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Arrow Financial (AROW)
NASDAQ:AROW

Arrow Financial (AROW) AI Stock Analysis

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Arrow Financial

(NASDAQ:AROW)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(14.53%Upside)
Arrow Financial's overall stock score of 76 reflects its solid financial performance and positive corporate events. While technical analysis presents a stable outlook, the stock's valuation is attractive due to its reasonable P/E ratio and high dividend yield. The recent corporate events, including strong earnings and strategic initiatives, significantly bolster the score.

Arrow Financial (AROW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arrow Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArrow Financial Corporation (AROW) is a multi-bank holding company headquartered in Glens Falls, New York. It operates in the financial services sector, primarily through its two banking subsidiaries, Glens Falls National Bank and Trust Company and Saratoga National Bank and Trust Company. The company offers a range of financial products and services, including commercial and consumer banking, wealth management, and trust services, catering to individual, business, and municipal clients in northeastern New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyArrow Financial Corporation generates revenue primarily through the interest income from its loan portfolio and investments. The company's key revenue streams include interest earned on commercial and consumer loans, residential mortgages, and investment securities. Additionally, it earns non-interest income from service charges on deposit accounts, wealth management and trust services, and other banking-related fees. Arrow Financial benefits from its strategic geographical presence and community banking model, which fosters strong customer relationships and contributes to a stable deposit base. The company's performance is also influenced by its prudent risk management practices and its ability to adapt to changing market conditions.

Arrow Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arrow Financial demonstrates a strong financial foundation with consistent revenue growth and prudent debt management. The income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow indicate stable operations, though there are minor declines in some profitability ratios and cash flow growth fluctuations.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Arrow Financial shows a generally positive income statement performance. The company has maintained a consistent gross profit margin, with slight improvements in total revenue over recent years. The net profit margin is healthy, although it slightly decreased in the TTM period. Revenue growth is evident with a steady upward trajectory, indicating robust market presence and operational efficiency. However, a notable decline in EBIT margin from its 2022 levels suggests increased operational costs or other pressures impacting profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Arrow Financial reflects a stable financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating prudent leverage management and a solid equity base. The equity ratio remains strong, showing a healthy proportion of equity financing relative to total assets. Return on equity is positive, though it has seen a slight decline in the TTM period, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns on shareholder investments.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Arrow Financial's cash flow analysis reveals a stable operating cash flow with positive free cash flow, demonstrating effective cash management. However, the free cash flow growth rate shows fluctuations, indicating potential volatility in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains robust, underscoring efficient conversion of earnings into cash. Despite these strengths, the lower free cash flow to net income ratio in the latest period highlights potential challenges in maintaining cash reserves.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
226.74M223.07M162.56M160.55M147.92M144.55M
Gross Profit
135.11M134.63M130.57M144.44M142.45M122.54M
EBIT
40.07M37.36M37.52M62.91M64.40M51.86M
EBITDA
40.98M42.72M44.24M70.46M72.23M58.73M
Net Income Common Stockholders
28.36M29.71M30.07M48.80M49.86M40.83M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
747.19M617.66M640.30M638.15M1.02B746.28M
Total Assets
4.45B4.31B4.17B3.97B4.03B3.69B
Total Debt
33.58M33.60M71.57M106.92M70.17M87.70M
Net Debt
-267.87M-120.94M-70.97M42.26M-387.53M-293.29M
Total Liabilities
4.04B3.91B3.79B3.62B3.66B3.35B
Stockholders Equity
404.41M400.90M379.77M353.54M371.19M334.39M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
28.47M28.87M13.50M45.46M61.07M37.18M
Operating Cash Flow
34.19M34.47M20.58M59.71M68.21M42.31M
Investing Cash Flow
-46.17M-88.95M-82.65M-393.06M-274.60M-187.32M
Financing Cash Flow
30.96M66.49M139.95M-59.69M283.10M455.77M

Arrow Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price25.32
Price Trends
50DMA
25.22
Positive
100DMA
25.76
Negative
200DMA
27.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
44.89
Neutral
STOCH
63.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AROW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.93, above the 50-day MA of 25.22, and below the 200-day MA of 27.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AROW.

Arrow Financial Risk Analysis

Arrow Financial disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arrow Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arrow Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$422.22M14.927.25%4.42%11.46%-1.07%
74
Outperform
$430.57M14.147.44%3.31%22.17%-15.57%
74
Outperform
$487.93M9.859.27%3.28%15.26%160.27%
71
Outperform
$531.41M17.336.27%3.82%40.06%145.33%
70
Outperform
$466.75M32.424.21%60.34%-62.91%
66
Neutral
$483.48M18.004.44%3.21%5.42%67.14%
64
Neutral
$12.77B9.717.85%78.05%12.07%-7.97%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AROW
Arrow Financial
25.32
1.56
6.57%
ACNB
ACNB
41.11
10.66
35.01%
SHBI
Shore Bancshares
14.62
4.31
41.80%
HONE
HarborOne Bancorp
11.22
1.16
11.53%
BCAL
Southern California Bancorp
14.40
0.88
6.51%
ALRS
Alerus Financial
20.95
3.01
16.78%

Arrow Financial Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Arrow Financial Holds 2025 Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

Arrow Financial Corporation held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on June 4, 2025, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. Shareholders elected new directors for various terms, approved the 2024 executive compensation, and ratified Crowe LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, with a quorum representing 77.06% of outstanding shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (AROW) stock is a Hold with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arrow Financial stock, see the AROW Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Arrow Financial Reports Strong Q1 2025 Performance
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

Arrow Financial Corporation held its annual meeting on June 4, 2025, where it presented its financial performance and strategic initiatives to shareholders. The company reported solid financial results for 2024, including loan growth and an expanded net interest margin, despite challenges such as unification expenses and repositioning of the securities portfolio. In the first quarter of 2025, Arrow Financial achieved record net interest income and improved return on average assets, while continuing to focus on growth through strategic share repurchases and strengthening its management team.

The most recent analyst rating on (AROW) stock is a Hold with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arrow Financial stock, see the AROW Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Arrow Financial Reports Strong Q1 2025 Earnings
Positive
May 1, 2025

Arrow Financial Corporation reported a net income of $6.3 million for the first quarter of 2025, an increase from $4.5 million in the previous quarter, with earnings per share rising to $0.38. The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.28 per share and authorized a $5 million increase in its share repurchase program. Despite a $3.75 million reserve related to a commercial real estate loan, Arrow’s core profitability improved, supported by strong margin expansion and loan growth. The company is progressing with its strategic initiatives, including expanding its Corporate Banking Team and finalizing the unification of its banking subsidiaries.

Executive/Board Changes
Arrow Financial Announces Upcoming CCO Retirement
Neutral
Apr 14, 2025

Arrow Financial Corporation announced the retirement of David D. Kaiser, Chief Credit Officer, effective June 30, 2025. Mr. Kaiser, who has been instrumental in building Arrow’s strong credit culture, will have his responsibilities reassigned to experienced executives within the company, ensuring continuity in its credit and lending operations.

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Arrow Financial to Present at 2025 Investor Day
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Arrow Financial Corporation is set to participate in an Investor Day on March 20, 2025, in Chicago, Illinois, where it will present a mid-quarter update for the first quarter of 2025. This update includes select financial information and is intended for meetings with bank stock analysts and investors. The company has shown a solid start to 2025 with continued net interest margin expansion, strong loan origination rates, and a tangible book value of $22.72 per share as of February 28, 2025. Additionally, Arrow has repurchased approximately $3.4 million of stock and resolved a previously disclosed material weakness.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.