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Exlservice Holdings
(NASDAQ:EXLS)
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Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(40.95% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/19/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial quality (profitability and ROE) and supportive technical trend indicators. Raised guidance and strong Data & AI-led momentum from the latest earnings call add confidence, while the overall score is tempered by TTM deceleration, operating-margin compression, softer recent cash-flow momentum, and a moderate valuation with no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Data and AI-led growth
Rapid growth in Data and AI-led services, combined with a rising revenue mix, strengthens EXL’s positioning in higher-value transformation work and can support durable client expansion, differentiation and long-term demand.
Negative Factors
Operating-margin compression
Lower operating leverage and increased sales, support and AI-related investment could constrain earnings scalability. If spending rises faster than revenue or automation benefits, margin recovery may take longer and weaken profit growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Data and AI-led growth
Rapid growth in Data and AI-led services, combined with a rising revenue mix, strengthens EXL’s positioning in higher-value transformation work and can support durable client expansion, differentiation and long-term demand.
Read all positive factors
Exlservice Holdings (EXLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$5.69B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)2.61M
Price to Earnings (P/E)23.6
Beta (1Y)0.70
Revenue Growth13.63%
EPS Growth9.52%
CountryUS
Employees65,000
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustryInformation Technology Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.59
Shares Outstanding151,612,500
10 Day Avg. Volume2,023,179
30 Day Avg. Volume2,608,555
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.98
Price to Book (P/B)7.49
Price to Sales (P/S)3.27
P/FCF Ratio22.92
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$44.14Price Target Upside59.53% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering8
EPS Forecast (FY)2.24
Revenue Forecast (FY)$2.41B
Exlservice Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
ExlService Holdings, Inc. functions as a global provider of data analytics, digital operational solutions, and comprehensive services, operating across the United States and internationally. The company organizes its operations into distinct segme...
How the Company Makes Money
EXL makes money primarily by providing outsourced operations and analytics-related services to enterprise clients under service contracts, generating revenue as it delivers ongoing work over the contract term. Its revenue is largely services-based...
Exlservice Holdings Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasizes strong top-line and EPS growth, accelerating data-and-AI-led revenue (30% y/y), broad-based segment performance, strategic moves (iMerit acquisition) and strengthened full-year guidance. Offsetting items include margin pressure from increased investments, quarterly gross margin variability, integration risk from the acquisition, and macro/ execution uncertainties that led management to adopt a prudent H2 posture. On balance the positives (revenue/earnings upside, AI differentiation, raised guidance) materially outweigh the near-term lowlights tied to investments and integration risk.Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Quarterly Results
Q2 revenue of $594.8M–$595M, up ~15.6%-16% year-over-year (15.9% constant currency) and sequential constant-currency growth of 4.4%.
Negative Updates
Margin Pressure and Planned Incremental Investment
SG&A increased by ~170 basis points to 20.9% of revenue due to higher front-end sales/support investments; management expects increased investments in H2 and lower adjusted operating margin in H2 versus H1.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Revenue Growth and Quarterly Results
Q2 revenue of $594.8M–$595M, up ~15.6%-16% year-over-year (15.9% constant currency) and sequential constant-currency growth of 4.4%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
