COG Financial Services Limited (COG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$487.27M
• Dividend Yield: 2.61%
• Average Volume (3M): 275.48K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 24.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.02
• Revenue Growth: -26.30%
• EPS Growth: 40.12%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 1,000
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Financial - Capital Markets
• EPS (TTM): 0.05
• Shares Outstanding: 211,858,050
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 303,634
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 275,475
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: AU$2.56
• Price Target Upside: 11.30% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4

• Rating: 66 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$2.50 ▲(8.70% Upside)

COG Financial Services Limited's stock score is driven primarily by strong technical momentum and moderate valuation. Financial performance is mixed, with concerns about revenue growth and leverage. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.

COG Financial Services Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

COG Financial Services Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in equipment financing and broking, aggregation, insurance broking, and novated leasing activities in Australia. The company operates through three segments: Finance Broking and Aggregation; Funds Management and Lending; and All Other/Intersegment. It also provides management of investment funds; provides financing arrangements to commercial customers for essential business assets; and managed IT services. The company was formerly known as Consolidated Operations Group Limited and changed its name to COG Financial Services Limited in November 2020. COG Financial Services Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Chatswood, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

COG generates revenue through various channels, primarily by earning interest on loans it provides to customers for vehicle and equipment purchases. The company charges fees for loan origination and administration, which contribute significantly to its income. Additionally, COG may earn income through partnerships with dealerships and other financial institutions, enhancing its distribution network and customer reach. The company also explores opportunities in asset management and servicing, thereby diversifying its revenue streams. Its technology-driven approach allows for lower operational costs, improving overall profitability.

COG Financial Services Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

COG Financial Services Limited demonstrates strong revenue and cash flow growth, indicating operational strength and effective cost management. However, challenges with low net profitability and high leverage pose potential risks to financial stability.

Income Statement

COG Financial Services Limited has shown strong revenue growth with a Revenue Growth Rate of 36.3% from 2023 to 2024. The Gross Profit Margin improved significantly, up to 58.7% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. However, the Net Profit Margin remains relatively low at 2.6%, suggesting some profitability challenges. The EBIT Margin and EBITDA Margin are moderate at 6.5% and 14.9%, respectively, reflecting stable operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio increased to 2.48, indicating a high level of leverage, which might pose financial risk. The Return on Equity (ROE) is modest at 8.5%, showing average efficiency in generating returns. The Equity Ratio stands at 22.1%, suggesting a moderate level of financial stability, albeit with a risk of over-leverage.

Cash Flow

COG Financial Services Limited demonstrates robust cash flow management with a Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.77, indicating strong cash conversion. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is also healthy at 3.61, suggesting efficient earnings generation. However, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 24.9% shows positive momentum in cash flow growth.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	512.48M	367.73M	362.35M	366.01M	320.77M	267.77M
Gross Profit	293.72M	283.43M	169.20M	132.47M	105.39M	92.26M
EBITDA	75.90M	75.16M	74.28M	62.41M	53.25M	48.32M
Net Income	12.21M	18.77M	12.85M	8.05M	19.68M	-26.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	707.55M	694.80M	687.12M	593.00M	518.22M	476.69M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	135.19M	149.25M	125.68M	101.80M	76.11M	94.51M
Total Debt	398.11M	375.98M	376.75M	283.73M	243.27M	225.94M
Total Liabilities	507.00M	488.30M	483.49M	378.53M	310.61M	287.03M
Stockholders Equity	150.26M	152.08M	151.69M	163.92M	170.95M	152.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	47.54M	45.92M	35.66M	28.55M	205.73M	187.95M
Operating Cash Flow	53.51M	49.30M	46.36M	31.79M	208.19M	190.85M
Investing Cash Flow	-97.54M	2.66M	-87.16M	-19.53M	-201.93M	-75.11M
Financing Cash Flow	71.61M	-28.39M	64.69M	30.12M	-24.67M	-55.92M

COG Financial Services Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 2.30
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:COG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.22, above the 50-day MA of 1.99, and above the 200-day MA of 1.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:COG.

COG Financial Services Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
NWL	66 Neutral	AU$8.07B	69.07	67.81%	1.20%	28.29%	39.39%
COG	66 Neutral	AU$487.27M	24.44	12.36%	2.61%	-26.30%	40.12%
OFX	66 Neutral	AU$186.53M	7.69	14.15%	―	-4.69%	-18.65%
PPS	64 Neutral	AU$397.09M	29.33	12.27%	2.71%	24.56%	59.32%
RZI	62 Neutral	€85.35M	―	-0.15%	―	5.03%	52.31%
FNX	45 Neutral	AU$9.03M	196.43	-19.59%	1.82%	49.34%	-3842.86%

COG Financial Services Limited Corporate Events

COG Financial Services Announces Director’s Interest Change

COG Financial Services Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically concerning John Dwyer, a Non-Executive Director. The company has allotted 2,500,000 unlisted options to Mr. Dwyer, exercisable at $1.30 and expiring on March 31, 2028. This allotment follows an appointment letter, a board renewal announcement, and shareholder approval. The change reflects the company’s strategic efforts to align its leadership incentives with its long-term goals, potentially impacting its governance and stakeholder relations positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Announces Change in Director’s Interest

COG Financial Services Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically concerning Antony Robinson. Robinson, who holds an indirect interest through Robinson House Pty Ltd and Rowena House Pty Ltd, has been allotted 2,500,000 unlisted options exercisable at $1.30, expiring on March 31, 2028. This allotment was made without any consideration, following an appointment letter, a board renewal announcement, and shareholder approval. The change reflects the company’s strategic board renewal efforts and could impact its governance and operational dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Issues Unquoted Equity Securities

COG Financial Services Limited announced the issuance of 5,000,000 unquoted equity securities with an exercise price of $1.30, set to expire on March 31, 2028. This issuance is part of a previously announced transaction, indicating ongoing strategic financial maneuvers by the company, which could impact its operational funding and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Announces Successful General Meeting Outcomes

COG Financial Services Limited announced the successful outcomes of its General Meeting, where all proposed resolutions were passed by poll. This includes the election of directors and approval of options issuance, reflecting strong shareholder support and potentially enhancing the company’s governance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Sees Change in Substantial Holder Interests

COG Financial Services Limited, a company listed on the ASX, has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder as per the Corporations Act 2001. NAOS Asset Management Limited and related parties have reduced their voting power in COG Financial Services from 12.14% to 10.16%, reflecting a decrease in the number of ordinary shares held. This change may impact the company’s shareholder dynamics and influence future decision-making processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Sells Stake in Earlypay Limited

COG Financial Services Limited has announced that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Earlypay Limited as of May 22, 2025. This change was due to an on-market sale of over 58 million ordinary shares, amounting to a consideration of approximately $12.76 million. The divestment could impact COG’s investment strategy and influence its financial position, while potentially affecting Earlypay’s shareholder structure and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Adjusts Investment in Centrepoint Alliance

COG Financial Services Limited has announced that it ceased to be a substantial holder in Centrepoint Alliance Limited as of May 21, 2025. This change was due to on-market sales totaling over $13.8 million, affecting a significant number of voting securities. The announcement indicates a strategic shift in COG’s investment portfolio, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.

COG Financial Services Updates Securities Issue Timeline

COG Financial Services Limited announced an update regarding the proposed issue of securities, notifying the market of the actual Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) date and the revised proposed issue date. This update is crucial for stakeholders as it provides clarity on the timeline for the securities issue, which could impact the company’s market operations and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:COG) stock is a Buy with a A$1.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on COG Financial Services Limited stock, see the AU:COG Stock Forecast page.