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COG Financial Services Limited (AU:COG)
ASX:COG
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COG Financial Services Limited (COG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:COG

COG Financial Services Limited

(Sydney:COG)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
AU$2.50
▲(4.60% Upside)
COG Financial Services Limited's stock score is driven primarily by strong technical momentum and moderate valuation. Financial performance is mixed, with concerns about revenue growth and leverage. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.

COG Financial Services Limited (COG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

COG Financial Services Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCOG Financial Services Limited (COG) is a leading provider of financial services in Australia, specializing in providing a range of financial products and services including motor vehicle and equipment financing, asset management, and loan origination solutions. The company targets both consumers and businesses, offering tailored financing solutions to meet diverse needs in the automotive and commercial sectors. COG operates primarily through its innovative technology platform, enhancing customer experience and operational efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyCOG generates revenue through various channels, primarily by earning interest on loans it provides to customers for vehicle and equipment purchases. The company charges fees for loan origination and administration, which contribute significantly to its income. Additionally, COG may earn income through partnerships with dealerships and other financial institutions, enhancing its distribution network and customer reach. The company also explores opportunities in asset management and servicing, thereby diversifying its revenue streams. Its technology-driven approach allows for lower operational costs, improving overall profitability.

COG Financial Services Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
COG Financial Services Limited shows mixed financial performance. Improved profitability margins are offset by a significant decline in revenue growth and high leverage. Strong cash flow management is a positive, but high debt levels and declining revenue impact overall financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
COG Financial Services Limited has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The company experienced a significant decline in revenue growth rate by 28.24% in the latest period, which is a concern. However, the gross profit margin improved to 77.07%, indicating better cost management. The net profit margin also increased to 5.11%, suggesting improved profitability. Despite these improvements, the declining revenue growth rate poses a risk to future profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.47, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting limited equity financing. However, the company has managed to maintain a stable return on equity, which reflects its ability to generate profits from shareholders' investments. Overall, the high leverage is a concern, but the company has shown resilience in maintaining profitability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement indicates a slight decline in free cash flow growth by 3.41%, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.16, showing that the company generates sufficient cash from operations relative to its net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.93, indicating effective cash management. Despite the decline in free cash flow growth, the company maintains healthy cash flow ratios.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue367.73M367.73M362.35M366.01M320.77M267.77M
Gross Profit234.48M283.43M169.20M132.47M105.39M92.26M
EBITDA75.16M75.16M74.28M62.41M53.25M48.32M
Net Income18.77M18.77M12.85M8.05M19.68M-26.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets694.80M694.80M687.12M593.00M518.22M476.69M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments149.25M149.25M125.68M101.80M76.11M94.51M
Total Debt375.98M375.98M376.75M283.73M243.27M225.94M
Total Liabilities488.30M488.30M483.49M378.53M310.61M287.03M
Stockholders Equity152.08M152.08M151.69M163.92M170.95M152.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow45.92M45.92M35.66M28.55M205.73M187.95M
Operating Cash Flow49.30M49.30M46.36M31.79M208.19M190.85M
Investing Cash Flow3.43M2.66M-87.16M-19.53M-201.93M-75.11M
Financing Cash Flow-29.16M-28.39M64.69M30.12M-24.67M-55.92M

COG Financial Services Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.39
Price Trends
50DMA
2.19
Positive
100DMA
1.93
Positive
200DMA
1.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
61.26
Neutral
STOCH
72.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:COG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.35, above the 50-day MA of 2.19, and above the 200-day MA of 1.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:COG.

