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Bapcor Ltd (AU:BAP)
ASX:BAP
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Bapcor Ltd (BAP) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:BAP

Bapcor Ltd

(Sydney:BAP)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
AU$3.00
▲(31.58% Upside)
Bapcor Ltd's overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance and technical analysis. The company's declining revenue and profit margins, combined with bearish technical indicators, weigh heavily on the score. While the dividend yield is a positive aspect, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, further impacting the overall assessment.

Bapcor Ltd (BAP) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Bapcor Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBapcor Limited sells and distributes vehicle parts, accessories, automotive equipment, and services and solutions in Australia, New Zealand, and Thailand. The company operates through four segments: Bapcor Trade, Bapcor Specialist Wholesale, Bapcor Retail, and Bapcor NZ. The Bapcor Trade segment offers automotive aftermarket parts and consumables to trade workshops for the service and repair of passenger and commercial vehicles; automotive workshop equipment, such as vehicle hoists and scanning equipment, including the servicing of the equipment; and automotive accessories and maintenance products to do-it-yourself vehicle owners. As of June 30, 2022, it operated 210 stores. The Bapcor Specialist Wholesale segment engages in the automotive aftermarket wholesale of brake, bearing, electrical, suspension, 4WD, cooling, diesel, and engine control systems and parts for light and heavy commercial vehicles. The Bapcor Retail segment operates 404 company owned and franchise stores comprising 136 Autobarn stores, 94 Autopro stores, 108 Midas and ABS stores, and 66 Opposite Lock stores. Bapcor NZ segment is involved in the wholesale of batteries, steering and suspension products, auto electrical and precision equipment, and vehicle workshop equipment; and diesel distribution activities. This segment also supplies automotive parts and accessories to workshops, trucks, and trailer parts through the Truck and Trailer Parts brand. It operates through a network of 76 stores in 88 locations, as well as 130 Battery Town and shock Shop locations. The company was formerly known as Burson Group Limited and changed its name to Bapcor Limited in July 2016. Bapcor Limited was founded in 1971 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBapcor generates revenue primarily through the sale of automotive parts and accessories across its various business segments. The trade segment, which serves professional mechanics and workshops, represents a significant portion of its revenue, as these customers typically make bulk purchases of high-margin products. The retail segment, which targets individual consumers, contributes through direct sales in physical stores and online platforms. Bapcor also earns revenue from its wholesale operations by supplying parts to other retailers and workshops. Key revenue streams include sales from branded products, private label items, and exclusive partnerships with major automotive manufacturers. Additionally, Bapcor benefits from economies of scale, a strong brand presence, and a growing consumer preference for vehicle maintenance and repair, all of which support its earnings growth.

Bapcor Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bapcor Ltd faces challenges in maintaining profitability and growth. While the company has managed its debt levels effectively, declining revenue and profit margins, along with cash flow constraints, pose risks. Strategic improvements in operational efficiency and revenue generation are essential for future stability and growth.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Bapcor Ltd's income statement shows a mixed performance. The gross profit margin is stable, indicating consistent cost management. However, the net profit margin is low, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. Revenue growth has been negative recently, suggesting potential market or operational challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, indicating pressure on operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, suggesting manageable leverage levels. However, the return on equity has decreased significantly, indicating reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, showing a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals concerns with declining free cash flow growth, which may impact future investments or debt repayments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, indicating some efficiency in cash generation. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, highlighting potential cash flow constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.98B1.98B2.04B2.02B1.84B1.76B
Gross Profit895.23M895.23M923.60M400.40M377.77M353.93M
EBITDA116.68M116.68M-28.49M272.06M285.63M271.85M
Net Income28.14M28.14M-158.31M106.45M125.76M118.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.83B1.83B1.90B2.21B2.09B1.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments58.58M58.58M71.59M78.63M80.21M39.60M
Total Debt642.21M642.21M694.16M642.42M599.71M430.56M
Total Liabilities971.27M971.27M1.01B1.08B996.18M826.91M
Stockholders Equity854.08M854.08M893.51M1.12B1.09B1.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow98.47M98.47M68.54M172.38M47.42M80.82M
Operating Cash Flow133.63M133.63M125.80M213.73M104.82M135.86M
Investing Cash Flow-50.68M-50.68M-57.62M-59.01M-64.50M-70.59M
Financing Cash Flow-96.28M-96.28M-76.26M-157.22M771.00K-150.84M

Bapcor Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.28
Price Trends
50DMA
3.05
Negative
100DMA
3.72
Negative
200DMA
4.27
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
19.85
Positive
STOCH
3.07
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BAP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.66, below the 50-day MA of 3.05, and below the 200-day MA of 4.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 19.85 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.07 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:BAP.

