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Arrow Financial Corporation (AROW)
NASDAQ:AROW
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Arrow Financial (AROW) AI Stock Analysis

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AROW

Arrow Financial

(NASDAQ:AROW)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(31.19% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (improving profitability/cash generation and conservative leverage) and favorable valuation (low P/E with a solid dividend yield). Technical signals are mixed near-term, and while corporate events are positive (deal-driven expansion and strong credit metrics), they add execution/regulatory risk that modestly tempers the outlook.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Arrow’s leverage has materially declined (D/E ~0.07) while equity rose to roughly $432M. A stronger capital base increases resilience to credit cycles, supports lending capacity and M&A, and reduces refinancing and liquidity strain—providing durable stability over several quarters.
Negative Factors
Earnings and margin volatility
Arrow’s reported margins and earnings have shown notable cyclicality versus 2021–2022 peaks. Persistent volatility complicates forecasting and capital allocation, can compress return on equity in down cycles, and reduces predictability of long-term dividend and growth capacity over the coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Arrow’s leverage has materially declined (D/E ~0.07) while equity rose to roughly $432M. A stronger capital base increases resilience to credit cycles, supports lending capacity and M&A, and reduces refinancing and liquidity strain—providing durable stability over several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Arrow Financial (AROW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arrow Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Arrow Financial Corporation, a bank holding company, provides commercial and consumer banking, and financial products and services. The company's deposit products include demand deposits, interest-bearing checking accounts, savings deposits, time ...
How the Company Makes Money
Arrow Financial primarily earns money through (1) net interest income and (2) noninterest (fee) income. Net interest income is generated by taking in deposits and other funding (for which the company pays interest and incurs funding costs) and inv...

Arrow Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid: profitability and cash generation improved materially into 2025 and TTM, and leverage is conservative with rising equity. The main offset is historical earnings/margin volatility versus stronger 2021–2022 levels and some variability/odd signals in cash-flow coverage metrics.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue246.80M242.58M223.07M191.68M160.55M147.92M
Gross Profit168.35M158.32M134.63M130.57M144.44M142.45M
EBITDA67.53M55.39M42.72M44.24M70.46M72.23M
Net Income51.13M43.95M29.71M30.07M48.80M49.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.52B4.45B4.31B4.17B3.97B4.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.10M29.13M617.66M640.30M638.15M1.02B
Total Debt29.17M29.19M33.60M71.57M106.92M70.17M
Total Liabilities4.08B4.01B3.91B3.79B3.62B3.66B
Stockholders Equity440.14M431.85M400.90M379.77M353.54M371.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow41.34M36.19M28.87M13.50M45.46M61.07M
Operating Cash Flow46.45M41.28M34.47M20.58M59.71M68.21M
Investing Cash Flow-81.64M-61.45M-88.95M-82.65M-393.06M-274.60M
Financing Cash Flow19.35M79.81M66.49M139.95M-59.69M283.10M

Arrow Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.49
Price Trends
50DMA
35.08
Positive
100DMA
34.07
Positive
200DMA
31.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.26
Positive
RSI
58.49
Neutral
STOCH
71.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AROW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.27, below the 50-day MA of 35.08, and below the 200-day MA of 31.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AROW.

Arrow Financial Risk Analysis

Arrow Financial disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arrow Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arrow Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$556.05M9.0412.38%2.78%38.10%68.10%
74
Outperform
$608.60M10.2012.04%3.59%8.85%82.76%
70
Outperform
$521.98M7.0710.67%17.01%61.90%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$537.73M22.374.89%5.16%17.82%
63
Neutral
$591.80M11.370.68%4.38%6.67%-84.79%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AROW
Arrow Financial
36.82
12.13
49.11%
ACNB
ACNB
54.45
13.74
33.75%
FFIC
Flushing Financial
15.87
4.82
43.57%
NFBK
Northfield Bancorp
14.17
3.24
29.66%
BWB
Bridgewater Bancshares
18.72
4.02
27.35%

Arrow Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Arrow Financial Posts Strong Q1 Results Amid Adirondack Deal
Positive
Apr 30, 2026
Arrow Financial Corporation reported first-quarter 2026 net income of $13.5 million, or $0.82 per diluted share, compared with $14.0 million and $0.85 per share in the fourth quarter of 2025, with results pressured by about $790,000 in merger expe...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Arrow Financial to Acquire Adirondack Bancorp in Merger
Positive
Feb 26, 2026
Arrow Financial Corporation said on February 25, 2026, that it signed an agreement to acquire Adirondack Bancorp in a two-step merger, followed by the combination of Adirondack Bank into Arrow Bank National Association. Adirondack shareholders are...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026