Want to see AA full AI Analyst Report?
AA Stock Chart & Stats
$44.24
-$1.03(-2.28%)
At close: 4:00 PM EDT
$44.24
-$1.03(-2.28%)
Day’s Range― - ―
52-Week Range$28.92 - $84.38
Previous CloseN/A
Volume2.63M
Average Volume (3M)6.41M
Market Cap
$13.24B
Enterprise Value$14.65K
Total Cash (Recent Filing)$1.35B
Total Debt (Recent Filing)$2.23B
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.5
Beta1.73
Next Earnings
Oct 21, 2026EPS Estimate
1.58Next Dividend Ex-DateN/A
Dividend Yield0.77%
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)4.92
Shares Outstanding263,909,450
10 Day Avg. Volume5,700,518
30 Day Avg. Volume6,413,060
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)2.27
Price to Sales (P/S)1.08
P/FCF Ratio24.45
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$62.33Price Target Upside40.90% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering9
EPS Forecast (FY)6.51
Revenue Forecast (FY)$14.76B
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
High‑margin Aluminum SegmentAlcoa’s aluminum business shows structurally higher profitability and scale versus peers, delivering record adjusted EBITDA and a >30% EBITDA margin. Durable margin strength and rising shipments support long‑term cash generation and pricing power in industrial end markets, underpinning reinvestment and resilience.
Improved Balance Sheet And CapitalizationLeverage has meaningfully declined and equity has expanded, giving Alcoa greater financial flexibility. A stronger capital structure supports capital allocation, M&A financing and maintenance of investment grade ratings, reducing refinancing stress through commodity cycles and enabling strategic investments.
Transformational South32 Acquisition Expands ScaleThe South32 asset acquisition materially increases alumina and primary aluminum capacity, secures upstream feedstock and targets substantial NPV synergies. Pro‑forma scale, low‑cost assets and diversified geography should sustainably improve cost‑curve positioning and long‑term competitive advantage if integration executes.
Bears Say
Commodity Cyclicality And Margin VolatilityAlcoa’s earnings remain highly sensitive to aluminum/alumina prices and input costs, producing large swings across cycles. Structural cyclicality means periods of strong profitability can be quickly reversed, complicating capital allocation, leverage targets and investor predictability over a 2–6 month horizon and beyond.
Weak Free Cash Flow Conversion And VolatilityAlthough operating cash generation is positive, FCF converts poorly versus earnings and has been inconsistent. Low cash conversion and working‑capital swings limit sustained deleveraging, reduce available capital for dividends or buybacks, and make funding capex and integration spend more dependent on cycle timing.
Transaction Contingent Costs And Timing RiskThe South32 transaction brings meaningful contingent liabilities, upfront fees and execution timing risk. These items raise short‑term leverage and cash outflow uncertainty, could delay realization of synergies, and create contingent downside if commodity prices or permitting/regulatory approvals slow integration.
Alcoa News
AA FAQ
What was Alcoa Corporation’s price range in the past 12 months?
Alcoa Corporation lowest stock price was $28.92 and its highest was $84.38 in the past 12 months.
What is Alcoa Corporation’s market cap?
Alcoa Corporation’s market cap is $13.24B.
When is Alcoa Corporation’s upcoming earnings report date?
Alcoa Corporation’s upcoming earnings report date is Oct 21, 2026 which is in 71 days.
How were Alcoa Corporation’s earnings last quarter?
Alcoa Corporation released its earnings results on Jul 16, 2026. The company reported $2.12 earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $2.254 by -$0.134.
Is Alcoa Corporation overvalued?
According to Wall Street analysts Alcoa Corporation’s price is currently Undervalued.
Does Alcoa Corporation pay dividends?
Alcoa Corporation pays a Quarterly dividend of $0.1 which represents an annual dividend yield of 0.77%. See more information on Alcoa Corporation dividends here
What is Alcoa Corporation’s EPS estimate?
Alcoa Corporation’s EPS estimate is 1.58.
How many shares outstanding does Alcoa Corporation have?
Alcoa Corporation has 263,909,450 shares outstanding.
What happened to Alcoa Corporation’s price movement after its last earnings report?
Alcoa Corporation reported an EPS of $2.12 in its last earnings report, missing expectations of $2.254. Following the earnings report the stock price went down -6.126%.
Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Alcoa Corporation?
Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in AA
What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology
Alcoa Stock Smart Score
Underperform
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Analyst Consensus
Moderate Buy
Average Price Target:
$62.33 (40.90% Upside)
$62.33 (40.90% Upside)
Blogger Sentiment
Bullish
AA Sentiment 88%
Sector Average ―
Sector Average ―
Hedge Fund Trend
Decreased
By 3.8M Shares
Last Quarter.
Last Quarter.
Insider Transactions
Sold Shares
Worth $215.4K over
the Last 3 Months
the Last 3 Months
Crowd Wisdom
Negative
Last 7 Days ▼ 0.5%
Last 30 Days ▼ 0.1%
Last 30 Days ▼ 0.1%
News Sentiment
Neutral
Bullish news 50%
Bearish news 50%
Bearish news 50%
Technicals
SMA
Negative
20 days / 200 days
Momentum
39.93%
12-Months-Change
Fundamentals
Return on Equity
0.77%
Trailing 12-Months
Asset Growth
12.43%
Trailing 12-Months
Company Description
Alcoa Corporation
Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA) is an upstream aluminum company focused on producing and selling bauxite, alumina, and primary aluminum. It operates across the aluminum value chain from mining bauxite to refining it into alumina and smelting alumina into primary aluminum, supplying industrial end markets such as transportation, packaging, construction, and other manufacturing applications.
AA Company Deck
AA Earnings Call
Q2 2026
0:00 / 0:00
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call emphasized strong operational execution and record aluminum financial performance (notably record aluminum segment adjusted EBITDA, high revenue, robust cash generation, strategic investments, and a transformational acquisition with large synergies). Offsetting negatives include alumina segment disruptions (Pinjarra), guidance reductions for alumina volumes, end-of-quarter metal price volatility, elevated input and corporate costs, and some site-level cash consumption. On balance, the positives (record revenue, strong aluminum margins and cash flow, strategic acquisition and investments, labor stability) appear to outweigh the lowlights, though there are clear near-term execution and cost headwinds to monitor.View all AA earnings summariesAA Revenue Breakdown
47.32% U.S.
21.43% Netherlands
21.23% Australia
6.97% Brazil
3.05% Other

AA Stock 12 Month Forecast
All Analysts
Top Analysts
Average Price Target
$62.33
▲(40.90% Upside)
Technical Analysis
1 Day
3 Days
1 Week
1 Month
Century Aluminum
―
Commercial Metals Company
―
Hecla Mining Company
―
Kaiser Aluminum
―
Constellium
―
Ownership Overview
0.39% Insiders
20.14% Mutual Funds
3.42% Other Institutional Investors
49.93% Public Companies and Individual Investors












