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Bapcor Ltd (AU:BAP)
ASX:BAP
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Bapcor Ltd (BAP) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:BAP

Bapcor Ltd

(Sydney:BAP)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
AU$3.00
▼(-5.36% Downside)
Bapcor Ltd's overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance and technical analysis. The company's declining revenue and profit margins, along with bearish technical indicators, weigh heavily on the score. High valuation metrics further contribute to the cautious outlook, despite a reasonable dividend yield.

Bapcor Ltd (BAP) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Bapcor Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBapcor Limited sells and distributes vehicle parts, accessories, automotive equipment, and services and solutions in Australia, New Zealand, and Thailand. The company operates through four segments: Bapcor Trade, Bapcor Specialist Wholesale, Bapcor Retail, and Bapcor NZ. The Bapcor Trade segment offers automotive aftermarket parts and consumables to trade workshops for the service and repair of passenger and commercial vehicles; automotive workshop equipment, such as vehicle hoists and scanning equipment, including the servicing of the equipment; and automotive accessories and maintenance products to do-it-yourself vehicle owners. As of June 30, 2022, it operated 210 stores. The Bapcor Specialist Wholesale segment engages in the automotive aftermarket wholesale of brake, bearing, electrical, suspension, 4WD, cooling, diesel, and engine control systems and parts for light and heavy commercial vehicles. The Bapcor Retail segment operates 404 company owned and franchise stores comprising 136 Autobarn stores, 94 Autopro stores, 108 Midas and ABS stores, and 66 Opposite Lock stores. Bapcor NZ segment is involved in the wholesale of batteries, steering and suspension products, auto electrical and precision equipment, and vehicle workshop equipment; and diesel distribution activities. This segment also supplies automotive parts and accessories to workshops, trucks, and trailer parts through the Truck and Trailer Parts brand. It operates through a network of 76 stores in 88 locations, as well as 130 Battery Town and shock Shop locations. The company was formerly known as Burson Group Limited and changed its name to Bapcor Limited in July 2016. Bapcor Limited was founded in 1971 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBapcor generates revenue primarily through the sale of automotive parts and accessories across its various business segments. The trade segment, which serves professional mechanics and workshops, represents a significant portion of its revenue, as these customers typically make bulk purchases of high-margin products. The retail segment, which targets individual consumers, contributes through direct sales in physical stores and online platforms. Bapcor also earns revenue from its wholesale operations by supplying parts to other retailers and workshops. Key revenue streams include sales from branded products, private label items, and exclusive partnerships with major automotive manufacturers. Additionally, Bapcor benefits from economies of scale, a strong brand presence, and a growing consumer preference for vehicle maintenance and repair, all of which support its earnings growth.

Bapcor Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bapcor Ltd faces challenges in maintaining profitability and growth. The income statement shows stable gross profit margins but declining net profit margins and revenue growth. The balance sheet indicates moderate financial stability with manageable leverage but reduced return on equity. Cash flow constraints are evident with declining free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Bapcor Ltd's income statement shows a mixed performance. The gross profit margin is stable, indicating consistent cost management. However, the net profit margin is low, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. Revenue growth has been negative recently, suggesting potential market or operational challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, indicating pressure on operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, suggesting manageable leverage levels. However, the return on equity has decreased significantly, indicating reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, showing a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals concerns with declining free cash flow growth, which may impact future investments or debt repayments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, indicating some efficiency in cash generation. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, highlighting potential cash flow constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.98B1.98B2.04B2.02B1.84B1.76B
Gross Profit895.23M895.23M923.60M400.40M377.77M353.93M
EBITDA116.68M116.68M-28.49M272.06M285.63M271.85M
Net Income28.14M28.14M-158.31M106.45M125.76M118.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.83B1.83B1.90B2.21B2.09B1.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments58.58M58.58M71.59M78.63M80.21M39.60M
Total Debt642.21M642.21M694.16M642.42M599.71M430.56M
Total Liabilities971.27M971.27M1.01B1.08B996.18M826.91M
Stockholders Equity854.08M854.08M893.51M1.12B1.09B1.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow98.47M98.47M68.54M172.38M47.42M80.82M
Operating Cash Flow133.63M133.63M125.80M213.73M104.82M135.86M
Investing Cash Flow-50.68M-50.68M-57.62M-59.01M-64.50M-70.59M
Financing Cash Flow-96.28M-96.28M-76.26M-157.22M771.00K-150.84M

Bapcor Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.17
Price Trends
50DMA
3.48
Negative
100DMA
4.08
Negative
200DMA
4.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Negative
RSI
38.50
Neutral
STOCH
49.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BAP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.18, below the 50-day MA of 3.48, and below the 200-day MA of 4.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:BAP.

