providing loans and asset-backed financing solutions to SMEs, leveraging its expertise in assessing credit risk and structuring financing deals. Additionally, COG generates revenue through leasing arrangements, where businesses lease equipment and pay periodic rental fees. Another significant revenue stream comes from origination and management fees related to the administration of finance contracts. COG may also benefit from strategic partnerships with financial institutions and manufacturers, allowing it to expand its product offerings and reach a wider client base, thus contributing to its earnings.

COG Financial Services Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
COG Financial Services Limited exhibits solid revenue and cash flow growth, reflecting operational strength and effective cost management. However, the company faces challenges with low net profitability and high leverage, which could impact financial stability. Overall, the financial position is strong with room for improvements in profitability and leverage management.
Income Statement
78
Positive
COG Financial Services Limited has shown strong revenue growth with a Revenue Growth Rate of 36.3% from 2023 to 2024. The Gross Profit Margin improved significantly, up to 58.7% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. However, the Net Profit Margin remains relatively low at 2.6%, suggesting some profitability challenges. The EBIT Margin and EBITDA Margin are moderate at 6.5% and 14.9%, respectively, reflecting stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio increased to 2.48, indicating a high level of leverage, which might pose financial risk. The Return on Equity (ROE) is modest at 8.5%, showing average efficiency in generating returns. The Equity Ratio stands at 22.1%, suggesting a moderate level of financial stability, albeit with a risk of over-leverage.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
COG Financial Services Limited demonstrates robust cash flow management with a Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.77, indicating strong cash conversion. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is also healthy at 3.61, suggesting efficient earnings generation. However, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 24.9% shows positive momentum in cash flow growth.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
512.48M498.98M366.01M320.77M267.77M215.86M
Gross Profit
293.72M292.95M132.47M105.39M92.26M70.71M
EBIT
82.17M32.37M47.83M41.30M36.96M14.60M
EBITDA
75.90M74.28M62.41M53.25M48.32M26.85M
Net Income Common Stockholders
12.21M12.85M8.05M19.68M-26.38M-10.05M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
135.19M125.68M101.80M76.11M94.51M31.86M
Total Assets
707.55M687.12M593.00M518.22M476.69M326.16M
Total Debt
398.11M376.75M283.73M243.27M225.94M97.05M
Net Debt
262.92M251.07M181.93M167.17M131.43M65.19M
Total Liabilities
507.00M483.49M378.53M310.61M287.03M133.77M
Stockholders Equity
150.26M151.69M163.92M170.95M152.34M174.18M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
47.54M35.66M28.55M205.73M187.95M61.14M
Operating Cash Flow
53.51M46.36M31.79M208.19M190.85M62.82M
Investing Cash Flow
-97.54M-87.16M-19.53M-201.93M-75.11M-56.43M
Financing Cash Flow
71.61M64.69M13.44M-24.67M-55.92M2.26M

COG Financial Services Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.42
Price Trends
50DMA
1.17
Positive
100DMA
1.07
Positive
200DMA
1.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Positive
RSI
59.48
Neutral
STOCH
52.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:COG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.36, above the 50-day MA of 1.17, and above the 200-day MA of 1.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:COG.

COG Financial Services Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUCOG
69
Neutral
AU$268.44M21.567.94%5.21%16.16%32.97%
AUPPS
64
Neutral
AU$358.29M34.569.89%2.72%23.52%7.96%
64
Neutral
$12.74B9.837.63%17000.35%12.34%-5.32%
AUCCP
63
Neutral
€952.94M8.9113.05%4.19%6.70%126.16%
AUAFG
62
Neutral
AU$514.46M17.2615.01%4.11%9.49%-0.36%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:COG
COG Financial Services Limited
1.40
0.34
32.08%
AU:CCP
Credit Corp Group Limited
13.92
-0.33
-2.33%
AU:AFG
Australian Finance Group Ltd.
1.94
0.61
45.86%
AU:PPS
Praemium Ltd
0.74
0.30
68.18%

COG Financial Services Limited Corporate Events

COG Financial Services Director Increases Shareholding
Apr 27, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with John Dwyer acquiring 311,753 ordinary fully paid shares through an on-market acquisition, increasing his total holdings to 4,500,000 shares. This acquisition reflects a strategic move by the director, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance and impacting stakeholder perceptions positively.

