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Arrow Financial Corporation (AROW)
NASDAQ:AROW

Arrow Financial (AROW) AI Stock Analysis

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AROW

Arrow Financial

(NASDAQ:AROW)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(18.07% Upside)
Arrow Financial's strong financial performance and positive corporate events are the most significant factors driving the score. The technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, while the valuation is fair with an attractive dividend yield. The absence of specific earnings call data does not detract from the overall positive assessment.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a stable demand for Arrow Financial's services, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing Arrow Financial to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns.
Leadership Change
The addition of a tech-savvy director could drive innovation and digital transformation, strengthening Arrow Financial's competitive position.
Negative Factors
Profit Margin Pressure
Decreasing gross profit margins suggest rising costs or pricing pressures, which could impact long-term profitability if not managed effectively.
Operational Costs
Significant operational costs from mergers and system upgrades may strain short-term financials, requiring efficient cost management to maintain margins.
Shareholder Litigation
Ongoing legal issues, even if not financially material, can distract management and affect the company's reputation, impacting long-term strategic focus.

Arrow Financial (AROW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arrow Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArrow Financial Corporation (AROW) is a diversified financial services company that operates primarily in the banking and insurance sectors. It offers a range of banking products including loans, savings accounts, and mortgages through its subsidiaries. Additionally, Arrow Financial provides various insurance products, including life, health, and property insurance, catering to both individual and business clients. The company is committed to delivering tailored financial solutions and fostering strong relationships with its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyArrow Financial generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from interest income on loans and mortgages, as well as fees associated with its banking services. The company earns significant income from its insurance operations through premiums collected from policyholders. Additionally, it may derive revenue from investment income generated by managing assets and investing in securities. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and service providers further enhance its offerings and contribute to its earnings, allowing for cross-selling opportunities and expanded market reach.

Arrow Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arrow Financial demonstrates a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth and efficient cost management. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, although profitability metrics have shown slight declines. Cash flow generation remains solid, but there are areas for improvement in cash conversion efficiency. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the regional banking sector, with a stable outlook.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Arrow Financial has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.48%. The gross profit margin has remained strong at around 61%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased from historical highs, currently at 13.28% TTM, reflecting some pressure on profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also slightly declined, suggesting potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a solid balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08 TTM, indicating prudent financial leverage. Return on equity is stable at 7.61% TTM, although it has decreased from previous years, suggesting a slight decline in profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio remains healthy, showcasing a strong capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Arrow Financial's cash flow position is stable, with a positive free cash flow growth rate of 2.67% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 82.61% TTM, reflecting effective cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue234.83M223.07M191.68M160.55M147.92M144.55M
Gross Profit146.82M134.63M130.57M144.44M142.45M122.54M
EBITDA49.33M42.72M44.24M70.46M72.23M58.73M
Net Income34.41M29.71M30.07M48.80M49.86M40.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.59B4.31B4.17B3.97B4.03B3.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments921.34M617.66M640.30M638.15M1.02B746.28M
Total Debt29.19M33.60M71.57M106.92M70.17M87.70M
Total Liabilities4.17B3.91B3.79B3.62B3.66B3.35B
Stockholders Equity417.69M400.90M379.77M353.54M371.19M334.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow35.47M28.87M13.50M45.46M61.07M37.18M
Operating Cash Flow41.00M34.47M20.58M59.71M68.21M42.31M
Investing Cash Flow-128.16M-88.95M-82.65M-393.06M-274.60M-187.32M
Financing Cash Flow144.51M66.49M139.95M-59.69M283.10M455.77M

Arrow Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.49
Price Trends
50DMA
29.59
Positive
100DMA
28.84
Positive
200DMA
27.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.76
Positive
RSI
53.23
Neutral
STOCH
52.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AROW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.41, above the 50-day MA of 29.59, and above the 200-day MA of 27.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AROW.

Arrow Financial Risk Analysis

Arrow Financial disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arrow Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arrow Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$518.18M15.288.49%3.59%6.86%6.11%
78
Outperform
$524.54M15.179.18%2.73%41.95%-4.72%
74
Outperform
$500.11M13.818.63%13.96%25.74%
72
Outperform
$501.31M12.165.56%4.34%6.08%52.64%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
60
Neutral
$582.34M-14.36-5.05%5.16%-11.91%-235.73%
48
Neutral
$511.40M-3.15-16.22%-6.47%-75.82%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AROW
Arrow Financial
31.78
4.12
14.90%
ACNB
ACNB
49.71
10.19
25.78%
FFIC
Flushing Financial
17.06
3.46
25.44%
NFBK
Northfield Bancorp
11.86
0.56
4.96%
FFWM
First Foundation
6.17
0.21
3.52%
BWB
Bridgewater Bancshares
18.16
4.39
31.88%

Arrow Financial Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Arrow Financial Appoints Darrin Jahnel as Director
Neutral
Nov 25, 2025

On November 25, 2025, Arrow Financial Corporation appointed Darrin Jahnel as a director. Jahnel, with over 25 years of experience in technology, is the founder and CEO of Jahnel Group and has been involved in other ventures such as InfoLink and LTI. His appointment does not involve joining any board committees, and there are no related party transactions requiring disclosure.

Legal Proceedings
Arrow Financial Announces Preliminary Settlement Approval
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

Arrow Financial Corporation, a company listed on Nasdaq under the symbol AROW, announced on November 5, 2025, the preliminary approval of a settlement regarding a Shareholder Derivative Complaint filed by Stephen Bull on December 12, 2023. The United States District Court Northern District of New York approved the settlement preliminarily on October 22, 2025, with a final approval hearing set for January 12, 2026. The settlement is not expected to have any material financial impact on Arrow’s operations or financial position.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Arrow Financial Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Arrow Financial Corporation reported a net income of $12.8 million for the third quarter of 2025, with earnings per share of $0.77, marking an increase from the previous quarter. The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.29 per share, payable on November 24, 2025. The quarter saw record net interest income and improvements in net interest margin and return on average assets. The company completed a system conversion and operational merger of its banking subsidiaries in July 2025, incurring non-core unification costs of $600 thousand. With recent Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, Arrow is well-positioned for continued strong performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025