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Vale SA (VALE)
NYSE:VALE
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Vale SA (VALE) Price & Analysis

7,272 Followers

VALE Stock Chart & Stats

$17.78
-$0.10(-1.17%)
At close: 4:00 PM EST
$17.78
-$0.10(-1.17%)

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls Say
Integrated Logistics And InfrastructureOwning and operating railways, terminals and ports creates durable competitive advantages for bulk-miners: lower per-ton logistics costs, more reliable delivery, and control over export bottlenecks. This integration supports margin resilience, product quality delivery and faster ramp-up of new mines over the next 2–6 months and beyond.
Strategic Shift To Base Metals (VBM)A rising long-term EBITDA allocation to base metals reduces Vale's dependence on iron ore cycles and aligns with electrification demand for copper and nickel. Structural diversification into VBM improves earnings optionality, byproduct synergies and long-term growth prospects, raising steady-state EBITDA mix and strategic optionality over coming years.
Strong Recurring Free Cash Flow And Shareholder ReturnsMaterial free cash flow growth and consistent distributions indicate robust cash-generation capacity and disciplined capital allocation. Reliable FCF supports funding of maintenance capex, growth projects (Serra Sul +20), dam reparations and returns while preserving access to capital markets, strengthening financial flexibility over the medium term.
Bears Say
Rising Unit Costs And Guidance SensitivityHigher C1 and all‑in costs driven by BRL moves and inventory mix materially tighten margins and make guidance delivery conditional on FX and oil assumptions. Persistent cost inflation reduces cyclically adjusted profitability and increases vulnerability to commodity-price swings and logistics cost headwinds over the coming months.
Weaker Cash Conversion Due To Working-capital SwingsOperating cash flow trailed reported profits in TTM and Q1 showed inventory and receivable builds that depressed cash conversion. Structural working-capital volatility can limit free cash flow predictability, constrain near-term financing for capex or distributions, and raise refinancing or liquidity risk if commodity cycles reverse.
Governance / Shareholder Activism RiskA formal shareholder push to change board leadership can prompt strategic reassessments, distract management, and create short-to-medium term uncertainty around capital allocation, project timelines and governance norms. Structural governance disputes can slow decision-making and affect investor confidence through execution cycles.

Vale SA News

VALE FAQ

What was Vale SA’s price range in the past 12 months?
Vale SA lowest stock price was $8.97 and its highest was $17.94 in the past 12 months.
    What is Vale SA’s market cap?
    Vale SA’s market cap is $64.68B.
      When is Vale SA’s upcoming earnings report date?
      Vale SA’s upcoming earnings report date is Jul 23, 2026 which is in 32 days.
        How were Vale SA’s earnings last quarter?
        Vale SA released its earnings results on Apr 28, 2026. The company reported $0.443 earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.522 by -$0.079.
          Is Vale SA overvalued?
          According to Wall Street analysts Vale SA’s price is currently Undervalued. Get more investment ideas with TipRanks Premium
            Does Vale SA pay dividends?
            Vale SA pays a Notavailable dividend of $0.668 which represents an annual dividend yield of 10.04%. See more information on Vale SA dividends here
              What is Vale SA’s EPS estimate?
              Vale SA’s EPS estimate is 0.52.
                How many shares outstanding does Vale SA have?
                Vale SA has 4,539,008,000 shares outstanding.
                  What happened to Vale SA’s price movement after its last earnings report?
                  Vale SA reported an EPS of $0.443 in its last earnings report, missing expectations of $0.522. Following the earnings report the stock price went down -6.268%.
                    Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Vale SA?
                    Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in VALE
                    What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
                    Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology

                      Company Description

                      Vale SA

                      Operating globally and within Brazil, Vale S.A. is a major producer and seller of essential raw materials, including iron ore, iron ore pellets, nickel, and copper. Its operations are organized into two primary segments. The Iron Solutions segment is dedicated to the extraction and production of iron ore, pellets, and various other ferrous products, also providing crucial logistics services. Meanwhile, the Energy Transition Materials segment specializes in mining nickel, along with its valuable by-products such as gold, silver, cobalt, and other precious metals. This segment also handles copper, primarily used in construction for piping and electrical cables. Established in 1942, the company was formerly known as Companhia Vale do Rio Doce before officially rebranding as Vale S.A. in May 2009. Vale S.A. is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

                      Vale SA (VALE) Earnings & Revenues

                      VALE Company Deck

                      VALE Earnings Call

                      Q1 2026
                      0:00 / 0:00
                      Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
                      The call conveyed broadly positive operational and financial momentum: strong pro forma EBITDA growth (+21% YoY), VBM materially unlocking value (VBM EBITDA > doubled to $1.2B; copper 102 kt, +13% YoY; nickel +12% YoY), robust free cash flow (+61% YoY) and meaningful commercial/pricing gains (premiums +$2.6/ton QoQ, ~ $800M annualized). Management acknowledged cost pressures—C1 up 12% YoY, all-in costs up 8%—and macro/logistics risks (FX, oil, geopolitical events, distribution/royalty uncertainties) that temper near-term visibility and make delivery of guidance conditional on market curves. On balance, operational execution, cash generation and strategic initiatives (decarbonization, VBM optionality) outweigh the headwinds, though company performance remains sensitive to external price, FX and logistics dynamics.View all VALE earnings summaries

                      VALE Stock 12 Month Forecast

                      Average Price Target

                      $18.13
                      ▲(1.94% Upside)
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                      Ownership Overview

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                      7.52% Other Institutional Investors
                      86.52% Public Companies and Individual Investors
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