Bapcor Ltd (AU:BAP)
ASX:BAP
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Bapcor Ltd
(Sydney:BAP)
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Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.44
▼(-74.48% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening financial performance (margin pressure, negative revenue growth, and softer free cash flow) and a clearly bearish technical setup (below major moving averages with negative MACD). A very high dividend yield provides some support, but valuation remains mixed due to the negative P/E.
Positive Factors
Multi‑channel aftermarket business model
Bapcor's multi‑channel aftermarket model—trade distribution, retail stores and workshop equipment—creates recurring demand across professional and DIY customers. Network density and multiple routes to market support fulfilment, scale purchasing and revenue resilience over the coming months.
Negative Factors
Negative revenue growth
Recent negative revenue growth undermines scale benefits in purchasing and distribution. If declines persist, fixed costs absorb a larger share of sales, pressuring margins and making it harder to invest in network or customer initiatives that are important for medium‑term recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi‑channel aftermarket business model
Bapcor's multi‑channel aftermarket model—trade distribution, retail stores and workshop equipment—creates recurring demand across professional and DIY customers. Network density and multiple routes to market support fulfilment, scale purchasing and revenue resilience over the coming months.
Read all positive factors
Bapcor Ltd (BAP) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$296.01M
Dividend Yield6.62%
Average Volume (3M)1.16M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.62
Revenue Growth-4.69%
EPS Growth28.66%
CountryAU
Employees5,400
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustrySpecialty Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.35
Shares Outstanding672,753,050
10 Day Avg. Volume1,054,886
30 Day Avg. Volume1,158,987
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.52
Price to Book (P/B)2.01
Price to Sales (P/S)0.87
P/FCF Ratio17.40
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$0.44Price Target Upside-74.78% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering8
EPS Forecast (FY)0.02
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$1.93B
Bapcor Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Bapcor Limited, founded in 1971 in Melbourne, Australia, and previously known as Burson Group Limited until its rebranding in July 2016, is a prominent supplier of automotive components, accessories, equipment, and associated services. The company...
How the Company Makes Money
Bapcor makes money primarily by selling automotive aftermarket parts, accessories, and workshop-related products through multiple routes to market. A major revenue stream comes from supplying trade customers (such as mechanical repair shops, servi...
Bapcor Ltd Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.94B | 1.98B | 2.04B | 2.02B | 1.84B | 1.76B |
| Gross Profit | 562.26M | 895.23M | 923.60M | 400.40M | 377.77M | 353.93M |
| EBITDA | 91.67M | 116.68M | -28.49M | 272.06M | 285.63M | 271.85M |
| Net Income | -117.49M | 28.14M | -158.31M | 106.45M | 125.76M | 118.77M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.68B | 1.83B | 1.90B | 2.21B | 2.09B | 1.87B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 39.29M | 58.58M | 71.59M | 78.63M | 80.21M | 39.60M |
| Total Debt | 806.04M | 642.21M | 694.16M | 642.42M | 599.71M | 489.91M |
| Total Liabilities | 976.27M | 971.27M | 1.01B | 1.08B | 996.18M | 826.91M |
| Stockholders Equity | 705.07M | 854.08M | 893.51M | 1.12B | 1.09B | 1.04B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 45.68M | 98.47M | 68.54M | 172.38M | 47.42M | 80.82M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 68.89M | 133.63M | 125.80M | 213.73M | 104.82M | 135.86M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -46.02M | -50.68M | -57.62M | -59.01M | -64.50M | -70.59M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -72.08M | -96.28M | -76.26M | -157.22M | 771.00K | -150.84M |
Bapcor Ltd Technical Analysis
Neutral
1.74
Price Trends
0.52
Negative
0.79
Negative
1.35
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.02
Negative
45.80
Neutral
67.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BAP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.41, above the 50-day MA of 0.52, and above the 200-day MA of 1.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:BAP.
