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Arrow Financial Corporation (AROW)
NASDAQ:AROW

Arrow Financial (AROW) AI Stock Analysis

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AROW

Arrow Financial

(NASDAQ:AROW)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(18.07% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/07/26
The score is primarily held back by the sharp 2025 cash flow deterioration despite improved profitability and a strong, low-leverage balance sheet. Valuation (low P/E and solid dividend yield) and positive corporate actions (dividend raise and expansion-oriented acquisition announcement) provide support, while technical indicators are mixed and do not add strong momentum.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet and growing tangible equity
A very low debt-to-equity ratio and a sizable, growing tangible equity base give Arrow durable capital resilience. That conservatism supports regulatory cushions, loss-absorbing capacity in downturns, ability to fund organic growth or M&A and underpins dividend policy over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Sharp deterioration in operating and free cash flow
A collapse in operating/free cash flow despite reported earnings raises durable concerns about earnings quality and cash convertibility. Weak cash generation can strain the ability to fund dividends, organic investments or acquisitions without raising external capital, reducing financial flexibility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet and growing tangible equity
A very low debt-to-equity ratio and a sizable, growing tangible equity base give Arrow durable capital resilience. That conservatism supports regulatory cushions, loss-absorbing capacity in downturns, ability to fund organic growth or M&A and underpins dividend policy over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Arrow Financial (AROW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arrow Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Arrow Financial Corporation, a bank holding company, provides commercial and consumer banking, and financial products and services. The company's deposit products include demand deposits, interest-bearing checking accounts, savings deposits, time ...
How the Company Makes Money
Arrow Financial generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from interest income on loans and mortgages, as well as fees associated with its banking services. The company earns significant income from its insurance operations through pre...

Arrow Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and balance sheet are solid (steady revenue growth, profitability rebound in 2025, low leverage and growing equity base), but this is materially offset by a sharp deterioration in 2025 operating/free cash flow that raises concerns about earnings-to-cash quality.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue242.58M223.07M191.68M160.55M147.92M
Gross Profit158.32M134.63M130.57M144.44M142.45M
EBITDA55.39M42.72M44.24M70.46M72.23M
Net Income43.95M29.71M30.07M48.80M49.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.45B4.31B4.17B3.97B4.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.13M617.66M640.30M638.15M1.02B
Total Debt29.19M33.60M71.57M106.92M70.17M
Total Liabilities4.01B3.91B3.79B3.62B3.66B
Stockholders Equity431.85M400.90M379.77M353.54M371.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow36.19M28.87M13.50M45.46M61.07M
Operating Cash Flow41.28M34.47M20.58M59.71M68.21M
Investing Cash Flow-61.45M-88.95M-82.65M-393.06M-274.60M
Financing Cash Flow79.81M66.49M139.95M-59.69M283.10M

Arrow Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.49
Price Trends
50DMA
33.95
Positive
100DMA
32.64
Positive
200DMA
30.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.69
Negative
RSI
75.41
Negative
STOCH
97.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AROW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.63, below the 50-day MA of 33.95, and above the 200-day MA of 30.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.41 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AROW.

Arrow Financial Risk Analysis

Arrow Financial disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arrow Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arrow Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$601.52M11.7910.58%3.59%6.86%6.11%
63
Neutral
$530.31M13.399.18%2.78%41.95%-4.72%
63
Neutral
$526.44M10.418.63%13.96%25.74%
57
Neutral
$539.77M32.492.67%5.16%-11.91%-235.73%
49
Neutral
$580.52M576.050.11%4.38%6.08%52.64%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AROW
Arrow Financial
36.43
13.37
57.97%
ACNB
ACNB
51.22
12.94
33.79%
FFIC
Flushing Financial
15.93
5.71
55.87%
NFBK
Northfield Bancorp
13.90
4.79
52.61%
BWB
Bridgewater Bancshares
18.92
6.34
50.40%

Arrow Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Arrow Financial to Acquire Adirondack Bancorp in Merger
Positive
Feb 26, 2026
Arrow Financial Corporation said on February 25, 2026, that it signed an agreement to acquire Adirondack Bancorp in a two-step merger, followed by the combination of Adirondack Bank into Arrow Bank National Association. Adirondack shareholders are...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Arrow Financial boosts dividend after record 2025 earnings
Positive
Jan 29, 2026
On January 28, 2026, Arrow Financial said long-serving director Elizabeth A. Miller will retire from its board after the 2026 annual meeting, ending a tenure that began in 2017. The company also reported record fourth-quarter 2025 net income of $1...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026