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AP Moller Maersk (AMKBY)
:AMKBY

AP Moller - Maersk (AMKBY) AI Stock Analysis

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AMKBY

AP Moller - Maersk

(OTC:AMKBY)

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Outperform 82 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(29.27% Upside)
AP Moller - Maersk's stock is rated highly due to its strong valuation metrics, including a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield, which suggest undervaluation. The company's robust financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment further support the score. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, although caution is advised due to near-overbought conditions. The company's ability to manage industry challenges effectively enhances its investment appeal.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Performance
Sequential growth in EBITDA and EBIT indicates effective cost management and operational efficiency, supporting long-term profitability.
Gemini Network Benefits
The Gemini network's high reliability and cost savings enhance operational efficiency and competitive positioning in the shipping industry.
Terminal Business Success
Record terminal volumes and high returns on invested capital reflect strong market demand and effective asset utilization, boosting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Decline in Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth indicates potential challenges in market demand, which could impact future earnings and business expansion.
Softening Demand in North America
Softening demand in a key market like North America could limit growth opportunities and affect revenue from this region.
High Order Book-to-Fleet Ratio
A high order book-to-fleet ratio may lead to oversupply, pressuring freight rates and impacting profitability in the shipping sector.

AP Moller - Maersk (AMKBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AP Moller - Maersk Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionA.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S operates as an integrated transport and logistics company worldwide. The company's Ocean segment engages in container shipping activities, including demurrage and detention, terminal handling, documentation and container services, and container storage, as well as transshipment services under Maersk Line, Safmarine, Sealand – A Maersk Company, Hamburg Süd, and APM Terminal brands; and sale of bunker oil. Its Logistics & Services segment offers sea and air freight forwarding, supply chain management, cold chain logistics, and custom services, services. The company's Terminals & Towage segment is involved in Gateway terminal activities, and offshore towage, salvage and related marine activities under APM Terminals brand. Its Manufacturing & Others segment engages in the production of reefer containers; anchor handling tug supply vessels and subsea support vessels, and training services to the maritime, oil and gas, offshore wind, and crane industries. The company was founded in 1904 and is based in Copenhagen, Denmark.
How the Company Makes MoneyAP Moller - Maersk generates revenue primarily through its container shipping operations, which include freight transportation and associated services. The company charges shipping fees based on container volume, distance traveled, and service level. Key revenue streams also include terminal operations, where Maersk earns money from handling container cargo at ports, and logistics services, which encompass warehousing and freight forwarding. Significant partnerships with global retailers and manufacturers enhance Maersk's earnings by securing long-term contracts for shipping and logistics services. Additionally, fluctuations in global trade volumes, shipping rates, and fuel prices can impact revenue, making market conditions a critical factor in the company's financial performance.

AP Moller - Maersk Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive outlook with strong financial performance, effective execution of the Gemini network, and robust demand outside North America. However, challenges remain in the North American market and the Air product segment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Delivered an EBITDA of $2.7 billion and an EBIT of $1.3 billion, marking sequential growth. Net profit after tax was $1.1 billion, generating a return on invested capital of 9.6%.
Logistics & Services Margin Improvement
Logistics & Services achieved an EBIT margin of 5.5%, up from 5.1% last year and 4.8% last quarter, driven by asset utilization and productivity improvements.
Gemini Network Benefits
First full quarter of Gemini network implementation showed reliability above 90% and significant cost savings. Ocean segment volumes increased by 7% year-on-year and 5% sequentially.
Terminal Business Success
Terminals delivered record volumes and profitability, with a 17.2% return on invested capital and a 26% increase in volumes from Maersk Ocean year-on-year.
Positive Outlook for Container Demand
Despite global challenges, container demand showed resilience. China's global export share increased from 33% to 37% over the past two years.
Negative Updates
Softening Demand in North America
Logistics & Services segment noted a softening of demand in North America, which was offset by growth in other regions.
Challenged Air Product Segment
Logistics & Services segment experienced weakness in Air product, affecting the EBITDA margin, which landed at 7.3%.
High Order Book-to-Fleet Ratio
Container shipping industry faces a high order book-to-fleet ratio of 32%, the highest since the global financial crisis.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, A.P. Møller - Maersk delivered strong financial performance across all business segments, achieving an EBITDA of $2.7 billion and an EBIT of $1.3 billion, both up from the previous quarter. The Logistics & Services segment improved its EBIT margin to 5.5%, driven by operational margin improvements and a 9% sequential top-line growth. The Ocean segment, benefiting from the Gemini cooperation, reported a 7% year-on-year volume increase and achieved significant cost savings, contributing to a high asset utilization rate of 94%. Terminals recorded record high revenues and profitability, with a return on invested capital of 17.2%. Overall, Maersk narrowed its full-year 2025 guidance to an underlying EBIT of $3 billion to $3.5 billion and expects market growth of around 4% for the year, driven by strong demand and successful strategic implementations.