Bapcor Ltd Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | AU$8.44B | 17.49 | 29.31% | 2.54% | 8.60% | 4.98% | |
65 Neutral | AU$2.77B | 14.13 | 15.13% | 7.20% | 4.75% | -13.42% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | AU$1.32B | 19.27 | 25.20% | 2.63% | 4.23% | -0.64% | |
60 Neutral | AU$364.65M | 12.86 | 15.11% | 2.86% | 1.86% | -5.28% | |
55 Neutral | AU$633.85M | 78.02 | 5.66% | ― | 18.85% | 20.89% | |
52 Neutral | AU$296.01M | -1.27 | -15.07% | 6.62% | -4.69% | 28.66% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
AU:BAP
Bapcor Ltd
0.44
-3.08
-87.48%
AU:TPW
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5.27
-16.76
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AU:NCK
Nick Scali Limited
15.46
-2.72
-14.98%
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JB Hi-Fi Limited
77.24
-27.24
-26.07%
AU:SUL
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-6.48%
AU:BLX
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-54.40%
Bapcor Ltd Corporate Events
State Street Group Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Bapcor
Jun 9, 2026
State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries, including State Street Bank and Trust Company, SSGA Funds Management and State Street Global Advisors Australia, have lodged a notice that they have ceased to be substantial shareholders in Bapcor Lim...
Bapcor Adds Andrew Fraser to Board to Support Turnaround and Growth
Jun 9, 2026
Bapcor Limited has appointed Andrew Fraser as an independent non-executive director, effective 1 July 2026, as the company continues its performance turnaround and pursuit of disciplined long-term growth. Fraser, who currently chairs Bank of Queen...
Vanguard trims stake and falls below substantial holding threshold in Bapcor
Apr 21, 2026
Bapcor Limited, a major player in the automotive aftermarket supplying parts and services across Australia and New Zealand, remains closely followed by global institutional investors given its position in trade, retail and service channels. The co...
Bapcor Performance Rights Lapse After Vesting Conditions Not Met
Apr 1, 2026
Bapcor Limited has announced the cessation of 568,377 performance rights, recorded under the ASX security code BAPAI, after the conditions attached to these rights were not met or became incapable of being satisfied as of 31 March 2026. The lapse ...
Bapcor Issues New Performance Rights Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Apr 1, 2026
Bapcor Limited has notified the market of the issue of 162,700 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme. The new securities, which will not be quoted on the ASX and were issued on 31 March 2026, form part of the company̵...
Bapcor Director Increases Indirect Shareholding via Family Super Fund
Apr 1, 2026
Bapcor director Lachlan Edwards has increased his indirect shareholding in the company, with the Edwards Family Super Fund purchasing 88,700 fully paid ordinary shares on-market at $0.62 per share. The acquisition lifts the fund’s holding to...
Bapcor Director Boosts Stake Through Retail Entitlement Offer
Mar 26, 2026
Bapcor director Patria Mann has increased her indirect holding in the company through the P G Harris Super Fund, in which she is a practical controller, trustee and beneficiary. The fund’s stake rose from 40,000 to 69,412 fully paid ordinary...
Bapcor Director Increases Indirect Shareholding via Retail Entitlement Offer
Mar 26, 2026
Bapcor Limited has disclosed a change in director Jacqueline Korhonen’s indirect holding, with her controlled entity Monsour Enterprises Pty Ltd increasing its stake via the company’s recent Retail Entitlement Offer. Following the tran...
Bapcor Director Kate Spargo Lifts Stake via Retail Entitlement Offer
Mar 26, 2026
Bapcor Limited has disclosed a change in the interests of director Kate Spargo, who holds her stake indirectly through the Spargo Super Fund. Spargo is a practical controller and beneficiary of this superannuation fund, which is the registered hol...
Bapcor Seeks ASX Quotation for 72.4 Million New Shares
Mar 25, 2026
Bapcor Ltd, a leading player in the Australasian automotive aftermarket, operates a broad network supplying parts, accessories and services to professional workshops and retail customers. The company focuses on leveraging its distribution scale an...
Pinnacle Exits Substantial Holder Position in Bapcor
Mar 25, 2026
Pinnacle Investment Management Group, along with its listed subsidiaries, has notified Bapcor Ltd that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in the automotive parts supplier as of 20 March 2026. The change reflects a reduction in Pinnacle’...
Bapcor Director Christopher Wilesmith Acquires 500,000 Shares On‑Market
Mar 15, 2026
Bapcor Limited has disclosed a change in director Christopher David Wilesmith’s interests, with the executive purchasing 500,000 fully paid ordinary shares on‑market. The shares were acquired on 9 March 2026 at prices between $0.7437 a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.