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Arcosa (ACA)
:ACA
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Arcosa (ACA) AI Stock Analysis

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ACA

Arcosa

(NYSE:ACA)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$97.00
â–²(15.79% Upside)
Arcosa's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings outlook, driven by robust EBITDA growth and strategic acquisitions. However, valuation concerns and some profitability pressures weigh on the score. The company's technical indicators show a neutral trend, and recent corporate events enhance financial flexibility.

Arcosa (ACA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arcosa Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArcosa, Inc. is a provider of infrastructure-related products and solutions with headquarters in Dallas, Texas. The company operates through three primary business segments: Construction Products, Engineered Structures, and Transportation Products. Arcosa's offerings include aggregates, specialty materials, and construction site support, alongside steel structures for electricity transmission and distribution, storage tanks, and barges. The company serves a diverse range of sectors, including energy, transportation, and construction, positioning itself as a key player in infrastructure development and support.
How the Company Makes MoneyArcosa generates revenue through the sale of its wide range of infrastructure-related products and services across its three business segments. In the Construction Products segment, the company earns money by supplying aggregates and specialty materials used in construction and road building. The Engineered Structures segment contributes to revenue through the manufacturing and sale of steel structures for electric utility infrastructure, storage tanks, and wind towers. The Transportation Products segment focuses on the production and sale of barges and rail components, catering to freight and cargo transport needs. Arcosa's earnings are bolstered by its strategic positioning in sectors benefiting from infrastructure investment and development. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships or contracts that enhance its market reach and revenue potential.

Arcosa Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.50%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Arcosa showed strong financial performance with significant EBITDA growth and successful integration of acquisitions, despite challenges from weather impacts and a temporary dilutive effect from the Stavola acquisition. Positive demand indicators and strong segment performances provide confidence moving forward.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Arcosa delivered consolidated adjusted EBITDA growth of 26%, outpacing 12% revenue growth in the first quarter, and expanded their margin by 190 basis points.
Successful Integration of Stavola Acquisition
The $1.2 billion Stavola acquisition completed in October 2024 is progressing well, and operations are ramping up for the spring construction season.
Engineered Structures Segment Success
The engineered structures segment saw revenues increase 23% due to higher wind tower volumes and the impact of the Ameron acquisition. Adjusted segment EBITDA increased 90% and margin expanded 650 basis points.
Barge Business Performance and Backlog
The barge business performed better than expected with new orders extending the backlog to $334 million, up 19% from the start of the year.
Positive Demand Indicators
Strong demand in utility structures and good performance in engineered structures indicate a sustained period of demand growth.
Negative Updates
Weather Impact on Construction Products
Unseasonably cold and wet weather in January and February impacted construction products, causing a 6% decline in organic revenues.
Dilutive Impact of Stavola in First Quarter
The Stavola acquisition diluted adjusted segment EBITDA by $2 million and margin by 320 basis points in its seasonally slowest quarter.
Free Cash Flow Challenges
Free cash flow for the quarter was negative $30 million, although improvement is expected in the second half of the year.
Company Guidance
During Arcosa Inc.'s first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided a strong outlook for the year, maintaining its revenue guidance at $2.9 billion, a 17% increase from the previous year, and adjusted EBITDA guidance at $570 million, up 30% excluding divested operations. The call highlighted a 26% growth in consolidated adjusted EBITDA, with a 190 basis point margin expansion, driven by robust performance in engineered structures and transportation products. The Stavola acquisition, though initially dilutive, is expected to contribute positively in Q2 as the construction season advances. Arcosa aims to achieve a leverage ratio between 2 to 2.5 times over the next 12 months, down from 2.9 times at quarter-end. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, the company remains optimistic about infrastructure investments and the U.S. power market, projecting high single-digit organic growth in construction products and maintaining a positive outlook across its segments.

