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Zedge Inc (ZDGE)
XASE:ZDGE

Zedge (ZDGE) AI Stock Analysis

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ZDGE

Zedge

(NYSE MKT:ZDGE)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(23.46% Upside)
The score is driven by solid technical strength (price above key moving averages with positive MACD) and a constructive earnings update (renewed revenue growth and strong subscription expansion). Offsetting these positives are mixed financial performance—negative net margin/ROE and declining free cash flow growth—and a less supportive valuation signal due to a negative P/E despite the high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High gross margin & low leverage
A 90%+ gross margin on content sales indicates a highly scalable, low incremental cost model where additional users add revenue with minimal COGS. Combined with almost no debt, this provides durable financial flexibility to invest in product, weather ad cycles, and expand operating leverage over months.
Subscription growth & improved monetization
Rapid subscription growth and rising ARPMAU materially strengthen recurring revenue and reduce reliance on volatile ad CPMs. A larger, higher-ARPU subscriber base improves lifetime value, supports predictable cash flow, and creates a durable monetization engine that can sustain margin expansion as scale continues.
Enterprise DataSeeds traction
A materially larger enterprise order signals product-market fit for DataSeeds in AI data services. B2B contracts are higher-value and more durable than consumer ad revenue, offering diversification, improved revenue visibility, and a path to higher-margin, repeatable business if the pipeline converts consistently.
Negative Factors
Negative net margin & ROE
Despite strong gross margins, the company posts negative net margins and negative ROE, reflecting insufficient operating leverage or higher operating costs. Persisting net losses erode equity returns and require either sustained revenue acceleration or structural cost reduction to achieve durable profitability.
Free cash flow decline & restructuring hit
Declining free cash flow and one-time restructuring cash outflows weaken internal funding capacity. Even with decent cash reserves, recurring FCF weakness limits ability to finance growth, buybacks or dividends long-term and raises dependency on careful capital allocation to sustain operations and product investments.
Underperforming segments and platform exposure
Revenue drops at Emojipedia linked to third-party platform feature changes and AI illustrate structural platform risk. Underperforming assets like GuruShots increase volatility and require ongoing investment or restructuring, which can depress consolidated margins and distract management from core growth priorities.

Zedge (ZDGE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Zedge Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZedge (ZDGE) is a mobile content platform that specializes in offering a wide range of personalization tools for smartphones, including wallpapers, ringtones, and notification sounds. Operating in the mobile technology sector, Zedge allows users to customize their devices with unique content, enhancing user experience and engagement. The platform is available across various app stores, making it accessible to a global audience.
How the Company Makes MoneyZedge generates revenue primarily through in-app advertising and premium content sales. Its freemium model allows users to access a vast library of free content, while also offering paid features such as exclusive wallpapers and ringtones. The company partners with brands and advertisers to promote their products through targeted ads within the app, contributing to its advertising revenue. Additionally, Zedge may collaborate with mobile device manufacturers and other technology firms to bundle its services, further expanding its revenue opportunities.

Zedge Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 12, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights significant growth in subscription revenue and promising developments in the DataSeeds segment, contributing to overall revenue growth and improved financial metrics. However, challenges remain with declining performance in Emojipedia and GuruShots, alongside free cash flow pressures due to restructuring costs.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Subscription Growth
Active subscriptions reached a record 1.1 million, up more than 50% year-over-year, driving revenue growth in the Zedge marketplace.
Return to Revenue Growth
Total revenue for the first quarter was $7.6 million, up 5.8% from the previous year, marking a return to mid-single-digit revenue growth.
DataSeeds Expansion
DataSeeds received a significant new order from an existing customer in the AI sector, 25 times the value of the original order. The pipeline remains robust with growing interest from world-class companies.
Zedge Plus Subscription Revenue Increase
Zedge Plus subscription revenue increased 29% year-over-year, highlighting successful optimization of subscription plans.
Improved Financial Performance
GAAP income from operations was $0.9 million compared to a loss of $0.5 million last year, and adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $1.2 million versus $0.3 million last year.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Emojipedia
Emojipedia faced a meaningful revenue decline, attributed to challenges related to Google's copy-paste feature and AI overviews.
GuruShots Decline
There was an expected year-over-year drop at GuruShots, although sequential business was effectively flat, showing some stabilization.
Free Cash Flow Challenges
Free cash flow was negatively impacted by $350,000 due to tax withholding payments related to restructuring compensation.
Operating Losses in DataSeeds and GuruShots
GuruShots and DataSeeds are not yet at breakeven, with ongoing investments leading to losses in these segments.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call for Zedge's first fiscal quarter of 2026, the company reported a solid start with a return to mid-single-digit revenue growth, achieving total revenue of $7.6 million, up 5.8% from the previous year. The growth was driven by strong advertising CPMs and a 29% increase in Zedge Plus subscription revenue, with active subscriptions reaching 1.1 million, a 54% year-over-year increase. Average revenue per monthly active user rose by 29.2%, indicating improved monetization efficiency. Despite anticipated declines in Emojipedia and GuruShots, the core business remained resilient. The DataSeeds initiative showed promise, with a notable order 25 times the size of an initial order from a leading AI company. However, the division is still in its infancy regarding revenue recognition. The company maintained a strong cash position with $18.5 million in cash and cash equivalents, while also executing a share buyback of 240,000 Class B shares. Zedge’s disciplined approach to capital allocation and product innovation, coupled with restructuring efforts, positions it well for growth and expanding operating leverage through fiscal 2026.

