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XChange TECINC (XHG)
NASDAQ:XHG
US Market

XChange TECINC (XHG) AI Stock Analysis

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XH

XChange TECINC

(NASDAQ:XHG)

Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:
XHG's overall stock score is primarily impacted by severe financial distress, with declining revenue and negative cash flows indicating ongoing operational challenges. Technical analysis signals a bearish trend with strong downward momentum, while the lack of valuation metrics further underscores the company's weak financial position.

XChange TECINC (XHG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

XChange TECINC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXChange TEC.INC engages in the professional insurance agency business in the People's Republic of China. The company provides a various insurance products underwritten by insurance companies, including state-owned property and casualty insurance companies, as well as various regional property and casualty insurance companies. It also offers automobile, life, health, group accident, and other property related insurances primarily to individual end consumers. In addition, the company operates a SaaS platform to offer comprehensive services to online customers. It sells insurance primarily through a network of external referral sources that include external registered sales representatives and strategic channel partners, as well as through the in-house sales force. The company was formerly known as FLJ Group Limited and changed its name to XChange TEC.INC in May 2024. XChange TEC.INC was founded in 2012 and is based in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyXChange TECINC generates revenue primarily through transaction fees, subscription models, and licensing of their technology platforms. The company charges fees for each transaction processed via its digital payment systems and cryptocurrency exchanges. Additionally, XHG offers subscription plans for businesses utilizing its advanced blockchain solutions, ensuring a consistent stream of income. The licensing of its proprietary technologies to other financial institutions and tech companies further contributes to its revenue model. Partnerships with leading banks and fintech companies expand its market reach and amplify its earnings potential.

XChange TECINC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
XHG shows significant financial challenges across all statements. With declining revenues, negative profitability, and high leverage, the company faces ongoing risks in maintaining financial health. Strategic changes or restructuring might be necessary to improve performance.
Income Statement
30
Negative
The company has experienced a significant decline in revenue over the years, with a drop from $1.23 billion in 2019 to $288.37 million in 2024. Gross profit margins have been negative in recent years, indicating a challenge in covering production costs. Net income has been consistently negative, highlighting ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The company's financial stability is concerning, with a negative equity position indicating liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, but total debt remains high compared to total assets, signaling potential solvency risks.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Operating cash flows have been consistently negative, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. Free cash flow has similarly been negative, suggesting difficulties in maintaining liquidity. The company's reliance on financing activities to manage cash flow further elevates risks.
BreakdownTTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue76.74M288.37M0.00652.33M1.04B1.21B
Gross Profit76.74M13.47M0.00-58.67M86.55M-9.70M
EBITDA0.00-586.25M-25.73M-453.04M-27.34M-1.14B
Net Income387.43M-226.82M-71.31M820.02M-569.17M-1.53B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.34B782.84M85.65M95.54M377.63M850.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.03M10.12M360.00K563.00K16.32M22.88M
Total Debt1.35B1.10B44.43M6.54M1.09B1.49B
Total Liabilities1.57B1.34B729.08M668.40M2.86B2.85B
Stockholders Equity-224.61M-556.57M-643.42M-572.86M-2.49B-2.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.09M-9.77M-39.87M-39.59M-109.66M-44.33M
Operating Cash Flow-2.09M-9.77M-39.87M-39.59M-109.66M54.84M
Investing Cash Flow10.07M10.17M0.00-11.47M-6.49M-138.67M
Financing Cash Flow1.88M8.67M37.89M29.31M101.60M-134.92M

XChange TECINC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.39
Price Trends
50DMA
1.60
Negative
100DMA
7.47
Negative
200DMA
33.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Negative
RSI
42.16
Neutral
STOCH
71.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XHG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.32, below the 50-day MA of 1.60, and below the 200-day MA of 33.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XHG.

XChange TECINC Risk Analysis

XChange TECINC disclosed 88 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. XChange TECINC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

XChange TECINC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
JLJLL
78
Outperform
$12.33B23.238.16%13.63%78.40%
CWCWK
76
Outperform
$2.74B16.919.53%1.24%1205.18%
67
Neutral
$1.55B-6.44%1.91%6.69%-137.52%
64
Neutral
$6.97B18.66-1.93%6.82%4.65%-25.39%
60
Neutral
$2.33B32.135.32%0.95%13.87%90.42%
MMMMI
57
Neutral
$1.25B-1.09%1.56%14.79%82.32%
XHXHG
38
Underperform
$3.54B40.75%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XHG
XChange TECINC
1.39
-423.33
-99.67%
JLL
Jones Lang Lasalle
256.89
30.24
13.34%
MMI
Marcus & Millichap
31.62
-4.05
-11.35%
EXPI
eXp World Holdings
10.12
-2.51
-19.87%
NMRK
Newmark Group
12.56
1.04
9.03%
CWK
Cushman & Wakefield
11.70
-0.36
-2.99%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 22, 2025