1851 Capital Becomes Substantial Holder in COG Financial Services
Apr 22, 2025

COG Financial Services Ltd has announced that 1851 Capital Pty Ltd has become a substantial holder in the company as of April 17, 2025. 1851 Capital Pty Ltd acquired 10,527,058 ordinary shares, representing a 5.22% voting power in COG Financial Services Ltd. This acquisition may influence the company’s shareholder dynamics and potentially impact its strategic decisions moving forward.

COG Financial Services Director Increases Shareholding
Apr 22, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with John Dwyer acquiring an additional 500,000 ordinary fully paid shares at a value of $1.14 per share, totaling $570,000. This acquisition increases his total holdings to 4,188,247 shares, potentially strengthening his influence within the company and signaling confidence in its future prospects.

COG Financial Services Reports Strong Q3 FY25 Performance with Novated Leasing Surge
Apr 15, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited reported a 5% increase in underlying performance for Q3 FY25, driven by strong growth in its Novated Leasing segment. The company experienced record volumes in March, attributed to the end of tax incentives for Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles. COG has also strengthened its position as a government salary packaging and novated lease provider by joining panels for WA Police and Tasman Health Department. Despite a reduced contribution from its TL Commercial operating lease business, which ceased new business in FY20, COG continues to see significant growth opportunities through consolidation and organic expansion across its business segments.

COG Financial Services Appoints John Dwyer as Non-Executive Director
Apr 3, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited has announced the appointment of John Dwyer as a Non-Executive Director effective April 3, 2025. Dwyer holds a significant interest in the company through 3,688,247 ordinary fully paid shares held by Glendale Dwyer Pty Ltd. Additionally, he is set to receive 2,500,000 unlisted options, contingent on shareholder approval, which are exercisable at $1.30 and expire in March 2028 or six months after he ceases to be a director. This appointment and the associated incentives may influence the company’s strategic direction and governance.

COG Financial Services Appoints New Chair with Strategic Shareholding
Apr 3, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced the appointment of Antony Robinson as a Non-Executive Director and Chair, effective April 3, 2025. Robinson holds 2,500,000 ordinary fully paid shares through Robinson House Pty Ltd and has been granted 2,500,000 unlisted options, exercisable at $1.30. This strategic appointment is expected to strengthen the company’s leadership and potentially enhance its market position.

COG Financial Services Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Apr 3, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced a proposed issue of up to 5,000,000 new securities, with an exercise price of $1.30, set to expire on March 31, 2028. This move is part of a placement or other type of issue, with the proposed issue date being June 6, 2025, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

COG Financial Services Announces Director Resignation
Apr 3, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced the resignation of Mark Crain as a director, effective April 3, 2025. This change in the board may impact the company’s strategic direction and governance, as Crain held significant shares through associated entities, which could influence shareholder dynamics.

COG Financial Services Announces Director Departure
Apr 3, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced the cessation of Stephen White as a director, effective April 3, 2025. At the time of his departure, White held no direct securities but had an indirect interest in 250,000 ordinary fully paid shares through a related entity, SLAUBENK PTY LTD. This change in directorship may impact the company’s governance structure and could have implications for its strategic direction.

COG Financial Services Director Adjusts Shareholding
Apr 3, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Stephen White disposing of 144,875 ordinary fully paid shares at an average price of $1.1901 per share, totaling $172,413.64. This transaction reduces his indirect holding to 250,000 shares, and it was conducted as an on-market sale, not during a closed period, indicating a strategic adjustment in shareholding by the director.

