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Arcosa Inc (ACA)
NYSE:ACA
US Market

Arcosa (ACA) AI Stock Analysis

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ACA

Arcosa

(NYSE:ACA)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$118.00
▲(4.44% Upside)
Arcosa's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, highlighting significant growth and strategic achievements. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, though caution is warranted due to potential overvaluation and overbought signals. Corporate events further support the company's strategic direction.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth in Q3 demonstrates Arcosa's strong market position and effective execution of its growth strategy, indicating potential for sustained expansion.
Strategic Acquisitions
The successful integration of the Stavola acquisition enhances Arcosa's market presence and operational scale, supporting long-term profitability and competitive advantage.
Cash Flow and Debt Management
Effective cash flow management and reduced leverage improve financial stability, providing Arcosa with greater flexibility for future investments and growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Organic Volume Decline
Declining organic volumes in aggregates suggest potential challenges in maintaining growth momentum, which could impact future revenue streams if not addressed.
Production Downtime
Unplanned production downtime affects cost efficiency and operational reliability, potentially hindering Arcosa's ability to meet demand and maintain margins.
Residential Market Weakness
Weakness in the residential market could limit growth in construction products, affecting Arcosa's revenue diversification and exposing it to sector-specific risks.

Arcosa (ACA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arcosa Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArcosa, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides infrastructure-related products and solutions for the construction, energy, and transportation markets in North America. It operates through three segments: Construction Products, Engineered Structures, and Transportation Products. The Construction Products segment offers natural and recycled aggregates; specialty materials; and trench shields and shoring products for residential and non-residential construction, agriculture, specialty building products, as well as for infrastructure related projects. The Engineered Structures segment provides utility structures, wind towers, traffic and lighting structures, telecommunication structures, storage and distribution tanks for electricity transmission and distribution, wind power generation, highway road construction, and wireless communication markets, as well as for gas and liquids storage and transportation for residential, commercial, energy, agriculture, and industrial markets. The Transportation Products segment offers inland barges; fiberglass barge covers, winches, and other components; cast components for industrial and mining sectors; and axles, circular forgings, coupling devices for freight, tank, locomotive, and passenger rail transportation equipment, as well as other industrial uses. Arcosa, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyArcosa generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from the sale of its manufactured products and services. The company's major revenue sources include its Construction Products segment, which produces aggregates, concrete, and precast concrete products; the Energy segment, which supplies wind turbine components and offers related services; and the Infrastructure segment, which provides water infrastructure products and solutions. Additionally, Arcosa benefits from significant partnerships with construction firms, energy companies, and government entities, which help secure long-term contracts and project-based revenue. The company's focus on sustainable practices and innovative product offerings also positions it favorably in the growing renewable energy market, contributing to its overall earnings.

Arcosa Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Arcosa's third quarter results were strong, with record revenue and growth metrics driven by successful acquisitions and segment performance. While there were some challenges in organic volume growth and production downtime, the overall outlook remains positive with significant contributions from acquisitions and strategic expansions.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Q3 was a record quarter for Arcosa with revenue increasing 27% and adjusted EBITDA growing 51%, excluding the impact of the divested steel components business. Adjusted EBITDA margin reached a record 21.8%, improving by 340 basis points over the previous year.
Successful Integration of Stavola Acquisition
The $1.2 billion Stavola acquisition significantly contributed to growth, delivering $105 million in adjusted EBITDA with a 35.2% margin for the 12 months ending September 30.
Strong Performance in Construction Products
Third quarter revenues in Construction Products increased 46% with adjusted segment EBITDA up 62%. Margin expanded by 300 basis points to 29.7%.
Engineered Structures Segment Growth
Engineered Structures delivered strong organic performance with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 29% and margins expanding by 240 basis points.
Positive Cash Flow and Debt Reduction
Arcosa achieved a leverage ratio of 2.4x, ahead of the plan, with a free cash flow of $134 million, a 25% increase year-over-year.
Inland Barge Business Improvement
Inland barge revenues were up 22% with adjusted segment EBITDA increasing 36%, driven by higher tank barge volumes.
Negative Updates
Organic Volume Decline in Aggregates
Despite the overall growth, organic volumes in aggregates declined mid-single digit, offset by the addition of Stavola.
Production Downtime in Aggregates
Production downtime at natural aggregates locations negatively impacted cost absorption, primarily due to unplanned equipment repairs.
Residential Market Weakness
There was a lack of anticipated recovery in the residential markets during the second half of the year, impacting volume trends.
Company Guidance
During Arcosa's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported significant financial achievements with a 27% increase in revenue and a 51% growth in adjusted EBITDA, leading to a record adjusted EBITDA margin of 21.8%. The company highlighted the impact of the $1.2 billion Stavola acquisition, contributing $105 million in adjusted EBITDA with a 35.2% margin over the past year. Arcosa also achieved a leverage ratio of 2.4x, ahead of schedule, and reported a backlog increase of 16% year-to-date in its barge business. For the full year 2025, Arcosa projected adjusted EBITDA growth of 32%, with anticipated revenues ranging from $2.86 billion to $2.91 billion.

