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Aspen Group Limited (AU:APZ)
ASX:APZ

Aspen Group Limited (APZ) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Aspen Group Limited

(Sydney:APZ)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
AU$4.00
▲(8.11%Upside)
Aspen Group Limited shows strong financial performance and attractive valuation, making it a solid investment in the real estate sector. The technical analysis indicates bullish momentum, although short-term caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions.

Aspen Group Limited (APZ) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Aspen Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAspen is a leading provider of quality accommodation on competitive terms in residential, retirement and park communities. Our core target customer base is the 40% of Australian households that can pay no more than $400 per week in rent or $400,000 purchase price for their housing needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyAspen Group Limited generates revenue through a combination of rental income, property management fees, and capital appreciation of its real estate portfolio. The company's primary revenue stream is derived from the leasing of residential, retirement, and short-stay accommodations to individuals and families. Additionally, Aspen Group may engage in the strategic acquisition and disposition of properties, leveraging market conditions to enhance portfolio value. The company also benefits from partnerships with local developers and property managers, which contribute to its operational efficiency and revenue growth. Key factors influencing Aspen Group's earnings include property occupancy rates, rental yield, and the overall performance of the real estate market in Australia.

Aspen Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aspen Group Limited exhibits strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and profitability. The company has a stable balance sheet with moderate leverage and robust cash flow generation. Continued focus on managing debt and sustaining cash flow will be crucial for future success.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Aspen Group Limited has demonstrated impressive revenue growth of 37.79% from 2023 to 2024, signaling strong market positioning. The company's gross profit margin stands at a solid 54.81%, and the net profit margin is exceptionally high at 53.16%, indicating excellent profitability and cost management. The EBIT margin of 33.07% and EBITDA margin of 31.22% further highlight operational efficiency. However, there was a slight decline in net income compared to the previous year, which is a point to monitor.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a well-capitalized company with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.46, suggesting moderate leverage. The return on equity is 11.07%, reflecting a reasonable return for shareholders. The equity ratio is a healthy 65.38%, indicating strong financial stability and low risk of insolvency. Despite the positive metrics, the company should continue monitoring its debt levels to maintain this stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Aspen Group's cash flow is robust, with a significant operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.64, demonstrating strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also solid at 0.60. There is a substantial free cash flow growth rate of 146.87% from 2023 to 2024, highlighting strong cash management and operational efficiency. The company should maintain this trajectory to support future investments and debt servicing.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
99.15M91.12M66.14M46.68M35.52M30.77M
Gross Profit
54.61M49.97M37.20M24.31M19.30M16.79M
EBIT
33.71M30.13M21.00M11.45M8.39M6.45M
EBITDA
32.02M28.45M22.20M12.44M9.12M6.97M
Net Income Common Stockholders
57.33M48.44M54.40M75.38M25.39M11.87M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
9.05M4.52M8.92M10.89M9.53M9.27M
Total Assets
205.44M668.95M575.84M468.49M249.93M191.18M
Total Debt
56.51M199.90M171.69M154.42M76.76M45.76M
Net Debt
48.66M195.38M162.92M143.84M68.64M37.75M
Total Liabilities
65.24M235.29M214.67M191.47M97.38M57.15M
Stockholders Equity
144.04M437.49M365.00M280.86M156.39M137.87M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
26.40M29.12M11.79M12.50M10.20M5.76M
Operating Cash Flow
27.55M30.95M14.06M14.12M11.27M9.89M
Investing Cash Flow
15.26M-38.43M-50.40M-85.40M-35.69M-40.15M
Financing Cash Flow
-38.95M3.08M34.53M73.73M24.54M31.96M

Aspen Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.70
Price Trends
50DMA
3.13
Positive
100DMA
2.85
Positive
200DMA
2.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Negative
RSI
81.44
Negative
STOCH
81.70
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:APZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.35, above the 50-day MA of 3.13, and above the 200-day MA of 2.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.44 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:APZ.

Aspen Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUAPZ
77
Outperform
€832.52M12.4613.65%2.76%31.29%5.02%
61
Neutral
$2.83B10.980.41%8438.90%5.81%-21.06%
$7.31B10.957.73%6.04%
$8.54B27.804.54%4.70%
AUNSR
70
Outperform
AU$3.23B13.306.87%4.74%8.10%6.34%
AUINA
61
Neutral
AU$2.32B39.243.77%1.98%22.09%-19.31%
AULIC
59
Neutral
AU$813.25M15.047.50%1.56%8.28%-39.60%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:APZ
Aspen Group Limited
3.70
2.03
121.16%
CNRAF
Vicinity Centres
1.50
0.31
26.05%
STKAF
Stockland
3.44
0.58
20.28%
AU:INA
Ingenia Communities Group
5.69
0.93
19.54%
AU:NSR
National Storage REIT
2.32
0.17
7.91%
AU:LIC
Lifestyle Communities Ltd
6.69
-5.48
-45.03%

Aspen Group Limited Corporate Events

Perpetual Limited Increases Stake in Aspen Group Limited
May 28, 2025

Perpetual Limited and its related bodies corporate have increased their voting power in Aspen Group Limited from 9.213% to 11.198%, as reported in a recent notice of change of interests of a substantial holder. This increase in voting power signifies a strengthened influence of Perpetual Limited in Aspen Group Limited, potentially impacting the company’s strategic decisions and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:APZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aspen Group Limited stock, see the AU:APZ Stock Forecast page.