Bapcor Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
AU$3.57B16.1116.46%7.19%4.83%-7.62%
65
Neutral
AU$2.15B37.2721.99%2.62%5.79%-31.70%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$2.61B227.638.81%20.66%543.24%
58
Neutral
AU$11.10B23.9929.12%2.54%10.03%5.38%
55
Neutral
AU$642.16M21.6916.86%2.86%1.89%-3.30%
46
Neutral
€821.38M29.193.40%5.92%-3.00%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:BAP
Bapcor Ltd
2.28
-2.27
-49.90%
AU:TPW
Temple & Webster Group Ltd
21.67
10.61
95.93%
AU:NCK
Nick Scali Limited
24.08
10.51
77.45%
AU:JBH
JB Hi-Fi Limited
96.74
14.06
17.01%
AU:SUL
Super Retail Group Limited
15.99
2.31
16.89%
AU:BLX
Beacon Lighting Group Ltd
2.80
-0.07
-2.44%

Bapcor Ltd Corporate Events

Bapcor Ltd Announces Strong Support in 2025 AGM Resolutions
Oct 23, 2025

Bapcor Limited announced the results of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where all resolutions were carried with significant majorities. The outcomes reflect strong shareholder support for the company’s current leadership and strategic direction, indicating stability and confidence in Bapcor’s future operations and governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$3.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor’s Strategic Turnaround: Simplifying for Growth
Oct 22, 2025

Bapcor Limited held its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where the Executive Chair and CEO addressed the company’s current challenges and strategic initiatives. Despite a strong market position, Bapcor is undergoing a complex turnaround to simplify operations, improve customer focus, and correct historic operational issues. Key actions include consolidating operations, technology upgrades, and restructuring leadership, aiming to create a more sustainable and growth-oriented company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$3.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Yarra Capital Acquires Substantial Stake in Bapcor Limited
Oct 20, 2025

Yarra Capital Management Limited and its associated entities have become substantial holders in Bapcor Limited, acquiring a 5.27% voting power through the purchase of ordinary fully paid shares. This acquisition, involving a significant investment of $38,947,446 for 10,848,317 shares, indicates a strategic interest in Bapcor, potentially influencing its market operations and stakeholder dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Ltd Announces Strategic Initiatives Amid Challenging Market Conditions
Oct 20, 2025

Bapcor Ltd has announced a series of strategic initiatives aimed at improving its operational efficiency and market competitiveness in FY26. These include pricing and ranging reviews, promotional activities, and investments in brand marketing and technology. Despite these efforts, the company faced a challenging first quarter with a decline in sales revenue and market share, particularly in the Trade and Retail segments. The company is also addressing operational inefficiencies in its tools and equipment business, which have impacted earnings. Cost-saving measures are expected to generate significant savings, although inflationary pressures continue to offset these benefits. Bapcor’s guidance for 1H26 anticipates a modest statutory net profit, with underlying profit impacted by one-off restructuring costs and inventory adjustments.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Limited Initiates Trading Halt Pending Key Announcement
Oct 16, 2025

Bapcor Limited, a company listed on the Australian Securities Exchange, has requested a trading halt on its securities pending the release of a trading update and earnings guidance for the current financial period. This halt is expected to remain until the company makes an announcement or until normal trading resumes on 21 October 2025. The trading halt indicates that Bapcor is preparing to release significant information that could impact its stock performance and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Proposes FY26 Performance Rights for CEO
Oct 9, 2025

Bapcor Limited has announced a resolution for the approval of FY26 Performance Rights to be granted to the Executive Chair & CEO under its Long-Term Incentive Plan (LTIP). The number of performance rights, totaling 1,345,990, is based on the company’s share value following the release of FY25 financial results. This move is part of Bapcor’s strategy to align executive compensation with company performance, potentially impacting shareholder value and executive motivation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Ltd Appoints New Director with Strategic Interests
Oct 1, 2025

Bapcor Ltd has announced the appointment of Lachlan Edwards as a director, effective from October 1, 2025. Mr. Edwards holds 13,910 fully paid ordinary shares through the Edwards Family Super Fund, indicating a vested interest in the company’s future. This appointment is part of Bapcor’s strategic efforts to strengthen its leadership team, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$4.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Ltd Appoints New Director to Strengthen Leadership
Oct 1, 2025

Bapcor Ltd has announced the appointment of Patria Mann as a director, effective from 1 October 2025. This appointment is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its leadership team, potentially impacting its strategic direction and operational effectiveness in the automotive aftermarket industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$4.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Ltd’s 2025 Annual Report Highlights Sustainable Growth and ESG Commitment
Sep 24, 2025

Bapcor Ltd’s 2025 Annual Report outlines the company’s strategic focus on sustainable growth and customer-centric operations. The report highlights Bapcor’s acknowledgment of the Traditional Custodians of Country in Australia and its commitment to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) principles. The company’s operations and market positioning are reinforced by its dedication to respecting First Nations people and their connection to the land, which is integral to Bapcor’s operational footprint across Australia.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$4.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Limited Releases 2025 Corporate Governance Statement
Sep 24, 2025

Bapcor Limited has released its corporate governance statement for the financial year ended June 30, 2025, which is available on their website. The statement confirms the company’s adherence to the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s principles and recommendations, highlighting Bapcor’s commitment to transparency and accountability in its operations. This announcement reinforces Bapcor’s industry positioning as a company dedicated to maintaining high governance standards, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$4.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Limited Strengthens Board with New Non-Executive Directors
Sep 18, 2025

