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Vale SA (VALE)
NYSE:VALE
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Vale SA (VALE) Price & Analysis

7,274 Followers

VALE Stock Chart & Stats

$17.78
-$0.10(-1.17%)
At close: 4:00 PM EST
$17.78
-$0.10(-1.17%)

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls Say
Improving EBITDA And Cash GenerationSustained pro forma EBITDA growth (+21% YoY) driven by higher volumes and better price realization across iron ore, copper and nickel supports long-term operating resilience. Strong recurring free cash flow (+61% YoY) improves funding for capex, deleveraging and shareholder returns, enhancing balance-sheet optionality over the medium term.
Strategic Shift Toward Base MetalsA clear strategic pivot to increase Vale Base Metals' share of group EBITDA materially diversifies earnings away from iron ore cyclicality. Growing copper and nickel output and explicit long-term targets align with structural electrification and decarbonization demand, improving revenue mix durability and long-term growth optionality.
Integrated Logistics OptimizationProactive negotiations to optimize key rail concessions aim to increase predictability of required investments and legal certainty for logistics obligations. Strengthening integrated rail-port logistics reduces long-term transport costs and bottlenecks, preserving a structural competitive advantage in seaborne exports and margin resilience.
Bears Say
Rising Unit Production CostsHigher reported C1 and all‑in cash costs materially compress iron ore margin sustainability versus prior-cycle peaks. Elevated unit costs—driven by BRL moves, inventory mix and fuel—raise sensitivity to price, FX and oil curves, making long-term free cash flow and margin durability more contingent on favorable external conditions.
Weaker Cash Conversion And Working‑capital SwingsTTM operating cash flow trailing reported profit indicates working‑capital variability and inventory buildup that can undermine the quality of earnings. Persistent cash conversion weakness constrains internal funding for investments and increases reliance on external financing or distribution cuts during adverse commodity cycles.
Governance Uncertainty From Shareholder ActivismActive shareholder moves to replace board leadership create durable governance uncertainty that can slow strategic execution, complicate capital allocation and prompt policy shifts. Prolonged board disputes may distract management from delivery of growth projects and ESG remediation priorities, raising execution risk.

Vale SA News

VALE FAQ

What was Vale SA’s price range in the past 12 months?
Vale SA lowest stock price was $8.97 and its highest was $17.94 in the past 12 months.
    What is Vale SA’s market cap?
    Vale SA’s market cap is $63.00B.
      When is Vale SA’s upcoming earnings report date?
      Vale SA’s upcoming earnings report date is Jul 23, 2026 which is in 24 days.
        How were Vale SA’s earnings last quarter?
        Vale SA released its earnings results on Apr 28, 2026. The company reported $0.443 earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.522 by -$0.079.
          Is Vale SA overvalued?
          According to Wall Street analysts Vale SA’s price is currently Undervalued. Get more investment ideas with TipRanks Premium
            Does Vale SA pay dividends?
            Vale SA pays a Notavailable dividend of $0.668 which represents an annual dividend yield of 10.04%. See more information on Vale SA dividends here
              What is Vale SA’s EPS estimate?
              Vale SA’s EPS estimate is 0.53.
                How many shares outstanding does Vale SA have?
                Vale SA has 4,539,008,000 shares outstanding.
                  What happened to Vale SA’s price movement after its last earnings report?
                  Vale SA reported an EPS of $0.443 in its last earnings report, missing expectations of $0.522. Following the earnings report the stock price went down -6.268%.
                    Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Vale SA?
                    Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in VALE
                    What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
                    Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology

                      Company Description

                      Vale SA

                      Operating globally and within Brazil, Vale S.A. is a major producer and seller of essential raw materials, including iron ore, iron ore pellets, nickel, and copper. Its operations are organized into two primary segments. The Iron Solutions segment is dedicated to the extraction and production of iron ore, pellets, and various other ferrous products, also providing crucial logistics services. Meanwhile, the Energy Transition Materials segment specializes in mining nickel, along with its valuable by-products such as gold, silver, cobalt, and other precious metals. This segment also handles copper, primarily used in construction for piping and electrical cables. Established in 1942, the company was formerly known as Companhia Vale do Rio Doce before officially rebranding as Vale S.A. in May 2009. Vale S.A. is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

                      Vale SA (VALE) Earnings & Revenues

                      VALE Company Deck

                      VALE Earnings Call

                      Q1 2026
                      0:00 / 0:00
                      Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
                      The call conveyed broadly positive operational and financial momentum: strong pro forma EBITDA growth (+21% YoY), VBM materially unlocking value (VBM EBITDA > doubled to $1.2B; copper 102 kt, +13% YoY; nickel +12% YoY), robust free cash flow (+61% YoY) and meaningful commercial/pricing gains (premiums +$2.6/ton QoQ, ~ $800M annualized). Management acknowledged cost pressures—C1 up 12% YoY, all-in costs up 8%—and macro/logistics risks (FX, oil, geopolitical events, distribution/royalty uncertainties) that temper near-term visibility and make delivery of guidance conditional on market curves. On balance, operational execution, cash generation and strategic initiatives (decarbonization, VBM optionality) outweigh the headwinds, though company performance remains sensitive to external price, FX and logistics dynamics.View all VALE earnings summaries

                      VALE Stock 12 Month Forecast

                      Average Price Target

                      $18.32
                      ▲(3.03% Upside)
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                      Ownership Overview

                      0.03%5.08%7.52%85.96%
                      7.52% Other Institutional Investors
                      85.96% Public Companies and Individual Investors
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