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ASGN Incorporated (ASGN)
NYSE:ASGN

ASGN (ASGN) AI Stock Analysis

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ASGN

ASGN

(NYSE:ASGN)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$44.00
▲(7.21% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
Score is led by resilient cash generation and a broadly positive earnings-call outlook (consulting growth, record bookings, strong free cash flow and buybacks), partially offset by deteriorating multi-year revenue/margin trends and a notably weak technical picture with the stock below major moving averages.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow
Consistent, high free cash flow and solid operating cash flow provide durable financial flexibility. This supports repeatable buybacks, M&A funding (Quinox), and deleveraging capacity, enabling investment in higher‑margin consulting and platform builds without relying on equity issuance.
Shift to higher‑margin IT consulting
A structural mix shift toward higher‑value IT consulting and strong commercial bookings improves revenue quality and margin profile. Sustained commercial demand and a >1 book‑to‑bill indicate durable pipeline growth, supporting long‑term margin recovery and scalable consulting revenue.
Quinox acquisition expands offshore digital capacity
Quinox brings scaled offshore engineering, higher EBITDA margins and adjacencies in digital, AI and modernization. That expands delivery leverage, lowers blended delivery costs, and accelerates platform/AI capability adoption—structurally strengthening service offering and margin upside.
Negative Factors
Multi‑year revenue contraction
Three consecutive years of revenue decline signals structural demand or book mix headwinds that limit scale economies. Persistent top‑line pressure reduces leverage on fixed costs, constrains reinvestment capacity, and raises execution risk for margin recovery despite sector repositioning.
Margin compression and falling ROE
Declining margins and ROE reflect deteriorating profitability and weaker returns on shareholder capital. Lower profitability reduces internal funding for growth, increases sensitivity to cyclicality, and makes it harder to achieve target returns even as management pursues higher‑margin consulting.
Staffing and federal demand softness
Significant declines in assignment (staffing) and softer federal awards create structural revenue volatility. Reliance on contract timing and cyclic staffing demand reduces predictability of cash flows and margins, complicating planning and making recovery dependent on durable pickup in these end markets.

ASGN (ASGN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ASGN Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionASGN Incorporated provides information technology services and professional solutions in the technology, digital, and creative fields for commercial and government sectors in the United States. It operates through two segments: Commercial and Federal Government. The Commercial Segment provides consulting, creative digital marketing, and permanent placement services primarily to Fortune 1000 and mid-market clients. This segment also offers workforce mobilization, modern enterprise, and digital innovation IT consulting services; and cloud, data and analytics, and digital transformation solutions. The Federal Government Segment provides mission-critical solutions to the department of defense, intelligence agencies, and civilian agencies. This segment offers cloud, cybersecurity, artificial intelligence, machine learning, application and IT modernization, and science and engineering solutions. The company was formerly known as On Assignment, Inc. and changed its name to ASGN Incorporated in April 2018. ASGN Incorporated was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Glen Allen, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyASGN generates revenue primarily through its staffing and consulting services, which are billed on a time-and-materials basis or through fixed-fee contracts. The company earns fees from placing skilled professionals in temporary, contract, and permanent positions across multiple sectors, with a significant focus on IT and creative talent. Key revenue streams include billable hours worked by consultants and the placement fees for permanent hires. Additionally, ASGN benefits from long-term contracts with government agencies and private sector clients, which provide stable income. Partnerships with technology firms and other service providers further enhance ASGN's capabilities, enabling the company to offer comprehensive solutions and drive additional revenue growth.

