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Allogene Therapeutics (ALLO)
NASDAQ:ALLO
US Market

Allogene Therapeutics (ALLO) AI Stock Analysis

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ALLO

Allogene Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:ALLO)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-11.24% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/30/26
The score is held back primarily by very weak financial performance (no revenue and significant ongoing losses/cash burn). Offsetting this are a relatively better-funded position and runway discussed on the earnings call, plus mildly constructive technicals (price above key moving averages and positive MACD). Valuation contributes limited support due to negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Cash runway
A cash balance of $277.1M and runway into H2 2027 materially reduces near-term financing pressure, allowing Allogene to fund pivotal trials and development milestones through multiple clinical inflection points without immediate dilution or deal-driven capital raises.
Scalable allogeneic platform
A proprietary off-the-shelf CAR T approach targets structural advantages: manufacturing scale, faster patient access, and lower per-treatment logistics versus autologous models. If clinical efficacy and safety are proven, this supports durable commercial scale and cost advantage across indications.
Modest leverage
Relatively low debt reduces solvency risk and preserves flexibility to pursue R&D and partnerships. With modest financial leverage, Allogene can prioritize clinical development decisions without heavy interest/service obligations limiting strategic options over the medium term.
Negative Factors
No revenue / high cash burn
Zero trailing revenue and persistent net losses (TTM net loss ~$212M) mean the business relies on financing or partner deals to continue. Sustained negative free cash flow weakens runway if milestones slip and increases dilution risk, constraining long-term capital allocation.
Clinical safety risk
A fatal (grade 5) event that altered ALPHA3 design highlights significant safety risk inherent to CAR T development. Such events can delay approvals, require additional studies, and raise regulatory scrutiny, materially increasing timeline and cost uncertainty for commercialization.
Shrinking equity base
A materially reduced shareholder equity cushion and deeply negative ROE signal sustained value erosion from ongoing losses. This reduces balance sheet resilience to adverse outcomes and limits strategic optionality, making future financing more dilutive or costly if needed.

Allogene Therapeutics (ALLO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Allogene Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAllogene Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical stage immuno-oncology company, develops and commercializes genetically engineered allogeneic T cell therapies for the treatment of cancer. It develops, manufactures, and commercializes UCART19, an allogeneic chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T cell product candidate for the treatment of pediatric and adult patients with R/R CD19 positive B-cell ALL. The company also develops ALLO-501, an anti-CD19 allogeneic CAR T cell product candidate that is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of R/R non-Hodgkin lymphoma; and ALLO-501A, which is in Phase I/II clinical trial for the treatment R/R large B-cell lymphoma or transformed follicular lymphoma. In addition, it is developing ALLO-715, an allogeneic CAR T cell product candidate that is in a Phase I clinical trial for treating R/R multiple myeloma; ALLO-605, an allogeneic CAR T cell product candidate for the treatment of multiple myeloma; ALLO-647, an anti-CD52 monoclonal antibody; CD70 to treat renal cell cancer; ALLO-819, an allogeneic CAR T cell product candidates for the treatment of acute myeloid leukemia; and DLL3 for the treatment of small cell lung cancer and other aggressive neuroendocrine tumors. The company has license and collaboration agreements with Pfizer Inc.; Servier; Cellectis S.A.; and Notch Therapeutics Inc., as well as clinical trial collaboration agreement with SpringWorks Therapeutics, Inc. It also has a strategic collaboration agreement with The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center for the preclinical and clinical investigation of allogeneic CAR T cell product candidates. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllogene Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through collaborations and partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies, which often involve upfront payments, milestone payments upon achieving specific clinical or regulatory goals, and royalties on sales of products developed through these partnerships. The company may also seek funding through public offerings, grants, and strategic alliances to support its research and development efforts. As Allogene's therapies progress through clinical trials and reach commercialization, the potential for significant revenue generation increases, particularly as successful treatments can command high prices in the oncology market.

