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AptarGroup, Inc. (ATR)
NYSE:ATR

AptarGroup (ATR) AI Stock Analysis

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ATR

AptarGroup

(NYSE:ATR)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$139.00
▲(14.82% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/18/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (steady growth, resilient margins, and manageable leverage), partially offset by weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is reasonable, while the latest earnings call and CEO transition add a mixed but generally stable backdrop due to reaffirmed guidance, productivity actions, and buybacks versus near-term margin and cost headwinds.
Positive Factors
Pharma pipeline & approvals
Regulatory approvals (e.g., CARDAMYST) and multiple Pharma partnerships signal durable, validation-driven wins. Regulatory-grade device supply and long qualification cycles create multi-year commercial commitments, high switching costs and predictable revenue from commercialized drug programs.
Healthy cash generation & leverage
Consistent operating cash flow and manageable net debt provide durable financial flexibility. Healthy cash generation funds capex, productivity initiatives and the $600M buyback while supporting commercialization investments and buffering near-term margin cyclical pressures.
Tooling sales and customer wins
Record tooling and marquee customer wins strengthen customer retention and create embedded supply relationships. Tooling builds switching costs and recurring aftermarket supply, supporting multi-year revenue streams and cross-sell opportunities across Beauty, Closures and Pharma segments.
Negative Factors
Emergency medicine destocking
A ~$65M destocking impact concentrated in H1 reduces high-margin Pharma revenue and compresses near-term profitability. Even if temporary, the timing can delay margin recovery, weaken cash flow cadence and complicate resource allocation for commercialization and productivity investments.
Margin compression from ops issues
Material margin declines driven by product mix and production impacts in Beauty and Closures reflect execution risk. Supplier disruptions, plant environmental upgrades and unscheduled downtime raise operating costs and capex needs, threatening margin sustainability until operational fixes are fully implemented.
Free cash flow volatility
A meaningful FCF decline and noted volatility (tax timing, pension contributions, working capital shifts) reduce spare liquidity. In combination with higher capex and interest-raising financings, inconsistent cash conversion can limit discretionary actions or slow deleveraging under extended industry softness.

AptarGroup (ATR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AptarGroup Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAptarGroup, Inc. provides a range of dispensing, sealing, and material science solutions primarily for the beauty, personal care, home care, prescription drug, consumer health care, injectable, and food and beverage markets. The company operates through three segments: Pharma, Beauty + Home, and Food + Beverage. The Pharma segment provides pumps for nasal allergy treatments; and metered dose inhaler valves for respiratory ailments, such as asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases in pharmaceutical market; elastomer for injectable primary packaging components; and active material science solutions. The Beauty + Home segment primarily sells pumps, closures, aerosol valves, accessories, and sealing solutions to the personal care and home care markets; and pumps and decorative components to the beauty market. The Food + Beverage segment offers dispensing and non-dispensing closures, elastomeric flow control components, spray pumps, and aerosol valves to the food and beverage markets. It sells its products through own sales force, as well as independent representatives and distributors in Asia, Europe, Latin America, and North America. The company has a strategic partnership with PureCycle Technologies LLC to develop ultra-pure recycled polypropylene into dispensing applications; and a collaboration with Sonmol for developing a digital therapies and services platform targeting respiratory and other diseases. AptarGroup, Inc. was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Crystal Lake, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyAptarGroup makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling proprietary dispensing, closure, and drug-delivery components to business customers (e.g., pharmaceutical companies and consumer packaged goods brand owners). Its revenue model is largely product-based: customers purchase high-volume, repeat-use components that are integrated into the customer’s finished product packaging or drug-delivery system, creating recurring demand tied to the customer’s end-product sales and production volumes. A key earnings driver is the Healthcare segment, where Aptar supplies drug-delivery devices and components (for example, systems used to administer nasal, pulmonary/inhalation, and injectable therapies). These programs often require specialized engineering, regulatory-grade manufacturing, validation, and long qualification cycles; once designed into a drug product, the components can generate steady, multi-year revenue through ongoing commercial supply. In its Beauty and Home and Food and Beverage businesses, Aptar sells dispensing pumps, actuators, sprayers, aerosol valves, and closures that brand owners use to differentiate products and improve usability; revenue is generated from supplying these parts at scale, often on a recurring basis for established product lines. Across segments, Aptar’s earnings are supported by long-term customer relationships, custom design-and-development work that can lead to higher-value proprietary solutions, and scale manufacturing that benefits from global production and the breadth of its dispensing technology portfolio. Specific partner names, contract structures, or segment revenue percentages: null.