COG Financial Services Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
AU$7.56B64.7367.81%1.30%28.29%39.39%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
AU$489.39M24.5512.36%2.51%-26.30%40.12%
61
Neutral
AU$136.71M5.6414.15%-4.69%-18.65%
57
Neutral
AU$430.58M31.8012.27%2.65%24.56%59.32%
53
Neutral
€99.07M-151.61-0.15%5.03%52.31%
45
Neutral
AU$9.03M-34.88%43.00%-6078.57%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:COG
COG Financial Services Limited
2.39
1.48
161.20%
AU:RZI
Raiz Invest Ltd.
0.86
0.42
95.45%
AU:PPS
Praemium Ltd
0.85
0.25
41.43%
AU:OFX
OFX Group Ltd.
0.57
-0.90
-61.43%
AU:NWL
Netwealth Group Ltd.
29.52
0.02
0.06%
AU:FNX
Finexia Financial Group Ltd
0.15
-0.14
-48.21%

COG Financial Services Limited Corporate Events

COG Financial Services Expands Stake in Fleet Network
Oct 21, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited has successfully acquired an additional 14.1% stake in its salary packaging and novated leasing business, Fleet Network Pty Ltd, bringing its total ownership to 92.4%. This strategic move, effective from October 1, 2025, enhances COG’s control over Fleet Network, potentially strengthening its position in the financial services industry and offering increased value to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$2.63 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Issues 10 Million New Shares
Oct 17, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited has announced the issuance of 10,000,000 fully paid ordinary shares as part of its financial strategy. This move, executed without the need for disclosure under specific sections of the Corporations Act, indicates compliance with regulatory requirements and suggests a strategic effort to bolster the company’s financial standing and market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$2.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Expands Market Presence with New Securities Issuance
Oct 17, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced the issuance of 10,000,000 fully paid ordinary securities, which will be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of October 17, 2025. This move is part of previously announced transactions and is expected to bolster the company’s market position by increasing its capital base, potentially impacting its operational capabilities and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$2.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services to Issue 10 Million New Securities
Oct 8, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced a proposed issue of 10 million ordinary fully paid securities, scheduled for October 17, 2025. This move is part of a placement or other type of issue, potentially impacting the company’s market position by increasing its capital base and enhancing its financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Issues Investor Presentation with Caution on Forward-Looking Statements
Oct 8, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited has issued an investor presentation, emphasizing that it includes forward-looking statements based on current expectations and assumptions about the company’s future performance. The company advises caution regarding these statements due to inherent risks and uncertainties, and it underscores that past performance is not indicative of future results.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Expands Stake in Fleet Network with $20 Million Capital Raise
Oct 8, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited has acquired an additional 14.1% stake in Fleet Network Pty Ltd, increasing its ownership to approximately 92.4%. This acquisition, funded by a $20 million capital raise, is expected to enhance COG’s earnings and strengthen its balance sheet, allowing it to pursue further growth opportunities in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Issues New Shares to CEO
Sep 17, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced the issuance of 20,042 fully paid ordinary shares following the exercise of performance rights by CEO Andrew Bennett. This move, compliant with the Corporations Act, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency and regulatory adherence, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$2.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Expands Market Presence with New Securities Quotation
Sep 17, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced the quotation of 20,042 new ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of September 17, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its market presence and provide more opportunities for investors, potentially impacting its market positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$2.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Updates CEO Incentive Plan Outcomes
Sep 17, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced the results of its Long Term Incentive Plan assessment for CEO Andrew Bennett. The company evaluated the vesting of performance rights allocated in FY23, which were contingent on employment and achieving a normalised earnings per share (EPS) Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) by June 2025. While Mr. Bennett met the employment condition, the company did not meet the EPS CAGR targets, resulting in the lapse of most performance rights. However, 40% of Tranche 3 performance rights vested and converted into shares. This outcome reflects the company’s performance challenges and impacts executive compensation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$2.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Completes EasiFleet Acquisition
Sep 15, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited has successfully completed the acquisition of EasiFleet Pty Ltd, a company specializing in salary packaging and novated leasing. This acquisition, effective from September 1, 2025, is expected to strengthen COG’s market position and expand its service offerings in the financial services sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$2.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Updates FY2025 Results with Easi Fleet Acquisition