AP Moller - Maersk Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AP Moller - Maersk demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is robust, with low leverage and effective equity utilization. However, the decline in free cash flow growth poses a potential risk that needs addressing.
Income Statement
75
Positive
AP Moller - Maersk shows strong revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 63.6%, indicating robust demand and market position. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 23.77% in TTM from 12.47% in 2024, reflecting better cost management. However, the EBIT margin decreased slightly to 11.19% from 12.99% in 2024, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency. Overall, the company demonstrates strong profitability and growth momentum.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32, indicating low leverage and financial stability. Return on equity improved to 12.30% in TTM, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 63.73%, reflecting a strong capital structure. While the balance sheet is robust, the slight increase in debt levels requires monitoring.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong at $13.31 billion in TTM, but free cash flow growth has turned negative, declining by 172.2%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.90, indicating good cash conversion. However, the decline in free cash flow growth suggests potential challenges in cash generation, which could impact future investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue56.81B55.48B51.06B81.53B61.79B39.74B
Gross Profit13.51B6.92B3.87B31.32B19.81B4.04B
EBITDA13.88B13.39B11.37B36.96B24.48B8.68B
Net Income6.88B6.11B3.82B29.20B17.94B2.85B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets87.86B87.70B82.58B93.68B72.27B56.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.95B24.04B6.70B11.00B11.84B5.87B
Total Debt17.69B16.48B14.81B15.64B15.34B15.37B
Total Liabilities30.79B29.75B27.49B28.65B26.68B25.26B
Stockholders Equity55.98B56.92B54.03B63.99B44.51B29.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.04B7.21B6.00B30.31B19.05B6.51B
Operating Cash Flow13.31B11.41B9.64B34.48B22.02B7.83B
Investing Cash Flow-7.54B-7.92B4.08B-21.62B-8.34B-1.02B
Financing Cash Flow-7.75B-3.50B-16.80B-14.13B-7.90B-5.62B

AP Moller - Maersk Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.67
Price Trends
50DMA
10.04
Positive
100DMA
10.25
Positive
200DMA
9.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Negative
RSI
71.57
Negative
STOCH
95.19
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMKBY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.13, below the 50-day MA of 10.04, and above the 200-day MA of 9.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.57 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.19 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMKBY.

AP Moller - Maersk Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$34.44B7.428.70%9.71%4.98%37.22%
81
Outperform
$1.72B3.7513.16%3.67%3.82%-13.73%
77
Outperform
$3.82B9.3316.38%1.17%1.88%9.30%
76
Outperform
$1.93B6.4114.98%2.95%-29.82%-16.77%
76
Outperform
$1.49B5.908.36%0.39%-1.33%-33.66%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$2.05B1.0225.25%22.81%1.63%-30.30%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMKBY
AP Moller - Maersk
11.46
3.64
46.55%
CMRE
Costamare
15.61
6.61
73.44%
DAC
Danaos
93.91
18.73
24.91%
NMM
Navios Maritime Partners
51.14
7.56
17.35%
MATX
Matson
119.39
-24.42
-16.98%
ZIM
ZIM
18.76
3.70
24.57%

AP Moller - Maersk Corporate Events

A.P. Moller – Maersk Reports Strong Q3 Performance
Nov 7, 2025

A.P. Moller – Maersk is a global leader in logistics services, committed to simplifying supply chains and achieving net-zero emissions by 2040. In its Q3 2025 earnings report, Maersk reported strong performance across all segments, with an EBITDA of USD 2.7 billion and EBIT of USD 1.3 billion, despite a year-on-year decline due to lower freight rates. The Ocean segment saw increased volumes and cost efficiencies, while Logistics & Services and Terminals reported improved profitability and record-high volumes, respectively. Looking ahead, Maersk has refined its full-year 2025 financial guidance, anticipating global container market volume growth of around 4%, and remains focused on operational efficiency and sustainability initiatives.

Maersk Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Performance
Aug 8, 2025

A.P. Moller – Maersk is a global integrated logistics company, specializing in connecting and simplifying supply chains for over 100,000 customers across nearly 130 countries, with a commitment to achieving net-zero emissions by 2040. In the second quarter of 2025, Maersk reported solid financial results with a revenue increase to USD 13.1 billion and an EBITDA of USD 2.3 billion, despite geopolitical and economic challenges. Key performance drivers included volume growth in the Ocean segment, margin improvements in Logistics & Services, and record-high volumes in Terminals. The company also raised its full-year financial guidance, anticipating global container market volume growth between 2% and 4%. Looking ahead, Maersk remains focused on operational improvements and cost control, with an optimistic outlook on market demand and strategic initiatives like the Gemini cooperation to enhance reliability and efficiency.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025