AptarGroup Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mix of clear operational and commercial strengths—notably strong Q4 revenue growth, sustained Pharma pipeline momentum (including FDA approval of CARDAMYST), meaningful tooling and commercial wins in Beauty and Closures, solid capital returns and a healthy balance sheet—while also disclosing significant near-term margin pressures driven by emergency medicine destocking (~$65 million headwind), operational disruptions in Beauty and Closures, higher interest and tax expenses, and a sizable Q4 EPS decline. Management emphasized that many negative items are transitory, expects sequential margin improvement through 2026 and reaffirmed productivity programs and buyback flexibility. Overall, positive revenue and pipeline momentum are meaningfully offset by near-term margin and cost challenges, leaving a balanced outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 Revenue Growth
Reported sales for Q4 grew 14% year-over-year to $963 million (from $848 million); core sales increased 5%, reflecting healthy underlying demand across the portfolio.
Full Year Revenue and EPS Growth
For FY2025, reported sales increased 5% to $3.8 billion; reported net income rose 5% to $393 million and reported EPS increased 7% to $5.89 (from $5.53).
Pharma Segment Momentum and Pipeline Milestones
Pharma core sales (ex-emergency medicine) grew 10% in Q4; injectables core sales increased 24%. Notable pipeline and commercial milestones include FDA approval of CARDAMYST (Bidose nasal delivery), partnerships on intranasal vaccines, an exclusive ophthalmology agreement with Bausch + Lomb, TGA approval of neffy (needle-free nasal epinephrine), and multiple Phase II studies—underscoring diversification across respiratory, biologics/injectables and systemic nasal delivery.
Adjusted EBITDA and Profitability Base
Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $191 million; adjusted EBITDA margin approximately 19.8%. Full-year adjusted EBITDA increased 5% with full-year adjusted EBITDA margin stable at 21.6%.
Beauty and Closures Top-Line Wins
Beauty core sales grew 10% in Q4 (includes tooling contribution); key product wins include Unilever (Nexxus hair care pump), Chanel (HYDRA BEAUTY Micro Serum custom pump) and Chinese brand launches. Closures saw product volume growth with core sales up 1% (beverage up 7%, food down 1%) and customer wins including McCormick and Coca-Cola in South Africa.
Record Tooling Sales and Customer Retention
Q4 marked a record quarter for tooling sales and FY2025 was the second-highest tooling year in over a decade—positive for customer retention and future revenue opportunities despite tooling's lower margins.
Strong Capital Returns and Buyback Authorization
Returned $486 million to shareholders in 2025 (share repurchases and dividends); repurchased $175 million in Q4 and $365 million total in 2025. Board authorized up to $600 million in new buybacks, replacing prior authorizations.
Healthy Balance Sheet and Cash Generation
Ended year with $410 million cash and short-term investments, net debt ~ $1.1 billion and leverage ratio 1.38. Free cash flow for FY2025 was $303 million (cash from operations $570 million less capital expenditures net of grants $267 million).
Sustainability and Corporate Recognition
Named to CDP Climate A list (top ~4% of companies) and ranked among America's Most Responsible Companies by Newsweek (56 of 600), highlighting leadership in climate action and transparency.
Ongoing Productivity Programs
Management cited sustained structural productivity improvements 'well north of $100 million' (annualized reductions realized from prior initiatives) and ongoing cost-savings efforts, footprint rationalization, automation and centralization to improve scalability and margins.
Negative Updates
Material Margin Compression in Q4
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin declined by ~320 basis points to 19.8% in Q4; consolidated gross margins declined roughly 371 basis points year-over-year, driven by product mix and production impacts in Beauty and Closures and the high-margin emergency medicine decline.
Q4 Adjusted EPS Decline
Q4 adjusted earnings per share were $1.25 versus $1.62 in the prior-year quarter at comparable exchange rates, a decline of ~23% year-over-year.
Emergency Medicine Destocking and Revenue Headwind
Emergency medicine sales declined 36% in the quarter; company expects a FY2026 revenue headwind of roughly $65 million (with about ~70% of the impact in H1), pressuring margins because the portfolio is relatively high-margin.
Operational Disruptions in Beauty
Beauty adjusted EBITDA margin declined to 10.2% (down ~220 bps). Issues included lower-margin tooling mix, required environmental upgrades at a metal anodization plant, and a supplier disruption (supplier fire) that forced qualification of a new supplier with higher costs and additional quality testing—expected to abate in H1 2026.
Production and Maintenance Problems in Closures
Closures adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 14.9% (down ~120 bps). The segment experienced equipment maintenance and unscheduled downtime at a North American site, impacting production; management described a backlog of repairs being addressed and expects transitory improvement.
Higher Interest, Depreciation and Tax Rates
Adjusted EPS pressure from higher depreciation & amortization (capex and acquisitions) and higher interest expense due to a higher average debt balance and a $600 million senior notes issuance. Adjusted effective tax rate increased to 19.4% in Q4 (from 13.5% prior-year quarter) and full-year tax rate rose to 21.4% (from 20.5%).
SG&A and One-Time Costs
SG&A increased in absolute dollars due to currency effects, non-ordinary litigation costs and acquisitions, although SG&A as a percent of sales declined 60 basis points to 15.7%.
Tooling Mix Lowers Near-Term Margins
Record tooling sales (Q4) and second-highest tooling year reduced near-term margins because tooling generally carries lower margin despite its strategic benefits for customer retention.
Free Cash Flow Decline vs Prior Year
Free cash flow was $303 million, down $64 million year-over-year primarily due to timing of tax payments (~$44 million), higher pension contributions (~$10 million) and some working capital changes.
Company Guidance
Management reaffirmed its guidance with Q1 adjusted EPS of $1.13–$1.21 (assumes an effective tax rate of 21%–23% and a EUR/USD of $1.18), full‑year 2026 capital expenditures of $260–$280M and depreciation & amortization of $320–$330M, and a ~ $65M 2026 revenue headwind from emergency medicine (roughly 70% in H1 vs. 30% in H2) that will weigh on margins early in the year but is expected to moderate in H2; the company is offsetting pressure with structural productivity savings “well north of $100M,” expects full‑year performance to be within long‑term Pharma targets (core sales 7%–11% and adjusted margins 32%–36%), has a refreshed $600M share‑repurchase authorization, and noted higher interest costs tied to the stronger rate environment and its recently issued $600M 4.75% senior notes due March 2031.

