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Ardent Health Partners, Inc. (ARDT)
:ARDT
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Ardent Health Partners, Inc. (ARDT) AI Stock Analysis

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ARDT

Ardent Health Partners, Inc.

(NYSE:ARDT)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▼(-3.92% Downside)
Ardent Health Partners, Inc. demonstrates strong financial performance and a favorable valuation, contributing positively to the overall score. The earnings call provided additional confidence with strategic growth initiatives and operational improvements. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
ARDT reported 2Q earnings well ahead of estimates, with the extent of the beat largely contingent on NM DPP program approval, which provided a significant EBITDA benefit.
Market Positioning
ARDT's market positioning is considered structurally attractive compared to the national average, driving volume, demand, and pricing growth in line with or above peers.
Negative Factors
Medicaid Cuts
Increasing headwinds from cuts to Medicaid and Accountable Care Act (ACA) exchanges are expected to lower volume growth and increase bad debt.
Regulatory Risks
ARDT should trade at a discount to publicly traded hospital peers due to its smaller scale, lower-margin profile, greater execution risk in ambulatory, and potential regulatory risks.

Ardent Health Partners, Inc. (ARDT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ardent Health Partners, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArdent Health Partners, LLC owns and operates a network of hospitals and clinics that provides a range of healthcare services in the United States. It operates acute care hospitals, including rehabilitation hospitals and surgical hospitals. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee. Ardent Health Partners, LLC is a subsidiary of EGI-AM Investments, L.L.C.
How the Company Makes MoneyArdent Health Partners generates revenue primarily through the provision of healthcare services, which include inpatient and outpatient care, surgical services, emergency services, and rehabilitation services. The company's revenue model is largely based on reimbursements from government programs such as Medicare and Medicaid, as well as private insurance payers. Key revenue streams include patient services revenue, which accounts for the majority of its income, and ancillary services like laboratory and imaging services, which provide additional financial support. Ardent Health also engages in strategic partnerships with other healthcare organizations and participates in value-based care initiatives that can lead to shared savings and improved reimbursement rates. These factors, combined with a focus on operational efficiency and patient satisfaction, contribute to the company's overall financial performance.

Ardent Health Partners, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 17.28%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong admissions growth, revenue increase, operational cost improvements, and a credit rating upgrade. However, there were challenges such as increased payer claim denials, a decline in outpatient surgeries, and the impact of oncology service transfers. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about its strategic growth initiatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Admissions Growth
Admissions grew 7.6% driven by strong underlying growth and heightened flu season, with inpatient surgery growth of 3.4%.
Revenue and EBITDA Increase
First-quarter revenue increased 4% to $1.5 billion. Adjusted EBITDA grew 2.5% to $98 million.
Operational Cost Improvements
Supply costs as a percent of revenue declined 60 basis points year-over-year, with expectations of further margin improvements by 100 to 200 basis points over the next three to four years.
Credit Rating Upgrade
S&P upgraded Ardent Health's credit rating to B+ from B, reflecting improved net leverage and cash flow profile.
Successful Integration of NextCare Clinics
Integration of 18 NextCare urgent care clinics is expected to generate additional downstream volumes in Tulsa and Albuquerque markets.
Negative Updates
Payer Claim Denials Increase
Notable increase in payer claim denials compared to the first quarter of 2024, which created a year-over-year headwind.
Outpatient Surgery Decline
Outpatient surgeries declined 2.3% despite strong inpatient surgical growth.
Impact of Oncology Service Transfer
Strategic transfer of certain oncology and infusion services tempered revenue growth by approximately 70 basis points.
Uncertain Tariff Impact
Potential future impacts from tariffs, with a current estimated 2025 EBITDA impact of no more than a mid-single-digit million-dollar amount.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Ardent Health Partners reported a strong financial and operational performance, with key metrics indicating positive growth trends. Admissions increased by 7.6%, while adjusted admissions grew by 2.7%, aligning with the company's full-year outlook of 2% to 3%. Inpatient surgeries saw a growth of 3.4%, and first-quarter revenue rose by 4% to $1.5 billion. Net patient service revenue per adjusted admission grew by 1.2%, despite a 70 basis point headwind from transferring certain oncology and infusion services. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 2.5% to $98 million, supported by improvements in supply chain efficiency, resulting in a 60 basis point reduction in supply costs as a percentage of revenue. Ardent ended the quarter with $495 million in cash and a lease-adjusted net leverage ratio of 3 times, reaffirming its full-year 2025 financial guidance.