EXL raised full‑year 2026 guidance to revenue of $2.39B–$2.415B (14%–16% reported growth; 13%–14% organic constant‑currency), which is ~$88M higher at the midpoint than prior guidance and includes $28M–$32M of revenue from the iMerit acquisition for the remaining five months; adjusted diluted EPS was raised to $2.25–$2.29 (~16%–18% y/y, up from $2.18–$2.23) and includes a marginal $0.01 dilutive impact from iMerit. Management expects H2 adjusted operating margin to be lower than H1 (H1 AOPM 20.1%; Q2 AOPM 19.7%) while full‑year margin should be comparable to 2025; other full‑year assumptions include a ~$3M FX gain, net interest expense of $16M–$18M, an effective tax rate of 21%–22%, and capital expenditures of $58M–$62M.Exlservice Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.24B | 2.09B | 1.84B | 1.63B | 1.41B | 1.12B |
| Gross Profit | 861.62M | 801.08M | 691.01M | 607.77M | 515.45M | 431.36M |
| EBITDA | 439.28M | 391.75M | 357.59M | 321.59M | 276.24M | 229.58M |
| Net Income | 250.00M | 251.02M | 198.30M | 184.56M | 142.97M | 114.76M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.75B | 1.70B | 1.62B | 1.44B | 1.35B | 1.28B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 283.82M | 328.37M | 350.55M | 294.90M | 302.59M | 320.05M |
| Total Debt | 488.02M | 403.62M | 366.61M | 271.76M | 313.65M | 347.38M |
| Total Liabilities | 881.64M | 789.53M | 688.54M | 552.53M | 587.94M | 589.75M |
| Stockholders Equity | 866.24M | 912.71M | 929.86M | 889.44M | 758.18M | 693.16M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 275.04M | 298.12M | 222.26M | 158.40M | 121.31M | 147.14M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 327.71M | 350.72M | 268.52M | 211.20M | 166.14M | 184.39M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -19.16M | -49.26M | -119.10M | -12.00M | -96.55M | -114.27M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -328.97M | -312.76M | -119.10M | -181.45M | -81.72M | -146.88M |
Exlservice Holdings Technical Analysis
Positive
27.67
Price Trends
30.17
Positive
30.16
Positive
33.59
Positive
Market Momentum
1.90
Negative
71.96
Negative
84.59
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.57, below the 50-day MA of 30.17, and below the 200-day MA of 33.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.96 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.59 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXLS.
Exlservice Holdings Risk Analysis
Exlservice Holdings disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Exlservice Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Exlservice Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $6.24B | 10.92 | 22.91% | 2.29% | 6.89% | 11.22% | |
76 Outperform | $5.69B | 23.60 | 28.49% | ― | 13.63% | 9.52% | |
75 Outperform | $14.31B | 26.66 | 12.68% | ― | 10.89% | 7.95% | |
67 Neutral | $5.69B | 14.89 | 11.19% | ― | 10.76% | 4.93% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
40 Underperform | $1.55B | -1.19 | -41.80% | 6.47% | 3.89% | -681.89% |
* Technology Sector Average
EXLS
Exlservice Holdings
37.53
-6.33
-14.43%
CACI
Caci International
647.39
162.58
33.53%
EPAM
Epam Systems
110.34
-62.17
-36.04%
G
Genpact
37.14
-7.48
-16.77%
CNXC
Concentrix
25.40
-23.49
-48.04%
Exlservice Holdings Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
ExlService Holdings Expands Credit Capacity With New Facility
Positive
Aug 18, 2026
On Aug. 18, 2026, ExlService Holdings, Inc. closed a new senior secured credit agreement led by PNC Bank that provides up to $1 billion in borrowing capacity, comprising a $600 million revolving credit facility and a $400 million term loan maturin...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Exlservice appoints Bina Mehta to strengthen board
Positive
Jul 21, 2026
EXL has strengthened its board with the appointment of Bina Mehta, former Chair of KPMG UK, as an independent director effective July 16, 2026, joining the audit and compensation and talent management committees. Mehta’s extensive global exp...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
ExlService’s Clairvoyant AI to Acquire iMerit Inc.
Positive
Jun 24, 2026
On June 24, 2026, ExlService Holdings, Inc. announced a definitive agreement for its subsidiary Clairvoyant AI, Inc. to acquire iMerit Inc., a specialist in AI model training, evaluation and reinforcement learning, for up to $310 million in cash c...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
ExlService Shareholders Back Board, Pay and Auditor Choices
Positive
Jun 16, 2026
At its June 16, 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, ExlService Holdings, Inc. saw shareholders elect all seven nominated directors to one-year terms ending at the 2027 annual meeting, indicating broad support for the current board slate and gover...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.