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Expion360, Inc. (XPON)
NASDAQ:XPON
US Market

Expion360, Inc. (XPON) AI Stock Analysis

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XPON

Expion360, Inc.

(NASDAQ:XPON)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$0.80
▼(-8.16% Downside)
The score is primarily held back by weak profitability and negative operating/free cash flows, despite revenue growth and a relatively stable balance sheet. Technically, the stock remains below key longer-term moving averages with negative MACD, limiting momentum. Corporate updates are constructive on demand and cost control, but reliance on equity financings introduces dilution risk and keeps the overall profile cautious.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth momentum
Sustained top-line growth and a sharp rebound in RV demand signal durable commercial traction. Doubling nine-month sales suggests expanding OEM/distribution relationships and recurring orders that can support scale, improved unit economics, and margin expansion over the next 2–6 months.
Management strengthening
Leadership upgrades and promotion to CFO bolster governance and financial discipline. Stronger management increases likelihood of executing commercialization, cost controls, and strategic partnerships, improving operational execution and investor confidence over a multi-quarter horizon.
Extended liquidity runway
Access to a $15M ATM and prior financings materially extends runway, reducing near-term solvency risk and enabling continued product development, customer onboarding, and working capital needs. This financial flexibility supports execution of strategic growth initiatives over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak profitability
Persistent negative operating and net margins, coupled with modest gross margin, indicate structural profitability challenges. Without sustained margin improvement from pricing, mix, or cost reductions, the company may struggle to convert revenue growth into sustainable earnings and shareholder returns.
Negative operating cash flow
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flows create reliance on external capital for operations and capex. This constrains the firm's ability to self-fund growth, increases execution risk on product rollouts, and can limit investment in R&D and commercialization over the medium term.
Reliance on equity financings
Frequent equity raises and ATM availability mitigate short-term liquidity needs but signal dependence on dilution to fund operations. Continued reliance can erode existing shareholders' equity, pressure per-share metrics, and indicate limited internal cash generation without durable operational cash flow improvement.

Expion360, Inc. (XPON) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Expion360, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExpion360 Inc. designs, assembles, manufactures, and sells lithium iron phosphate batteries and supporting accessories under the VPR 4EVER name for recreational vehicles, marine, golf, industrial, residential, and off-the-grid applications. It also provides various models of industrial tiedowns; battery monitors; terminal blocks; and bus bars. The company also engages in the development of e360 Home Energy Storage systems. It serves dealers, wholesalers, and original equipment manufacturers in the United States and internationally. The company was formerly known as Yozamp Products Company, LLC and changed its name to Expion360 Inc. in November 2021. Expion360 Inc. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Redmond, Oregon.
How the Company Makes MoneyExpion360 generates revenue through the sale of its energy storage products, including lithium-ion batteries and battery management systems, which are sold directly to consumers, businesses, and through distribution channels. Key revenue streams include direct sales from their e-commerce platform, partnerships with manufacturers, and collaborations with companies in the electric vehicle and renewable energy sectors. Additionally, the company may benefit from government incentives and subsidies aimed at promoting renewable energy solutions, enhancing its profitability. Significant partnerships with industry players further expand its market reach and contribute to its earnings.

Expion360, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights significant revenue growth and successful expansion into new markets, alongside improved financial performance. However, challenges remain with declining gross margins and ongoing net losses. The company is actively working to mitigate these challenges through strategic initiatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 134% year-over-year to $3 million and 46% sequentially from the first quarter of 2025, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of sequential revenue growth.
Successful Product Line Expansion
Expansion into the home energy storage market with the introduction of two LiFePO4 battery solutions, targeting home and small commercial solar users, with one product already receiving UL 9540 certification.
Improved Financial Performance
Net loss decreased by 38% to $1.4 million from $2.2 million in the prior year period, with a 43% improvement in net loss for the first half of 2025 compared to the prior year.
Operational Accomplishments
Significant milestones achieved in diversifying supply sources and building inventory to mitigate tariff impacts, and plans for onshoring manufacturing to reduce costs.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
Gross profit margin decreased from 25% to 21% compared to the prior year period, primarily due to product mix and ongoing tariff uncertainties.
Continued Net Losses
Despite improvements, the company still reported a net loss of $1.4 million for the second quarter and $2.5 million for the first half of 2025.
Company Guidance
During the Expion360 Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance reflecting significant growth and strategic initiatives. Revenue for Q2 2025 surged by 134% year-over-year to $3 million, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of sequential revenue growth. The company reported a gross profit of $0.6 million, representing 21% of revenue, down from 25% the previous year due to product mix and tariff impacts. Despite these challenges, Expion360 reduced its net loss by 38% to $1.4 million, thanks to higher sales and decreased selling, administrative, and general expenses. The firm outlined its advancements in the Home Energy Storage Solutions (HESS) vertical, targeting a market forecasted to surpass $123 billion globally by 2029. Cash and cash equivalents increased to $0.7 million, while net cash used in operating activities decreased significantly. The company also highlighted its strategic inventory buildup to mitigate tariff impacts and its plans for further OEM market penetration, with over $5 million of inventory ready for sale.