Zedge Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: very strong gross margin (90.2%) and minimal leverage (debt-to-equity 0.0089), but profitability remains weak (TTM net margin -4.2%, ROE -4.7%) and free cash flow growth declined (-9.6% TTM).
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Zedge's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has a high gross profit margin of 90.2% in the TTM, indicating strong cost management. However, the net profit margin is negative at -4.2%, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. Revenue growth is positive at 1.4% in the TTM, but the company has experienced fluctuations in revenue growth over the past years, with a notable decline in the previous annual period.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet is relatively strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0089, indicating minimal leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -4.7%, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the low debt levels imply a stable financial structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by -9.6% in the TTM, which is concerning. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.39, indicating some ability to convert income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, suggesting that the company is generating more free cash flow than net income, which is a positive sign.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.40M30.09M27.24M26.55M19.57M
Gross Profit26.41M25.78M21.73M22.94M17.11M
EBITDA-1.57M-8.91M-3.29M13.57M9.31M
Net Income-2.39M-9.17M-6.10M9.71M8.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.65M38.20M46.83M54.63M37.48M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.61M20.00M18.13M17.09M24.91M
Total Debt197.00K203.00K2.33M195.00K231.00K
Total Liabilities9.75M7.30M7.97M10.44M4.32M
Stockholders Equity25.90M30.90M38.86M44.19M33.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.34M4.66M1.70M10.88M9.48M
Operating Cash Flow3.42M5.85M3.16M11.49M10.13M
Investing Cash Flow-549.00K-1.19M-2.42M-18.95M-5.48M
Financing Cash Flow-4.37M-2.64M387.00K-223.00K15.10M

Zedge Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.43
Price Trends
50DMA
3.10
Negative
100DMA
3.03
Negative
200DMA
3.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
41.92
Neutral
STOCH
38.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZDGE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.44, below the 50-day MA of 3.10, and below the 200-day MA of 3.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ZDGE.

Zedge Risk Analysis

Zedge disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zedge reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Zedge Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$38.77M-33.04-4.52%-1.29%86.87%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
51
Neutral
$58.23M-16.56-6.62%7.12%78.68%
50
Neutral
$64.62M-7.17105.31%95.66%
50
Neutral
$78.89M-1.79-102.66%-37.41%60.58%
45
Neutral
$738.98M-0.71-54.47%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ZDGE
Zedge
2.98
0.12
4.16%
IZEA
IZEA Worldwide
3.40
0.67
24.54%
SEGG
SEGG Media
1.32
-3.58
-73.06%
CCG
Cheche Group
0.80
-0.06
-6.98%
BODI
Beachbody Company
11.13
3.43
44.55%
ASST
Strive Inc
0.59
-0.20
-25.06%

Zedge Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesDividendsShareholder Meetings
Zedge Shareholders Back Leadership, Board Declares Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

At its Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on January 14, 2026, Zedge, Inc. shareholders elected all nominated directors to one-year terms, ratified the appointment of UHY LLP as the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending July 31, 2026, and approved an amendment to the 2016 Stock Option and Incentive Plan that increases the pool of Class B common shares available for equity awards by 150,000, signaling continued support for the existing leadership and compensation framework. Also on January 14, 2026, Zedge’s board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.016 per share, payable on or about February 10, 2026 to shareholders of record as of January 30, 2026, underscoring the company’s ongoing practice of returning capital to its investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (ZDGE) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zedge stock, see the ZDGE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026