Arcosa Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arcosa exhibits solid financial health with strong revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. While profitability metrics indicate some pressure, the company's stable EBIT and EBITDA margins, along with a strong equity position, provide a cushion against potential risks. The balance sheet is well-managed with moderate leverage, though declining ROE suggests room for improvement in profitability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Arcosa has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a 13.1% increase over the past year and a steady gross profit margin around 20.3%. The TTM net profit margin stands at 3.0%, indicating some profitability pressures. The EBIT margin is stable at 7.3% TTM, while the EBITDA margin is strong at 15.7%, suggesting efficient operating performance.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company has a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.69, indicating a balanced leverage position. The return on equity has decreased to 3.2% TTM, reflecting lower profitability. The equity ratio is robust at 49.7%, showcasing a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Arcosa's free cash flow growth rate is negative, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 5.39 TTM demonstrates strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 3.22 TTM underscores solid cash flow management.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.57B2.31B2.24B2.04B1.94B
Gross Profit515.20M443.80M422.80M366.20M382.00M
EBITDA395.90M383.50M501.30M251.30M263.30M
Net Income93.70M159.20M245.80M69.60M106.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.92B3.58B3.34B3.19B2.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments187.30M104.80M160.40M72.90M95.80M
Total Debt1.69B568.70M550.60M679.50M254.50M
Total Liabilities2.49B1.25B1.16B1.23B754.50M
Stockholders Equity2.43B2.33B2.18B1.95B1.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow312.30M57.50M36.30M81.40M177.80M
Operating Cash Flow502.00M261.00M174.30M166.50M259.90M
Investing Cash Flow-1.51B-285.80M90.70M-570.30M-528.20M
Financing Cash Flow1.09B-30.80M-177.50M380.90M123.70M

Arcosa Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price83.77
Price Trends
50DMA
87.91
Negative
100DMA
84.40
Negative
200DMA
91.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.71
Positive
RSI
36.56
Neutral
STOCH
18.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 83.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 88.71, below the 50-day MA of 87.91, and below the 200-day MA of 91.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ACA.

Arcosa Risk Analysis

Arcosa disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arcosa reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arcosa Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$2.97B11.7523.85%1.60%8.78%117.40%
75
Outperform
$3.95B26.6117.33%1.09%10.19%20.71%
73
Outperform
$4.13B41.5412.75%0.56%11.42%247.33%
71
Outperform
$4.16B53.413.23%0.24%10.44%-45.30%
64
Neutral
$3.86B134.681.41%2.38%11.41%-92.67%
59
Neutral
AU$1.62B9.942.84%3.53%9.79%5.94%
56
Neutral
$3.47B38.0015.74%1.16%-3.52%-46.60%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ACA
Arcosa
85.14
3.22
3.93%
GVA
Granite Construction
94.50
25.95
37.86%
HEES
H&E Equipment Services
94.64
49.82
111.16%
HRI
Herc Holdings
116.19
-14.22
-10.90%
MGRC
Mcgrath Rentcorp
120.67
22.41
22.81%
MWA
Mueller Water Products
25.20
5.02
24.88%

Arcosa Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Arcosa Amends Credit Agreement for New Term Loans
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Arcosa, Inc. amended its existing credit agreement to establish a new class of term loans totaling $698,250,000. This refinancing effort allows Arcosa to prepay its previous term loan and offers a slightly reduced interest rate, enhancing its financial flexibility. The amendment includes provisions for prepayment premiums within six months if certain conditions are met, but otherwise allows prepayment without penalty.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACA) stock is a Buy with a $105.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arcosa stock, see the ACA Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Arcosa Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting and Updates Strategy
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Arcosa, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where key proposals were voted upon, including the election of directors and the approval of executive compensation. The shareholders also ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the year ending December 31, 2025. Additionally, Arcosa has updated its investor presentation materials to reflect its ongoing strategic transformation, focusing on margin expansion, cash flow generation, and growth in attractive markets. The company has made significant investments in its construction products platform, including the acquisition of Stavola, to enhance its market positioning and reduce business complexity.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACA) stock is a Buy with a $105.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arcosa stock, see the ACA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2025