Ardent Health Partners, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ardent Health Partners, Inc. exhibits strong revenue growth and improved profitability, supported by a stable balance sheet and robust cash flow generation. While the company shows effective cost management and shareholder returns, there are areas for improvement in operational efficiency and liquidity management. The reliance on debt financing poses a potential risk, but the company maintains a solid financial position in the medical care facilities industry.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Ardent Health Partners, Inc. has shown strong revenue growth with a 10.29% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin is robust at 57.51% for 2024, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin improved significantly to 3.53% in 2024 from 0.93% in 2023, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, at 6.80% and 9.32% respectively, suggest room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.50, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity improved to 13.83% in 2024, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 30.69%, which is reasonable but suggests a reliance on debt financing. Overall, the balance sheet reflects stability with potential risks from leverage.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Ardent Health Partners, Inc. has demonstrated a positive free cash flow growth rate of 51.26% from 2023 to 2024, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.50, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.61, indicating that not all net income is translating into free cash flow, which could be a concern for liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2018Dec 2017
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.20B5.97B5.41B5.13B4.16B3.00B
Gross Profit3.79B3.43B4.42B4.17B4.16B3.00B
EBITDA586.78M555.92M350.00M531.70M281.84M230.91M
Net Income254.86M210.34M50.29M188.91M-143.02M-35.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.03B4.96B4.73B4.86B2.75B2.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments540.63M556.78M437.58M456.12M59.66M71.96M
Total Debt2.27B2.28B2.40B2.39B1.26B952.69M
Total Liabilities3.38B3.43B3.65B3.81B2.03B1.61B
Stockholders Equity1.25B1.52B670.90M639.05M331.64M377.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow36.84M127.52M84.29M-189.47M-1.07M-2.06M
Operating Cash Flow184.49M315.03M221.70M-38.36M159.59M119.47M
Investing Cash Flow-173.07M-220.46M-137.98M46.58M-525.11M-983.27M
Financing Cash Flow149.09M24.64M-102.26M-270.33M353.22M843.15M

Ardent Health Partners, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price12.49
Price Trends
50DMA
12.57
Negative
100DMA
13.00
Negative
200DMA
14.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
57.70
Neutral
STOCH
90.82
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARDT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.18, below the 50-day MA of 12.57, and below the 200-day MA of 14.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.82 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ARDT.

Ardent Health Partners, Inc. Risk Analysis

Ardent Health Partners, Inc. disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ardent Health Partners, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks

Ardent Health Partners, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$2.10B25.118.54%14.29%7.85%
72
Outperform
$1.47B57.233.50%51.97%-64.10%
71
Outperform
$1.56B11.818.15%2.02%-16.10%-48.97%
70
Outperform
$1.91B13.614.62%5.64%
66
Neutral
$1.79B6.9625.56%10.03%197.26%
65
Neutral
¥341.81B11.08-0.17%2.40%9.51%-9.51%
39
Underperform
$439.29M-60.64%10.12%-29.12%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARDT
Ardent Health Partners, Inc.
12.49
-5.01
-28.63%
ACHC
Acadia Healthcare
20.66
-54.53
-72.52%
ADUS
Addus Homecare
113.86
-18.19
-13.78%
SEM
Select Medical
12.60
-5.16
-29.05%
ASTH
Astrana Health
29.54
-18.32
-38.28%
AGL
Agilon Health
1.11
-3.62
-76.53%

Ardent Health Partners, Inc. Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Ardent Health Announces Departure of Hospital Operations President
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Ardent Health, Inc. announced the immediate departure of David Schultz from his role as President of Hospital Operations. His exit is classified as a ‘Qualifying Termination’ under the company’s Executive Severance Plan, entitling him to severance benefits as outlined in the company’s proxy statement and previous filings.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARDT) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ardent Health Partners, Inc. stock, see the ARDT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Ardent Health Partners Announces Name Change to Ardent Health
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Ardent Health Partners, Inc. announced a name change to Ardent Health, Inc., effective June 3, 2025, with the amendment approved by the Board of Directors and not requiring stockholder approval. The company’s stock will continue trading under the symbol ‘ARDT’ on the New York Stock Exchange. At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 21, 2025, 11 directors were elected, executive compensation was approved on a non-binding basis, and Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARDT) stock is a Hold with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ardent Health Partners, Inc. stock, see the ARDT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 28, 2025