Aspen Group’s Strategic Approach to Sustainable Returns
May 27, 2025

Aspen Group Limited has announced its strategic approach to maximizing sustainable returns for its security holders by owning 100% of its properties and projects. The company emphasizes intensive management and offers a variety of lease terms and services, aiming to optimize profitability and reduce risk through disciplined acquisitions and capital recycling.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:APZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aspen Group Limited stock, see the AU:APZ Stock Forecast page.

Aspen Group Launches Security Purchase Plan for Eligible Investors
May 27, 2025

Aspen Group Limited has announced the opening of a Security Purchase Plan (SPP) allowing eligible securityholders in Australia and New Zealand to acquire up to $30,000 worth of new stapled securities at $2.90 each, matching the price of a recent institutional placement. The SPP aims to raise up to $4 million, with applications subject to scaling back if oversubscribed, and the new securities will be entitled to distributions for the half year ending June 30, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:APZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aspen Group Limited stock, see the AU:APZ Stock Forecast page.

Aspen Group Enhances Capital Through Institutional Placement
May 26, 2025

Aspen Group Limited has issued 24.2 million fully paid ordinary stapled securities at A$2.90 each to institutional and professional investors as part of an institutional placement. This move, conducted alongside a non-underwritten securities purchase plan, aims to strengthen the company’s capital base without the need for a prospectus, reflecting its compliance with relevant disclosure obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:APZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aspen Group Limited stock, see the AU:APZ Stock Forecast page.

Aspen Group to Quote 24.2 Million Securities on ASX
May 22, 2025

Aspen Group Limited has announced the quotation of 24,200,000 fully paid ordinary units stapled securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), set to be issued on May 26, 2025. This move is part of a previously announced transaction, potentially enhancing the company’s market liquidity and providing additional capital for its operations, which could strengthen its position in the real estate sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:APZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aspen Group Limited stock, see the AU:APZ Stock Forecast page.

Aspen Group Sells Stake in Eureka Group Holdings
May 22, 2025

Aspen Group Limited has announced that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Eureka Group Holdings Limited as of May 20, 2025. The company sold 55,120,160 ordinary shares in Eureka, representing 13% of the voting securities, for a total consideration of $27,560,080. This divestment marks a significant change in Aspen’s investment strategy and could impact its financial positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:APZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aspen Group Limited stock, see the AU:APZ Stock Forecast page.

Aspen Group’s Substantial Holder MA Financial Group Reduces Stake
May 21, 2025

Aspen Group Limited has announced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, MA Financial Group Limited, which now holds a reduced voting power of 7.23% down from 8.35%. This change reflects a decrease in the number of ordinary fully paid securities held by MA Financial Group, impacting the company’s shareholder structure and potentially its strategic decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:APZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aspen Group Limited stock, see the AU:APZ Stock Forecast page.

Cooper Investors Reduces Stake in Aspen Group Limited
May 20, 2025

Aspen Group Limited has announced a change in the substantial holding of its shares by Cooper Investors Pty Limited. The voting power of Cooper Investors has decreased from 17.0706% to 16.0024% due to the purchase of shares over a period between April 8, 2025, and May 16, 2025. This change in shareholding may impact the company’s market dynamics and influence its strategic decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:APZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aspen Group Limited stock, see the AU:APZ Stock Forecast page.

Aspen Group Sells Eureka Shares to Reduce Debt
May 19, 2025

Aspen Group Limited has announced the sale of its remaining 55 million shares in Eureka Group Holdings for a total of $27.5 million. The proceeds from this sale, along with recent equity raising, will be used to reduce the company’s net debt to approximately $92 million and decrease its gearing to about 14%. The company’s guidance for its underlying earnings per share for the fiscal year 2025 remains unchanged, indicating stability in its financial outlook despite the asset sale.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:APZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aspen Group Limited stock, see the AU:APZ Stock Forecast page.

Aspen Group Completes $70 Million Equity Raising to Fuel Growth
May 16, 2025

Aspen Group has successfully completed an institutional placement, raising $70.18 million through the issuance of 24.2 million new securities at $2.90 each. The funds will be used to reduce debt and strengthen the company’s ability to pursue growth opportunities, reducing gearing to approximately 17%. Additionally, Aspen is offering a Security Purchase Plan (SPP) to eligible securityholders in Australia and New Zealand, allowing them to purchase up to $30,000 worth of new securities at the same price. This move is expected to enhance Aspen’s financial flexibility and support its strategic growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:APZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aspen Group Limited stock, see the AU:APZ Stock Forecast page.

