Yara International (YARIY)
OTHER OTC:YARIY
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Yara International
(OTC:YARIY)
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Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(66.94% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance in 2025 (profit and free cash flow rebound with manageable leverage) and strong technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). This is tempered by cyclical earnings/cash-flow variability, a modest valuation/income profile (P/E ~16.5 and ~1% yield), and earnings-call risks around regulatory uncertainty, near-term demand timing, and project/working-capital pressures.
Positive Factors
Global crop-nutrition scale & logistics network
Yara’s global manufacturing, trading and distribution footprint and breadth of nitrogen products create durable commercial advantages: broad customer reach, the ability to arbitrage regional input/price spreads and to capture logistics-enabled margins across cycles, improving resilience over months.
Negative Factors
Earnings and cash-flow cyclicality
Yara’s earnings and cash generation swing materially with commodity cycles and seasonal farming demand. That persistent volatility weakens predictability for returns, makes capital allocation timing harder, and raises the risk that good cash years won’t persist through downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Global crop-nutrition scale & logistics network
Yara’s global manufacturing, trading and distribution footprint and breadth of nitrogen products create durable commercial advantages: broad customer reach, the ability to arbitrage regional input/price spreads and to capture logistics-enabled margins across cycles, improving resilience over months.
Read all positive factors
Yara International (YARIY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$12.88B
Dividend Yield1.16%
Average Volume (3M)2.32K
Price to Earnings (P/E)15.2
Beta (1Y)0.39
Revenue Growth7.55%
EPS Growth34.28%
CountryUS
Employees16,624
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryAgricultural Inputs
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.58
Shares Outstanding509,451,260
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume2,323
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)2.38
Price to Sales (P/S)1.33
P/FCF Ratio21.74
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.32
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.09
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.47
Enterprise Value/Ebitda5.43
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)2.58
Revenue Forecast (FY)$16.26B
Yara International Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Yara International ASA is a global leader in crop nutrition and a key player in the agricultural sector. Founded in Norway in 1905, the company specializes in the production and distribution of nitrogen-based fertilizers, as well as providing sust...
How the Company Makes Money
Yara primarily makes money by manufacturing, marketing, and selling crop nutrition products and other nitrogen-based solutions. Its largest revenue stream comes from sales of mineral fertilizers—especially nitrogen fertilizers (e.g., nitrate-based...
Yara International Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced clear commercial and operational strengths (strong Q4 Europe demand, production uptime, tight global nitrogen market, disciplined capital allocation and carbon position) against notable near‑term and medium‑term risks (CBAM political uncertainty, Q1 seasonality/stocking effects, NPK premium pressure, working capital build, and cost/timing risk on a major U.S. decarbonization project). Management’s tone was cautiously constructive: confident on market fundamentals and execution but circumspect about regulatory and project cost risk.Positive Updates
Strong Q4 Europe Demand and Price Momentum
Yara reported strong Q4 sales in Europe driven largely by customer and importer positioning ahead of CBAM (effective Jan 1), which contributed to price increases across products in Q4.
Negative Updates
CBAM Political Uncertainty
While CBAM is in force (impacting Q4 pricing), a proposed legislative amendment (Paragraph 27a) to allow temporary suspension has created political uncertainty; outcome requires European Parliament approval and remains unpredictable.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Q4 Europe Demand and Price Momentum
Yara reported strong Q4 sales in Europe driven largely by customer and importer positioning ahead of CBAM (effective Jan 1), which contributed to price increases across products in Q4.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that deliveries were about 7% ahead at end‑December versus last year with roughly half the seasonal demand still to be bought (the EU imported ~2.2 Mt of urea in Q1 last year), noting short‑term market drivers such as U.S. Gulf urea at ~$500/t, India’s 1.5 Mt tender and Chinese exports having risen ~5 Mt in 2025 (consultant baselines cited ~6 Mt for 2026). They said 2026 maintenance CapEx is ~USD 200m higher versus 2025 and sits in the upper part of their maintenance range (USD 700–850m/year), with total CapEx run‑rate around USD 1.2bn in the coming years; the Air Products project remains within previously stated ranges (NOK 8–9bn) but no new update was given. Working capital is seasonal (build into spring then release) and Q4 price strength lifted receivables and caused a modest inventory build; NPK premium pressure hit roughly $20–30m in Q4. Yara reported holding about 6 million ETS allowances (covering needs through ~2029), reiterated a 50% cash dividend policy, and confirmed there are no special turnaround plans materially different to prior years.Yara International Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
69
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 15.62B | 13.81B | 15.43B | 23.90B | 16.62B |
| Gross Profit | 4.42B | 3.68B | 3.34B | 6.55B | 4.48B |
| EBITDA | 3.12B | 1.41B | 1.47B | 4.83B | 2.58B |
| Net Income | 1.37B | 14.00M | 48.00M | 2.78B | 449.00M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 17.14B | 14.99B | 16.03B | 17.98B | 17.27B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 913.00M | 317.00M | 447.00M | 908.00M | 350.00M |
| Total Debt | 4.18B | 4.05B | 4.23B | 4.22B | 4.33B |
| Total Liabilities | 8.39B | 7.99B | 8.46B | 9.38B | 10.15B |
| Stockholders Equity | 8.72B | 6.99B | 7.55B | 8.59B | 7.10B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 956.00M | 248.00M | 1.15B | 1.47B | 597.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.89B | 1.29B | 2.29B | 2.39B | 1.41B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -906.00M | -1.08B | -1.20B | -509.00M | -874.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -392.00M | -401.00M | -1.52B | -1.23B | -1.50B |
Yara International Technical Analysis
Neutral
17.97
Price Trends
24.18
Positive
21.61
Positive
20.13
Positive
Market Momentum
1.04
Positive
45.59
Neutral
40.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For YARIY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 17.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.47, below the 50-day MA of 24.18, and below the 200-day MA of 20.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for YARIY.
Yara International Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $18.47B | 8.62 | 29.95% | 2.56% | 12.59% | 31.40% | |
71 Outperform | $12.88B | 15.19 | 16.79% | 1.16% | 7.55% | 34.28% | |
68 Neutral | $7.65B | 14.14 | 9.96% | 3.70% | 3.82% | 239.39% | |
62 Neutral | $3.81B | -6.71 | -27.23% | 4.52% | -3.93% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
59 Neutral | $6.54B | 32.61 | 3.77% | 3.36% | 1.77% | -8.72% | |
49 Neutral | $1.78B | -0.78 | -61.24% | 16.68% | -13.42% | -136.59% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
YARIY
Yara International
26.80
11.61
76.41%
CF
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126.92
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73.09%
FMC
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14.83
-24.56
-62.35%
MOS
Mosaic Co
25.20
-1.17
-4.43%
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
66.84
12.54
23.10%
ICL
Icl
5.15
-0.42
-7.46%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.