AptarGroup Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall quality: steady multi-year revenue growth and improved profitability (net margin ~10% in 2024–2025; EBITDA margin ~19–22%). Balance sheet leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.44; leverage ratio 1.38) with healthy ROE in recent years. Main offsets are modest recent growth (~3% in 2025) and some free-cash-flow volatility with a 2025 pullback.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Revenue has grown steadily from 2020 to 2025 (about $2.93B to $3.78B), with low-to-mid single-digit growth in the last two years. Profitability improved versus 2022–2023, with net margin around 10% in 2024–2025 and EBITDA margin holding near ~19–22%, supporting solid earnings quality for the industry. The main weakness is that growth is not consistently strong (2025 growth ~3%), and some 2025 margin fields appear unavailable in the data, limiting year-to-year margin comparability.
Balance Sheet
77
Positive
Leverage looks manageable based on 2024 debt relative to equity (debt-to-equity ~0.44) and rising equity over time, indicating improving balance-sheet capacity. Returns to shareholders are healthy in 2023–2024 (return on equity in the low-to-mid teens), consistent with a profitable, established operator. A key risk is that total debt remains sizable (roughly $1.1B–$1.2B across the period), and some 2025 leverage/return fields are unavailable, which reduces visibility into the most recent balance-sheet trajectory.
Cash Flow
73
Positive
Operating cash flow is consistently positive and robust (roughly $480M–$640M in 2022–2024 and ~$570M in 2025), and free cash flow has generally been meaningfully positive. However, free cash flow has been volatile: strong gains in 2022–2024 followed by a modest decline in 2025 (free cash flow down slightly year over year), and several 2025 cash conversion metrics are unavailable, limiting assessment of how well cash generation tracked earnings most recently.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.78B3.58B3.49B3.32B3.23B
Gross Profit1.12B1.36B1.26B1.16B1.16B
EBITDA831.48M777.45M663.84M609.41M586.79M
Net Income392.79M374.54M284.49M239.29M244.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.25B4.43B4.45B4.20B4.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments409.53M226.18M223.64M141.73M123.67M
Total Debt1.53B1.08B1.18B1.22B1.24B
Total Liabilities2.54B1.95B2.13B2.14B2.16B
Stockholders Equity2.67B2.47B2.31B2.05B1.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow299.58M349.22M256.84M163.00M55.51M
Operating Cash Flow570.00M643.41M575.24M478.62M363.44M
Investing Cash Flow-330.64M-396.72M-324.46M-295.64M-457.24M
Financing Cash Flow-78.26M-225.34M-171.55M-162.10M-81.52M