COG Financial Services Announces Director Change
Apr 3, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced the cessation of Patrick Tuttle as a director effective April 3, 2025. The notice highlights that Tuttle holds no direct securities but has an indirect interest in 285,005 ordinary fully paid shares through Bond Street Custodians Limited. This change in directorship may impact the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

COG Financial Services Sees Shift in Substantial Shareholder Interests
Mar 28, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited, listed on the ASX, has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder. NAOS Asset Management Limited has reduced its voting power in COG Financial Services from 16.56% to 12.14%, indicating a significant shift in shareholder dynamics. This change may impact the company’s market position and influence among stakeholders, as it reflects a notable adjustment in the ownership structure.

COG Financial Services Director Alters Shareholding with Major Disposal
Mar 27, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited has announced a significant change in the director’s interest, with Cameron McCullagh disposing of 20,000,000 ordinary fully paid shares at a value of $1.00 per share, totaling $20,000,000. This transaction, executed through an on-market crossing, reflects a substantial shift in shareholding, which could impact the company’s market perception and shareholder dynamics.

GEGM Investments Reduces Stake in COG Financial Services
Mar 27, 2025

GEGM Investments Pty Limited, along with its associates, has reduced its voting power in COG Financial Services Limited from 22.45% to 12.24%. This change was due to an on-market transaction involving $20,000,000 worth of shares, affecting 20,000,000 votes. The adjustment in voting power could impact the company’s shareholder dynamics and influence in decision-making processes.

COG Financial Services Announces Strategic Board Changes
Mar 26, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced significant changes to its Board of Directors, with Patrick Tuttle, Stephen White, and Mark Crain resigning, and John Dwyer and Tony Robinson joining as Non-executive Director and Non-executive Chairman, respectively. These changes aim to leverage Dwyer and Robinson’s expertise in the insurance broking sector to drive growth in COG’s core Finance Broking & Aggregation business, enhancing shareholder value and attracting new investors. The outgoing directors were praised for their contributions to COG’s growth into a large, diversified national business.

COG Financial Services Reports 1H 2025 Financial Results
Feb 26, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited reported its financial results for the first half of 2025, showing a revenue of $251.0 million and an EBITDA of $18.6 million. The company experienced a 6% decrease in revenue compared to the previous corresponding period, with a noted 3% increase when adjusted for the reduced contribution from its TL Commercial lease business. The results indicate a slight decline in net profit after tax attributable to shareholders, reflecting the company’s ongoing adjustments in its business operations.

COG Financial Services Reports H1 FY25 Results with Strategic Acquisitions and Growth in Assets
Feb 25, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited reported a 6% decrease in NPATA to $11.8 million for the first half of FY25, with a 10% drop in EPSA and a 25% reduction in interim dividend. Despite these declines, the company achieved a 13% growth in assets under management and made several strategic acquisitions, including additional stakes in QPF Holdings and Heritage Finance, as well as full acquisitions of Community Salary Packaging and Cap Coast Home Loans. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with $83.7 million in unrestricted cash, positioning it for further growth through organic means and acquisitions. The novated leasing segment continues to perform well, and the company is focusing on expanding its retail fixed income products.

COG Financial Services Announces Interim Dividend Distribution
Feb 25, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited has announced a new dividend distribution for its ordinary fully paid securities, with a distribution amount of AUD 0.03 per share. The dividend relates to the six-month period ending December 31, 2024, with an ex-date of March 10, 2025, and a payment date set for April 11, 2025. The company’s Dividend Reinvestment Plan is suspended for this interim dividend, which may impact stakeholders who participate in the plan.

COG Financial Services Reports Mixed Half-Year Results with Revenue Growth but Declining Profits
Feb 25, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited reported its half-year financial results for the period ending December 31, 2024. The company experienced a 7% increase in revenue from continuing operations compared to the previous year, reaching $252.98 million. However, net profit from continuing operations decreased by 9% to $13.6 million. The earnings per share also saw a decline, and the interim dividend was reduced to 3.0 cents per share. These results indicate a mixed performance, with revenue growth but a decline in profitability, which may impact investor sentiment and company strategy moving forward.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.