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Albany International (AIN)
NYSE:AIN

Albany International (AIN) AI Stock Analysis

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Albany International

(NYSE:AIN)

68Neutral
Albany International's overall stock score reflects a solid financial foundation with steady revenue growth and effective cost management. The company's valuation is moderate, offering some appeal to investors. However, technical indicators point to bearish sentiment, and challenges in the AEC segment impact profitability. The new contract with Bell Textron is a positive strategic development that could enhance future growth.
Positive Factors
Future Outlook
The company reaffirmed its 2025 outlook, expecting adjusted EPS and revenue within previously set ranges.
Negative Factors
Acquisition Outcomes
The Heimbach acquisition has yet to deliver accretive growth while tariff risk could further hit Machine Clothing’s portfolio.
Demand Challenges
The analyst maintains an Underperform rating due to anticipated demand challenges ahead for Albany International.
Financial Performance
Albany International reported earnings with a decline in revenue and margins, missing estimates from BofA.
Inventory Pressure
Revenues from LEAP remain pressured by excess fan blade inventory held at Safran, GE, and AIN, restricting margin upside.
Program Execution
Existing execution challenges on Albany Engineered Composites (AEC)’s largest programs appear poised to impede profitability.

Albany International (AIN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Albany International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlbany International Corp. is a global advanced textiles and materials processing company primarily engaged in the production of engineered fabrics and materials. The company operates in two main sectors: Machine Clothing and Albany Engineered Composites. Albany International's core products include high-performance fabrics used in the production of paper and paperboard, as well as advanced composite materials for aerospace and other industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlbany International makes money through its two main business segments. The Machine Clothing segment generates revenue by producing custom-designed fabrics and belts essential for the manufacturing process in the paper and pulp industry, providing critical components to enhance productivity and efficiency. The Albany Engineered Composites segment contributes to revenue through the development and sale of advanced composite structures, primarily used in the aerospace industry for commercial and military aircraft. Significant partnerships with major aerospace manufacturers, along with long-term contracts, bolster the company's earnings. The company's revenue streams are diversified across multiple geographies and customer bases, ensuring a stable financial performance.

Albany International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Albany International's financial performance shows mixed results. Although past profitability metrics were strong, the absence of current revenue and profit data is concerning. The balance sheet is solid with a good equity base, but declining cash reserves could pose future challenges. Cash flow management appears effective, but the lack of recent data limits a full evaluation.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Albany International experienced a decline in total revenue from the previous year, with no revenue reported in the most recent period. The company's gross profit and net income were similarly not reported. This indicates potential challenges in revenue generation. Although EBIT and EBITDA margins were healthy in prior years, the absence of current data raises concerns about profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a solid equity position with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of approximately 0.34. Stockholders' equity forms a substantial part of total assets, indicating a robust financial structure. However, a decline in total assets and cash equivalents over the years suggests potential liquidity issues.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Albany International has demonstrated stable free cash flow generation over the years. However, the free cash flow growth rate from the previous period shows a notable increase, signaling effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, but the lack of current period data limits a comprehensive assessment.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.23B1.15B1.03B929.24M900.61M
Gross Profit
401.78M417.37M389.78M378.39M371.07M
EBIT
131.36M172.36M181.02M178.01M166.08M
EBITDA
131.36M257.82M218.71M251.10M223.47M
Net Income Common Stockholders
87.62M111.12M95.76M118.48M98.59M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
115.28M173.42M291.78M302.04M241.32M
Total Assets
1.65B1.84B1.64B1.56B1.55B
Total Debt
387.20M514.86M444.93M350.00M398.01M
Net Debt
271.92M341.44M153.15M47.96M156.69M
Total Liabilities
699.75M867.69M774.71M678.46M730.07M
Stockholders Equity
943.54M961.37M863.05M873.97M816.07M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
138.19M63.63M31.87M163.78M97.86M
Operating Cash Flow
218.44M148.06M128.21M217.47M140.25M
Investing Cash Flow
-80.18M-217.90M-96.35M-53.70M-42.39M
Financing Cash Flow
-183.83M-52.64M-23.65M-99.64M-60.67M

Albany International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price62.21
Price Trends
50DMA
69.94
Negative
100DMA
75.16
Negative
200DMA
79.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.45
Negative
RSI
37.68
Neutral
STOCH
59.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AIN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 62.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.06, below the 50-day MA of 69.94, and below the 200-day MA of 79.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AIN.