ASGN Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a predominantly positive operational and strategic narrative: top‑end revenue, strong consulting growth (19.2% y/y), record commercial bookings, higher-than-expected adjusted EBITDA margin (11%), and robust free cash flow and buybacks. Management also announced a strategic acquisition (Quinox) to accelerate digital engineering and offshore delivery, and emphasized AI, platform partnerships, and a unifying rebrand (Everforth). Offsetting items include a meaningful 12% decline in assignment revenues, modest declines and margin pressure in the federal business (−3.7% revenue, −60 bps gross margin), higher-than-anticipated tax and SG&A items, and an expected temporary increase in leverage to ~2.9x post-acquisition. Overall, the positive growth in higher‑margin consulting, strong cash generation, record bookings, and disciplined capital allocation outweigh the near‑term headwinds and timing issues in staffing and government awards.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue at Top End of Guidance
Q4 revenues of $980.1 million were at the top end of guidance and relatively consistent with the prior year period, demonstrating stable top-line execution.
Shift Toward Higher‑Margin IT Consulting
IT consulting comprised 63% of Q4 revenue versus 59% a year ago, reflecting successful transition to higher-value technology and digital engineering solutions.
Strong Commercial Consulting Growth and Bookings
Commercial consulting revenue was $339.4 million, up 19.2% year-over-year; commercial consulting bookings were a record $444.4 million in the quarter with a commercial book-to-bill of 1.3x (TTM 1.2x).
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Above Expectations
Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $107.9 million and adjusted EBITDA margin was 11%, exceeding prior guidance and driven by a greater mix of commercial revenue.
Very Strong Free Cash Flow and Cash Deployment
Q4 free cash flow was $93.7 million (conversion ~87% of adjusted EBITDA), full-year free cash flow was $288.1 million (68.2% of adjusted EBITDA). The company repurchased $64.2 million of shares in the quarter and $170.1 million for the year, with ~$972 million remaining on a $1 billion authorization.
Strategic Quinox Acquisition to Expand Digital Engineering and Offshore Delivery
Signed definitive agreement to acquire Quinox for $290 million in cash; Quinox had ~ $100 million revenue in 2025 and is expected to grow low-to-mid teens in 2026, with adjusted EBITDA margin in the low-20% range and gross margins in the low‑40% area—adds offshore delivery centers in India and broadened solution capabilities.
Robust Federal Backlog and AI/GTM Momentum
Federal contract backlog ~ $3.0 billion (coverage ratio 2.5x TTM revenue). Company launched an 'AI Factory' and highlighted partnerships with Elastic, ServiceNow, Workday, Snowflake and others to capture AI- and platform-driven demand.
Capital Structure and Liquidity
At quarter end, cash and cash equivalents were $161.2 million and ~$455 million was available on the $500 million revolver, providing liquidity to fund Quinox and other initiatives.
Negative Updates
Assignment (Staffing) Revenue Decline
Assignment revenue totaled $359.2 million, a decline of 12% year-over-year, reflecting continued softness in parts of the commercial staffing business sensitive to macro conditions.
Federal Revenue and Margin Pressure
Federal revenues were $281.5 million, down 3.7% year-over-year. Federal gross margin was 19.9%, down 60 basis points versus prior year primarily due to the loss of higher-margin Doge contracts (impact ~ $15 million, <2% of total revenue), which will anniversary in March 2026.
Higher-than-Expected Tax Rate and SG&A
Q4 effective tax rate was 36.4% versus the modeled 28%, driven by discrete one-time items; SG&A rose to $210.5 million from $197.9 million in 2024 and included $10.7 million of acquisition integration and strategic planning costs not contemplated in prior guidance.
Guidance and Margin Pressure for Upcoming Period
Near-term guidance implies pressure versus Q4: 2026 (first-quarter) revenue guidance of $960M-$980M and adjusted EBITDA $93.5M-$98.5M with adjusted EBITDA margin of 9.7%-10.1% (below the Q4 11% margin), and Q1 typically sees ~100 basis point payroll tax reset headwind.
Increased Net Leverage Post-Acquisition
Net leverage was 2.4x at quarter end and is expected to rise to ~2.9x after funding the Quinox acquisition, above the 2.5x target though management expects to delever over time.
Government Shutdown and Federal Award Timing
A lengthy government shutdown delayed award activity in Q4, contributing to federal book-to-bill weakness (new federal awards $144.2 million; federal book-to-bill 0.9x TTM) and timing uncertainty for some federal revenue recognition.
Company Guidance
ASGN guided Q1 2026 revenue of $960–$980 million (assuming 62 billable days), net income of $25.8–$29.4 million, adjusted EBITDA of $93.5–$98.5 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 9.7%–10.1%, noting Q1 typically carries an ≈100‑basis‑point sequential EBITDA‑margin headwind from the annual payroll tax reset and that the quarter’s guidance excludes Quinox and any acquisition/strategic planning expenses; management expects Quinox to deliver low‑to‑mid‑teens revenue growth on ~ $100 million of 2025 revenue (with ~9 months of Quinox included in full‑year results after close) and Quinox adjusted EBITDA margin in the low‑20% range, and projects post‑close net leverage of about 2.9x (targeting ~2.5x over time).