Expion360, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is growing (TTM +11.93%), and leverage appears manageable (debt-to-equity 0.43; equity ratio 84.31%). However, profitability is weak (negative net and EBIT margins; gross margin 20.58%), ROE is negative, and cash flow is a major concern with negative operating and free cash flows.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Expion360, Inc. shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has experienced revenue growth of 11.93% in the TTM period, indicating a positive trend. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is relatively low at 20.58%, suggesting challenges in cost management or pricing strategy.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43, indicating manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, highlighting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 84.31%, which is a positive indicator of financial stability.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals significant challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, indicating cash flow issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting that free cash flow is slightly better than net income, but overall cash flow health is weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.42M5.62M5.98M7.16M4.52M1.57M
Gross Profit2.05M1.16M1.58M2.29M1.65M302.97K
EBITDA-1.91M-12.33M-7.12M-5.77M-4.10M-661.04K
Net Income-2.05M-13.48M-7.46M-7.54M-4.72M-876.48K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.69M9.11M11.91M16.70M6.53M1.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.29M547.57K3.93M7.20M773.24K290.68K
Total Debt818.18K1.03M5.96M4.56M3.62M2.67M
Total Liabilities1.68M6.59M6.56M5.09M4.27M2.98M
Stockholders Equity9.01M2.52M5.35M11.61M2.26M-1.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.65M-9.58M-5.55M-6.04M-4.01M-1.16M
Operating Cash Flow-6.64M-9.56M-5.53M-5.47M-3.90M-1.12M
Investing Cash Flow-4.40K113.41K16.58K-515.69K-113.69K-36.75K
Financing Cash Flow7.61M6.06M2.25M12.41M4.49M1.31M

Expion360, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.87
Price Trends
50DMA
0.97
Negative
100DMA
1.18
Negative
200DMA
1.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
48.86
Neutral
STOCH
42.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XPON, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.87, below the 50-day MA of 0.97, and below the 200-day MA of 1.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XPON.

Expion360, Inc. Risk Analysis

Expion360, Inc. disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Expion360, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Although our common stock is listed on The Nasdaq Capital Market, the exchange could subsequently delist our common stock if we fail to comply with ongoing listing standards. Q3, 2024
2.
The exercise of each Series A Warrant and, to a lesser extent, the Series B Warrants may result in a substantial increase in the number of shares of our common stock that are outstanding. Q3, 2024
3.
The Series A Warrants and Series B Warrants may have an adverse effect on the market price of our common stock and make it more difficult to affect a business combination. Q3, 2024

Expion360, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$60.38M-9.18-45.94%-12.77%23.37%
48
Neutral
$43.20M-1.1761.78%
45
Neutral
$38.12M-3.69-74.44%-69.65%11.41%
45
Neutral
$4.65M-0.49-119.92%-44.32%-49.47%
42
Neutral
$8.27M-1.12-35.47%109.37%99.34%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XPON
Expion360, Inc.
0.90
-0.61
-40.33%
OESX
Orion Energy Systems
17.27
9.36
118.33%
IPWR
Ideal Power
4.57
-2.56
-35.90%
POLA
Polar Power
1.68
-1.25
-42.66%
SDST
Stardust Power
4.51
-6.49
-59.00%
RAYA
Erayak Power Solution Group Incorporation Class A
1.50
-288.90
-99.48%

Expion360, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Expion360 outlines strategic growth plans in stockholder letter
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

On January 13, 2026, Expion360 issued a stockholder letter detailing a year of leadership transition and operational progress in 2025, highlighted by the October appointment of Joseph Hammer as CEO and chairman and the promotion of longtime controller Shawna Bowin to CFO to tighten governance and financial discipline. The company reported a sharp rebound in demand, particularly in the RV segment, with third-quarter 2025 net sales rising 72% to $2.4 million and gross margin nearly doubling, while net sales and gross profit for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 more than doubled year over year and cash used in operations fell significantly, underscoring improving market conditions and tighter cost control. Expion360 also moved aggressively to shore up its balance sheet through a series of equity financings, including a registered direct offering, warrant exercises, a private placement and the launch of an at-the-market program, moves that boosted liquidity and extended its cash runway for growth initiatives. Looking to 2026, management framed the year as a pivotal period focused on execution, margin expansion and innovation, as the company targets new industrial, construction, surveillance and potential defense-related opportunities with next-generation energy storage products, higher-energy-density chemistries and advanced battery-management systems in a bid to expand beyond its core RV and marine markets and strengthen its competitive positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (XPON) stock is a Hold with a $0.85 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Expion360, Inc. stock, see the XPON Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Expion360 Enters $15M Sales Agreement with Aegis
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Expion360 Inc. entered into an At-The-Market Issuance Sales Agreement with Aegis Capital Corp. as the sales agent, allowing the company to offer and sell up to $15 million of its common stock. The proceeds from this offering are intended for working capital and general corporate purposes, with the sales agent receiving a 2% commission on sales. This agreement provides Expion360 with flexibility in raising capital, potentially impacting its financial operations and market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (XPON) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Expion360, Inc. stock, see the XPON Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026