Bapcor Limited has announced the appointment of two new Non-Executive Directors, Mr. Lachlan Edwards and Ms. Patria Mann, effective from October 1, 2025. These appointments are part of a strategic board refresh aimed at supporting the company’s growth and governance. Patria Mann brings extensive experience in financial services and governance, while Lachlan Edwards offers a strong background in corporate advisory and capital markets. Their expertise is expected to bolster Bapcor’s strategic initiatives and drive sustainable value for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$4.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Limited Appoints Annette Carey as Non-Executive Director
Sep 12, 2025

Bapcor Limited has announced the appointment of Ms. Annette Carey as a Non-Executive Director, effective 1 October 2025. Annette Carey brings over 35 years of experience in logistics, supply chain, and security sectors, and her appointment marks the beginning of a board refresh at Bapcor, which aims to leverage her strategic growth expertise to advance its strategic goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$4.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Director Increases Shareholding, Signaling Confidence in Company
Sep 5, 2025

Bapcor Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Director Mark David Powell acquiring 5,000 additional fully paid ordinary shares, bringing his total to 38,000 shares. This on-market purchase reflects a strategic move to increase personal investment in the company, potentially signaling confidence in Bapcor’s future performance and stability, which could reassure stakeholders and investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$4.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Director Increases Stake in Company
Sep 5, 2025

Bapcor Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically concerning Kate Spargo, who has increased her indirect interest in the company by acquiring an additional 15,000 fully paid ordinary shares through Spargo Super Pty Ltd ATF the Spargo Super Fund. This purchase, conducted on-market, raises her total holding to 65,000 shares. This change reflects confidence in the company’s performance and may influence stakeholder perception positively, reinforcing the director’s commitment to the company’s growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$4.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Ltd Announces New Dividend Distribution
Aug 28, 2025

Bapcor Ltd has announced a new dividend distribution of AUD 0.055 per share, relating to the six-month period ending on June 30, 2025. The ex-date for the dividend is September 4, 2025, with the record date set for September 5, 2025, and payment scheduled for September 25, 2025. This announcement reflects Bapcor’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders, potentially enhancing its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$4.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Ltd FY25 Results Presentation Overview
Aug 28, 2025

Bapcor Ltd’s FY25 results presentation highlights the company’s current activities and financial performance. The presentation includes non-IFRS financial measures to provide a clearer picture of the company’s underlying financial performance. The release emphasizes that the information is not intended as investment advice and includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Stakeholders are advised to consider professional advice before making investment decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$4.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Reports Strong NPAT Growth Amid Strategic Restructuring
Aug 28, 2025

Bapcor Limited reported its FY25 financial results, showing a significant increase in statutory NPAT by 117% due to lower significant items, despite a slight decline in pro-forma revenue and EBITDA compared to FY24. The company made strategic moves to simplify operations, such as exiting or relocating sites and investing in IT infrastructure, which caused disruptions but are expected to strengthen its core business for future growth. Bapcor’s Trade segment showed resilience with revenue and EBITDA growth, while the Specialist Wholesale segment faced revenue decline due to restructuring but saw improved EBITDA. The Retail and New Zealand segments continued to face challenging conditions, but overall, Bapcor achieved $27.5M in cost savings and maintained a strong balance sheet with refinanced debt and positive cash flow.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$4.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Limited Adjusts FY25 Financial Results Release Date
Aug 26, 2025

Bapcor Limited has announced a change in the release date for its full-year financial results for the period ending 30 June 2025, now scheduled for 29 August 2025. This announcement may affect stakeholders’ expectations and planning, as the results will provide insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$4.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Announces 2025 AGM Details and Director Nomination Deadline
Aug 26, 2025

Bapcor Limited, a company listed on the ASX, has announced that its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM) will be held as a hybrid event at Melbourne Airport on October 23, 2025. The deadline for director nominations is set for September 3, 2025, with further AGM details to be provided in the forthcoming Notice of Meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$4.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Director’s Interest Update: Performance Rights Conversion
Aug 25, 2025

Bapcor Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest notice for Angus Robert McKay. On August 22, 2025, 72,018 performance rights held by Mr. McKay were converted into fully paid ordinary shares, increasing his total shareholding to 82,018 shares. This conversion was part of a pre-approved plan following the company’s 2024 Annual General Meeting. The change reflects a strategic alignment of the director’s interests with the company’s performance, potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$3.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Limited Announces Director Departure
Jul 28, 2025

Bapcor Limited has announced the cessation of James Scott Charles Todd as a director, effective July 23, 2025. This change in the board of directors may impact the company’s governance and strategic direction, as Todd held significant interests through the Tamkin Trust and the Tamkin Superannuation Fund, which collectively own 35,000 shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$5.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Bapcor Limited Announces Director Departure
Jul 28, 2025

Bapcor Limited has announced the cessation of Mark Bernhard as a director, effective from July 23, 2025. Bernhard held 37,500 fully-paid ordinary shares in the company. This change in directorship may impact the company’s governance and strategic direction, although no immediate implications for stakeholders have been detailed.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BAP) stock is a Hold with a A$5.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bapcor Ltd stock, see the AU:BAP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2025