Arcosa Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arcosa demonstrates solid financial performance with consistent revenue growth and stable margins. The balance sheet is robust with moderate leverage, and cash flow generation is improving. While profitability metrics show potential for enhancement, the overall financial health of the company is strong, positioning it well for future growth in the industrial infrastructure sector.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Arcosa's income statement shows a positive trajectory with a consistent revenue growth rate of 5.88% in the TTM period. The gross profit margin has improved to 21.61%, indicating better cost management. However, the net profit margin remains modest at 5.25%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have seen slight fluctuations, with the TTM EBIT margin at 7.12% and EBITDA margin at 13.28%, reflecting stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) in the TTM period is 5.98%, showing a slight improvement but still below optimal levels. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. Overall, the company maintains a healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Arcosa's cash flow statement indicates a positive free cash flow growth rate of 6.93% in the TTM period, highlighting improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.81, showing strong cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.67 suggests that there is room for enhancing cash flow efficiency relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.83B2.57B2.31B2.24B2.04B1.94B
Gross Profit612.30M515.20M443.80M411.10M355.90M382.00M
EBITDA542.10M395.90M383.50M501.30M251.30M263.30M
Net Income148.60M93.70M159.20M245.80M69.60M106.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.05B4.92B3.58B3.34B3.19B2.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments220.00M187.30M104.80M160.40M72.90M95.80M
Total Debt1.58B1.75B606.80M587.20M707.30M254.50M
Total Liabilities2.47B2.49B1.25B1.16B1.23B754.50M
Stockholders Equity2.58B2.43B2.33B2.18B1.95B1.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow314.60M312.30M57.50M36.30M81.40M177.80M
Operating Cash Flow469.30M502.00M261.00M174.30M166.50M259.90M
Investing Cash Flow-1.32B-1.51B-285.80M90.70M-570.30M-528.20M
Financing Cash Flow312.20M1.09B-30.80M-177.50M380.90M123.70M

Arcosa Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price112.98
Price Trends
50DMA
98.80
Positive
100DMA
96.39
Positive
200DMA
90.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.27
Negative
RSI
78.99
Negative
STOCH
88.95
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 112.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 104.82, above the 50-day MA of 98.80, and above the 200-day MA of 90.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.99 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ACA.

Arcosa Risk Analysis

Arcosa disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arcosa reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arcosa Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$6.10B20.719.80%1.57%-1.01%-12.13%
71
Outperform
$5.44B36.695.91%0.18%13.96%14.86%
70
Outperform
$4.30B28.9516.87%0.47%6.87%64.56%
67
Neutral
$4.75B-4.05%1.96%19.40%-120.47%
64
Neutral
$4.54B52.895.80%0.55%6.44%101.24%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
51
Neutral
$4.23B-1.63-1.31%-78.19%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ACA
Arcosa
112.98
4.09
3.76%
NPO
Enpro
224.52
36.40
19.35%
GVA
Granite Construction
115.20
22.30
24.00%
HRI
Herc Holdings
153.21
-50.88
-24.93%
SPR
Spirit AeroSystems
39.50
6.53
19.81%
TKR
Timken Company
88.71
14.56
19.64%

Arcosa Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Arcosa Updates Investor Presentation on Strategic Moves
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Arcosa, Inc. has updated its investor presentation materials to reflect its ongoing strategic transformation and long-term vision. The company has made significant investments, including the acquisition of Stavola, to enhance its profitability and market presence in the construction materials sector, particularly in the northeastern United States. This move is part of Arcosa’s strategy to reduce business complexity and cyclicality while expanding its growth platforms and maintaining a healthy balance sheet.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Arcosa Updates Investor Presentation on Strategic Growth
Positive
Sep 12, 2025

Arcosa, Inc. has updated its investor presentation materials to reflect its strategic transformation and growth initiatives. The company completed the divestiture of its Steel Components business in August 2024 and acquired Stavola, enhancing its construction materials operations. These moves are part of Arcosa’s long-term vision to reduce business complexity, integrate sustainability, and improve returns on capital, positioning it strongly in the infrastructure market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025