Albany International Risk Analysis

Albany International disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Albany International reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Albany International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AIAIN
68
Neutral
$2.01B23.529.20%1.59%7.20%-21.29%
67
Neutral
$1.11B5.9011.99%2.66%14.16%
SGSGC
66
Neutral
$171.70M14.336.05%5.39%4.12%36.65%
61
Neutral
$6.55B11.723.07%4.01%2.66%-21.27%
UFUFI
49
Neutral
$92.49M-12.60%1.57%38.38%
HBHBI
47
Neutral
$1.62B-43.06%-29.44%-1343.00%
44
Neutral
$155.11M-13.39%0.73%34.10%-432.13%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AIN
Albany International
62.21
-20.39
-24.69%
GIII
G-III Apparel Group
25.20
-3.30
-11.58%
HBI
Hanesbrands
4.59
-0.08
-1.71%
LAKE
Lakeland Industries
16.83
0.04
0.24%
SGC
Superior Group of Companies
10.42
-5.83
-35.88%
UFI
Unifi
5.04
-0.81
-13.85%

Albany International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -5.40%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed performance. While Albany International achieved record revenues and strong cash flow, the AEC segment faced significant challenges leading to decreased revenues and profitability. The company is focusing on operational improvements and strategic initiatives, such as share repurchases and balancing the tax rate, to mitigate these issues. Despite these efforts, the financial headwinds and program-specific challenges in AEC weigh heavily on the overall outlook.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenues
Albany International reported record revenues of nearly $1.25 billion for the full fiscal year 2024, driven by organic growth at AEC and the Heimberg acquisition.
Strong Free Cash Flow
The company generated $59 million in free cash flow in Q4 and $137 million for the full year, highlighting strong cash management and operational performance.
Share Repurchase Program
Albany International initiated a share repurchase program, buying back $15 million worth of shares in Q4, with a new program authorized up to $250 million.
Machine Clothing Segment Performance
Machine clothing segment exhibited stable performance with a focus on consolidating operations and discontinuing unprofitable product lines, leading to improved bottom-line performance.
Strong Balance Sheet
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with over $115 million in cash and $482 million borrowing capacity, supporting its growth strategy.
Negative Updates
Decreased AEC Revenues
AEC segment revenues decreased to $99 million from $132 million in Q4 2023, largely due to EAC adjustments and lower LEAP revenues.
Decline in Gross Profit
Consolidated gross profit decreased to $90 million from $120 million in the prior year, impacted by EAC adjustments and lower gross margins at Heimberg.
Increased Tax Rate
The effective tax rate for the quarter increased to 28% from 22.6% in the prior year, due to a shift in taxable income to higher rate jurisdictions.
Reduced EPS
GAAP diluted EPS decreased to $0.56 per share in Q4 2024 from $0.97 in the same period last year, largely due to EAC adjustments.
Challenges in AEC Programs
Additional EAC adjustments were necessary due to challenges in the CH-53K and Gulfstream programs, impacting margins and profitability.
Company Guidance
In the Albany International earnings call for the fourth quarter of 2024, several key metrics and guidance for 2025 were discussed. The company reported record revenues for the year at nearly $1.25 billion, driven by organic growth and the Heimberg acquisition. Free cash flow for the fourth quarter was $59 million, contributing to a full-year total of $137 million. A share repurchase program was initiated, with $15 million of shares repurchased in Q4, and a new $250 million program was authorized. For 2025, the company projects LEAP revenues of approximately $150 million and consolidated adjusted EBITDA growth of about 8%, despite foreign exchange headwinds. Expected EPS for 2025 is in the range of $3.00 to $3.40. The company has a strong cash position, with a balance of over $115 million and $482 million of borrowing capacity. The AEC backlog at year-end was $1.4 billion, providing visibility into business performance beyond 2025. The focus for 2025 includes growth in the machine clothing segment, leveraging opportunities in advanced air mobility, and maintaining a disciplined capital allocation strategy with $1 billion in dry powder for organic and inorganic growth opportunities.

Albany International Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Albany International Secures Contract with Bell Textron
Positive
Apr 29, 2025

Albany International‘s subsidiary, Albany Engineered Composites, Inc., has secured a seven-year contract with Bell Textron, Inc. to produce composite structure components for the Bell 525 helicopter. This agreement marks a strategic partnership with Bell, enhancing AEC’s presence in the rotorcraft business and potentially opening up further opportunities for collaboration in the aerospace sector.

Spark’s Take on AIN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AIN is a Neutral.

Albany International’s overall score reflects a mixed financial performance with concerns about recent profitability data. The technical analysis suggests bearish market sentiment, while valuation remains moderate. Despite challenges, the earnings call highlights strategic initiatives aimed at future growth, balancing against current operational difficulties.

To see Spark’s full report on AIN stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
Albany International Announces VP Controller Resignation
Neutral
Mar 14, 2025

On March 10, 2025, Albany International Corp. announced the resignation of John J. Tedone, its Vice President – Controller and Chief Accounting Officer, effective March 20, 2025. Mr. Tedone is leaving to pursue another professional opportunity, and his departure is not due to any disagreements related to financial disclosures or accounting practices. Robert Starr, the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will temporarily assume the role of Principal Accounting Officer until a successor is appointed. The company has started the search for a new Controller and Chief Accounting Officer.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.