Allogene Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Allogene's strong financial position, expansion of clinical trials, and advancements in autoimmune therapies. However, there were challenges including safety concerns in the ALPHA3 trial and uncertainty regarding MRD conversion outcomes. Overall, the positive aspects slightly outweigh the concerns, suggesting cautious optimism.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Position
As of September 30, 2025, Allogene had $277.1 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, supporting a cash runway into the second half of 2027.
Expanding Clinical Trials
The ALPHA3 trial has more than 50 active sites across the U.S. and Canada, with expansion into Australia and South Korea expected early next year.
Advancements in Autoimmune Therapy
ALLO-329 is a first-in-class allogeneic CD19, CD70 dual CAR T product designed for autoimmune diseases, with early proof-of-concept data expected in the first half of 2026.
Potential for Scalable Cell Therapy
Allogeneic technology offers a scalable backbone for potentially curative one-time off-the-shelf cell therapy, aiming to democratize access and reduce overall care costs.
Negative Updates
Safety Concerns in ALPHA3 Trial
A grade 5 event over the summer led to changes in the study conduct, shifting from a three-arm to a two-arm study.
Uncertain MRD Conversion Outcomes
There is no interim analysis with alpha allocation planned, and the focus will be on MRD conversion, leaving some uncertainty in predictive clinical outcomes.
Company Guidance
During Allogene Therapeutics' third quarter 2025 conference call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance. As of September 30, 2025, Allogene reported having $277.1 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, with a cash runway extending into the second half of 2027. Their R&D expenses for the third quarter were $31.2 million, including $2.8 million in noncash stock-based compensation, while G&A expenses were $13.7 million, including $5.9 million in noncash stock-based compensation. The net loss for the third quarter was $41.4 million or $0.19 per share, including $8.7 million in noncash stock-based compensation expense. The company anticipates a 2025 cash burn of approximately $150 million and full-year GAAP operating expenses of around $230 million, including an estimated $45 million in noncash stock-based compensation. Additionally, Allogene is focusing on pivotal interim data from their ALPHA3 trial and proof-of-concept data from ALLO-329 in autoimmune disease in the first half of 2026, which are expected to significantly impact the cell therapy landscape.

Allogene Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating fundamentals remain very weak: TTM revenue is $0 with sizable ongoing losses (TTM net loss ~$212M) and heavy cash burn (TTM FCF about -$159M). The balance sheet is comparatively better with modest leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.27), but equity has declined materially over time, reflecting continued losses.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
The income statement remains weak, reflecting a pre-commercial profile. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is $0 and annual revenue has fallen sharply from $114.1M (2021) to near-zero levels in 2022–2024, indicating limited recurring operating scale. Losses remain substantial (TTM net loss of ~$212.0M; 2024 net loss of ~$257.6M), showing the company has not yet achieved a path to profitability. A positive is that losses have improved versus 2022–2023 levels, suggesting some expense discipline, but profitability and revenue visibility are still the primary gaps.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet is a relative strength despite ongoing losses. Leverage is modest (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.27; debt ~$85.1M versus equity ~$315.3M), which reduces financial risk compared with highly levered peers. However, the equity base has been shrinking materially over time (equity down from ~$1.08B in 2020 to ~$315M TTM), consistent with sustained losses, and returns on shareholders’ capital are deeply negative (TTM return on equity roughly -58%). Overall: reasonable leverage, but declining capital cushion is a clear watch item.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash flow is pressured by heavy operating burn. TTM operating cash flow is about -$158.3M and TTM free cash flow is about -$159.0M, indicating continued reliance on funding rather than self-sustaining operations. Free cash flow burn improved versus 2024 (about -$201.0M), but still remains meaningfully negative, and the latest free cash flow growth is sharply lower (TTM vs prior period). A modest positive is that cash burn broadly tracks reported losses (free cash flow roughly in line with net loss), suggesting limited non-cash distortion, but the absolute cash usage remains the key risk.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.0022.00K95.00K156.00K114.09M0.00
Gross Profit-37.50M22.00K95.00K-14.14M114.09M-11.54M
EBITDA-198.19M-243.33M-313.07M-321.24M-169.74M-238.68M
Net Income-212.01M-257.59M-327.26M-340.41M-182.05M-250.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets439.77M548.71M642.84M821.58M1.05B1.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments252.19M292.48M448.70M517.32M457.30M827.91M
Total Debt85.14M90.76M95.12M101.12M73.13M53.78M
Total Liabilities124.44M126.53M130.60M154.70M125.63M148.21M
Stockholders Equity315.33M422.18M512.23M666.88M925.20M1.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-158.99M-200.99M-239.25M-225.71M-206.26M-181.05M
Operating Cash Flow-158.34M-200.30M-237.73M-220.52M-184.81M-115.09M
Investing Cash Flow116.88M75.69M163.29M106.16M163.66M-505.12M
Financing Cash Flow28.04M116.67M95.69M2.95M11.96M633.59M

Allogene Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.69
Price Trends
50DMA
1.61
Positive
100DMA
1.44
Positive
200DMA
1.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Negative
RSI
61.04
Neutral
STOCH
80.62
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALLO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.77, above the 50-day MA of 1.61, and above the 200-day MA of 1.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALLO.

Allogene Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Allogene Therapeutics disclosed 79 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Allogene Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Allogene Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$277.46M4.5475.90%
53
Neutral
$510.14M-2.17-54.43%-100.00%37.10%
52
Neutral
$599.85M-2.38-104.35%20.71%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$331.57M-4.91-3.91%37.89%
43
Neutral
$136.64M-0.80-96.44%46.68%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALLO
Allogene Therapeutics
2.05
-0.09
-4.21%
ABEO
Abeona Therapeutics
5.26
-0.24
-4.36%
FHTX
Foghorn Therapeutics
5.73
0.57
11.05%
TNYA
Tenaya Therapeutics
0.62
-0.46
-42.69%
NMRA
Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.
3.39
1.68
98.25%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026