Sep 9, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited has updated its FY2025 Results Presentation to include details on the acquisition of Easi Fleet, which was announced earlier in September 2025. This update reflects the company’s strategic move to enhance its market position and expand its service offerings, potentially impacting its operational dynamics and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$2.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Director Sells Significant Shareholding
Sep 8, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited has announced a significant change in the shareholding of its director, Cameron McCullagh. On September 5, 2025, McCullagh disposed of 10 million ordinary fully paid shares at a price of $1.95 per share, totaling $19.5 million. This transaction was conducted through an on-market sale, reducing his indirect interest in the company. This move may impact the company’s stock market perception and stakeholder confidence, reflecting a strategic decision by the director.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$2.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Director Increases Stake with Share Acquisition
Sep 3, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically regarding John Dwyer. The update reveals that Dwyer, through indirect interests, acquired an additional 250,000 ordinary fully paid shares at a value of $1.875 per share, totaling $468,750. This acquisition reflects a strategic move to increase his stake in the company, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future performance and stability. The transaction was conducted as an on-market purchase, and no securities were disposed of during this period.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$2.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Reports Stable FY 2025 Financial Results
Aug 27, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited reported its financial results for FY 2025, highlighting a revenue of $363.5 million and an EBITDA of $38.4 million attributable to shareholders. The company achieved a Net Profit After Tax Attributable to shareholders (NPATA) of $24.0 million and Earnings Per Share Attributable (EPSA) of 12.00 cents per share. The financial results reflect a 4% increase in revenue on a prior comparative period basis, despite a reduced contribution from its TL Commercial lease business, which is in run-off. This performance indicates a stable financial position for the company, with adjustments made for various financial activities and reclassifications.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.92 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Reports Stable Revenue and Strategic Acquisitions Amid Market Adjustments
Aug 27, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited reported a slight decline in NPATA to $24.0 million for the fiscal year ending June 2025, despite a 1% revenue increase to $363.5 million. The company divested non-core investments to focus on core segments, with notable growth in the Novated Leasing segment, which saw a 26% increase in EBITDA. COG also acquired additional equity in QPF Holdings and a majority stake in AAA Finance and Insurance. Looking ahead, COG plans to focus on strategic acquisitions and insurance broking, with a shift in performance analysis from NPATA to EBITDA.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.92 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Releases FY2025 Governance Statement
Aug 26, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited has released its Appendix 4G and Corporate Governance Statement for FY2025, emphasizing its compliance with ASX Corporate Governance Council’s recommendations. The company highlights its strategic focus on growth through consolidation and organic expansion within its sectors. This announcement underscores COG’s commitment to transparency and adherence to governance standards, which is crucial for maintaining stakeholder confidence and enhancing its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.92 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Reports Increased Profit Amid Dividend Reduction
Aug 26, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited reported a 23% increase in net profit from continuing operations for the year ended 30 June 2025, reaching $29.7 million. This growth is attributed to a 1.5% rise in revenue from continuing operations, amounting to $367.8 million. Despite the increased profitability, the company declared a lower final dividend of 3.0 cents per share, compared to 4.4 cents in the previous year, reflecting a cautious approach to dividend distribution. The company’s financial performance highlights its ability to enhance profitability while managing shareholder returns strategically.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.92 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Announces Director’s Interest Change
Jul 25, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically concerning John Dwyer, a Non-Executive Director. The company has allotted 2,500,000 unlisted options to Mr. Dwyer, exercisable at $1.30 and expiring on March 31, 2028. This allotment follows an appointment letter, a board renewal announcement, and shareholder approval. The change reflects the company’s strategic efforts to align its leadership incentives with its long-term goals, potentially impacting its governance and stakeholder relations positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Announces Change in Director’s Interest
Jul 25, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically concerning Antony Robinson. Robinson, who holds an indirect interest through Robinson House Pty Ltd and Rowena House Pty Ltd, has been allotted 2,500,000 unlisted options exercisable at $1.30, expiring on March 31, 2028. This allotment was made without any consideration, following an appointment letter, a board renewal announcement, and shareholder approval. The change reflects the company’s strategic board renewal efforts and could impact its governance and operational dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Issues Unquoted Equity Securities
Jul 25, 2025

COG Financial Services Limited announced the issuance of 5,000,000 unquoted equity securities with an exercise price of $1.30, set to expire on March 31, 2028. This issuance is part of a previously announced transaction, indicating ongoing strategic financial maneuvers by the company, which could impact its operational funding and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 10, 2025