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Vale SA (VALE)
NYSE:VALE
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Vale SA (VALE) Price & Analysis

7,271 Followers

VALE Stock Chart & Stats

$17.78
-$0.10(-1.17%)
At close: 4:00 PM EST
$17.78
-$0.10(-1.17%)

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls Say
Integrated Logistics And ScaleOwning and controlling rail, terminal and port capacity provides durable competitive advantage by lowering unit logistics costs, improving shipment reliability and enabling scale. This integration supports steady volume delivery to global steel and industrial customers and limits third-party bottlenecks over the medium term.
Base-metals Diversification (VBM)Significant and sustained growth in copper and nickel shifts Vale's earnings mix away from iron ore cyclicality. As electrification and grid investments persist, larger VBM contribution improves long-term earnings optionality, smooths cyclicality, and positions Vale to capture higher-value metal premiums across multiple end markets.
Strong Cash Generation And Capital DisciplineRobust free cash flow and active returns indicate durable cash conversion capacity and disciplined capital allocation. This cash flexibility supports investment in growth projects, debt management and legacy obligations while preserving ability to fund dividends and buybacks without compromising core operations over the next several quarters.
Bears Say
Rising Unit CostsSustained increases in C1 and all-in cash costs compress margin headroom and make earnings guidance sensitive to FX and oil curves. If BRL appreciation or fuel inflation persists, profitability and project returns could be structurally lower, limiting free cash flow upside and pressuring unit economics over coming quarters.
Cash-conversion Volatility And Working-capital SwingsCash generation quality is uneven: working-capital builds and receivable/inventory increases compress operating cash relative to reported profit. This intermittent cash conversion raises funding uncertainty for capex, reparations and distributions, and increases reliance on debt or capital markets in adverse commodity cycles.
Exposure To Geopolitical, Regulatory And Supply RisksVale's large-scale export model and premium product mix are exposed to geopolitical events, regional policy shifts and input-supply constraints. These structural risks can raise logistics and distribution costs, alter access to key markets, and create royalty/regulatory uncertainty that materially affects mid-term volumes and price premiums.

Vale SA News

VALE FAQ

What was Vale SA’s price range in the past 12 months?
Vale SA lowest stock price was $8.97 and its highest was $17.94 in the past 12 months.
    What is Vale SA’s market cap?
    Vale SA’s market cap is $63.44B.
      When is Vale SA’s upcoming earnings report date?
      Vale SA’s upcoming earnings report date is Jul 23, 2026 which is in 45 days.
        How were Vale SA’s earnings last quarter?
        Vale SA released its earnings results on Apr 28, 2026. The company reported $0.443 earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.522 by -$0.079.
          Is Vale SA overvalued?
          According to Wall Street analysts Vale SA’s price is currently Undervalued. Get more investment ideas with TipRanks Premium
            Does Vale SA pay dividends?
            Vale SA pays a Notavailable dividend of $0.668 which represents an annual dividend yield of 10.04%. See more information on Vale SA dividends here
              What is Vale SA’s EPS estimate?
              Vale SA’s EPS estimate is 0.51.
                How many shares outstanding does Vale SA have?
                Vale SA has 4,539,008,000 shares outstanding.
                  What happened to Vale SA’s price movement after its last earnings report?
                  Vale SA reported an EPS of $0.443 in its last earnings report, missing expectations of $0.522. Following the earnings report the stock price went down -6.268%.
                    Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Vale SA?
                    Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in VALE
                    What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
                    Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology

                      Company Description

                      Vale SA

                      Vale S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells iron ore, iron ore pellets, nickel, and copper in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through Iron Solutions and Energy Transition Materials segments. The Iron Solutions segment produces and extracts iron ore and pellets, and other ferrous products; and provides related logistic services. The Energy Transition Materials segment produces and extracts nickel; and its by-products, such as gold, silver, cobalt, precious metals, and others, as well as copper used in the construction sector to produce pipes and electrical wires. The company was formerly known as Companhia Vale do Rio Doce and changed its name to Vale S.A. in May 2009. Vale S.A. was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

                      Vale SA (VALE) Earnings & Revenues

                      VALE Company Deck

                      VALE Earnings Call

                      Q1 2026
                      0:00 / 0:00
                      Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
                      The call conveyed broadly positive operational and financial momentum: strong pro forma EBITDA growth (+21% YoY), VBM materially unlocking value (VBM EBITDA > doubled to $1.2B; copper 102 kt, +13% YoY; nickel +12% YoY), robust free cash flow (+61% YoY) and meaningful commercial/pricing gains (premiums +$2.6/ton QoQ, ~ $800M annualized). Management acknowledged cost pressures—C1 up 12% YoY, all-in costs up 8%—and macro/logistics risks (FX, oil, geopolitical events, distribution/royalty uncertainties) that temper near-term visibility and make delivery of guidance conditional on market curves. On balance, operational execution, cash generation and strategic initiatives (decarbonization, VBM optionality) outweigh the headwinds, though company performance remains sensitive to external price, FX and logistics dynamics.View all VALE earnings summaries

                      VALE Stock 12 Month Forecast

                      Average Price Target

                      $17.92
                      ▲(0.77% Upside)
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                      Ownership Overview

                      0.03%4.50%7.52%86.51%
                      7.52% Other Institutional Investors
                      86.51% Public Companies and Individual Investors
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