Nick Scali Limited (NCK) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$1.64B
• Dividend Yield: 3.29%
• Average Volume (3M): 318.44K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 23.7
• Beta (1Y): 1.23
• Revenue Growth: 9.36%
• EPS Growth: -21.69%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 930
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 57
• Industry: Specialty Retail
• EPS (TTM): 0.35
• Shares Outstanding: 85,530,700
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 201,166
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 318,444
• PEG Ratio: -1.28
• Price to Book (P/B): 5.88
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 19.86
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: AU$19.81
• Price Target Upside: 3.50% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4

• Rating: 68 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$20.00 ▲(4.49%Upside)

Nick Scali Limited's strong financial performance and cash flow management are key strengths, despite challenges in revenue growth. Technical indicators suggest neutral market sentiment, and the stock is fairly valued with a decent dividend yield.

Nick Scali Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nick Scali Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in sourcing and retailing of household furniture and related accessories primarily in Australia and New Zealand. It offers sofas and armchairs; TV and entertainment units; coffee, side, and console and hallway tables; dinning tables and chairs, and buffet tables and sideboards; mattresses, bed frames, bedside tables, tallboy, and dressers; and rugs, mirrors, and lighting. The company provides its products through a network of 63 stores in Australia and 5 stores in New Zealand, as well as online. Nick Scali Limited was incorporated in 1962 and is based in North Ryde, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

Nick Scali Limited generates revenue primarily through the sale of furniture and home accessories via its network of retail stores and online platforms. The company's revenue model is based on sourcing and importing a variety of furniture pieces from manufacturers worldwide, which are then marketed and sold under the Nick Scali brand. Additionally, the company benefits from economies of scale by maintaining a well-optimized supply chain and leveraging its purchasing power. Key revenue streams include direct retail sales, both in-store and online, and ancillary services such as delivery and extended warranties. Significant partnerships with international furniture manufacturers allow Nick Scali to maintain a diverse and exclusive product range, further driving sales and profitability.

Nick Scali Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Nick Scali Limited exhibits strong profitability and cash flow management, with a solid gross profit margin of 65.53% and a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.63. However, a revenue decrease of 7.79% poses a risk to future growth.

Income Statement

Nick Scali Limited demonstrated solid profitability with a gross profit margin of 65.53% and a net profit margin of 17.22% for the latest annual period. However, revenue decreased by 7.79% compared to the previous year, indicating potential challenges in maintaining sales growth. The EBIT margin of 36.94% and EBITDA margin of 37.79% reflect strong operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet shows a stable equity ratio of 36.55% and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 1.24, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. ROE stood at 31.27%, showcasing effective use of equity. However, the increase in total liabilities over recent years suggests rising financial obligations that need monitoring.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow generation remains robust with a favorable operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.63, indicating strong cash generation relative to profits. Free cash flow decreased by 15.11%, but the company maintains healthy free cash flow compared to net income, reflecting efficient cash management.

Breakdown	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021	Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	468.19M	507.72M	440.96M	373.04M	262.48M
Gross Profit	306.80M	322.41M	268.98M	236.75M	164.66M
EBITDA	176.95M	199.52M	158.78M	159.04M	86.60M
Net Income	80.61M	101.08M	74.92M	84.24M	42.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	704.88M	607.64M	616.39M	489.25M	415.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	111.33M	89.25M	74.62M	106.89M	63.04M
Total Debt	320.37M	318.17M	329.60M	226.98M	214.87M
Total Liabilities	447.10M	427.73M	475.47M	375.22M	340.19M
Stockholders Equity	257.78M	179.91M	140.93M	114.03M	75.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	102.72M	121.03M	102.25M	124.26M	82.74M
Operating Cash Flow	131.18M	133.92M	121.23M	139.90M	91.39M
Investing Cash Flow	-64.91M	-12.89M	-121.50M	-15.62M	1.12M
Financing Cash Flow	-74.19M	-66.40M	-72.00M	-80.43M	-65.76M

Nick Scali Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 19.14
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NCK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.54, above the 50-day MA of 18.67, and above the 200-day MA of 16.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:NCK.

Nick Scali Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
NCK	68 Neutral	AU$1.64B	23.70	29.48%	3.29%	9.36%	-21.69%
Sector *	54 Neutral	$1.24B	3.84	0.67%	6.03%	-2.39%	-129.28%
TPLWF	―	$1.83B	321.56	5.83%	―	―	―
1FQ	―	€202.52M	9.60	14.57%	6.88%	―	―
BLX	72 Outperform	AU$823.16M	27.54	17.54%	2.19%	5.33%	-4.25%
DSK	71 Outperform	AU$53.55M	9.30	13.17%	6.94%	5.42%	-8.87%
SHM	66 Neutral	AU$51.41M	8.91	14.07%	7.58%	5.58%	6.31%

Nick Scali Limited Corporate Events

Nick Scali Limited Announces FY25 Results Teleconference

Nick Scali Limited has announced it will release its financial results for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, on August 8, 2025. The announcement includes an invitation for shareholders and interested parties to join a teleconference led by Managing Director Anthony Scali, where the results will be presented and questions addressed. This event is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NCK) stock is a Buy with a A$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nick Scali Limited stock, see the AU:NCK Stock Forecast page.

Nick Scali Limited Announces New Joint Company Secretaries

Nick Scali Limited has announced a change in its company secretaries, with Kylie Archer and Elizabeth Spooner appointed as Joint Company Secretaries. This strategic move is expected to enhance the company’s governance and compliance capabilities, as Elizabeth Spooner brings extensive experience in corporate governance and legal affairs. The appointments mark a shift in the company’s administrative structure, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and stakeholder communications.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NCK) stock is a Buy with a A$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nick Scali Limited stock, see the AU:NCK Stock Forecast page.

Nick Scali Limited Announces CFO Transition

Nick Scali Limited announced the transition to a new Chief Financial Officer, with Sheila Lines retiring to pursue non-executive board roles. She will continue to provide strategic advice post-retirement. Kylie Archer, an experienced finance executive, will succeed Sheila as CFO starting 1 July 2025, joining the company on 19 May to ensure a smooth transition. This leadership change is significant as it follows the company’s recent expansion into the UK market.