AptarGroup Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price121.06
Price Trends
50DMA
131.67
Negative
100DMA
126.00
Negative
200DMA
134.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.90
Positive
RSI
26.69
Positive
STOCH
15.84
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 121.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 134.38, below the 50-day MA of 131.67, and below the 200-day MA of 134.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.69 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.84 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ATR.

AptarGroup Risk Analysis

AptarGroup disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AptarGroup reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

AptarGroup Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$17.07B40.2916.68%0.32%4.90%-0.26%
69
Neutral
$13.65B30.604.83%5.06%-4.47%
65
Neutral
$7.79B20.4114.67%1.50%2.50%25.05%
63
Neutral
$3.99B24.799.72%0.29%9.19%23.06%
60
Neutral
$6.41B188.462.37%11.74%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$8.31B-10.24-13.78%2.75%-21.20%-325.40%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATR
AptarGroup
121.06
-24.97
-17.10%
BAX
Baxter International
16.15
-17.00
-51.28%
COO
Cooper Co
69.96
-14.11
-16.78%
RGEN
Repligen
113.88
-31.27
-21.54%
WST
West Pharmaceutical Services
237.03
5.95
2.57%
STVN
Stevanato Group
14.60
-7.69
-34.49%

AptarGroup Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
AptarGroup Announces CEO Succession and Leadership Transition Plan
Positive
Mar 17, 2026

On March 16, 2026, AptarGroup announced that President and CEO Stephan Tanda will retire from his executive roles effective Sept. 1, 2026, with Aptar Pharma president Gael Touya appointed as his successor and expected to join the board at that time. Tanda will remain on the board and serve as a strategic adviser through Dec. 31, 2026, under a separate letter agreement that preserves his 2025-level pay and incentive opportunities during the transition period.

Touya’s new employment agreement runs initially through Dec. 31, 2028, with automatic one-year extensions, and provides for a $1.06 million base salary, enhanced annual and long-term incentive opportunities, relocation support, and detailed severance and change-in-control protections. As part of the leadership transition, AptarGroup also granted sizable retention equity awards to Chief Financial Officer Vanessa Kanu and Aptar Closures president Hedi Tlili, underscoring the board’s focus on continuity and stability across the senior management team.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATR) stock is a Hold with a $147.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AptarGroup stock, see the ATR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 18, 2026