Alcoa Corporation (AA)
NYSE:AA
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AA Stock Chart & Stats
$65.62
-$0.88(-2.43%)
At close: 4:00 PM EST
$65.62
-$0.88(-2.43%)
Day’s Range― - ―
52-Week Range$27.72 - $84.38
Previous CloseN/A
Volume1.37M
Average Volume (3M)4.96M
Market Cap
$14.28B
Enterprise Value$17.36B
Total Cash (Recent Filing)$1.38B
Total Debt (Recent Filing)$2.44B
Price to Earnings (P/E)13.5
Beta1.80
Next Earnings
Jul 16, 2026EPS Estimate
2.29Next Dividend Ex-DateN/A
Dividend Yield0.75%
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)4.01
Shares Outstanding263,889,860
10 Day Avg. Volume5,831,803
30 Day Avg. Volume4,960,519
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)2.27
Price to Sales (P/S)1.08
P/FCF Ratio24.45
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.22
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.37
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit9.03
Enterprise Value/Ebitda10.38
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$77.56Price Target Upside18.19% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering9
EPS Forecast (FY)7.75
Revenue Forecast (FY)$15.24B
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Balance Sheet StrengthExtremely low reported leverage and sizable equity provide durable financial flexibility to fund operations, capex, and opportunistic deleveraging. A strong balance sheet reduces refinancing risk, supports capital allocation options, and cushions the business through commodity cycles over the next several quarters.
Profitability RecoveryMaterial improvement in EBITDA and TTM net income signals structural recovery in operating margins versus the prior downcycle. Sustained higher margins increase internal cash generation potential and provide resilience against commodity price swings if maintained through disciplined cost and commercial actions.
Value‑Add Commercial MomentumGrowing shipments of higher‑margin value‑add products and stronger regional premiums indicate the company can capture durable mix improvements. Shifting sales toward value‑add reduces pure commodity exposure and can sustain higher realized spreads over time if customer and logistical dynamics persist.
Bears Say
Revenue CyclicalitySteep TTM revenue contraction underscores the business's exposure to volatile commodity volumes and pricing. Such cyclicality implies earnings and operating metrics can reverse quickly, making forward revenue visibility and planning challenging for the next several quarters absent structural demand improvements.
Weaker Cash ConversionProfitability has outpaced cash generation, with free cash flow declining meaningfully and covering only half of accounting earnings. Persistent weak cash conversion constrains capacity to fund capex, environmental payments, debt retirements, or shareholder returns without relying on sizable cash reserves or financing.
Alumina Headwinds & Rising CostsSignificant weakness in the alumina business combined with higher energy, freight, diesel and tariff costs creates structural margin pressure in upstream inputs. If these cost and logistics challenges persist, they can erode segment cash flow and offset gains from aluminum operations over multiple quarters.
Alcoa News
AA FAQ
What was Alcoa Corporation’s price range in the past 12 months?
Alcoa Corporation lowest stock price was $27.72 and its highest was $84.38 in the past 12 months.
What is Alcoa Corporation’s market cap?
Alcoa Corporation’s market cap is $14.28B.
When is Alcoa Corporation’s upcoming earnings report date?
Alcoa Corporation’s upcoming earnings report date is Jul 16, 2026 which is in 18 days.
How were Alcoa Corporation’s earnings last quarter?
Alcoa Corporation released its earnings results on Apr 16, 2026. The company reported $1.4 earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $1.533 by -$0.133.
Is Alcoa Corporation overvalued?
According to Wall Street analysts Alcoa Corporation’s price is currently Undervalued.
Does Alcoa Corporation pay dividends?
Alcoa Corporation pays a Quarterly dividend of $0.1 which represents an annual dividend yield of 0.75%. See more information on Alcoa Corporation dividends here
What is Alcoa Corporation’s EPS estimate?
Alcoa Corporation’s EPS estimate is 2.29.
How many shares outstanding does Alcoa Corporation have?
Alcoa Corporation has 263,889,860 shares outstanding.
What happened to Alcoa Corporation’s price movement after its last earnings report?
Alcoa Corporation reported an EPS of $1.4 in its last earnings report, missing expectations of $1.533. Following the earnings report the stock price went down -6.803%.
Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Alcoa Corporation?
Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in AA
What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology
Alcoa Stock Smart Score
Outperform
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10
Analyst Consensus
Strong Buy
Average Price Target:
$77.56 (18.19% Upside)
$77.56 (18.19% Upside)
Blogger Sentiment
Bullish
AA Sentiment 70%
Sector Average ―
Sector Average ―
Hedge Fund Trend
Decreased
By 3.8M Shares
Last Quarter.
Last Quarter.
Crowd Wisdom
Very Negative
Last 7 Days ▼ 4.8%
Last 30 Days ▼ 7.3%
Last 30 Days ▼ 7.3%
News Sentiment
Very Bullish
Bullish news 100%
Bearish news 0%
Bearish news 0%
Technicals
SMA
Positive
20 days / 200 days
Momentum
82.16%
12-Months-Change
Fundamentals
Return on Equity
16.27%
Trailing 12-Months
Asset Growth
14.18%
Trailing 12-Months
Company Description
Alcoa Corporation
Alcoa Corporation stands as a global industrial leader, primarily focused on the production and sale of bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products. Its extensive operations span multiple continents, including North America (United States, Canada), Europe (Spain, Iceland, Norway), South America (Brazil), and Australia, along with other international markets. The company's activities are strategically divided into three principal segments: Bauxite, Alumina, and Aluminum. Alcoa initiates its process with bauxite mining. This raw material is then refined into alumina, which is subsequently sold to customers for conversion into various industrial chemical products. Additionally, the company is involved in aluminum smelting and casting, supplying primary aluminum in forms like alloy or value-added ingots. These aluminum products cater to a diverse range of industries, including transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire manufacturing, and other industrial applications. Beyond its core metals business, Alcoa also operates hydroelectric power generation facilities. These plants generate and sell electricity into the wholesale market, serving a wide array of clients, from traders and large industrial consumers to distribution companies and other power generators. Founded in 1888, the company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. It officially adopted the name Alcoa Corporation in October 2016, prior to which it was known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation.
AA Company Deck
AA Earnings Call
Q1 2026
0:00 / 0:00
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call conveyed solid operational execution and a strong sequential improvement in profitability and adjusted EBITDA, supported by higher aluminum prices (LME ~+10% sequential) and effective commercial and logistics actions (San Ciprián restart, inventory repositioning, and growing value-add demand). At the same time, the Alumina segment faces pronounced near-term headwinds—third-party alumina revenue declined 33% and alumina EBITDA fell—while free cash flow was negative $298 million and environmental/ARO cash needs were increased. The company highlighted disciplined capital allocation, a robust cash balance ($1.4 billion), and active deleveraging (notice to redeem $219 million of 2028 notes), which temper the risks. Overall, the positives around earnings, EBITDA expansion, commercial momentum for value-add products, and balance sheet actions slightly outweigh the operational and cash-flow headwinds tied chiefly to alumina and working capital timing.View all AA earnings summariesAA Revenue Breakdown
47.32% U.S.
21.43% Netherlands
21.23% Australia
6.97% Brazil
3.05% Other
AA Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
$77.56
▲(18.19% Upside)
Technical Analysis
Century Aluminum
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Commercial Metals Company
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Hecla Mining Company
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Kaiser Aluminum
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Constellium
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Ownership Overview
0.43% Insiders
20.14% Mutual Funds
16.32% Other Institutional Investors
36.23% Public Companies and
Individual Investors