Aspen Group Announces Proposed Securities Issue to Strengthen Capital
May 15, 2025

Aspen Group Limited has announced a proposed issue of securities, which includes an offer under a securities purchase plan and a placement. The company plans to issue a total of 25,579,310 fully paid ordinary units stapled securities, with 1,379,310 units offered under the purchase plan and 24,200,000 units through a placement. The issuance aims to enhance the company’s capital structure and potentially improve its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:APZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aspen Group Limited stock, see the AU:APZ Stock Forecast page.

Aspen Group Launches Equity Raising to Boost Market Position
May 15, 2025

Aspen Group Limited has announced an equity raising initiative aimed at enhancing its operational capabilities and financial stability. The company’s proprietary approach focuses on maximizing sustainable returns through disciplined acquisitions and intensive property management. This initiative is expected to optimize Aspen’s portfolio, increase profitability, and reduce risk, thereby strengthening its market position and providing competitive rental accommodation options.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:APZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aspen Group Limited stock, see the AU:APZ Stock Forecast page.

Aspen Group Announces Equity Raising Amid Strong Housing Demand
May 15, 2025

Aspen Group Limited has announced an equity raising to strengthen its balance sheet and support growth initiatives. The company is experiencing strong demand for its long stay accommodations due to a shortage of affordable housing in Australia, while short stay offerings show mixed results. Aspen’s development sales are robust, and the company is on track to meet its sales targets. The equity raising, consisting of an Institutional Placement and a Securityholder Purchase Plan, aims to provide financial flexibility for future growth and acquisitions, with an expected improvement in growth prospects and risk reduction over the medium term.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:APZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aspen Group Limited stock, see the AU:APZ Stock Forecast page.

Aspen Group Initiates Trading Halt for Equity Raising
May 15, 2025

Aspen Group Limited has requested a trading halt on its securities pending an announcement related to an equity raising initiative. This move involves an institutional placement and a security purchase plan, with the halt expected to last until the announcement is made or normal trading resumes on 16 May 2025. The trading halt is a strategic step to facilitate the equity raising process, which could impact the company’s financial structure and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:APZ) stock is a Buy with a A$3.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aspen Group Limited stock, see the AU:APZ Stock Forecast page.

Aspen Group Expands Portfolio with Australind Acquisition
May 8, 2025

Aspen Group Limited has successfully completed the acquisition of a new accommodation complex in Australind, Western Australia, for $32.25 million. This acquisition, which includes 97 transportable dwellings and extensive community facilities, is part of Aspen’s strategy to expand its portfolio in residential and lifestyle property markets, potentially enhancing its market position and offering new development opportunities.

Aspen Group’s Strategic Approach to Sustainable Returns
May 1, 2025

Aspen Group Limited announced its strategic approach to maximizing profitability through intensive property management and offering a variety of lease terms and services. By focusing on disciplined acquisitions and providing flexible rental options, the company aims to optimize its portfolio, enhance profits and equity value, and reduce risk, thereby strengthening its position in the competitive rental accommodation market.

Cooper Investors Reduces Stake in Aspen Group Limited
Apr 9, 2025

Aspen Group Limited has announced a change in the interests of its substantial holder, Cooper Investors Pty Limited. As of April 7, 2025, Cooper Investors’ voting power in Aspen Group has decreased from 18.341% to 17.0706%, indicating a reduction in their shareholding. This change could impact Aspen Group’s shareholder dynamics and influence within the company, potentially affecting its strategic decisions and market positioning.

Aspen Group Expands with New Acquisition in Australind, WA
Apr 2, 2025

Aspen Group Limited has announced its acquisition of a new accommodation complex in Australind, Western Australia, initially developed for Albemarle Corporation’s Kemerton Lithium Plant expansion. This strategic move aims to reposition the property into a residential rental and lifestyle community, addressing the acute shortage of affordable housing in the Bunbury area. The acquisition is expected to increase Aspen’s scale by 16% and improve its profitability and equity value over the medium term, although it will initially be neutral to underlying earnings per security. The purchase, priced at $32.25 million, is expected to be debt-funded, increasing the company’s gearing ratio.

Aspen Group’s Strategic Approach to Sustainable Returns and Market Positioning
Apr 1, 2025

Aspen Group Limited has announced its proprietary approach to maximizing sustainable returns for its security holders by owning all its properties outright, thus avoiding conflicts associated with joint ventures. The company is enhancing its profitability through intensive management and diverse lease offerings, while also focusing on cost-effective development to cater to its target market. This strategy is expected to optimize the company’s portfolio, profits, and equity value, while reducing risks, positioning Aspen Group as a specialist provider of competitive rental accommodation.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.