Bapcor Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
AU$12.27B26.5429.12%2.19%10.03%5.38%
69
Neutral
AU$3.71B16.7516.46%6.99%4.83%-7.62%
64
Neutral
AU$1.89B32.8021.99%2.85%5.79%-31.70%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$2.76B240.768.81%20.66%543.24%
60
Neutral
AU$697.20M23.5516.86%2.63%1.89%-3.30%
46
Neutral
€1.08B38.243.40%4.26%-3.00%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:BAP
Bapcor Ltd
3.17
-1.62
-33.86%
AU:TPW
Temple & Webster Group Ltd
22.92
10.43
83.51%
AU:NCK
Nick Scali Limited
22.14
8.10
57.69%
AU:JBH
JB Hi-Fi Limited
112.27
34.05
43.53%
AU:SUL
Super Retail Group Limited
16.45
0.48
3.01%
AU:BLX
Beacon Lighting Group Ltd
3.04
0.14
4.83%

Bapcor Ltd Corporate Events

Bapcor Limited Announces Director Departure
Jul 28, 2025

Bapcor Limited has announced the cessation of James Scott Charles Todd as a director, effective July 23, 2025. This change in the board of directors may impact the company’s governance and strategic direction, as Todd held significant interests through the Tamkin Trust and the Tamkin Superannuation Fund, which collectively own 35,000 shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$5.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Limited Announces Director Departure
Jul 28, 2025

Bapcor Limited has announced the cessation of Mark Bernhard as a director, effective from July 23, 2025. Bernhard held 37,500 fully-paid ordinary shares in the company. This change in directorship may impact the company’s governance and strategic direction, although no immediate implications for stakeholders have been detailed.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$5.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Ltd Reports FY25 Trading Update and Strategic Changes
Jul 23, 2025

Bapcor Ltd has announced a trading update for the second half of FY25, revealing a pro-forma net profit after tax of $81-82 million and a statutory net profit after tax of $31-34 million. The company’s performance was impacted by weaker sales, particularly in May and June, and significant disruptions in its Specialist Wholesale segment due to consolidation activities. Despite these challenges, Bapcor has made strategic investments in IT systems and marketing, aiming for future growth. The company has also conducted a comprehensive review of its balance sheet, identifying significant non-cash items that affected its statutory profit. With a refreshed leadership team and strategy, Bapcor is focused on simplifying operations and achieving sustainable growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$5.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Ltd Sees Increased Stake by Host-Plus Pty Limited
Jul 11, 2025

Bapcor Limited has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, Host-Plus Pty Limited, which has increased its voting power from 5.68% to 6.92%. This change reflects a significant shift in the ownership structure, potentially impacting the company’s governance and stakeholder dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$5.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Ltd Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Jul 8, 2025

Bapcor Ltd has announced the cessation of 176,830 performance rights, as the conditions for these securities were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. This cessation may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for stakeholders, particularly in terms of employee incentives and future financial planning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$5.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Ltd Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Jul 4, 2025

Bapcor Ltd has announced the cessation of 369,288 performance rights, as the conditions for these securities were not met or became incapable of being satisfied as of June 30, 2025. This cessation may impact Bapcor’s capital structure and could have implications for stakeholders, particularly in terms of performance-based incentives and the company’s operational strategies moving forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$5.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Limited’s Strategic Presentation at Macquarie Conference
May 8, 2025

Bapcor Limited announced that its Executive Chair and CEO, Angus McKay, will present at the Macquarie Australia Conference. This presentation is significant as it offers insights into Bapcor’s current strategies and future plans, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Bapcor Appoints Kim Kerr as New CFO
May 6, 2025

Bapcor Limited has appointed Kim Kerr as its new Chief Financial Officer, effective 12 May 2025. Kim brings extensive experience from her previous role as CFO at Orica Ltd and will be instrumental in implementing Bapcor’s recently announced business strategy. Her appointment follows the resignation of former CFO George Saoud, who will assist in the transition.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 02, 2025