ASGN Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: multi-year revenue contraction and weaker margins/ROE weigh on the income statement, but leverage appears manageable and cash generation/free cash flow remain a relative strength.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Revenue has contracted for three straight years (2023–2025), including a -12.3% decline in 2025, pointing to a tougher demand/backdrop. Profitability also weakened: gross margin slipped from ~29–30% (2022–2024) to ~27% (2025), and net margin fell to ~2.9% in 2025 from ~4.3% in 2024 and ~4.9% in 2023. The business remains profitable with positive operating and EBITDA margins, but the trajectory is clearly down versus prior years.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage appears moderate and generally stable: total debt is roughly $1.10–$1.17B while equity is ~$1.78–$1.90B in recent years, implying manageable balance-sheet risk. However, returns on shareholder capital have trended lower (ROE down to ~6.3% in 2025 from ~9.9% in 2024 and ~11.6% in 2023), consistent with the earnings decline. Also note one reported debt-to-equity value is 0.0 in 2025, which looks inconsistent with the stated debt and equity and should be treated cautiously.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength: operating cash flow was solid in 2025 (~$328M) and free cash flow remained high (~$288M). Despite lower earnings, free cash flow stayed close to reported profits (free cash flow to net income ~0.88 in 2025 and ~0.91 in 2023–2024), suggesting decent cash conversion. Volatility is the key downside—free cash flow growth swung from -12.5% (2024) to +169% (2025)—but the overall level of cash flow remains supportive.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.98B4.10B4.45B4.58B4.01B
Gross Profit1.08B1.18B1.28B1.37B1.14B
EBITDA343.80M400.70M464.40M500.90M440.50M
Net Income113.50M175.20M219.30M268.10M409.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.69B3.43B3.54B3.59B3.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments102.30M205.20M175.90M70.30M529.60M
Total Debt1.17B1.10B1.11B1.12B1.10B
Total Liabilities1.88B1.65B1.65B1.68B1.64B
Stockholders Equity1.80B1.78B1.89B1.90B1.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow288.10M364.70M417.00M270.30M159.00M
Operating Cash Flow327.90M400.00M456.90M307.80M193.70M
Investing Cash Flow-343.90M-35.30M-40.50M-510.00M246.50M
Financing Cash Flow-29.40M-333.20M-310.90M-256.50M-184.40M

ASGN Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price41.04
Price Trends
50DMA
48.31
Negative
100DMA
46.82
Negative
200DMA
49.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.23
Positive
RSI
35.80
Neutral
STOCH
9.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASGN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 41.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.78, below the 50-day MA of 48.31, and below the 200-day MA of 49.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ASGN.

ASGN Risk Analysis

ASGN disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ASGN reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ASGN Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$1.79B24.918.18%0.80%6.98%-4.56%
67
Neutral
$1.86B19.694.91%5.56%-42.38%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$1.73B15.766.34%-4.86%-25.15%
59
Neutral
$2.02B5.1813.79%-4.13%2143.48%
53
Neutral
$915.03M12.1515.40%19.88%51.03%
47
Neutral
$1.42B-3.64-46.77%1.84%-27.74%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASGN
ASGN
43.36
-24.63
-36.23%
FORTY
Formula Systems
115.09
20.60
21.80%
GLOB
Globant SA
46.87
-101.25
-68.36%
DXC
DXC Technology
12.64
-5.65
-30.89%
AI
C3ai
10.31
-13.57
-56.83%
TASK
TaskUs
10.63
-3.82
-26.44%

ASGN Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
ASGN to Acquire Quinnox in Strategic Digital Expansion
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 20, 2026, ASGN announced a definitive agreement to acquire Quinnox Inc., a Chicago-founded digital solutions provider with operations in India and the UK, for $290 million in cash, with closing expected in March 2026 subject to customary antitrust approvals. The deal adds a scaled offshore digital engineering platform, strengthens ASGN’s AI, data, and application modernization capabilities, and broadens its reach across complementary industries including financial services, energy, retail, transportation, and manufacturing, with Quinnox contributing roughly $100 million in 2025 revenue, low-to-mid teens expected revenue growth in 2026, and Adjusted EBITDA margins in the low 20% range, and is projected to be accretive to ASGN’s adjusted earnings per share in the first full year after closing. ASGN also updated its outlook for the fourth quarter of 2025, expecting revenue and Adjusted EBITDA to land at the high end of prior guidance, highlighted robust free cash flow conversion above its 60–65% target, and underscored a balanced capital allocation strategy that combines strategic M&A like the Quinnox acquisition with an aggressive $1 billion share repurchase program, of which $972 million remained after buying back 1.4 million shares in the quarter.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASGN) stock is a Hold with a $50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASGN stock, see the ASGN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026